Oversold Market Near Record Sells Awaits 5‑SMA Bounce
Monday's close gave a near record # of pinball Sells for 2026, but often when a market is so oversold, it needs another day to push above the 5 SMA. Today the Sell Short day kicked in all 4 indexes, but no range expansion yet...(FOMC anticipation keeping volumes light)... https://t.co/oIcq09g9yS
Copper Breaks Support, ROC Set to Flip Down
Copper had another choice sell short setup last night (ROC poised to flip down) only this time it broke support after distribution top. https://t.co/lfa7rLCvZO
Smart Borrowing, Family Tax Planning, Avoid House Debt
💰 Personal finance links: why rich people borrow money, tax planning as a family affair, and why you shouldn't go broke buying a house. https://t.co/6LdWwApcUY image: https://t.co/viXpGW7Ln3 https://t.co/C7cYELGUSE
Physical Economy Surge Fuels Small‑cap, Cyclical Rally
Taking the pulse of the physical economy. Growth is accelerating. Bullish for small-caps, cyclicals and value.
Hormuz Disruption Forces IEA to Release 400M Barrels
20% of global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. It's been disrupted for 3 weeks. IEA released 400M barrels from reserves. That tells you how serious this is. https://t.co/KrxQw3KVSX
Separating China and Russia Failing Like Hormuz Reopening
The plan to separate China and Russia appears to be going about as well as the plan to re-open Hormuz. https://t.co/77hPZR1z9w
SWMR Trade Targets $61, Triggered at $
$SWMR spider sense engaged. Here's timing of the concept. Goal was $61 stuff for $55.50 trigger to circuit down. https://t.co/mR65xaTJUB
Powell’s Hawkish Tone Risks Market Crash Amid Gulf Tensions
Today is very dangerous for Powell. If he sounds hawkish, markets might tumble given what's going on in the Persian Gulf. Next thing you know, Trump could be attacking the Fed like in Dec '18. Back then, the Fed capitulated...
2026's Oil Shock Rivals 1973‑79 Long‑run Impacts
it is true that 2026 is seeing the most sudden shock to oil and gas supply. But both 1973 and 1979 had a very significant effect on long-run output as well. More featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the...
Your Final Five Years: Time to Re‑Shape Retirement Plans
"The 5 Years Before You Retire" is such a wonderful hook for a book: People are getting serious about retiring at that life stage and there's still time to course-correct. @AmyCArnott1 and I had a wonderful chat with author Emily...
Live: March OPEX Analyzes FOMC, Options & Expiration Impact
Don't miss March OPEX Live, today at 4:30pm ET. Join us for a breakdown of today’s FOMC reaction, options pricing in the face of global conflict, and why Friday’s expiration could impact markets. Join us live at: https://t.co/55HHarmCC7
Middle East Tensions Push Brent Crude Past $110
Brent crude oil prices surge to $110/barrel. Israel strikes Iran's largest gas plant. Iran is now announcing that some Gulf energy sites are "legitimate targets."
GLD Gaps Below 50‑SMA, Finds Support at $420
$GLD @marketsurge #IBDPartner gapped below 50sma like it wasn't even there-- next support, and its a better one, is 420 (horizontal and 100sma) https://t.co/M8WnAWuWgs
2026 Rate Hike Appears First Time in Futures Market
A rate hike in 2026 is on the board for the first time in the futures market.
Consensus Bullishness Precedes Market Crashes, Not Insight
277 out of 334 analysts covering the world's seven largest stocks say buy. Five of the seven have zero sell ratings. That's not analysis. It's a standing ovation. New research examined thousands of boom-bust episodes. Before every crash, every expert signal...
Iran Conflict May Spark 10‑15% Market Correction
Ed Yardeni tells Squawk Box the Iran war could trigger a 10%-15% market correction. https://t.co/N1pfsujcVF
Memory Chip Cycle Revives; Micron Still Cheap
Micron reports earnings tonight. The stock is up 350% in a year. And somehow, at 10.7x forward earnings, it might still be cheap. Here's why the memory chip industry is experiencing something that hasn't happened in four decades — and...
