US Gas Prices Unchanged as Europe, Asia Surge Dramatically
U.S./IRAN war is having a very different impact on gas prices in Europe and Asia compared with the United States. The conflict has had essentially no impact on domestic gas prices in the United States, which remains insulated from global markets by limits on export capacity. U.S. gas futures prices are down by 30% on average so far this month compared with December. By contrast, prices in Asia have risen 65% and those in Europe have increased by 88% over the same period as the war cuts the availability of LNG:
Sea‑based Oil Reserves Dwindling, Iran Holds One‑third
This is a very important story: “…The amount of oil stored at sea — a vital buffer for markets — is running down fast…” About 1/3 of what’s left is Iranian. https://t.co/zS7v0338Ay
2026 Asset Ceilings Set by Q1 Highs, Volatility Soon
Sell 1Q, Buy 4Q26? Bitcoin, Copper, Gold, Silver, Crude, Stocks - Inklings of 9/11, 2008 and 2022 are gaining traction in 2026, while US stock-market volatility is near decade lows. Akin to 2008, post-inflation deflation may trickle down from the...
Russia Shares Ukraine War Tactics with Iran, Threatens US
Russia is taking what they've learned on the battlefield in the Ukraine War and sharing that with Iran. This is not a new strategy for the Russians, but it is already spelling trouble for the US. Full Newsletter: https://t.co/8OrxIIE2pk #iranwar #geopolitics https://t.co/R8FpGDhPFq
Asian Nations Revert to Coal Amid Gas Shortages
“Locations including Japan, Singapore, Thailand, Taiwan, Pakistan and Bangladeshgenerate a third or more of their electricity from natural gas.” “Many facing supply shortages and price increases are turning back to coal-fired power plants.” https://t.co/YhwmluSw9F #oott #LNG
USD Rebounds After Over‑reaction; Short Positions Risky This Weekend
$USD was bought aggressively on a hawkish read of Powell's press conference on Wed and was sold harder yesterday in what seems to be an overreaction to the ECB and BOE. It has come back bid. Who wants...
UK Yield Peaks 2008 High Amid Rising Oil Prices
Key UK yield hits the highest level since 2008 as oil prices climb https://t.co/pWaz7E1WOL https://t.co/boVD8nEW6E
Gold Volatility Peaks as Nasdaq Hits Low, Signaling Market Reversion
Crocodile Jaws May Have Begun Biting in Gold vs. NDX Volatility - Gold's highest 180-day volatility since 2009, juxtaposed with the lowest for the Nasdaq-100 index (NDX) since 2018, forms a crocodile-jaw pattern ripe to bite. My graphic highlights what...
Reeves, Miliband, Bell Call For
Reeves, Miliband and Bell will look at Gilts and go ... we need to spend more and raise taxes.
Embrace Short-Term Discomfort, Win Long-Term Gains
I think about this Lou Brock quote a lot and how it relates to investing. The willingness to look wrong in the short-term to be right in the long-term. "Show me a guy who's afraid to look bad, and I'll...
Exiting Non‑US Rally, Maintaining Global Balance with Cash Buffer
After a massive run in non U.S. assets for 14 months, over the last few weeks, I have been getting out of the "Get Out" trade for my long only long term beta portfolio. Current portfolio is a globally...
April ECB Rate Hike Possible if Data Warrants
Makhlouf says an April ECB hike is possible if data signal there’s a need https://t.co/zEOl2Ko48A via @flacqua @jenniduggan @livfletcher_ https://t.co/IHW9dxYRHQ
Canada 5‑Year Yield Surges to 14‑Month High
it's 6am. i'm drinking black coffee. a @tradingview alert just buzzed in my pocket and appeared on my screen to tell me the Canada 5-year yield just broke out to 14-month highs > ~3.1%... 🧐 cool. https://t.co/IHj3aa1dV0
Oil Backwardation Signals Spot Prices Outpacing Futures
My latest w/ @janetonthemoney on @SIRIUSXM 132 on oil: “Oil is in a backwardation, with the spot price being quite a bit higher than the forward prices... The futures oil markets are not thinking the way I am. The futures markets...
Microcaps Rarely Achieve 26x Revenue, 173x NIAT Growth
A great slide Over 16 years.. Revenue 26x NIAT 173x F/D Shares -17% 99.9% of microcaps couldn't have a slide like this $RX.V $BIOYF https://t.co/Sw0gquHq8o
ECB Baseline Assumes Two Hikes; Worse Scenarios Need More
Subtle but important point. The ECB's baseline incorporates nearly two rate hikes. The adverse and severe scenarios use the same assumptions, and thus may require more than two hikes to bring inflation back to target. Only makes things sligthly less...
