One in Five Tax Dollars Go to Debt Service
"For every five dollars the government receives in tax revenue, one dollar is spent on servicing the national debt" https://t.co/GZLf2MrQBV https://t.co/2mBzfPVgm2
BATL Eyes $8‑$10 Target After Lower‑High Test
$BATL on watch for today, it's trying to form a lower high as we speak, so I'll need to see the pivot over this local high (6.9 range) in line with VWAP support for the curl through pm highs. Range to...
Export Sales Far Exceed USDA Weekly Targets
Pretty solid export sales #corn 47.9 mb. Needed each week to meet current USDA projections 23.2 mb. #Soybean export sales 24.6. Needed each week to meet current USDA projections 8.3 mb.
Profit From Options Even When Out‑of‑the‑Money
"Your Options don't have to be in-the-money for you to make money" - @sstrazza today LIVE on The Morning Show @StockMktTV Here's the link. Let us know what you think: https://t.co/4fzzcuHq16 https://t.co/VDX8ocHwoM
Brent Spot Tightness Near All‑Time High Amid Supply Fight
BRENT SPOT SO TIGHT Dated-to-Frontline (DFL) Brent crude oil timespread is currently sitting just shy of last week's all-time high, and if we closed here we'd finish at a fresh daily ATH. Signals extreme tightness in North Sea spot crude markets amidst...
US Export Sales Beat Forecast; Mexico Leads Corn, Soy
🇺🇸U.S. export sales met or exceeded expectations last week. Mexico and Colombia led in corn sales, and Germany and Mexico were the leaders in soybeans for new outright sales (China topped net sales, and those were due to a switch...
MAGS7 in Persistent Downtrend, Lagging S&P 500
the big bad #MAGS7 $MAGS... nothing new to see... top: absolute downtrend with lower highs and lower lows... bottom: S&P 500 $SPX relative downtrend... https://t.co/T69qYIfvlh
ASTS and RKLB Show Strength; Can They Sustain?
$ASTS and $RKLB were strong yesterday - Let’s see if they can hold better https://t.co/yUM59l8tyU
Why Private Money Beats Banks for Real Estate
Top builders, investors, and flippers borrow money for their real estate projects from private money lenders instead of from banks. Here are the top two reasons why.
Gold Holds Despite Rising Real Yields—Warning Sign
Gold at $4,560. Real yields still elevated. Gold is supposed to fall when real yields rise. It's not falling. That's not a hedge. That's a warning. $GLD $TLT $SPY https://t.co/eAdLleClyB
Predicting Corrections Costs More Than Corrections
Including dividends, the S&P 500 has gained over 1,200% since the March 2009 low, despite 32 corrections >5%. “Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.”...
Mid/Small Advance-Decl
advance decline lines in three flavours... shhh... don't tell everyone but the mid/small lines stopped going down... https://t.co/hvgFzmM45J
Focus on 8/21 MA Crosses, Ignore Gamma Levels
People will spend so much time over-analyzing and thinking things like Gamma levels are important, yet we break below them and snap back, break above them and fade back under...it is chop chop chop Meanwhile, just look at how simple... 8/21...
Start at 20, Save $270 Monthly for $1M
Here is how much you will need to invest every month to get $1,000,000 by 60. Assuming an 8.5% annual return. Age: 20: $270 25: $414 30: $643 35: $1,015 40: $1,650 45: $2,819 50: $5,350 The clock is ticking.
Long SOFR Futures Cheap, Expect No Rate Hikes
Now that cuts have been completely priced out through late 2026 into 1H 2027, long SOFR futures are extremely attractively priced. I do not believe hikes will happen as that would twist the knife into a global recession, so therefore...
Iran War Derails Global Economic Optimism
Iran war just canceled a better economic outlook for the world https://t.co/4zqeIEwXkO via @CraigStirling @WHorobin https://t.co/hfVE77iQwZ
RBOB Futures at $2.21 Forecast $3.15 Pump Price
March 2027 RBOB gasoline futures $2.21, implying $3.15 at the pump by the winter https://t.co/TkEv0pc6Zf
Global Trade Faces Fragmentation Amid Geopolitical Upheaval
From Liberation Day to the Strait of Hormuz, is global trade and world order going thru an upheaval? Will the world move go from bifurcation or trifurcation to fragmentation? Who will dominant? What would supply chains look like and operate...
