SPX Downtrend Likely Extends to August Low
$SPX - Time wise we're still in the timeframe for an 80 trading day low, but in my opinion the weekly close below the 200 day MA and breakdown of the November low has invalidated this cycle. The downtrend is likely to continue into April and reach the August low at 6212. https://t.co/OJkq80IOFd
Dow Breaks Technical Floor, Catching Fundamental Traders' Attention
Here's my video of what I am watching in the markets over the coming week. Dow Clears A Technical Floor Even Fundamental Traders Will Talk About https://t.co/m5hFw9o7xs
Fed Rate Cut Now Expected in October 2027
That is one looong blue line. A month ago, Fed fund futures were pricing in the next cut as June. This June. Now it's October '27 https://t.co/HCElEgtrLE
QQQ Expected to Extend Downtrend to April, Target 551
$QQQ - Today's action has changed my expectations for a bottom this week. The bullish outcome was eliminated given the weekly close below the 200 day MA and break of the November low, which means that QQQ made a major...
Urgent Call: Stop Now Before Angry
Assembling a team. We stop this right now, at any cost. Activists gonna find out what the angry 0DTE option mob can do
Energy Sector Hits 21 All‑Time High Records This Year
The S&P 500 energy sector has reached all-time highs 21 times this year. @augurinfinity @soberlook https://t.co/j2yKbwkAig https://t.co/E7GNUI7Pz3
Start Your Day with a Single Powerful Number
Most people start the day with headlines. I start with a number. Because one good number can tell you more than 20 opinions ever will. One chart. One number. One takeaway. Read it in under 2 minutes, before the market opens. It's free... It's...
Global Yield Spike Persists After Consolidation, No Single Cause
yields - what a week(!) as they appear to be resolving higher after consolidating... it's a global phenomenon... not a U.S. thing, or a Canada thing, or a Europe thing... $TNX $TYX 😜 please don't blame Trump, or the Iran war, or...
7.6% S&P Dip Is Typical, Not Alarming
The S&P 500 is now down 7.6% from its January peak. Is that a lot? Not at all. This is right in line with the median correction off an all-time high since the March 2009 low. We see a decline of this amount...
African Jet Fuel Prices Shifting Faster than Flights
In Africa, the cost of jet fuel is changing faster than you can fly https://t.co/39KuWJkWGP
S&P Drops 5.4% YTD, Losses Concentrated in Two Weeks
Markets have turned. S&P down 5.4% YTD — all of that loss in the last two weeks. War premium showing up fast. Watch this space. https://t.co/D3wvQr7z9M
Gas Prices Outpace 2022; Long‑term Real Rates Rise
3w into conflict, gas prices on higher trajectory than in 2022 (Ukraine invasion). WTI 1M/6M spread off peak inversion, so are implied vols for WTI. 2YR inflation expectations on similar trajectory as 2022. LT inflation exp not reacting much...
Treasury ETF Faces Near-Worst 3‑Week Drop Since 2022
$GOVT Treasury ETF down 2.2% last 3 weeks... that's almost its worst plunge since March 2022... which was a historic drop... @stockcharts https://t.co/AR2FifcXyx
Markets Flip to Rate Hikes as US Inflation Spikes
Yup. Market pricing in 2-3 rate hikes for ECB and BoE How many for the Fed?!
XLK Tech ETF Hits Six‑month Low, 12% Drawdown
$XLK tech ETF aims for its lowest close in more than 6 months... look at that gap @stockcharts A 12% drawdown.. https://t.co/WnAoCjYRPP
Iran Conflict Threatens Global Energy Market Collapse
Iran War Puts Global Energy Markets on the Brink of a Worst-Case Scenario | WIRED Quoted here with the always on point @Rory_Johnston https://t.co/mDCdbWwTqc
Patience Required as SPY Pulls Back From ATH
Tier#1 BOS account going in today on close. For those who use this as a barometer, it’s first time since ATH. $spy $650ish is about 7% off $spx highs. $spy highs. Thats the start. I want to be early...
