Energy Leads as Discretionary Stocks Hit Bottom
In the US equity market, the energy sector is the only one gaining ground while everything else corrects. Consumer discretionary stocks are at the bottom, and while it’s tempting to conclude that this is because the dystopian “Citrini” scenario is underway (in which AI “eats” the labor market), our experts point to more traditional catalysts, such as dashed hopes for rate cuts, the K-shaped recovery, and pressure at AMZN and TSLA.
Oil Backwardation Signals Temporary Shock; BTC Ties to Dollar
The heatmap below shows that the oil futures curve remains heavily backwardated, indicating that the energy market believes that the current oil shock is a temporary supply problem that will get fixed. That’s probably correct but the question is how...
Powell Delivers One of Central Banking’s Finest Press Conferences
In my 20+ years watching markets, this is one of the best central bank press conferences I've ever seen. Its right up there with Draghi and Bernanke's greatest hits. Chair Powell is in rare form.
S&P 500 Nears Full Loss of Recent Gains
The S&P 500 is close to giving back all the gains of the last two days and reach another post-Thanksgiving closing low.
Short‑term Rentals Can Fund College and Slash Taxes
College is about to cost you $250K… or make you money. 👀 Most people: (X) 529 plans (X) Student loans (X) Draining savings But high-income families are doing something different. They’re using short-term rentals to: → Create cash flow → Reduce W-2 taxable income → Unlock major tax savings →...
Watch $SPY Near Critical $660 MVC Level
$660 is the MVC on $SPY and is/has been a very significant level recently. Worth keeping an eye on as price approaches 👇
Trade Micro Nasdaq Futures for Superior Risk Management
Most traders jump straight into Nasdaq mini contracts and struggle with risk management and stop loss placement. Trading Micro Nasdaq futures (MNQ) allows for better position sizing, tighter stop losses, and cleaner trade management. Smaller size makes it easier to hold through...
VIX Peaks as S&P Slides to New Lows
vix news highs, SPs new lows in afternoon session, trend for the day has been high to low. Naz PDL in play now. https://t.co/H3SuPKaDSm
Avoiding Bell-to-Bell Trades Amid Large Position Risk
$VNRX I used to try to go bell to bell but too much risk now if @EternaLEnVy1991 decides to cover 10% of his position. Nice fader today from the ss vs .35s @IUTraders https://t.co/7hOy9UzMdP
Two‑Year Treasury Yields Hit 3.73%, Near 3‑Month High
Two-year Treasury yields up to 3.731% for the session and at some of the highest levels of the past three months https://t.co/yjJZJiv8JX
Fiscal Launches Annotations for In‑document Note Taking
Introducing Annotations. You can now save your thoughts directly on transcripts, slide decks, filings and research reports. Live on the Fiscal terminal, now. https://t.co/JSjmkfcrk3
Powell’s Tepid Stance on Energy Prices Delays Rate Cuts
the significant part is Powell's relatively lukewarm support for looking through energy prices. 5 years of missing their target is clearly bothering them. They are gonna need to see genuine economic weakness to cut again
Top Homebuilders Trust ResiClub for Data-Driven Decisions
Teams inside major homebuilders, lenders, and operators are using ResiClub research and analysis to inform real decisions—including firms like Meritage Homes, a giant homebuilder ranked No. 554 on the Fortune 1000. That’s exactly what we’re aiming for: clear, data-driven housing market...
Mortgage Rates Dip, Spread Hits 206 Bps
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate today: 6.31% Same day last year: 6.78% 10-year Treasury yield today: 4.25% Spread today: 206 bps
Powell's Low Job Breakeven Comment Pushes USTs Down
USTs pressured lower by Powell's comment that breakeven rate for new jobs is very low
Fed Chief Warns Inflation Expectations Could Unanchor Amid Shocks
Powell reiterates that the Fed "worries a lot" about inflation expectations becoming unanchored due to the multiple shocks over the last 5 years.
