Social•Mar 8, 2026
Tesla Holds Yearly Pivot Support, New ATH Uncertain
$TSLA - Found support at the yearly pivot for the 2nd time in the last 5 weeks. A weekly close below 387 will confirm that it made a major top in December, but I don't expect it to happen next week. In any case, it's going to hit its 100 week MA later this year, so the only question is whether it will make a new ATH 1st or not?
By CyclesFan
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Trump-Era Sanctions Gave China Cheap Oil, Now Supply Wanes
This galaxy brain it’s-all-about-China’s-oil talking point drives me *insane* Only reason China was able to buy so much discounted crude from Ven/Irn/Ruz was because of US sanctions, largely imposed by the Trump admin(!), which scared off other buyers and left them...
By Rory Johnston
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Analyzing the Ripple Effects of the Oil Price Surge
Nice one from @greg_ip of @WSJ on the potential impacts on the spike in oil. https://t.co/FcZEQltWw3
By Ryan Detrick
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Most Charts Look Messy, yet S&P So
Stair Stepper and Ripping Through The S&P 500. Overwhelming majority of charts are messy. https://t.co/981sGtJSOu
By Larry Thompson (HostileCharts)
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Oil Price Spike Adds 10bp Inflation, Cuts Growth
JPM: "If the oil supply shock is sustained, we think each 10% increase in oil prices should translate to a ~10bp gain in headline PCE inflation and a 15-20bp drag on GDP growth."
By Gunjan Banerji
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Ukrainian Strikes Threaten US Oil Giants’ Kazakh Profits
Chevron and ExxonMobil have a stake in major Kazakh oil projects, which flow through Russia to be exported. Ukrainian strikes on any related infrastructure risk harming those American energy companies’ bottom line, and that simply will not do. #crudeoil #drones #geopolitics...
By Peter Zeihan
Social•Mar 8, 2026
SPY Defends Level 680 as Market Remains Red
The week ended the same way it started — defense. $SPY 680 held all week until Friday. Breadth, regime, posture — all red. Drones are showing some signs of life. New post is up 👇 (reply) https://t.co/F63KJoybso
By Frank Zorrilla
Social•Mar 8, 2026
30-Day VIX Futures vs SPX RV21 Comparison
And here's my version using $VIX, VX30 (constant maturity VIX futures) and SPX RV21 that's ~ 30 calendar days. https://t.co/e8dCY61qju
By Jim Carroll
Social•Mar 8, 2026
China's Fertiliser Stockpiles Keep Exports Tight
Fertilisers are rightfully getting a lot of focus now. China looks to be ok (for now). The state has stockpiles and there is material at ports. Exports of urea (nitrogen-based) were already tightly managed and it's hard to see more...
By Lewis Jackson
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Diversify Now; Active Hedging Won’t Save a Sinking Portfolio
With vol high/skew high but OTM calls also high and with equities in a minor drawdown those with undiversified max long U.S. equity portfolios are whipping around "options" trade ideas as the solution. Looking for ways to hedge. ...
By Andy Constan
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Hormuz Closure Boosts Russian Crude to Record Highs
We already know the winner in the war with Iran and that's Russia. The closure of the Straits of Hormuz has swung Russian crude from pariah to prized commodity. Urals oil price is the highest since right after the Ukraine...
By Robin Brooks
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Short‑term OTM Calls Miss Right‑Tail Market Moves
If you sold long stocks on Friday and bought 10d 3 month calls at equal notional you are going to underperform badly in most right tail events. Doing it delta neutral is highly likely to get destroyed in most...
By Andy Constan
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Commodity Exporters Rebound as Brent Spikes, EM Currencies Rally
Friday marked a turning point. Brent rose 9% (CO1), but - instead of a broad sell-off across EM - South Africa (ZAR), Brazil (BRL) and Chile (CLP) rallied. Markets are transitioning to rewarding commodity exporters like in 2022 after the...