Gold Slides Below $4500, Biggest Weekly Drop Since 1983
GOLD FALLS TO UNDER $4500, SET FOR ITS BIGGEST WEEKLY FALL SINCE 1983. - @FirstSquawk Gold volatility in USD is doing what gold volatility did in 1920s Weimar German Reichsmarks, which makes perfect sense once you understand our present context. Chart...
Markets See Fed Hikes, Hormuz Shock Fuels Inflation Risk
Mkts expect a Fed hiking bias, instead of cuts. 10yr Treasury yields up even more today (4.38%) With long-term interest rates rising, the Hormuz shock is getting priced as more of an inflation shock than one that triggers recession (caveat: mkts aren't...
QQQ's GMMA Shows Sustained Uptrend Since April
This is the GMMA chart of the $QQQ since last April Uptrend = Red over white space, over blue Downtrend = Blue over white space, over red https://t.co/OX8FRHZybi
Fed Cuts Spark Long‑term Rate Divergence, Now at 5%
When the Fed cutting cycle started in 2024, 20Y rates quickly moved to 4%. And after 175bp of cuts, the 30Y rates is back up to 5%. The latest wiggle is obviously the Iran effect. But the divergence is arguably 2 years...
Falling Oil Demand May Trigger Higher Future Prices
Is it reasonable to say that a long-term, structural decline in global oil demand would not necessarily translate into lower prices, and could plausibly turn into significantly higher prices in the future?
S&P 500 Slips Below Recent Lows, Support Vanishes
🚨 S&P 500 breached the October & November 2025 lows. This is a nasty break for bulls heading into the weekend. Support vaporized. Fear ramping. Expect a bounce or deeper pain? Your bias? $SPY $SPX https://t.co/0YEkEMWsD5
Retail Hype Shifts, but Latecomers Still Suffer
While retail mania rotated from Silver $SLV to Korea $EWY, the outcome is likely to be the same. Pain for FOMO latecomers. Artwork courtesy of my boy @CavanXy. https://t.co/8ff8rIpWpd
S&P 500 Faces Fourth Weekly Drop, Rare in 15 Years
The $SPX is on pace for its fourth consecutive week's loss. In the past 15 years, there has only been one period where we have had a slide run longer than 4 weeks (May 2022) https://t.co/trHGzh31pk
SPX Faces Crucial Demand Zone Amid Rapid Macro Shift
US500 ( SPX ) At a crucial daily demand area. We have not seen these levels since late 2025. - Stagflation environment - Elevated OIL - From rate cuts to rate hikes - AI valuation concerns The whole macro narrative has changed within days. I...
Americans Stockpile Low‑Risk, Interest‑Earning Assets
Money-Market Funds & CDs: Americans’ Ballooning Piles of Interest-Earning Low-Risk Investments. They’re investment choices, like bond funds, bonds, etc., not that illusory “cash on the sidelines” https://t.co/lVQU0uXsDh https://t.co/eIxrOAhyxN
Rent Prices Plunge Nationwide, Boosting Tenants and Buyers
Rental market deflation is spreading across the U.S. Austin is down 22% from peak. Fort Myers is down 19% Denver is -13% Atlanta is -11% Nashville is -11% Dallas is -11% Landlords are doing big rent cuts across the Sun Belt and West. In some cases, they're...
War with Iran Could Collapse Global Financial System
If I wanted to discredit US neocons & their foreign sponsors for a generation, I would give them exactly what they have always wanted: A big war with Iran, at their urging… …that leads directly to a collapse of global financial...
SPY Holds Above 652, Next Bounce Target 637
$SPY $SPX $ES_F Now below 652 and the 200 day MA (which is still upward sloping). If no failure here, the next logical bounce spot would be 637 and the AVWAP from the TT lows... https://t.co/EiIW0iYugM
US Bond Yields Surge to Highest Levels Since 2023
Bloomberg on the selloff in the US bond market: “Not since 2023, when the central bank was still lifting rates, has the two-year yield risen so much above the Fed’s rate ceiling. On Friday, five-year yields surpassed 4% for the first...
S&P Forms Bear Flag
SPs "ate the tail": (This also appears as a bear flag on 2 - 4 hours charts). Rus only index not to have taken out PDL...yet... https://t.co/He4PxAzRWd
Silver to Slip Below $50 by Year‑End
I think I will end up being right that Silver trades below 50 by year-end. Remember the insults I received?