Volatility Becomes an Asset When You Master It
📈 #Volatility is not a dirty word when you know how to use it... Kevin Davitt, Head of @Nasdaq Index Options Content, joins Dan Nathan & @GuyAdami on MRKT Call https://t.co/4z3jGYKguV
Oil Firms Will Weigh Prices Before Ramping Output
Oil companies going to make reasoned judgements about prices before boosting production a ton
Powell Says Now Is Time to Abandon SEP
Powell embraces the SEP to observe that there was "a meaningful amount of movement" toward fewer cuts and then later leaves the SEP by the side of the road. If there was ever going to be a time to skip...
Mid‑year Core Inflation Dip Could Push Rate Cuts to September
So mid-year is when we should start to see progress on core inflation. Probably resets “good news” cut clock to like September.
VIX Poised for New Highs as SP, Dow Lead
would love to see VIX make new highs in afternoon. So far SP and DOW only ones to take out PDL, though. https://t.co/uw5945fvVN
Short Nasdaq via TQQQ Off VWAP, Live Now
👀🫡 SHORT here the #NASDAQ with $TQQQ off #VWAP @alphatrends lets go #fed all live @traderTVLIVE https://t.co/evYRVnXky0
Gulf Coast Crude Imports Hit Six‑year High Amid Gulf Disruption
U.S. CRUDE OIL imports into the Gulf Coast (PADD 3) surged to the highest for almost six years last week as refiners and traders prepared for a possibly prolonged disruption of exports from the Persian Gulf. Crude imports into the...
Markets Rally as Fed Turns Less Hawkish than Expected
Last year markets sold off on less dovish than expected Fed. Today they find relief on less hawkish than expected.
San Francisco Lags Sacramento in Closed Home Sales
What do you notice about San Francisco compared to Sacramento? These are closed home sales so far this month. https://t.co/BK12H6rwip
Rising Oil, Flat Yields Hurt Banks, Boost Energy
$XLF down 9% from January while $XLE is up 23%. Banks hate rising oil and flattening yield curves. Energy loves it. Intermarket analysis tells you exactly where the stress is. https://t.co/bOfy6Vuy07
WDC Holds 300 Support, Boosting MU Gap Confidence
i thought $WDC's price action today could offer a clue on whether an $MU overnight gap on earnings holds tmrw. $WDC held 300 support and reversed so good sign for $MU tmrw... https://t.co/qcamrUdWQz
Geopolitical Shock Spikes Oil, Not a Secular Bear
Oil just saw one of its biggest surges in 45+ years—driven by geopolitical shock, NOT structural change. Higher prices risk fueling inflation and weighing on GDP mildly. Not likely to fuel a SECULAR bear market in stocks, but with sentiment...
FOMC Keeps Short‑Run Rates, Raises Long‑Run Growth Outlook
No change to the FOMC's short-run rate projections, but interestingly, median FOMC participant sees long-run growth now at 2% (up from 1.8% in December) and R* at 1.1% (up from 1%). https://t.co/dAHaot3Kk4
FOMC Raises Growth and Inflation Forecast, Unemployment Steady
#FOMC Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) -Upward revision to Growth -Unchanged on Unemployment -Upward revision on Inflation 2.7% on headline & core PCE https://t.co/knSXUzsR5d
Fed Holds Rates, Forecasts First Cut Only in 2026
JUST IN: The Fed leaves rates unchanged (3.5 to 3.75%). **The projection is for 1 rate cut in 2026** 11 Fed leaders voted for this Only 1 dissent (Trump official Stephen Miran) The statement says: "The implications of developments in the Middle East...
Gulf Oil Spikes While Brent Steadies, JPM Warns Broader Surge
While Brent — the most commonly quoted crude oil benchmark — has been surprisingly well-behaved, Gulf oil prices have gone stratospheric. And JPMorgan’s oil analysts worry this could be a harbinger for the rest of the oil market. https://t.co/fD6tZ9vW81...
FOMC Holds Rates, Keeps Forward Guidance Steady Amid Iran Uncertainty
Insta-read #FOMC: No change in rates No change in '26 or '27 dots 1x dissent (slight hawkish) "Uncertain implications" of Iran Two-sided risk language
Fed Holds Rates, Core Inflation Forecast Rises
The Fed held rates steady. There was one dissent. The median rate “dot” was unchanged, as was the 12-7 split on cuts vs. no cuts. The median core PCE inflation forecast revised to 2.7% from 2.5%. The median long-run rate “dot”...
