Sun Belt Inventory Surges, Northeast Housing Shortage Spikes
The housing market has broken into two. Sun Belt markets like Denver, Austin, Seattle, and Orlando are experiencing exploding inventory (+30% or more from 2019 levels). Prices are now dropping in these markets. However, in New York, Chicago, Providence, and Hartford, inventory is down more than 50% from 2019 levels. Indicating an acute housing shortage where prices are still rising. The market has flipped on its head. The boomtown Sun Belt locations are now the ones dropping, while the boring Northeast markets are the ones rising. If you're a serious homebuyer, investor, or seller in 2026, you need to know the inventory trends in your area. Download our app and search your ZIP: https://t.co/pLvj026xCj
Mag 7 Earnings Test Real Funding for AI Capex
The Week Ahead In Technology for April 27, 2026: The wall of Mag 7 earnings tests whether AI capex is still funded by results, not faith. $MSFT, $GOOGL, $META, $AMZN, $AAPL all report. Plus FOMC and $QCOM. Watch Azure vs AWS/Google...
Fed Pivot Sparks S&P Rally; Staying Long
Fed pivot is real. The S&P 500 rally has legs, and I’m not sitting it out. Chasing this move feels risky, but missing it feels riskier. Staying long. SPX
Chinese State Banks Do More Than Just FX Intermediation
. @GagnonMacro asked a good question, one that others at Peterson have also raised (and I know from other sources that it can also be traced back to the PBOC), namely aren't the Chinee state banks just intermediating domestic fx...
Stock Futures Return, Signaling Market Reopening Soon
Stock futures are back … we’re getting closer to the market being open again 🔴🔴🔴🔴
Tiny Return Edge Doesn’t Justify Higher Volatility
You have two options: Option A: An FDIC-insured bank account that returns 10.99% percent a year, with a realized volatility of zero. Option B: An S&P 500 index fund, that returns 11.00% (on average) a year, with a realized volatility of about...
All S&P 500 Stocks Show Mixed 2026 Performance
This is how every stock in the S&P 500 has performed so far in 2026
Mid‑June 2025: Housing Market Rebalances Supply and Demand
The national housing market generally shifted in mid-June of 2025 🫡 S.D.E Supply Demand Equilibirum
4% Rule Fails: Inflation Undermines Retirement Savings
The 4% rule your financial advisor told you is wrong. Commonly they will tell you if you live off $100k/year then you need $2.5m to retire. $100k in 10 years likely will not have $100k of purchasing power. Inflation ruins...
Rate Holds Loom; Guidance Drives Markets Amid Resilient Equities
Here’s the extracted text from the image: ⸻ The calm before the storm is here 🌊 → 5 central bank rate decisions → US advanced Q1 GDP → PCE deflator (the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge) → Eurozone inflation data → Iran headlines still in play None of the...
Skip SPY, Target Tech and Financials via Bull Steepener
Chasing the S&P 500 rally? This analyst says skip SPY and go for XLK (Tech) & XLF (Financials) instead, betting on the "bull steepener" trend. Risky but structured. 🚀 SectorRotation
Best Trades Emerge From Consolidation, Not Chasing Tape
The Sunday Stalk List | Ep. 43 Market is Catching It's Breath The tape is in a good place but it's not a tape to chase. Build the list, define your risk, and let the setups come to you. The best entries are...
Identify Right Chart, Profit From Left Pattern
If you know what the chart on right is, then you will probably make oodles of money trading the chart on the left. https://t.co/Im5AqBCW0w
Warsh Confirmation Sets Stage for June Budget
Now that Warsh is going to be confirmed. Assuming Powell resigns Governor that day. (as he should). Warsh will vote for a cut in June. Waller, Williams, Miran or someone like him & Bowman make 5 votes for...
From Universal 2008‑style Volatility to No Spikes
We've gone from everything being '08 to nothing being '08 (or any variation of a single vol spike) https://t.co/FW7hAhiJdn
Syrian Investors Leverage Trump Brand to Sidestep Sanctions
To unlock deals and have sanctions removed, Syrian investors pitched projects tied to the Trump brand name. CORRUPTION AT ITS FINEST. OLD SYRIAN HABITS DIE HARD. https://t.co/Ig4W0PEfSn
Watch New Metrics, Not EPS, for Next $5T Shift
4 of the 5 biggest companies on earth report next week Stop watching EPS..watch these instead: $GOOGL - Cloud growth rate. If revenue this quarter $AAPL - China revenue and Vision Pro disclosure or omission The guide and the segment splits are where...