Per‑unit Housing Costs Mislead without Unit Mix Context
This is an example of why I dislike "per unit" metrics in housing discourse & policy $827K/per unit sounds really really bad ... and it's not GOOD BUT ... when you take unit mix, and size, into account it gets a little...
Momentum Surged as Investors Chased Capex Stocks
True to form the momentum came out of these once everyone started searching for momentum stocks and the capex trade https://t.co/RSigVToqMT
Oil Prices Rise Modestly Despite Major Hormuz Disruption
Oil Prices and the Information War Global oil prices have risen surprisingly little given the war between the United States, Israel and Iran has triggered “the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market” according to the International...
TNX Breaks Triangle, Bullish Spike Ahead
$TNX Monthly. Head-fake lower last month. Surge higher this month. At apex of multi-year triangle. This is ideal bullish setup for rates on 10-Year to explode higher https://t.co/aCdWZY5Kd9
SPY Tests $650 MVC, Likely to Keep Chopping
$SPY is testing the MVC at $650 after a full day of chop. There's not much momentum going into this move, would not be surprised if we continue to chop.
Gold Plummets 9.5%—Largest Weekly Drop Since 2011
Gold prices down 9.5% this week, the largest one-week decline since **September 2011** --Dow Jones Market Data
Earnings and Margins Stay Strong Amid Economic Headwinds
Wars, inflation, Fed pivots, AI eating software, etc. Not a lot of good news out there, then you look at earnings and profit margins. These two tailwinds to the bull market aren't showing much of a slowdown at all. https://t.co/cICkObh98N
QQQ Fades at 21‑EMA, Targeting November 21 Level
For now for the $QQQ, the pattern is that we fade at the 21ema and undercut key upside reversals The Nov 21 level is approaching https://t.co/mxcUisB0Cx
Price Action Confirms Scenario Two Will Persist
Price action currently making my latest thoughts a tad cringey. I laid out three scenarios. We are in scenario two and I think we stay there. 🙏
War Turns Energy Shock Into Long-Term Economic Threat
Consensus is shifting, and rightly so: This third week of the war has fueled a shift from a short-term energy disruption to long-term structural damage. With that, the broader fallout—also marked by the non-linear risks associated with tipping points and multiple equilibrium...
First 5% S&P Correction Since November, a Normal Market Reset
The S&P 500 is in the midst of the first 5% mild correction since November (-5.1%). We tend to see three of these a year on average. They aren't fun, but they are a necessary part to investing. https://t.co/txE3vFe0Vs
FTSE100 Slides, RSI 37 Signals No Oversold Condition
#FTSE100 took a whack today and 10,000 taken out. However, it's currently around RSI 37 which isn't low or Oversold.
Spring Housing Outlook Crumbles as Rates Surge Above 6%
In less than a month, hope for a decent spring selling season has all but vanished in housing as oil spikes, rates jump, and inflation expectations reset higher. Can’t even get an adjustable-rate mortgage below 6% anymore. https://t.co/YOV544jjTl
China’s $250B Marshall‑Plan Fuels EV Surge in Emerging Markets
This is exactly what James Gutman predicted on the latest episode of @EnergyEmpirePod. EVs are selling out in the top 50 emerging markets given the $250B “Marshall Plan” being rolled out by China. https://t.co/75BxCTbmpS
S&P 500's Record Small Jan/Feb Range Predicts March Volatility
Good reminder that we just had the smallest range ever to start a year for the S&P 500 in Jan/Feb. March Madness isn't fun, but it was likely. https://t.co/zW1N50hcFr
Choosing UPS Vs. FedEx for a Decade-Long Hold
UPS x FDX Q4’25 $UPS or $FDX which one would you hold for the next 10 years? #investingtips #stockmarketnews #investingideas
Comprehensive Hedge Fund Strategies: Daily, Weekly, Monthly
All the strategies you need to start your private (or even public) hedge fund: daily, weekly, and monthly. #TradingStrategy Link in reply below. 👇 https://t.co/D0MIE18NlX