War Fuels Inflation; Oil Spikes Before Iran’s Retaliation
War is inflationary. And these oil prices are before Iran retaliates on: Ras Laffan refinery – Qatar Samref oil refinery – Saudi Arabia Al Hosn gasfield – UAE Jubail petchem plant – Saudi Arabia Mesaieed petchem plant – Qatar #RefinedProduct #oott
Out‑of‑control Inflation Coincided with Seven‑month Gold Decline
The last time inflation was out of control, gold was down 7 months in a row from April to October 2022. https://t.co/OSEyr3dAKn
Understanding Oil Shock Shift: From Inflation to Demand Destruction
I think this is the most important question to understand moving forward. Asked @BobEUnlimited about what his checklist looks like for when oil shocks flip from inflation to demand destruction
EVO Slashes Dividend to Zero, Prompting Portfolio Rethink
Evolution Gaming cuts dividend to 0. Niks, nada. Not a surprise after the annual earnings and their comms. Will need to reconsider what to do with my position 🤔 Discl: I own shares in $EVO
Gold Miners Near Support; Trendline Break Signals End
Miners $GDXJ vs Gold $GLD. Very close to support. Interestingly, only 1 of the last 5 corrections even reached the trendline. The end may be nigh. https://t.co/oK6drb2TpF
WTI Nears $100: CEOs Weigh Impact
WTI is about to cross the $100/barrel threshold. Would love to hear from CEOs of US domestic producers about their calculations right now. $OXY $EOG $DVN $FANG Contenental, etc. #oil #IranWar #oott
Refinance Demand Drops 19% as Rates Surge
#Mortgage refinance demand plunges 19% after interest rates shoot higher https://t.co/qypWBX8GTm @mortgagenewsmnd @MBAMortgage #realestate #realestateinvesting #housing
Trump Tariffs Spike Diesel, Fertilizer Costs, Threaten Farm Voters
Trump’s tariffs and the US-Israeli war on Iran are sending fertilizer and diesel costs through the roof. Diesel is up ~$1/gallon in a week. Urea fertilizer has jumped from $470/ton to up to $585. This jump in cost spells trouble for Trump and...
Zoom In: Sellers Hold Power in Downtrend
Sometimes zooming in can be more helpful than zooming out. Sellers remain in control until this downtrend changes https://t.co/0B4gscbTXl
Explore Historical Return Stacking with Our New Tool
We get lots of questions around what return stacking looks like. So, we built a simple tool to explore how different stack sizes and blends, when layered on different stock/bond bases, behaved historically. (Link below.) https://t.co/ogWicOHDD6
Iran War Reshapes Fed Expectations and Monetary Policy Outlook
Worth noting just how much the Iran war has changed expectations about the Fed and the future path of monetary policy. https://t.co/NBYZx2Uuza
Visa and Peers Hit Multi‑quarter Lows, Signaling Recession
$V Daily. Fresh breakdown and multi-quarter lows for Visa. Other credit cards look similar: $AXP $COF $MA. Continued short ideas. Recession indicator https://t.co/PMviYmmHiu
Trump's Influence Undermines Fed Credibility Amid Rate‑Cut Skepticism
When you see markets pricing in no chance of a cut in April, and less than a cut this entire year, and we are still talking about the possibility of three dissents against holding rates constant today, you realize how...
Active Managers Stuck in Cap‑weighted Comfort Zone
The irony of modern markets: “active” investors moored to the same cap-weighted tide they’re meant to transcend—forsaking a risk-adjusted spread for benchmarked comfort. Betas, indeed.
Homebuilder Outlook Improves: Inventory Stabilizes, Costs Decline
[@opinion] My housing friends may think I'm early, but I think the outlook for homebuilders has shifted from 🔴to 🟡 this year -- resale inventory is stabilizing, costs are coming down, and they've made a big enough dent on affordability...