Master Trading Patterns with Structured, Data‑Driven Practice
How to better develop the skill of pattern recognition as a trader: Define 5–10 setups only → there is no edge in randomness Screenshot + tag every trade → build visual memory Study in clusters (20–50 trades) → learn conditions, not just patterns Replay...
Asset Allocation Doesn't Explain 93.6% of Returns
"Asset allocation explains 93.6% of investment returns." You've heard that stat. It's wrong. What the paper actually found, and what the industry has been misquoting for 40 years, is the subject of our latest video for @IFAdotcom 👇 #Investing #WealthManagament #Finance https://t.co/HtF2EcPoVu
China’s Booming Silver Demand Drives 8‑year Import Surge
China’s ravenous appetite for silver lifted overseas purchases to an eight-year high at the start of 2026, as importers fed a surge in industrial and investment demand. https://t.co/mlxOgJfWC9
10 Essential Podcast Episodes for Beginner Dividend Growth Investors
Everyone starts somewhere. If you are new to dividend growth investing, these 10 episodes are the perfect starting point. 🔗 https://europeandgi.com/how-to/dividend-growth-investing-for-beginners-10-podcast-episodes-to-listen-to-first/
JPM Predicts Back-to-Back ECB and BOE Rate Hikes
JPM woke up this Friday morning and chose violence ... looking for back-to-back hikes from both the ECB and BOE.
Gold's 2025 Surge Signals Next Market Pivot
Gold's parabolic rally in 2025 warned us, now what? https://t.co/gPI9FAAgip #crudeoil #gold #energy #metals #Iran @markets
North Sea Drilling Isn’t Solution to Fuel Price Shocks
Every time there’s a fuel price shock, the same calls emerge: drill the North Sea. New @UKERCHQ analysis cuts through the noise and explains why this argument doesn’t hold up. https://t.co/HHL1mSGAjZ https://t.co/dfPeJ4JL3x
Rates Likely Hike Unless Growth Collapses, Says Sell‑Side
And the sell side rolls in. April is punchy; I doubt they will see anything in the March HICP that scares them relative to the baseline. But the message is clear. Unless growth collapses they will hike, I think justifying...
Indices Rebound over 1% After Crash: Recovery or Relief?
Sensex, Nifty 50 & Bank Nifty rebound over 1% after Thursday’s crash Is this the start of a recovery or just a relief rally? 👉 Tap to read more - https://t.co/QzdTrL0beu https://t.co/l3GZ0D6R2Y
EU Faces Prolonged Energy Crunch After Qatar Disruption
EU leaders confront multi-year energy squeeze after Qatar hit https://t.co/VJQeTgB0l1 via @johnainger @E_Krukowska @donatopmancini https://t.co/Res6oTlW0s
Trump’s Chaos Drives Europe to Forge Ties with China
Chaos unleashed by Trump has Europeans building bridges with China https://t.co/pFSYzBf1W0 via @jendeben @ArneDelfs https://t.co/jlniO6pJgx
Rare Unpredictable Catalyst Shakes Oil and Gold Markets
Months ago well before the war inside the oil thread there was this. At the time you simply cannot predict a catalyst let alone this one but the larger pt is odds and setups. $CL_F $GLD https://t.co/tdubAxcT6a
Brent Stalls Below $118, Market Resistance Persists
If we use Oil as the fear gauge for markets, then two attempts by Brent crude to cross 118$ failed. Clearly, there is strong resistance to allowing prices to go that far or higher. The situation would have to get...
Energy Crisis Persists Beyond Iran War Resolution
The global energy crisis will drag on even if the Iran war ends tomorrow: Energy Outlook Advisors https://t.co/xPMnRiP3fO
Copper Prices Slip as Inventories Surge, Contango Widens
Copper eases as LME and SHFE inventories surge, widening contango and cooling near-term demand. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/03/copper-prices-soften-as-inventories.html
Oil Price Gap Sparks Sarcastic Optimism for China
Oil is $100 in the U.S. and $150 in Asia. I’m looking forward to the all the reports by the usual suspects this weekend explaining how this is a positive development for China.
Investors Skeptical After HDFC Chairman’s Sudden Resignation
Hours after the startling resignation of HDFC Bank’s chairman, executives hastily arranged a call to assure investors that all was well, and there was nothing material in Atanu Chakraborty’s abrupt departure. Investors weren’t buying it. https://t.co/aeAiEMP7A8 @ranjanir_
Trade only After Opening Range Breakout with Momentum
Most traders force trades inside the opening range. When price stays within the range, the market is choppy, low momentum, and directionless. This is where traders get chopped up and overtrade. If there’s no break of structure or clean breakout from the opening...
