War Doesn't Necessitate Immediate Investment Sell‑Off
‘Should I sell?’ ‘Should I wait and start investing later?’ ‘What about if I have a lump sum - should I wait?’ 👇 War & Investing - Should You Sell Your Investments Right Now? https://youtu.be/jrNl3Q9gzbs
Widening Credit Spreads Signal Imminent Bear Market
The bond market is getting twitchy. Over the past 20 years, when credit spreads blew out but the S&P 500 wasn't even beyond a pullback yet, it was 3-for-3 in bear markets. h/t @sentimentrader https://t.co/xiba9GU3z2
Hard Work Isn't Enough: Finance's Unspoken Reality
I’m 28. UK Chartered Accountant. I was told my whole life to *work harder* as a 1st gen daughter of immigrants parents. Here’s what 5 years in Finance taught me that no one explained us:
Public Matches Extra Space After NSA Acquisition, Consolidation Accelerates
So the National Storage Affiliates acquisition puts Public on par with Extra Space as far as total square footage managed. Industry consolidation continues apace. https://t.co/Ce69lYGYsk https://t.co/Rqz8xdySVZ
Compounding Beats Social Security Contributions by Millions
Social Security vs Investing 🤔 So far I’ve paid ~$200K into SS Will add ~$15K/year → ~$560K total by 62 If that same money was invested in SPY… ≈ $2.3M 📈 That’s ~$1.8M in gains vs a system you don’t control....
White House Dismisses Prices, Gas Futures Keep Climbing
$UGA Daily. "You're gonna need a bigger jawbone." White House trying to talk down oil & gasoline prices. But gasoline futures ETF still stretching out higher. https://t.co/vicHCJhxQx
Bond Rally Masks Lack of True Risk Appetite
Bonds rallying while stocks bounce. $TLT up 0.8%. In a real recovery, bonds sell off as risk appetite returns. This looks like a flight to safety dressed up as a relief rally. $SPY https://t.co/azWo3xSslp
ALAB Generates 9¢ Profit per Share After Avoid
$ALAB no green to red stop hit made 9c a share profit on the remaining shares.
NQ's 10bps Moves Rare: Only 1.6% Occurrence
In the last 2 hours we only had 2 candles greater than 20 points in NQ that basically means that we only 10bps moves just 1.6% of the time this afternoon. These are the days that try scalpers souls https://t.co/UBos7R9C8l
Trade Structure, Not Guesswork: Logic Beats Emotion
Trading with Logic, Not Emotion The market doesn’t reward guesses it rewards structure. This setup highlights a clean rejection from a higher timeframe supply zone, followed by a strong bearish move from the order block. When logic meets patience, opportunities become...
Smart Money Waits for Liquidity, Not Market Chasing
Smart Money doesn’t chase the market — it waits for liquidity. Price tapped into the Fair Value Gap after grabbing liquidity and then delivered a clean bearish move. This is the power of ICT & Smart Money Concepts: understanding where institutions...
Only Two of Three Oil, Fed, Inflation Scenarios Can Occur
The market is pricing in three things simultaneously: • Oil stays above $100 • Fed cuts rates • Inflation falls to 2% You can have two. Not all three. If oil wins → stagflation. If Fed capitulates → dollar collapses. If demand craters → recession. Every...
Market Prices Impossible Trinity: Oil, Rate Cuts, Low Inflation
The impossible trinity: - Oil above $100 - Fed cuts rates - Inflation falls to 2% Pick two. The market is pricing in all three. That's the trade. $SPY $WTI https://t.co/OvC9wyNGXm
XLE Still Strong vs SPY Despite Overbought Status
$XLE Over $SPY Still In Play A fab long recommendation to clients since January - now overbought. But that doesn't mean it's done ;-) #OOTT $WTIC https://t.co/mlMJdgqOFk
Airlines Face $400M March Fuel Surge, Higher Fares
"Global airlines sounded the alarm ... over soaring jet fuel prices triggered by the US-Israeli war against Iran, warning of hundreds of millions of extra costs, higher fares and cuts to some routes." Delta fuel costs up by $400mn for March...