By Robin Brooks
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Housing Inventory May Turn Negative Despite Low Rates
Kinda embarrassing for the #housing 2008 crowd, and, worse than 2008. At this pace, if rates stay low, inventory might show some negative week-to-week data. 🤯🤯🤯😳😱 What a bunch of scrubs 😁😉🥂 @housingwire @sarahteresa6 read the tracker reports and join...
By Logan Mohtashami
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Iran Keeps Shipping Oil to China Amid Conflict
PHOTO OF THE DAY: China is still getting (some of) its oil. Nine days into the war, Iran continues loading oil supertankers from Kharg Island. Tehran has sent some of them across the Strait of Hormuz into the high seas wihthout any...
By Javier Blas
Social•Mar 8, 2026
US Oil Independence Shifts Gains to Industry, Hurts Drivers
“The US is roughly speaking oil independent… on net, we export petroleum products.” That’s why this is less an ‘America is poorer’ story than an ‘Americans reshuffle who wins’ story. Oil industry wins. Drivers lose. https://t.co/Efd22aQEeK
By Justin Wolfers
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Housing Inventory Growth Slows Sharply, Risks Negative Prints
The housing market shifted mid-June 2025. Inventory growth was running at 33% and now it's running at 6.91% with a risk of some negative week-to-week prints. https://t.co/VgpdKDUPpd
By Logan Mohtashami
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Fortunes Grow in the Quiet Gap Before Validation
Most investors won't like your investment idea until after it doubles, which means validation comes long after you've purchased and borne the burden of being alone in your conviction. The gap between purchase and recognition is where fortunes are built...
By Ian Cassel
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Energy Prices Expected to Surge Beyond Last Week
Brace yourself - energy prices may well rise quite a bit higher than last week. https://t.co/PwzU61UTCt
By Jan Rosenow
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Gulf Nations Cut Output to Avoid Irreversible Shutdown
On the oil production shut in: By curbing oil output early, Persian Gulf nations are trying to lengthen the time before they reach full storage. Their plan is to try to keep output low but running — avoiding full shutdowns. The former...
By Javier Blas
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Free Guide to Master 6 Precise Fibonacci Patterns
Here’s a link below to a FREE Fibonacci Trading Strategy Guide (ebook): 📈📉 Learn the 6 Fibonacci Pattern Types that Create the Most Precise Price Levels, Targets, and Reversal Zones for traders. Click here: ⬇️ https://t.co/62UAf4L9jv Discover the 5 types that aren't...
By S. Joseph Burns
Social•Mar 8, 2026
MeCURE FY2025 Looks Promising, 49% Upside Forecast
MeCURE just released their FY 2025 results and looks good on the surface. But please do your due diligence. Meristem projects a 49+% upsurge - N91 from current price. Will you be buying MeCURE this week?
By KOBOhive
Social•Mar 8, 2026
US Cancels Strait of Hormuz Safety Alerts Amid War
The US Maritime Administration (@DOTMARAD) put out at the begining of the war 2 "alerts" advising vessles to "keep clear" of the Strait of Hormuz. Overnight, it cancelled the alerts (one alert was due to expire automatically, but the other was...
By Javier Blas
Social•Mar 8, 2026
South Korea Mulls First Oil Price Cap in 30 Years
South Korea is considering to introduce an oil price cap for the first time in 30 years 🇰🇷 🛢️ It is being considered carefully because of possible side effects including market distortions and fiscal burdens, according to Yonhap https://t.co/r66h5y13D6
By Stephen Stapczynski
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Wait for Liquidity Grab, Then Follow True Market Direction
Liquidity Grab is one of the most powerful moves in the market. Price sweeps liquidity above the highs, traps breakout traders, and then reverses with momentum. Smart traders don’t chase the move. They wait for the liquidity to be taken and...
