With S and P cash -61 handles we took profits in following longs: $APO $BX $MX $C $KKR $SPY $QQQ

This has to be one of the most bearish charts I’ve ever seen for CDX HY. One can argue that they won’t be as correlated as they’ve always been, but ‘this time is different’ may be wrong . I think...
💸 Where does your money actually go? TJ Maxx? Nordstrom Rack? Marshalls? Ross? We all deserve a little dilly-dally magic… but when random spending runs the show, it’s time for a budget check.
The Fed’s biggest fear has always been having to choose between fighting inflation and protecting jobs. Friday’s employment report brought that dilemma a step closer. “Let’s not overreact to one month’s numbers, but an environment in which inflation is rising and...
Oil surges 35% this week for biggest gain in futures trading history dating back to 1983: CNBC $XLE $USO
Andy makes a great point here around potential L/S positioning in the oil and gas space. I think chasing the physical commodities up a tree here is dangerous but I still really like oil and nat gas equities for two...
No one knows the future direction of the stock market from here. What matters is the system and the stop-loss, whether pre-defined or imposed by some indicator. $SPX #ES_F
Great to have @Seawolfcap back for this week's "FND" on our WAWD @Substack. We discuss the impact of the war in Iran on the economy & markets & share some thoughts on $CVNA $AXP $APO #GOLD #ENERGY $RVI #privatecredit #AI...

Since last week, average US gasoline prices are up 27 cents to $3.25 per gallon. WAR = COSTS AMERICANS AN ARM AND A LEG. https://t.co/2wqMMXwNZP

Outside of a handful of months in 2020 the Asian unemployment rate has been below the overall unemployment rate for the entirety of the last 20 years, but it popped above in February: https://t.co/i10DDosA0u
I think this should be getting more attention. Everything is about the rate of change. While I don't think this war 'goes away' soon, I wonder if today's sell off is people afraid of holding risk into a weekend due...
Trump admin announces $20 billion reinsurance program for oil tankers during Iran war: CNBC $XLE $USO
Tonight on "The Danny Moses Show" @scrippsnews I sit down w/@RLKJ44 & we discuss his journey from @CuseFootball to @MiamiDolphins to his 16 hour swim to shore & his views on the markets. I discuss how the move in Oil...

New @ForwardGuidance chartbook just dropped for this week's episode. Wanted to call out a few we did not discuss live on the pod. Takeaway: Gold positioning length has been absolutely flushed (and these charts are few days old, before the recent...

Bracing for an oil shock, China ordered refiners to halt new diesel and gasoline export contracts and cancel existing shipments. From a week ago, their diesel prices are up 13.5%, gasoline up 11%. THE US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN = COLLATERAL DAMAGE =...
Q4 FY 2026 Earnings for @Okta Highlight Agentic Identity Positioning https://t.co/oqESh3att1 My take on how a top enterprise identify firm will try to flip the category into a major agentic entry point.

Okay. I've been seeing this make the rounds. It is just a large misunderstanding of the second graph, to the extent that it's drawing the wrong conclusions. The price of electricity from solar and wind in the US *has* flatlined...

We pay 3.61 APY @bankonroger savings without needing a disclosure about losses….no gimmicks or fees & with FDIC insurance up to $250k per depositor. Plus, your money ignited growth for #smallbiz. https://t.co/8oSpSyhQyM

SPX ( US500 ) Sells closed fully today to end the week. Although we still remain bearish on SPX , especially after today's "too bad" US jobs data but we also have to understand that indices can see sharp pullbacks on...
Perfect fundamental picture is almost set for Gold bulls Although if a Geopolitical de-escalation happens , it can cause a dip ( but very likely it will be quickly bought ) It's about time now only
With Oil prices nearing $100 already , risks of a potential de-escalation keep on rising. I may be wrong , maybe oil prices will remain elevated for months , who knows , I am just saying what has the higher probability...

KOSPI: down 12%. Up 9.6%. Flat. Three days. Three completely different markets. That's not investing. That's a slot machine. Leverage creates the illusion of opportunity on the way up and the reality of destruction on the way down. https://t.co/RXuF5WtBHa
The backstory on exactly how the US ceded its rare earths/critical minerals dominance is here --> https://t.co/m6IQmzrJHT
Grumbling out of China is getting louder as crude pushes higher....... I am leaning now 50/50 that the meeting with XI and Trump even happens now. Hope I am wrong because would like to see it. Time will...
"Stock's are holding up well" ...... $RSP having it's worst week since March 2025..... https://t.co/EEZWRGi6w7

How low can gas go? Down 59% in 2026 vs 2023 so far. 14th straight and 41 of 64 days in 2026 with WWS meeting >100% of demand for part of the day. Demand also down 3% vs '23 Solar up 62%; batteries...

