Pakistan Faces Highest Energy Risk if Hormuz Closes
Pakistan looks like the Asian energy importer that is most at risk because of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. More at today's Chartbook Top Links: https://t.co/7rDXmrxVqy
Value
Value stocks (Tony Gwynn): higher batting average, fewer bankruptcies, fewer grand slams. Growth stocks (Dave Kingman): lower batting average, more bankruptcies, more grand slams. https://t.co/4Wo2q59IVU https://t.co/6gIBOYiA84
USD/CAD Nears Key Resistance, Breakout Risk Rising
Canadian Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD/CAD Tests Pivotal Resistance– Breakout Risk Builds https://t.co/QS7PNM8IKo $USDCAD Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/SQnqfzZO43
Forecasts Keep Rising, Yet Critics Call Them Irresponsible
Every month someone publishes a higher default forecast. > Fitch: 5.8% actual > Morgan Stanley: 8% > UBS: 15% worst case Every month someone in the industry calls it irresponsible.
Watch SPY Chart
$spy follow up chart as u need to be careful with prices and a names https://t.co/24whJKvUOz
Bull Spreads (SN/SX) Likely to Reach New Highs
And for what it’s worth I just think the bull spreads are (sn/sx) just shaking the trees right now. I expect new highs in that spread at some point. Not a recommendation and there is a risk of loss in...
Side Gigs Unlock Freedom From Physician Burnout Trap
The most dangerous myth in healthcare is that physician burnout is simply an issue of working too many hours. It is not. Burnout is a symptom of feeling financially and professionally trapped. As a doctor, you are groomed to work 60 to...
CANSLIM Traders: Join Deepvue Webinar for Winning Screens
Are you a CANSLIM Trader interested in @Deepvue ? I'm hosting a webinar today👇 ✅ Chart Setup: RS Line, MAs.. ✅ Top Screen Presets for CANSLIM Traders ✅ Key Data Points: ROE, Fund Ownership... ✅ Find Leading Themes & Leading Stocks Register here👇 https://t.co/avvroag63w
China‑US Summit Delayed, Soy Market Hopes Stall
🇺🇸🇨🇳Trump says they are "resetting" the meeting with China that was supposed to occur March 31-April 2. That's now been pushed 5-6 weeks out, putting it around April 21 - 28. Ag markets had been hoping the meeting would result in more...
VSAT Poised to Break Out of Recent Range
$VSAT on watch to move out of its recent range. Chart courtesy of @marketsurge @IBDinvestors #IBDPartner https://t.co/pq7iWhDviS
Fed Meeting’s Dot Plot Will Steer Markets This Summer
The Fed starts its most consequential meeting of the year today. Oil is above $100. The S&P 500 clings to its 200-day moving average. Wednesday's dot plot will reveal whether any rate cuts survive in 2026. The answer could set...
KRMN Poised for Breakout Beyond Recent Trading Range
$KRMN on watch to move out of its recent range. Chart courtesy of @marketsurge @IBDinvestors #IBDPartner https://t.co/23Hg3n3SCS
AAOI Reclaims 21‑Day EMA After Strong Earnings
$AAOI First visit to its 21-day EMA (green line on chart) since its strong earnings report. Chart courtesy of @marketsurge @IBDinvestors #IBDPartner https://t.co/QYZzLHNMoe
OKLO's P/S Ratio Remains Steady Amid Market Swings
For all the talk about markets ignoring potent catalysts and being untethered from fundamentals, I’ll note that OKLO’s price-to-sales ratio has been unchanged through its ups and downs.
Policymakers Miss Logistics Impact of Closing Hormuz
Every US policymaker & investor we see talks about "tactics": How many Iranian ships we've sunk, how many launchers we've destroyed.... ...while ignoring what keeping Hormuz closed will do to global "logistics", even as Iran openly admits "logistics" is their whole...
Fed's Inflation View to Steer Near‑term Rate Path
Despite the recent steepening of the back-end, hard to fade and set up for next week's auctions with FOMC tomorrow. Fed clarification on how they view the recent crude inflation will have a strong impact on the...
Housing Market Temperature Varies by Property Type
The housing market is like a hot pocket taken out of the microwave too early. Some spots are warm, and others are cold or hot. Not every part has the same temperature. The trend could be different if we’re talking...