Complex Monte Carlo Loses to Kids' Mascot Strategy
Me running bracket simulations with Monte Carlo using 17 variables....likely to lose to my 7 and 10 year old using a Mascot Strategy
Heliostar Metals Pit Extends 200m, Drill Program Expands
The pit at @HeliostarMetals San Agustin project gets extended by >200 meters, from some wide bulk tonnage results today. Drill program increased to 15k-18m, 2nd rig now turning. Core #gold stock for me, way overweight, still a Buy: https://t.co/xlfZ9rXOlq
Closing Hormuz Guarantees Outcome; Only Duration Matters
Keep Hormuz closed long enough and it is a mathematical and logistical certainty. The only debate is "How long is 'long enough' to make that happen?"
Dollar Index Slides 1% From Weekly High
US Dollar Index $DXY $USD $UUP now 1% off the week's high.. back-to-back bearish sessions @stockcharts https://t.co/hy3tIXMCbo
Palantir Gauges Software Names, Sees Modest Intra‑day Boost
$PLTR using this as a gauge of software names. Slight push from the inside day https://t.co/TLDvdXbhSI
24 Dividend Leaders Offering Consistent Growth
24 popular dividend stocks that can help you build passive income over time. From V, WMT, MCD, and COST to JPM and GOOG — these are companies with strong businesses behind their payouts. The goal isn’t just yield… it’s consistency + growth. Which...
RBOB Gasoline Futures Near Last Week’s Spike High
RBOB gasoline futures $3.12 - that's very close to the spike high Sunday night last week https://t.co/x2eJ04zPio
Market’s Response to Oversold Beats Oversold Label, Gap Filled
The important thing isn't that the market's oversold -- it's how the market responds to its oversold condition. Meanwhile, Thursday's gap was finally filled. https://t.co/vTVOt0gTEs
Higher Oil Prices Trigger Demand Collapse, Recession, Fed Cuts
Actually Higher Oil Prices, cause Demand destruction that causes recession that causes Fed to cut
Oil Hitting $125 Could Reshape Global Economy
Oil prices climbing to $125 could shift the global economic outlook – Morgan Stanley’s Seth Carpenter @seekingalpha https://t.co/W6t7v236nu
SOFI Breaks 2026 Lows, Tests Initial Support
$SOFI bouncing a little here, broke the 2026 lows will be interesting if it can hold on to the initial bid.
Sold ONDS Slice, +7% Profit; Awaiting Earnings Cushion
$ONDS ER next week. Sold a slice for shy of +7% on this group of common shares. Still own shares and need more cushion to put in let it ride or will sell before ER.
Earnings Growth Driven by One Sector, Not Broad Market
66% of S&P 500 earnings growth came from ONE sector. Strip out Information Technology and earnings growth drops from 13.2% to ~5%. Meanwhile: • The Magnificent Seven grew earnings 27% • The other 493 companies grew ~5% • AI capex is heading toward...
Jawboning Can Crush Oil Futures, Physical Markets Needed
Oil futures having a hard time rising much in anticipation of the scarcity barreling down toward us all when—as we saw last week—jawboning can dump prices by $10 and blow folks out We'll need physical markets to drag paper barrels to...
Labor Market Contracts Despite Positive Three‑month Average
Feb payrolls: -92K. Three-month average: +6K/month. The labor market isn't softening. It's contracting. And the Fed can't cut because oil won't let them. $SPY $TLT https://t.co/RVUtPtl388
Biotech's Healthy Pullback Opens Entry Below $170
I've been slowly starting a position in $IBB toward the lower end of this range, under 170. Biotech as a group, has been digesting last year’s run-up in a pretty healthy fashion [so far]. Chart from @IBDinvestors MarketSurge (disclosure: long)....
If $CREG Holds $1.20‑$1.30, Expect $SXTC Surge
$CREG thought process ahead of time if $1.20-1.30 stays heavy = $SXTC @IUTraders 👇 https://t.co/rA96EsnqRf
Ubiquiti Rebounds, Targeting Breakout Above $800
Ubiquiti back to former highs after a 36% correction seen below on @IBDinvestors MarketSurge. I like the company fundamentals, price action is firm, now watching for breakout over 800 $UI #IBDPartner https://t.co/tD8wn5JWVz
Semiconductor Strength May Signal Tech's Next Move
do you think the relative strength out of semiconductors is an indication that Tech as a sector is going to hold these lows and move higher? Or is Tech going to break and the semis will follow? https://t.co/v4FDXOmBwQ
QQQ’s 40‑Week MA Predicts New Highs or 18% Drops
$QQQ - You can see the importance of the 40 week moving average. Going back to 2014 every time a multi week decline bottomed at the 40 week MA QQQ went on to make a new all time high. On...