Futures Curve Shows Prices, Not Predictions
I know I am piling on here, but a reminder to those of you just tuning into oil markets... The Futures Curve is NOT a forecast... https://t.co/gyYIbj3Xqa
Housing Bubbles Vary: Some Cities Plunge, Others Soar
The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America: Price Drops & Gains in 33 Big Expensive Cities, February 2026. Each city has its own housing market. In some, home prices have dropped a lot; in others, prices have hit new highs https://t.co/ILCCiyvcIJ https://t.co/AfImn5LKKw
Analysts Doubt $PSKY Can Replicate $10 WBD Success
My latest for @TheAnkler. Is $PSKY destined to be the $10 stock that $WBD was for so long? Wall Street analysts, debt experts, and investors weigh in. Wall St. Sours on the Ellison Deal: ‘This Should Not Be a Public...
Envirotech Vehicles Spikes 37% After 1.70s Run
Envirotech Vehicles $EVTV Nice runner we spotted earlier today in the 1.70s! Now up +37% https://t.co/EqXFUSpUCq
FOMC Likely Holds Rates, Eyes Updated SEP Forecasts
FOMC rate decision incoming. Despite the President's interests, the rate decision itself is fully expected to end in no change. That puts the full interest on the updated forecasts of the SEP and any errant remarks Powell makes in his second to...
Powell’s Inflation Focus May Push Oil Lower, Buy Near $88
If Powell focuses more on the upside risks to inflation ( which is likely going to be the case ) I believe Oil can see some initial downside on this due to possible future demand contraction concerns. If that becomes the case...
Your Zip Code Decides How Much You Keep
The $1M take-home test: → NYC W2 — gross $1.99M → LA W2 — gross $1.92M → Florida W2 — gross $1.52M → Florida biz owner — gross way less → Puerto Rico Act 60 — keep almost all of it Where you live is a...
BROS Gaps Up, Continues Rise; Investor
$BROS gap up yesterday and follow thru today. I own in my investment/spec/gamble account for now. I am watching for trade account.
10% Oil Supply Cut Could Spike Prices $150
Ouch. A standard estimate (ballpark) is ~ 10 mbd/ 10% of world supply is now off the market. Some elasticities were closer to -0.1, which implies a price hike of up to $100. This elasticity would...
Brent Outpaces WTI, Nearing 78.6% Retracement
$UKOIL - Brent oil is significantly outperforming WTI oil for obvious reasons. Both topped around $119.50 last Monday, but while WTI has only reached $98 today, Brent reached $110 at today's high and is close to the 78.6% retracement of...
FOMC Press Conference May Spark Market Moves—Check Stops
FOMC announcement coming up at the top of the hour. IMO it is the press conference that could/can move the market and create a lot of gyration. Are your stops where you want them in the machine? ...
2‑Year Yield Above Fed Funds Signals No Rate Cuts
2-Year Treasury yield (blue line, market expectations of Fed policy) > Federal Funds Rate (red line, actual policy) suggests Fed is unlikely to cut. https://t.co/7odcQloUt0
Precision, Not Prediction, Drives Consistent Smart Money Trades
Precision beats prediction. This is how smart money enters the market clean structure, liquidity sweep, and a perfect FVG entry. Stop chasing trades. Start waiting for confirmation. Discipline + Strategy = Consistency. If you understand this setup, you’re already ahead of 90% traders. #forex #trading...
S&P Loses $1.5 T as Volatility Soars
The S&P 500 has now lost over $1.5 TRILLION in market cap within the past month, down 2.72% 😳 So far in 2026, the S&P 500 is down over 3%, while the volatility index has jumped more than 50% 📉 The story...
MU Release Early, QQQ/SMH Traders Get Spike Window
$MU $SMH MU release in Dec was before 4:15, so QQQ/SMH option slingers will have time to play the spike party before they close https://t.co/S4f0jns98f
Read the Auction: Volume Profile Reveals True Market Structure
Most traders see noise… pros see structure. 📊 Volume Profile shows you where business is actually getting done. Stop guessing. Start reading the auction. #trading #daytrader #volumeprofile