By ICT & SMC Master
Social•Mar 8, 2026
US Beef Supply Relies Heavily on Mexican Cattle
"Texas Feedlot Operators Explain Why U.S. Beef Supply Depends on Mexican Cattle Imports" https://t.co/D3IHviRfRg https://t.co/fO9Ac9MceR
By Scott Lincicome
Social•Mar 8, 2026
SFO Leads Diesel Prices at $5.96/gal Nationwide Map
Map of average diesel prices by market (updated each morning). SFO has the highest at $5.96/gallon https://t.co/DgH7FMrsx0
By Craig Fuller
Social•Mar 8, 2026
China Faces Energy Crisis as Gulf Oil Imports Halt
China imports crude oil based on the day, between 65 and 85% of its total, and about three-quarters of that comes specifically from the Persian Gulf. And that has now dropped to zero. Unlike countries like the United States, which...
By Peter Zeihan
Social•Mar 8, 2026
National Inventory Set to Turn Negative, Price Cuts Decline
The National Inventory is expected to turn negative at some point this year, and the percentage of price cuts is lower compared to last year. Whoever you're getting your housing info from, I would question them about this. https://t.co/AHHEytiMoR
By Logan Mohtashami
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Austin Hits Record Low Rent-to-Income Ratio
It's actually never been cheaper to rent in Austin, TX. The Rent/Income ratio across the metro has dropped to 18.3% - the lowest on record (going back at least 20 years). Landlords are aggressively cutting rents at a time when incomes in...
By Nick Gerli
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Japanese Portfolio Managers Barred From Software Investments
“An interesting thing I heard is that some Japanese Portfolio Managers are being actively told company-wide not to touch anything software or IT related in the broad sense, at all” - @InvestInJapan
By Michael Fritzell
Social•Mar 8, 2026
Diesel Surge Boosts Broker Margins via Fuel Surcharges
The diesel surge is welcome news for freight brokers that have contracted freight. Fuel surcharges will provide a lot of relief, as the diesel surge is moving much quicker than trucking spot rates. Brokers will make a couple of percent on fuel...
By Craig Fuller
Social•Mar 7, 2026
Price Parking, Reclaim Lots for Housing Development
"That's why we have these vacant lots, if you get rid of that (free parking) and find a median price for parking where it's kind of expensive you can then build buildings there and people will live there." - @bertkreischer ...
By Fairweather PhD
Social•Mar 7, 2026
Timing All Asset Classes Beats Even Top Hedge Funds
My market timing calls on dollar, yields, oil, gold/silver, bitcoin & equities (esp growth to value rotation) can help even the best-of-the-best. 🙏
By Samantha LaDuc
Social•Mar 7, 2026
Potential Negative YoY Inventory by April if Seasonal Rise Delayed
We should be getting the national seasonal inventory increase soon, but if, for some reason, that doesn't happen, we will have negative year-over-year inventory data by the end of March or Early April Note: For the worse than 2008 crowd...
By Logan Mohtashami
Social•Mar 7, 2026
U.S. Home Values Up 89% Since 1950 – Hold Longer
Since 1950: U.S. home prices increased 89% Average appreciation 4–5% annually Hold real estate longer.
By SoCal Airbnb Realtor
Social•Mar 7, 2026
McClellan Oscillator Signals Bounce After 2024 Carry‑Trade Selloff
#SPX: The McClellan Oscillator has reached levels where price action begins to form a bounce, including the August 2024 Carry Trade selloff and the 2025 Tariff Crash.
By SmartReversals
Social•Mar 7, 2026
Iran War's Historic Oil Disruption Hinges on Conflict Length
The war in Iran has caused the biggest disruption in oil production in history. Whether it becomes the long-feared “nightmare scenario” for energy markets (and the global economy) now depends on the duration of the conflict. My @FT column: https://t.co/uKMsVXBCQY
By Daniel Yergin
Social•Mar 7, 2026
Israel's 1.8% Inflation Matches Golden Money‑supply Growth
Israel’s inflation is 1.8%/yr. Israel’s broad money supply is growing at 8.1%/yr. That's WITHIN Hanke's Golden Growth Rate range of 7.7%-9.7%/yr, a rate consistent w/ hitting Israel’s 1%-3%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/CWltetUlYU
By Steve Hanke
Social•Mar 7, 2026
Early Iran Risk Warning Yields Record Oil Gains
Since my client warning, VIX has risen 70%. and because I warned two weeks ahead that IRAN RISK IS NOT PRICED IN, clients got to take full advantage of every dollar of the largest weekly gain on record in data going...