PLTR Reclaims 50‑Day MA, Investor Holds Position
$PLTR back over 50ma daily nice basing. Still own it here from a variety of purchases https://t.co/fJGyCH17fg
Housing Market Varies: Condos, Entry‑Level, Prime Homes Differ
How is the housing market? It really depends on what we are talking about. Condos? Entry-level price points? Homes that check all the boxes? Properties on busy streets? What parts of the market are cold, warm, or hot? I’d love...
Funds Buy UK Gilts, Betting Market Misreads BOE
UK funds snap up gilts in a bet that markets have the BOE all wrong https://t.co/FFHExPNhxC https://t.co/0e6cHNIwPe
Netflix Holds 10‑EMA Base, Signals Unwinding
$NFLX continues to base along the 10ema and unwinding. Lots of simple education on this chart. Cover and follow left to right, top to bottom. https://t.co/rE5eqHNdEz
Avoid Earnings Trades; Favor Resilient Let‑It‑Ride Positions
I don't hold 'Trades' into earnings reports as it is 50-50 at best. I will hold 'Let It Rides' as they have lots of cushion and can handle pullbacks.
Nvidia's Dominance Seems Unbeatable, yet Valuation Appears Absurd
.@Srasgon on $NVDA: “frankly we increasingly wonder how anyone else can compete with this.” “the order book suggests further upside to numbers, with the stock (in our opinion) almost absurdly valued given their positioning.” https://t.co/qVFTS3D69T
Pregnant Founder Launches $8B Quant Fund, Delivers 11% Returns
This colleague of Michael Platt launched an $8B quant fund at 34 weeks pregnant. Averaged 11.2% annual returns. She is redefining hedge funds.
LSEG: Undervalued Data Powerhouse Offering 15‑20% Returns
Is the London Stock Exchange Group $LSEG the ultimate "all-weather" compounder hiding in plain sight? With a clear path to 15-20% annualized returns, the shift from a legacy exchange to a data powerhouse is hit with a valuation dislocation. https://www.compoundwithrene.com/p/deep-dive-london-stock-exchange-group
Value Stocks at Historic Discount, Poised for Outperformance
Valuation spreads (how cheaply value stocks trade relative to growth stocks) measured as the Price/Book ratio of value stocks divided by growth stocks in the US. "On average, US value stocks have traded at a 78% discount (i.e., 22 cents on...
Only Ten Stocks Combine 25% ROIC and 20% EPS Growth
Just doing some research and screened for companies with BOTH: • ROIC > 25% • Expected EPS growth > 20% per year for the next 5 years Extremely hard to find this level of capital efficiency + explosive growth. Here are the 10 quality...
Refinancing Wall: An Ever-Present Market Reality
Is there ever NOT a "refinancing wall"? Feel like I've been seeing charts like that for 20 years...
SPY Turns Constructive, Hits Target Above 200‑MA
$SPY getting a bit more constructive this week Sentiment washed out a bit Hit my 660 target nicely and basing type price-action above a rising 200-MA as NYMO hit extreme oversold Warned of the bearish RSI divergence into highs earlier this year, that...
Software IGV Shows Potential Higher Low This Week
There's that *potential* higher low in software $IGV. Still early in the week, let's see how this progresses. https://t.co/xVpU0JNgtS
Dollar Holds Firm as Fed Decision Looms
Quick video update on the $DXY levels ahead of tomorrow's Fed decision. U.S. Dollar Strength Meets #Fed Uncertainty Ahead of Critical Rate Call https://t.co/0jeM9epKXi
Financials Edge Up, Testing Downtrend Line
It ain't much, but nice to see financials at least off the lows and attacking the downtrend line. One step at a time, but need to see more stabilization here. $XLF https://t.co/Zs3EOXIR56
Big Oil Uses Doom Forecasts as Lobbying Tool
Big oil has its prophets of doom. When it's unhappy, it trots them out to prophesy doom. One such forecast in 2022 was oil would hit $380 because of the G7 price cap. This is lobbying on behalf of big...
