10-Year Yield Climbs Amid Accelerating Inflation Nowcast
10-Year Yield Holds Uptrend as Inflation Nowcast Accelerates during #Quad3 The bond market isn’t buying the narrative. 📉📊 📈 10Y still making higher highs/lows 📊 Range: 4.20–4.43%
China's Primary Oil Sources Revealed in Chartbook
Where China gets is oil from. This and more in the today's Chartbook Top Links. https://t.co/o4m9jIk6D4
Yield Spikes Signal Worldwide Reset, Not US‑only Trend
It may be tempting to think that the rise in yields is the product of a US-centric dynamic (relating to OPEC recycling no/fewer petrodollars into Treasuries), but the next chart shows that yields are rising everywhere. This is global reset,...
Past Home Price Booms Surpassed Covid, No Crash
The hottest home price growth period was 1943-1947, with no bubble crash afterward, and 1977-1979 had even hotter price increases than during Covid, also without a bubble crash. If people bothered to read books instead of burning them, they would...
Biden's China Strategy Prioritizes Tech Competition and Selective Decoupling
Implementing the Biden Administration’s China Strategy An interesting study, some thoughts on US China technology competition portion. A thread. 🧵 https://t.co/Y81X3BGkEJ
Markets Care About Oil Flow, Not Hormuz Control
Markets don’t really care who controls the Strait of Hormuz as long as the oil starts to flow again — “give markets what they want” doesn’t necessarily mean a US win.
Admit Mistakes, Adjust Trades: Avoid Stubbornness
I liked $IBIT for a long, but part of trading is being honest and real. It failed the premarket tops, lost trend and VWAP. Even on the live show I said this is a short setup and i have to...
UK Businesses
UK businesses face a jump of up to 80% in gas bills on Iran war https://t.co/THZNalojSw via @EamonFarhat https://t.co/vr4PvVdKFc
Robinhood at $72 Still Not a Buy
Deep Dive Full Thesis - Is HOOD a BUY now at $72? Robinhood Crashed 53% to $72 — Why I’m Still Rejecting It (and the Exact Price Where It Finally Becomes a Buy) Recent Institutional Rating Reiterated: - Barclays — Buy | $124 -...
Copper Slumps, Gold Soars: Recession vs Fear
Copper down 10% this month. Gold at $4,550+. Same planet. Completely different signals. One screams recession. One screams fear. $CPER $GLD https://t.co/kChEJn36lH
Russia's Oil Exports Plunge 40% After Drone Attacks
Cool, cool, cool... "At least 40% of Russia's oil export capacity is at a halt following Ukrainian drone attacks, a disputed attack on a major pipeline and the seizure of tankers ... the most severe oil supply disruption in the modern...
Corcept $50 Puts Surge $13/Min Before Halt
Corcept (CORT) 700 May $50 puts selling to open $13 a minute ahead of the halt SEC: https://t.co/g4LgvLustp
Doximity Hits 52‑Week Low Amid Health‑Tech Rout
Macro: health-tech rout - Doximity 52-wk low $23.53 (-69%). Fundamentals: ~90% gross margin, net cash, AI progress. Risks: pharma budget cuts, weak sentiment. Trade: small, catalyst-led long. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Open‑positive Breadth Signals Price Above VWAP
Intraday breadth look. Change from OPEN positive vs negative. Price above daily VWAP vs Price below daily Vwap. https://t.co/f4PigHDw4F
Ex‑PhD Punk Rocker Built $135B Bond Empire
Which bond titan ditched a Ph.D. for punk rock, emailed his way into Wall Street, then built a $135B fortress overnight?
Sacramento’s Top 10 $2M+ Sales Hotspots Revealed
Here are the top 10 locations for 2M and above sales in the Sacramento region over the past five years. What stands out to you? And what are you seeing at the high-end right now? I’d love to hear your...
China AI Stocks Surge After State Media Touts Token Boom
China’s AI Stocks Rally as State Media Highlights Surge in Token Usage - Bloomberg https://t.co/gL8DSTlUNg
Trump’s Oil Moves Undone by Zelensky’s Strikes
🛑So let me get this straight: President Trump waived sanctions on Russian oil at sea and released millions of barrels from the SPR to bring oil prices down. Then Zelensky struck Russian oil ports and terminals, tightening oil supply and pushing...