By Samantha LaDuc
Social•Mar 7, 2026
Chinese PV Polysilicon Prices Fall as Capacity Idles
Chinese PV Industry Brief: Polysilicon prices slide amid low operating rates #energysky -- via pv magazine global: https://t.co/JsM63FU7l1
By Tor “SolarFred” Valenza
Social•Mar 7, 2026
Systematic Short Books Boost Agentic Edge for Funds
If you are a long-short equity fund thinking about ways to adopt an agentic approach, I encourage you to think about building a systematic short book. 1) Good shorts tend to rhyme more than good longs and and so are fertile...
By Brett Caughran
Social•Mar 7, 2026
Mexico's Inflation Aligns with Hanke's Golden Money Growth
Mexico’s inflation is 3.8%/yr. Mexico’s money supply (M4) is growing at 9.2%/yr. That's WITHIN Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of 7.3%-9.3%/yr, a rate consistent w/ hitting Mexico’s 2%-4%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/jQ05GUvmPW
By Steve Hanke
Social•Mar 7, 2026
US AI Supercomputers in Middle East Shift Global Race
Look at how much US AI supercomputer cluster capacity was planned for/installed in UAE and Saudi Have not seen any strategists discuss yet what this means for US v. China AI race Seems important. Thoughts? https://t.co/23plcm9k0V
By Luke Gromen
Social•Mar 7, 2026
Crude Oil ETF's 33% Surge: A 6‑Sigma Rarity
The Crude Oil ETF spiked 33% over the last week, the biggest weekly gain in its history. This was a 6-sigma event, which (assuming a normal distribution) is only supposed to occur once every 4,039,906 years. So we shouldn't see another spike...
By Charlie Bilello
Social•Mar 7, 2026
Nearly All Equal‑Weight SPY Sectors Slip Over 1%
No Place To Hide.... 10 of the 11 Equal Weight $SPY sectors were down this week. 9 of 11 down more than 1%...... https://t.co/tpTJaIDGL3
By Larry Thompson (HostileCharts)
Social•Mar 7, 2026
VIX/VXV Spike Signals Near-Term Bottom, Upcoming Rally
The $VIX: $VXV ratio spiked to 1.07 on Friday. That's the biggest volatility spike since the April 2025 crash low. Last March it had an initial spike to 1.08, dropped to 0.90, then spiked to 1.27 in April, but this...
By CyclesFan
Social•Mar 7, 2026
Simple Blueprint: Talent, Value, Passive Income, Tax Mastery
Stocks Bitcoin Real Estate Businesses Private Equity Buy talent Invest in skillsets/education Provide value to marketplace Income to passive investments Aggressively maximize the tax code That’s my blueprint to $100M. Don’t overcomplicate the game.
By Brennan Schlagbaum, CPA (Budgetdog)
Social•Mar 7, 2026
Stock Volatility Gap Hits 2008 Levels, Options Soar
Market stress is surging at a rapid pace: The spread between the average 9-month volatility of S&P 500 stocks and the S&P 500 index's 9-month volatility is up to 18 points, the highest since 2008. This spread has DOUBLED over the last...
By Shaik Hetpal (The Kobeissi Letter – strategist)
Social•Mar 7, 2026
Microsoft's Bullish Reversal Likely Avoids 200‑week MA
$MSFT - After almost hitting its 200 week MA last week we had a bullish reversal this week so I don't expect it to hit the 200 week MA anymore in March. An intermediate term low is probably in but...
By CyclesFan