Purchase Applications Stay Positive Weekly Year‑Over‑Year
Even with all the drama this year, purchase application data has been positive year over year every week. @housingwire @sarahteresa6 #mortgagerates #realestate #economics #chartdaddy
NIO's First Profit Sparks Debate Over Tesla Rivalry
$NIO vs $TSLA Total deliveries growth. $NIO had its first profitable quarter recently. Have they finally turned the corner to sustainable growth and do you think this could rival Tesla? #tsla #investingadvice #stockmarketanalysis #marketvisuals
Crude Stocks Rise, Distillate Levels Near Critical
🎯EIA: US commercial crude inventories increased by 6.2 mb to 449.3mb. Watch distillate inventories as they might decline to critical levels.
Dominant Hedge Fund Consolidator Drives Elite Traders Out
Together, the two stories trace the multistrat arc from unstoppable consolidator of hedge fund power & talent in 2022 to, by 2026, such a dominant machine that some elite traders are starting to walk away and set their own terms....
BX Tests 21‑Day MA; Stops May Shift Up
$BX tapping on the 21ma daily. Will move up some of the stops if holds over it.
Aging Rental Stock Forces New Construction and Renovations
America's rental stock is aging. The median age of a rental unit is now 45 years old, the oldest on record, according to Harvard's Joint Center for Housing Studies. And that will likely have major implications on housing policy and trends...
Shrink Position Size as Discount Narrows
Once a security's discount to underwritten fair market value has appropriately narrowed, and thus your margin of safety has diminished, so too should your sizing.
China Refuses to Tap Reserves for Global Supply
Well, China isn't going to dip into its strategic reserves to help supply the rest of the world ... 1/2
Iraq Reports Iran Gas Supplies Fully Halted After Offshore Attack
Iraq says Iran gas supplies have completely halted after attack on offshore field, INA reports https://t.co/tZ53tmRYVt
Volatility Is Volatile: Expect Choppy, Unpredictable Paths
No clue if markets go up, down, or sideways. But throughout this recent debacle, it has been clear to me that a lot of folks do not realize that volatility is very… well….volatile. When people look at charts and data from...
CARR Reverses, Surpasses 100ma Daily Amid Small Gap
$CARR with reversal confirmed and back over 100ma daily. There is a small gap overhead and the 20/50ma's won't be easy and stops will be moved to no green to red rather quick. https://t.co/PYtq0MBJu3
Asia Faces Demand Destruction as Middle Eastern Crude Hits $150
1/5 Where Is the Demand Destruction? tl:dr - Asia because they are reliant on Middle Eastern Crude oil, and it is now over $150/barrel. This is keeping (for now) the American and European grades "only" ~$100. (% gain since the war) https://t.co/A6Rk6TjszH
Energy Inflation and Oil Prices Discussed on CNBC
On @CNBCClosingBell with @jonfortt, I discussed energy inflation, oil prices, and #META. ➡️Link: https://t.co/JLN4ZioBDD (3/17/2026) @cwp_advisor #Oil https://t.co/90DlUz7eMz
Real Estate PE Delivers 2x Return Before Deal Begins
Why is real estate private equity so lucrative? Because you basically get a 2x return on your capital before the deal even starts Let’s take a sample deal: $10MM purchase price. The deal will be purchased with a $7.5MM loan and $2.5MM of...
Micron Rallies 100+ Points Ahead of Earnings
$MU Daily. Up over 100 points in a little over a week, headed into earnings tonight. Micron is definition of optimistic. On a tear since Sept. 2025. https://t.co/D2r1prShVZ
Oil Production Damage Irreversible, Prices Set to Surge
the destruction of oil and gas production has begun...now there's no turning back for oil prices. Once long-term damage is done, production won't return to previous levels just because hostilities cease & marine traffic resumes
Oil's Global Price Cracks Under Stress, Spreads Surge
Oil is a almost perfectly fungible commodity* with a single global price ... except during periods of stress Via JP's Natasha Kaneva, the spread between North Atlantic sweet light and the oil Asia normally buys has reached extreme levels * setting...
Purchase App Data Up 1% Weekly, 12% YoY
Purchase application data update: +1% week to week +12% year over year Every week this year has had positive year-over-year data. https://t.co/gfHZLTffev