Blockade Risks Spike Prices, Yet Market Already Priced In
Key pushback to a blockade is that it might spike oil prices. Iran's 2 million barrels per day could spike oil prices by 20% if they go offline, but - with Brent already up 60% from before the war -...
Markets Shift From Rate Cuts to Tightening Regime
Six months ago: markets pricing 3+ rate cuts. Now: pricing 8bps of TIGHTENING. The Fed didn't pivot. The Fed reversed. 37% chance of ZERO cuts in 2026. This isn't a soft landing. This is a regime change. $SPY $TLT $QQQ https://t.co/UxC4Gdd51F
Join Me Live on Trader TV at 8:30 ET
I'm joining Trader TV Live at 8:30 am ET: https://t.co/dG0wAzdrdi Tune in! Will be talking $SPY $QQQ $GLD $SLV $NVDA $SNDK $MU etc.
High‑Yield Spreads Tight Now, Widening Ahead
So far, HY credit spreads haven't widened anyway near as much as they should - given sustained oil prices & its large swings, not to mention supported high VIX & mechanical selling. Wait and see mode only lasts so long... Geopolitical shocks...
Dollar Holds Steady as Stocks and Bonds Slip
Hope Wanes, USD Little Changed while Bonds and Stocks Weaken: The US dollar is trading in narrow trading ranges against the G10 currencies today, but the calm in the foreign exchange market belies stress in other parts of the capital...
Seek Uncorrelated Returns to Reduce Risk, Dalio Shows
According to Ray Dalio, the easiest way to adjust for risk is to seek uncorrelated returns. Ray's made billions from a simple idea. Here's how to do it in a few lines of Python code:
Premarket VIX Spikes Far Beyond Oil Movement
Using premarket marks, this is Crude (USO) vs VIX. You can see the AM VIX move is high relative to the move in oil (red dot). Black dots are last 5 days. https://t.co/ZgBEOTzNOF
SPX Volatility Appears Unusually Bid This Morning
SPX vols look quite oddly bid this morning? @NoelSmith lemme know if I'm just being dumb (please)
Russia Welcomes US Security Aid Tied to Donbas Concession
MOSCOW, March 26 (Reuters) - Russia is pleased about Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy statement that the U.S. is making its offer of security guarantees conditional on Kyiv ceding all of the country's eastern region of Donbas to Russia, a senior...
Trusts Direct Assets Autonomously, Wills Require Permission
A will tells people what to do with your assets. A trust tells your assets what to do without needing anyone's permission. That's the difference most people miss.
GOOG Breaks 4‑month Pattern, Signals Market Dip
$GOOG bringing this up again just broke a 4-month head & shoulders with rising volume — bearish signal. It’s ~6–8% of S&P 500 Index / QQQ , so bearish for the market Targets: $270 short-term, $250 key
Fed Speakers Set to Drive Market Tone Today
🚨 Morning Market Rundown – March 26, 2026 🚨 Quiet data day but Fed speakers take center stage — markets watching for tone shifts as rate expectations remain in focus 👀 🗓️ Economic Events: 0830 - Initial Jobless Claims: Exp. 210K; Prev. 205K 1600...
Consumer Staples Still Lagging After 16-Year Peak
many told me they were excited with consumer staples stocks while i reminded them it was an $XLP vs. $SPX bounce in a downtrend, as they've underperformed since the peak 16 years ago... it looks like that now, as they've...
Discipline vs Ego: Know When to Let Go
There's a fine line between conviction and denial. Holding on when the thesis is intact? That's discipline. Holding on because admitting you're wrong hurts? That's ego. The facts don't care which one it is. Your portfolio doesn't either.