ASTS Gains Momentum as RKLB Remains Un
Space is hot today. We don’t own the leader $RKLB. Maybe today’s close will give us the signal. But $ASTS is starting to firm up for us with a good look in the momentum book. https://t.co/QZBKwq6OHP
Iran Keeps Shipping Oil, China Still Receives It
PHOTO(S) OF THE DAY: China is still getting (some of) its oil — and Iran its getting (some of) its money. Three weeks into the war, Iran continues loading oil supertankers from Kharg Island. (No damage visible at this resolution) Photo @CopernicusEU...
Fed Decision Drives Market Moves: Stock & Dollar Strategy
The Fed is about the move the markets - Here's the trading plan for stocks and the US dollar 👇 https://t.co/kWQkl5Peg1 #FOMC #Forex https://t.co/xIaWfeqjPc
Apartment Concessions Reach Decade‑high, Signaling Market Shift
#Apartment concessions hit highest level in over a decade https://t.co/VtxRVMQc37 @RealPage @ApartmentList @Yardi @jayparsons #rent #realestate #realestateinvesting
2026 Home Sales May Edge Up, Not Boom
Will Home Sales Improve In 2026? Almost Certainly Yes: Because They Just Couldn't Get Any Worse When some Regions hit 30 year lows in Home Sales it's just reasonable to believe the case for a SMALL increase is real But nobody should...
Rising Tanker Traffic Could Shrink Brent's War‑driven Risk Premium
Great piece by @MelissaLawford in @Telegraph on tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and what's going on in global markets. Brent is up 42% from before the war, a big risk premium. As oil tanker traffic picks up, this...
AVAV May Bounce Above $220 Amid War‑Driven Demand
$AVAV Daily. Defense drones/satellites play should be doing better given Iran War. But so far putrid price action. Today gives hope for possible relief bounce above $220 https://t.co/RXv6tbWVjZ
Tiny Fee Differences Compound Into Massive Portfolio Losses
1% investment fee per year will lower your portfolio by ~25.8% over 30 years. 0.10% investment fee per year will lower it by only ~3% over 30 years. That 22.8 percentage point difference could cost you $$$. Fees also compound. Pay attention.
Traders Bet Fed Dovish; Stocks Rise, Dollar Falls
🚨 TRADERS JUST TIPPED THEIR HAND BEFORE FED The market is already telling us what to expect from the Fed - and smart traders are paying attention. Stocks are rallying and the dollar is pulling back ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision. That's...
Roku Shares Surge Amid $18 B Valuation Talk
$ROKU gapping up , getting some attention on this M&A piece mentioning $122 Roku could cost in the range of $18 billion or more
Buy DOCU Call
$DOCU "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 47.50/48 Call Spread (95 cents) and sell the March 41.50 Put for 30 cents." sell to close call spread on any weakness, puts expire.
Nvidia's AI Boom Keeps Stock Range‑Bound; Avoid MU Earnings Risks
📺 RANGE COMPRESSION IN $NVDA, EARNINGS RISK IN $MU $NVDA raised its AI outlook to roughly $1 trillion in demand/revenue visibility through 2027, effectively doubling prior expectations and reinforcing the long-term AI bull case. Despite that, Nvidia is still range-bound and struggling...
Hopium Overload: Market Optimism Needs Reality Check
Based on the index charts that look like umbrella tops, there's a lot of hopium out there. Sentiment: Many may feel washed out, but the stream's sentiment feels like it's full of hopium. People are constantly posting and searching for positives. They've...
5% Dip Is Normal; Expect 14% Average Drops
Over the last 75 years, the average intra-year market drop has been 14%. If you are overly stressed out about the current 5% drawdown, the stock market isn’t for you. Downside volatility is the price investors pay for long-term outperformance....
Short ETF Volume Hits Record, Sentiment Unilaterally Bearish
Volume in short ETFs is the highest ever. Awesome chart from @MacroCharts. Many clues out there that show sentiment is about as one-sided as we've ever seen.
Atlanta Residents Share This Week's Gas Prices
If you live in Atlanta, what prices have you seen this week for gas? I’m trying to see something 👀👀
Brent up 42%, Now Mirrors Post‑Ukraine Invasion Levels
The Brent oil price is up 42% from before the war. This shock has spilled over into all kinds of other things, but what spot and options now markets price (blue) is basically on par with what we saw after...