Oil Volatility, Fed Caution Cloud Asian Markets
Asia mixed; oil volatility and Fed caution weigh, China holds LPR. Oil spike raises inflation/Strait-of-Hormuz supply risk; Alibaba weakens sentiment. Trade: hedge Asian equities with oil puts. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Saudi Oil Price Models Predict Upcoming Market Shift
Call the headline “attention grabbing” if you must, but this is an excellent look into what those modeling oil prices in Saudi Arabia see happening Thanks @summer_said #oott #oil #iran https://t.co/7AGgTmaVXb
Brent Slides to $105 as Hormuz Remains Shut
Brent cools down to $105 early Friday. The war has entered its 21st day, with the Strait of Hormuz still effectively closed. Have some in the market drunk the kool-aid again?
Voyah Slides 13% on Hong Kong Debut without Fundraising
Voyah Automobile Technology Co., the luxury electric vehicles arm of Dongfeng Motor Group, fell 13% in its trading debut in Hong Kong after a listing that didn’t involve selling new shares or raising funds. https://t.co/uR0zxn3SGk
Even Top Managers Struggle to Sell Losers
During the conversation today with Lee Freeman-Shor and Clare Flynn Levy who have analyzed the trade data of many of the best fund managers in the world - I asked what decision type do successful managers have the most issues...
Rising Energy Prices Heighten Recession Risks in Asia
With global energy prices going vertical, the next metrics to watch are recession probabilities of net energy importers - particularly in South and Southeast Asia https://t.co/ehwgNBNqH4
New Home Prices Fall, Inventory Peaks Since 2009
Prices of New Single-Family Homes Drop Further, Inventory of Completed New Homes for Sale Highest since 2009. Hoping for lower mortgage rates that may not come https://t.co/xfMYbwdtVK https://t.co/ImauhfwDWA
Gold's Steepest Weekly Drop in Six Years Explained
Gold prices are suffering their worst week in six years. What's driving the crash, and where is this market going next? #gold #oilprice #inflation #fed #markets #macro #trading https://t.co/0hNC9B49Vg
ADU Preemption Law Drives 100,000 New Homes.
California's ADU preemption law—of the sort Michigan is considering this year—has directly led to the construction of over 100,000 housing units that would have been illegal prior to 2017. https://t.co/dtgk8BfnNT
Prioritize Retirement Savings over Apartment Down Payment
You’re 32, Software Engineer, NYC. $250k income. $350k retirement $250k brokerage. Do you max retirement/brokerage accounts or focus on saving for a $1M apartment down payment?
AUM Spike Fueled by Speculative Leveraged Stock Bets
Half hearted look at some cycle indicators, partly bc everyone is so zoomed in, partly bc bulls finally dropped. I'd just add that Long AUM spike was from everyone jumping into those garbage 1X and 2X quantum type single stock...
Investors Swap Gold for Oil Amid Conflict
Good morning Asia, We are at the stage of the conflict where people are selling their gold (most valuable hard asset and a hedge for bad times) to buy oil. Got oil, gas, and may I say coal? https://t.co/fsqt6mevX1
Gold Dip Set up by Rising Oil, Rates, and Dollar
Gold down wasn’t a surprise — it was the setup. 🥇📉 📈 Oil up 📈 Rates up 💵 Dollar up = short-term pressure on gold We sold SOME into the breakdown… Now buying it back into panic. 😈 Process > opinions.
U.S. Home Prices Edge Up Slightly, Still 43% Above 2020
U.S. home prices, as measured by the Zillow Home Value Index, rose +0.1% month-over-month between January 2026 and February 2026. Year-over-year: +0.4% Since the 2022 peak: +1.6% Since March 2020: +43.2% Table via @ResidentialClub https://t.co/LC4jle3nVp
Netanyahu Pledges No More Iranian Oil Strikes, Hopes Quicker Peace
Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has joined Trump in jawboning the energy market. In a press conference, he said that Israel won't attack anymore oil and gas targets in Iran, and also indicated that the war would be over faster...
AMC Expects Earnings Rise Despite Bleak Macro Backdrop
I know from my own losses and in reading your comments on X/Twitter how distraught many of you are with falling share prices. In looking at the likely 2026 industry-wide Box Office, we still expect it to grow materially over...