Dollar's Dominance: The World’s Reserve Currency Forever
The U.S. dollar will be the world’s reserve currency until the day you die. Everyone wants the U.S. dollar 🇺🇸💵 Everyone ✋
Mag 7 Stocks Revert to 200‑WMA Amid RSI Diver
Seeing a lot of Mag 7 + $MSFT etc underperformance charts/comments out there Note we are now back at the 200 WMA. Not a rec, just highlighting not only the RSI divergence 6 mo ago but how the crowd tends to...
Hammer Pattern Signals FTSE100 Reversal After Seven Days
Starting to look like that Hammer from about 7 days ago has marked the turn on the #FTSE100 https://t.co/kufK73ap8s
Ignore Cost Basis; Focus on Forward Risk/Reward
Taxes aside (if relevant), cost basis shouldn’t drive decisions—only forward risk/reward and objective outlook matter. The stock doesn’t care who you are, when you bought it, or why. Social discussion exists to improve investment process; don’t let a stock become personified.
Oil Chart Hints at Rising Inflation Pressures
$USO There's a lot going on behind the CL chart, lots of inflationary stuff we will see as the year goes on https://t.co/QQRYWzhzi2
Farmers Reject Million‑Dollar AI Data‑Center Land Offers
US farmers are rejecting $33 to $80 million offers for their land from data center companies. The tension between AI and land is real.
Value Factor Abroad, Trading Duopoly, Collectibles' Emotional Returns
🔬 Research links: searching for the value factor overseas, the two companies that dominate U.S. equity trading, and the emotional yield of collectibles. https://t.co/muREi9nT4L image: https://t.co/jrEVSdxqnB https://t.co/4GrVapXohD
FY26e Targets MSD Growth with 31% EBITDA Margin
$GAMB CFO Elias Mark (pulled from the company's Q3 FY25 call) FY26e is now at MSD revenue growth and ~31% EBITDA margins https://t.co/a3U84jKJjz
$1.2T OPEX Expiration Looms Amid Sky‑High Vols
Friday's OPEX has $1.2 trillion in delta notional set to expire. Given highly elevated vols, this expiration could be highly impactful. Don't miss our March OPEX analysis at 1pm ET tomorrow: https://t.co/55HHarmCC7
Premarket OKLO Spike Fails, Short Opportunity Emerges
The $OKLO story this morning found its top premarket, when that happens and instantly fails the break it was a short til its not. Caught one reversion but reversed out for a scalp short. part of the caution is they...
Market Misprices Fed Cuts Amid Strong Data
PCE at 2.9%. Oil above $100. Fed rate at 3.50-3.75%. Goldman just pushed the first cut to September. The market is pricing in cuts that aren't coming. That's mispricing, not hope. $TLT https://t.co/xYBdA2JDGM
Pending Home Sales Rise, Yet Mortgage Rates Surge Past 6.3%
Pending Home Sales Ticked Up from Record Low. But Now Mortgage Rates Spiked Back over 6.3%. Home sales in February, as feeble as they were, benefitted from the lowest mortgage rates in years. Those rates are now gone https://t.co/2mll3eAbGK https://t.co/lVfYXLQXRz
Vol up From March 6, Still Below February 27 Levels
Vol through the lens of @CBOE vol indices: better than 3/6; not as good as 2/27; pesky 9-day VIX refusing to cooperate. https://t.co/isod6NdR6y
High CAPE Drives Equity Issuance; Low CAPE Spurs Buying
This is really great: "shows CAPE on the horizontal axis and net issuance on the vertical axis. Each point represents a calendar month between January 1990 and November 2025. Notice the positive correlation between issuance and CAPE: When CAPE is high,...
Pakistan Faces Highest Energy Risk if Hormuz Closes
Pakistan looks like the Asian energy importer that is most at risk because of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. More at today's Chartbook Top Links: https://t.co/7rDXmrxVqy