Nifty50 10 Mar option chain at today’s close shows ATM IV above 20. That means option premiums are already elevated and the market is pricing serious uncertainty...Add crude oil above $90/barrel, and the macro backdrop is getting tense.😬💥 High IV +...
BTW, oil rallied an additional 43% over the next 2 months. Trump will do everything he can to open the strait of Hormuz and prevent a similar outcome. As I noted in an earlier post this week, I expect it...

Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, and Qatar are reviewing US contracts and future investment commitments. The US-Israeli war on Iran is putting investments at risk. WAR = COLLATERAL DAMAGE AND COSTS. https://t.co/YXzBzPwL7O

Another name that I own sitting just below 50ma. Might need basing soon. $NOW well into the ER gap and just below 50ma daily. upped a few of the stop orders today. Need more cushion of...
An interesting feature of this market, similar to what @kevinmuir has pointed out ... Is that most of my clients are less worried about the downside in stocks and EMFX ... and more worried about missing the rip when the...
Gundlach’s law of financial physics: The frequency of losses times the severity of losses equals a constant. Implication: do not invest in artificially “low volatility” strategies.

SPY is 2.4% from its all-time high. In the middle of a war. With oil spiking. With yields surging. The market hasn't priced in the worst case. It hasn't even priced in the base case. That's the scariest part. https://t.co/d7MxjrSyrG
𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐤: Fresh launches, team moves are keeping hedge funds in growth mode, while Middle East tensions prompt firms in the Gulf to review near-term plans and continuity playbooks. Meanwhile, AI agent workflows are moving from buzzword to toolkit https://t.co/jiiupziBYa

witht the breakout of $USO from consolidation we're seeing pressure on stocks again $QQQ testing 202 support area. https://t.co/QfA8Fnetbn

$USOIL - We're witnessing an extreme development today. Crude oil is up 16% currently. The 14 day RSI is above 89. The last time it closed above 89 was in August 1990, during the Gulf war. https://t.co/Fl62P7oRcE
Roche, Zealand shares fall on ‘undifferentiated’ obesity drug results https://t.co/5pSR2vcHBD by @Lilah_Alvarado $RHHBY $ZEAL $LLY $NVO #obesity
The $SPX has closed above its intra-day mid-point for 8 straight days and 13/14. 3 1/2 hours left to do it again...
NG, CL, S, W, CD - all made new momentum highs on 120 minute charts. (Rus made new momo lows on 120 minute)..

Home sales peaked in 2005 Home Sales crashed from 2005 to 2008 Inventory spiked before the recession started 2005 2.5 million Inventory 2007 4,000,000 Inventory Currently at 1.22 million Normal is 2-2.5 million Credit channels have run inventory channels for...
Matt Murphy at $MRVL and Hock Tan at $AVGO crushed it in the Q&A. The reason the market reacted wasn't that this was the first time going after it, but they reminded listeners what they were told before, what really...

this chart from Anthropic on AI and job displacement is basically the HALO trade visualized (the bet that physical economy stocks are the safe haven from AI disruption, coined by @Downtown) Construction, agriculture, transportation: barely touched. Computer & math, office &...

In the 10 days after Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, Brent rose 32%. We're now up 25% since the war with Iran began, which - to me - says there's more upside. Given all this, the Dollar is trading soft...

It's not cherry picking season yet Andrew..."Market of stocks" is getting smoked and software (part that's already gotten smoked) is masking that in the $QQQs. Trailing 5 day performance using a more intellectually honest view of the market. *insert 3 snarky...

Rhetorical Question: How do you define support in a chart like this ?! (and energy components are less than 4%).... https://t.co/acijcTvFSG
My friend & oil expert Javier Blas reports just what I’ve been anticipating: that the US-Israeli war on Iran would force the US to lift sanctions on Russian oil. https://t.co/4VIvPSwm63
On March 9, 2009, the S&P 500 set a closing low of 676.53. Today, it's trading at 6,765.3

Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Rejected at Resistance Again – Breakdown Risk Builds https://t.co/WgcEZNsTLi $USDCAD Weekly Chart https://t.co/vHGLydn1EX
Sometimes we make it harder than it has to be. $avgo had a good response to earnings yesterday. We discussed in 8:50 call u can buy vs gap pivot of $323. It only hit $327...

A Cboe measure of crude oil volatility has surged to its highest level since 2020 https://t.co/4FBZMvXK9Y