Business Value Lies in Earnings, Not Just Assets
A business isn't worth its assets. It's worth what those assets can earn, and what they can fetch when everything goes wrong. In good times, the balance sheet flatters. In bad times, it confesses.
Nasdaq Hits Record Amid Geopolitical Tension and Earnings Outlook
My article for the week ahead (and my FOMC scenario table): Nasdaq at Record, US-Iran Unresolved, FOMC and Mag 7 Earnings On Tap https://t.co/XDQ8tBTF50 https://t.co/FrsmP5gFBA
S&P Rally Fragile, Driven by Soft‑landing Narrative
Chasing the S&P 500 rally? 📈 Michael J. Kramer says it’s a fragile, momentum-driven move based on a “soft landing” narrative. Valuations are high, and leadership is narrow. 🚨 Be careful out there. Markets
AIM Eyes Support as Bullish EMAs Hold
#AIM All Share small Down Candle. Support 774, 750, 726. Resistance 812, 837. RSI 61 not high. 13/21 day EMAs Bullish. Small Down Candle on Weekly. Top Bollinger Band 817. Midpoint Line 800. Bottom Band 782.
White House to Subsidize Farmers Using Tariff Revenue
"Phosphate tariffs raised fertilizer costs by an estimated $6.9 billion for American farmers. Now the White House wants to fix the impact with subsidies funded by the tariff revenue, recycling revenue instead of removing the original trade barriers" @clark_packard https://t.co/TCWYvmFFVo
Nasdaq Hits New ATH, Overbought Yet Still Rising
#Nasdaq Comp New ATH 24854. Support 24199, 23000, 22501. RSI 70 Overbought but can go higher. Small Up Candle on Weekly. Top Bollinger Band 25140. Midpoint Line 24200. Bottom Band 23260.
Brent Oil Nears Bullish Breakout Amid Tight EMA Cross
#BrentOil Comp Doji Candle & Sideways. Resistance $103.9, $112.1. Support $91.4, $86.1, $80. Lining up MACD Bull Cross. RSI 55.5 near Neutral. Just done 13/21 day EMA Bull Cross but Lines tight. Up Candle on Wkly. Top Bollinger Band $103.5....
Refined Product Prices Surge, Gap with Crude Hits Record
GS: The Gap Between Refined Product Prices and Crude Prices Is Record Large 'record large' ... good phrase.. using that https://t.co/TpdQfUMb7r
Aluminum Market Hits Point of No Return, 2M‑Ton Deficit
With around 9% of global supply tied to the Gulf, JPMorgan warns the aluminum market is entering a “point of no return". A 2-million-ton world deficit is forming. COMMODITY MARKETS = ENTERING A SUPER CYCLE. https://t.co/WOePJGzW7p
Ford Ramps up US Production yet Still Hemorrhages Billions
"Ford Is Building More Cars in the U.S. Than Ever—But Still Losing Billions" https://t.co/6FpXn1NHjv https://t.co/dX4BPjDl07
Goldman Sachs Spots Upside Risks to $90
GS: Net Upside Risks to Our Brent Forecast of $90 in 2026Q4, Which Is Above Market Pricing https://t.co/XJuQAU1kbl
Turn 3% Raises Into Over $1M by Retirement
You got a raise this year. What did you do with it? If the answer is "spent it," you're not alone. But here's what that decision is actually costing you: A 3% raise every year, invested at market average, is worth $1,130,000...
Goldman Predicts Two More Fed Cuts, Dismisses Hikes
GS: Our Probability-Weighted Fed Forecast Is Much More Dovish Than Market Pricing Because We Expect Two More Cuts This Year and Because We Think That Rate Hikes Are Quite Unlikely https://t.co/JZZ2VNnLfU
Oil Forecast Rise Signals 3.4% Headline PCE Inflation
GS: Our Commodities Strategists Have Just Raised Their Oil Price Forecast, and We Now Expect Year-over-year Headline PCE Inflation to Stand at 3.4% and Core PCE Inflation at 2.6% in December 2026 https://t.co/JgB1CnXmdx
Repair Costs and Low Savings Drive Negative‑Equity Car Rolls
I sold Nissans as a freshman in college. I was shocked when a customer who owed more than what their car was worth asked to roll that difference into a new car purchase I later realized that there’s actually a...