Emerging Markets Plunge Amid War, Strong Dollar, Commodity Chaos
$EEM -3.44% in ONE session. Emerging markets are getting destroyed. War + strong dollar + commodity chaos = perfect storm. $DXY $EFA https://t.co/WNM0jw3qha
Butler National Posts Explosive Earnings, Still Undervalued
Butler National $BUKS. What a stock... - Q3 revenues (Jan 31) +27% yoy, an acceleration even on tougher comps - operating income +139%, record margins - net income, well you can imagine 🔥 - insiders continue to add - still no coverage - still 7.7x ltm...
Oil Prices Defy Expectations, Falling Below 2022 Peaks
Every normie feels in their gut that oil should go higher. And every oil expert seems to think that every day we get closer to the true disaster scenario. So why is it that oil is not only below the...
Traders Front‑Run Crude Market Before Trump’s Iran Threats
Quite the chart from @axios on suspected crude market front-running ahead of Trump’s major Iran War proclamations. https://t.co/lZY1JkMKCp
5-Year UST Auction Likely Tough After Poor 2-Year
UST 5y auction will be interesting after a nasty 2y yesterday. Some news cross-currents may have affected clean bidding for 2s which should be a factor for 5s today as well. Also more of a concession would be...
Fixed‑rate 30‑year Loans Stabilize Debt as Wages Climb
30-year fixed loan. Fixed debt cost and rising wages, even with more people with 6% plus mortgage rates vs 3% and lower. https://t.co/fLDxpBRw15
Dollar's Strength Misread Despite Recent Index Gains
Thoughts on the Dollar: The dollar's resilience since the war began is not a mystery, but it is being misread. The Dollar Index has appreciated roughly 1.8% this month alone, following a modest 0.65% gain in February after January's 1.35%...
Kids' Best Investment: Time, Not Pokemon Packs
This dad spent $1,750 on Pokemon cards for his kid's 9th birthday. That's 10 shares of $NTDOY — the company that makes Pokemon. $1,750 invested at 10% growth for 9 years = $4,100. The cards will be in a shoebox by Christmas. Parents, wake...
Shopify’s Moat Deepens as Valuation Hits Historic Low
5 quality stocks with durable moats and high upside 👇 Some of the strongest platforms are now trading near historical valuation lows. $SHOP Shopify — 10.3x forward P/S Shopify powers $378B in GMV. Not just storefronts anymore. Payments, fulfillment, back-office tools all embedded...
10-Year Yield Near Critical Triangle Breakout Threatening Markets
While the 10-year yield broke out of a short term range, the weekly chart below still shows bonds holding within a long triangle (in place since 2022). If it breaks, it will be a problem not only for bonds but...
Calls Surge Ahead of Unemployment Claims Impact
High impact news tomorrow The day trade opportunity happened in the futures market during London session I’m personally not entering any new option positions today due to the fact that high impact news (unemployment claims) However, the data still gets...
Mortgage Applications Up YoY, Weekly Demand Drops
#Mortgage purchase application data remains positive year over year, but weekly demand declined last week. @housingwire @sarahteresa6 #realestate #economics #mortgagerstes #chartdaddy
Iran Talks Stall, Boosting Gold While Oil Falls
Today's Opening Bell Iran Talks Stall- Gold Rallies, Oil Slides, USD Holds (asset chaptered) https://t.co/TmUUL0psrk
GLD Needs to Hold 20‑EMA at $412 for New Trend
Ideally now if you are a short term trader you want a new trend on top of the 20ema (currently 412 needs to hold on any pullback) $GLD https://t.co/k6XiX3VY7G
Live on Bloomberg: Oil Markets and Iran War Outlook
Heads up that I'll be LIVE on @BNNBloomberg to talk oil markets and the [??end of??] the Iran War this morning at 11:15am ET. https://t.co/bqG3IGwkQS
Invest, Don’t Just Spend; Compounding Builds Wealth
Most people buy things and don’t even think about investing… Remember, long-term investing can be a powerful way to build wealth 📈 Compounding is often called the “8th wonder of the world” for a reason For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.