Tech Records Historic Weekly Inflow as Others Dump
Record Tech Flows From BofA via BBG: - Tech had the biggest weekly inflow in client data history (2008) - Energy, Discretionary, Financials, Staples, Utilities, and Materials all had record or near-record outflows
Retirees Overlook Commodities Breakout in Asset Allocation
Most Retirees don't have a Major Asset Allocation to this Major #Quad3 Breakout: Commodities https://t.co/Iyitj3LaKM
Mean Reversion Signals Deliver 40%+ Gains Since Launch
Mean reversion (MR) update for subs. There are new signals. Since inception: -#ES_F bonus MR +42% (May 21, 2025) -Bonus MR+momentum: +2.4% (October 9, 2025) -Main MR strategy: +37.6% (June 27, 2023) Links in profile (Daily mean reversion signals) 🔽 $GLD $TLT $QQQ $SPY https://t.co/G8duPD06Ug
Patience Pays: Trade Only After Market Confirmation
“Don’t take action with a trade until the market, itself, confirms your opinion. Being a little late in a trade is insurance that your opinion is correct. In other words, don’t be an impatient trader.” — Jesse Livermore https://t.co/FS8pNm1s6n
Taiwan Spends $600M Extra as LNG Prices Double
Taiwan spent an extra $600 million to secure LNG through June to replace lost Qatari supply 🇹🇼 💰 Taiwan’s Economic Minister said spot LNG prices are “about twice as high as long-term contract prices with Qatar” The island depends more on gas...
US Yield Spike Driven by Term Premia, Not Inflation
The move higher in US yields has been entirely driven by term premia, not inflation expectations. Real yields on 10-year bonds are the highest in almost a year. The implication seems to be that investors are worried about the fiscal...
Norges Bank Signals Upcoming Rate Hike This Year
🇳🇴 Norges Bank hawkish pivot charted. The policy rate is expected to be raised "at one of the forthcoming meetings" assuming the economy "evolves broadly as currently envisaged". https://t.co/3LIbGfEvOW
Profits Rise While S&P Prices Drop: Look Past Pain
"The profit outlook for S&P 500 companies has been improving even as share prices have fallen - a dynamic rarely seen during episodes of geopolitical uncertainty ... The setup has historically rewarded investors willing to look through near-term pain." -Bloomberg
CTRI Poised for Comeback with 30% IRR Target
$CTRI is a broken spin-off staging a comeback - Parent $SWX fully exited; 80% supply overhang is gone - Pure-play exposure to grid load growth and gas infrastructure - DD organic growth + long roll-up runway - Implied 30% IRR with a target of...
Short Liquidations at Support Historically Triggered Rallies
The last three times, we liquidated shorts at this support and the price went up. What will happen this time?
Norway Signals Rate Hike After Holding at 4%
Norway pivots toward a hike after keeping its rate steady at 4% https://t.co/NIIgGpvVNO via @ottummelas https://t.co/RxPhCKi99b
Fuel Subsidies Breed Artificial Shortages, Warns President Nanggaw
ONE thing President @edmnangagwa understood very early in his presidency is that SUBSIDIES create ARTIFICIAL SHORTAGES. Countries with fuel subsidies are already experiencing MASSIVE SHORTAGES… https://t.co/bpI2xgOqg6
Start Investing Safely with ₦5,000 FGN Bonds
Most young Nigerians do not know that the Federal Government of Nigeria is literally offering them a safe investment starting from just ₦5,000. FGN Savings Bonds are one of the most underutilized investments in Nigeria. The offer opens every month. The minimum is...
Midcaps Outperformed Nifty, Signal Strong Recovery Opportunity
Midcap stocks continued to outperform the Nifty all through the crisis. This is a strong signal that, as markets recover, Midcaps will deliver returns. It also shows strength in the market internals for the given period, a strong signal that...
Singapore Sees China as Engine for Regional Growth
1/6 Bloomberg: "“Singapore believes China can play a bigger role in supporting regional prosperity and stability,” Singapore Prime Minister Lawrence Wong said at the Boao Forum. “Its vast domestic market can be a powerful engine of growth for the region.” https://t.co/npbm7nXQEo
Mastering Supply & Demand: Zones, Refinements, Institutional Insights
S&D (SUPPLY AND DEMAND) 📊 S&D Zones📊 S&D Refinements 📊 S&D Fractal Refinements📊 Institutional S&D 📊
China Claims Right to Counter Mexico's Tariff Hikes
1/9 Reuters: "China said that Mexico's trade measures against it, including tariff increases, constitute trade and investment barriers and that it had the right to take countermeasures." rld/china/china-says-it-has-right-retaliate-against-mexicos-tariff-hikes-2026-03-25/
Master Nifty Options with Rohit Srivastava’s RMI Framework
🚨 WEBINAR ALERT 🚨 Nifty To Options: Rohit Srivastava’s Complete RMI Trading Framework Stop Guessing Market Moves. In this power-packed session, Rohit Srivastava (Creator of RMI) will show you how to go from accurate Nifty Analysis → High-probability options trades using a clear,...