Credit Spreads Stay Tight Amid Rising Market Turbulence
Every major macro indicator flashes caution. Volatility rising. Equities under pressure. Geopolitical risk elevated. Yet credit spreads are asleep. $JOJO doesn't sleep. https://t.co/K90mNCoPv5
Iranian Rial Gains 8% Amid US‑Israeli Conflict, Media Silent
Since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran, the Iranian rial has APPRECIATED by 8% vs. the USD. THE WESTERN MEDIA CONTINUES TO NOT REPORT ON THIS IMPORTANT STATISTIC. https://t.co/U7feV9L31L
XLK Dominates While XLE and XLP Lead
$XLK - What A Monster..... Masked the fact that the other two leading sectors this week were $XLE and $XLP https://t.co/niSKEGw6eD
Regime Signals Reveal Winning Portfolio Framework Ahead
Gold near all-time highs. Oil elevated on Hormuz risk. IWM holding while long bonds struggle. These are regime signals — and they tell you exactly which portfolio construction framework survives what comes next. Wednesday I'm sitting down with Greg Babij of Sundial...
Breakouts Bullish, Yet High RSI Signals Potential Drop
SMH: Are breakouts bullish? They are. Just be aware that the last time the RSI for semiconductors was above 80, there was a -6% move in a single day as part of the consolidation. Back then, we didn't have three...
Soaring Oil Prices Set to Boost BP Earnings
Nice to get a mention in the Standard on BP results next week What impact will soaring oil prices have on BP’s earnings? https://t.co/Ty95yw49pH
Forward Revenue Multiples Span From 1.2× to 8.1×.
This slide is money. Bottom left *forward* revenue multiple 1.2x. Top right 8.1x. (From the Redpoint 2026 Market Update.) https://t.co/Cj83biPeLo
Negative GEX at 1400 Signals Potential Reliance Surge
GammaGrid Insights on RELIANCE (26 May expiry):👇 Spot around 1330-1340 and this is where things get interesting. GEX flips around this zone, but the real story sits higher....1400 has heavy negative GEX. That’s not a magnet, it’s where things can get...
Renting Beats Buying When You Sell Early
Most people think renting is throwing money away. But the math tells a very different story. You buy a $400k house today. You pay massive interest for the first decade. Then life happens. Data shows most people sell after just 8 to 12 years. You leave...
Russia Cuts Rates Despite High Inflation and Excess Money Growth
Last week, Russia’s Central Bank CUT its policy rate by 50 bps to 14.5%. WRONG MOVE. RU’s inflation is at 5.9%/yr, ABOVE its 4% target. RU’s Money Supply (M2) is growing at 11.4%/yr, ABOVE Hanke’s Golden Growth Rate of 8.4%/yr—a rate consistent...
Skip the First 15 Minutes, Trade With Confirmation
STOP trading the first 15 minutes 🚫 That’s where most traders get chopped up and lose. Wait for structure. Wait for confirmation. That’s where the edge is 📊 👇 Comment “SETUP” and I’ll send you the guide #TradingTips #VWAP #TraderLife
Expect Early Summer Mean Reversion in Mag7 Semis
While we were using Mag7 and semiconductors as funding shorts earlier in the year, a few weeks ago we wrote about a possible mean reversion trade into early summer. https://t.co/7fSZ0NNFXM
Iberian Peninsula Sees Record Q1 Negative Power Prices
Negative power prices all-time high on the Iberian Peninsula in Q1 #energysky -- via pv magazine global: https://t.co/vjD6PpvY4D
Real Estate: More Than Returns, A Wealth Engine
The stock market gives you 10% a year if you’re lucky. Real estate gives you appreciation, cash flow, debt paydown, and tax savings all at once. One of those is a return. The other is a wealth engine.
U.S.-Israeli Conflict Fuels Growing Asian Oil Desperation
Thanks to the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, Asia is desperate for oil. AND THEY ARE GOING TO BECOME MORE DESPERATE. https://t.co/28Pmq8UCyZ
S&P 500 Climbs Despite Longest Government Shutdown
Does a government shutdown negatively impact the stock market? No. The S&P 500 has gained an average of 0.4% during prior shutdowns and is up 4.8% during the current shutdown which is the longest in history at 70 days and counting. $SPX https://t.co/zrFBbspSbR
Bear Markets Average 14 Months; Bull Runs Span 70 Months
The average bear market lasts 14 months and is followed by a 70-month bull market. JPMAM Had to manually update the current bull run... up to 42 months https://t.co/fr7efuYage
Gold Jumps 19%; Bulls Confront Key Resistance
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Surges 19%—Bulls Face Major Resistance Test https://t.co/M9nTCD7Znk $XAUUSD Weekly Chart https://t.co/SrzmPBhDwC