Management Integrity and Culture Drive Fund Performance
“There is one thing I have been doing for many years now and has in my view been absolutely central to the fund’s performance. [...] I am referring to building an understanding of and conviction around a company manager’s integrity...
Wealth Erodes: Lifestyle Creep, Trump Accounts, Family Challenges
💰 Personal finance links: how lifestyle creep happens, how Trump Accounts work, and why wealthy families have a hard time holding onto it. https://t.co/C2xOiQZFv7 image: https://t.co/AbgmorVejO https://t.co/kgSOFPmFxo
Silver Breaks Range, Bullish Outlook for Metals
$SLV Daily. Working thesis for precious metals & miners continues to be a wide range into spring months. Here, silver knocking out range parameters. https://t.co/r9lNUdiS1n
Diversify Income: One Salary Isn't Financial Security
Most young people are building only one asset: their salary. 1 job, 1 stream, 1 point of failure. The moment that job is threatened, everything is threatened. That is not security. That is a single rope holding everything you own. Wealth is not one thing...
Dallas Fed Energy Survey: Tiny Executive Sample Reveals Key Insight
Dallas Fed Energy Survey for Q1 2026 is out. 2 Notes on this chart: - Only 34 executives responded - That second sentence in the description does all the work https://t.co/gAebgKUX4O
Rising Dollar and Volatile Oil Hurt Importers
$DXY near 100. Oil still swinging wildly. That combo is a hidden margin tax on every import-dependent company. $SPY $EEM $UUP https://t.co/IJ2NbkeCZZ
Oil Futures Curve Tracks Middle East News Shifts
I find the oil futures curve to be a useful way of keeping track of news out of the Middle East, as it provides a useful metric for assessing what's changing, and how much. https://t.co/Hl3XzfUEfP
AUD/USD Volatility Rises Near Critical Support Resistance
Short Video Update on the $AUDUSD Levels Australian Dollar Volatility Builds As Key Levels Come Into Focus https://t.co/tHpg3yLHp5 https://t.co/hDVvA8DO2k
Sell GLD Below 20‑SMA, Trail Stop at 400
$GLD if you are trading around the position (420 and 400) then you would sell some into the underside of 20sma, or at least trail stop against 400 (if 400 goes 380 likely comes fast) https://t.co/CIUIcfLSmd
Purchase Applications Dip 5% Weekly, YoY Growth Slows
Purchase application data, although still positive year over year, showed a week-to-week decline of 5% and the YoY growth slowed down. https://t.co/1ZaOtoeLuN
T‑Bills: Safe, Steady Growth for Young Nigerians
Treasury Bills will not make you rich overnight. But they will grow your money safely, consistently and with zero drama; which is exactly what every young Nigerian investor needs as a foundation. Start lending to the government, and get paid.
Gold's Buying Power on Oil Has G
18 years ago, an ounce of gold bought your 7 barrels of oil. Now it buys your 50 barrels. https://t.co/oEjSQkutLM
Yield Spike Near 4.5% Signals Market Trouble
Long yields broke out last week and finished the week at 4.39%. As I have written many times, nothing good happens above 4.5% when the risk-free rate is competitive with risky assets, as is now the case. https://t.co/mq0q2S2nBU
Gulf Shut‑ins Cut Iraq, Iran Output by ~13 MMbpd
GULF SHUT-IN UPDATE: Brings Iraq's confirmed shut-ins to ~3.5 MMbpd as of yesterday, lifts overall confirmed *crude* Iran War output shut-ins to ~9.5 MMbpd. Gas condensate/NGL output losses are on top of that. ~200 million barrels of expected crude won't be...
Biotech XBI Surges to 5‑day Highs, Finds Range Low
Market bouncing across the board, but biotech $XBI is standing out here. Strong follow-through [so far] pushing it through 5-day highs. Might finally have found the range low here? (disclosure: long) https://t.co/10IuXq9wlv
Portfolio Construction Shifts Dramatically for the Next Decade
An outstanding catch up today with @APompliano - portfolio construction over the next decade has taken a sharp turn, join us soon, details to come. https://t.co/QShJKvrcKn