Indonesia Market Slides 14.5% in Month, Short Position
INDONESIA: stock market crash continues, down another -1.6% overnight to -14.5% in the last month (we're short it) https://t.co/k5VHlZoY7R
SPY Faces Resistance Near 665, Eyes 669‑671 Range
$spy daily chart as $SPX futures look+27 after the oscillator went out -52. $spy has small resistance $665ish much bigger $669-$671. Fridays pivot low $662ish https://t.co/EdvepYd8dv
Oil Shock Drives French Bond Yields to 2011 High
The oil-price shock is taking a bigger toll on European markets, particularly in fixed income, making the ECB's meeting this week arguably more interesting than the Fed's. Yields on French 10-year bonds are back up to the highest since 2011....
Morgan Stanley Lifts Q2/Q3 Oil Forecasts Amid Supply Gap
Morgan Stanley's Martijn Rats raised his oil-price forecast for Q2 to $110 a barrel, up from $80 previously. For Q3, he now sees $90 a barrel, up from $70. Even a reopening of the strait in the short term would...
Master Precise Timing of Market Tops and Bottoms
If you missed these strategies, then watch them tonight. Learn how we can accurately time tops and bottoms.
UniCredit's €35bn Hostile Bid Meets Commerzbank Resistance
Good Morning from #Germany, where UniCredit has launched a €35bn hostile takeover bid for Commerzbank, offering a premium of just 4% over Friday’s closing price, acc to BBG calculations. Commerzbank's management is likely to rebuff UniCredit's €30.8 per share offer,...
Korea's Chip Duo Dependency Sparks Market Volatility
The risks of South Korean stock market’s reliance on two chip heavyweights have long been flagged, but few took them seriously until the nearly $4 trillion market was rocked by volatility after the Iran war https://t.co/wDZBlqSrsQ
Iran Attacks Fujairah, Spares Saudi Pipeline Bypass
Iran has started a new phase of its oil war: Tehran is clearly going after the Strait of Hormuz bypass route, with Fujairah (UAE) coming under attack. But so far, the Saudi pipeline bypass hasn't been attacked (and neither the Yemeni...
Invest in Yourself First: Pay Yourself Before Bills
You pay your landlord first. You pay your network provider first. You pay everyone else first. But when last did you pay yourself? Most people invest whatever is left after spending, which is usually nothing. The Pay-Yourself-First rule flips the entire script. You invest before...
Oversold Markets Signal Rebound Amid Bearish Technicals
Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts: 1. Technically things look fairly bearish overall. 2. But recent history shows the tendency for rebounds (even during bear markets). 3. And conditions are currently looking notably oversold. 4. Yet there are some vulnerabilities being exposed in...
Missing 10 Best S&P Days Halves Your Returns
Every time the market goes down, I'm always reminded of this chart. It was created by Visual Capitalist in 2023. It shows the impact on an investor's return by simply missing the 10 best days of the S&P 500's returns...
Global GDP Figures Overstated by up to 35%
This paper says India's GDP is overstated by 22%. It also says that Europe's GDP and China's GDP are both overstated by 35%.
Midcap Neckline Break Signals Potential Market Downturn
Some people cannot see the H&S on the Nifty chart. Try using a line chart. Unfortunately, the target for this pattern is already almost achieved. However, the Nifty Midcap index has a similar pattern, and the neckline just broke on...
Big Bonus? Sometimes Leaving It in the Bank Wins
$40,000 bonus. Client sitting across from me asking where to invest it. I pulled out a calculator, punched in the numbers, turned the screen toward him, and said "honestly, it's not worth it. Leave it in the bank." He looked at me...
US Says Oil Prices Will Rise Until Hormuz Reopens
U.S. government acknowledges oil prices will likely continue to rise until Strait of Hormuz is re.-opened: https://t.co/3Db7xAQBDO
Gold ETFs Record $5.5B Outflows Signal Potential Correction
🔴What is happening with Gold ETF flows? The largest gold-backed ETFs, including $GLD, $IAU, and $GLDM, saw a record -$5.52 billion in combined outflows last week. A breather before the next leg higher, or the start of a bigger correction?👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-stocks-posted-the-worst-week-since-october-amid-surging-oil-prices-weekly-market-recap-trading-we
Equities' Future Value Lies in Expected Cash Flows
One of the best articulations of the long-term economics question in equities right now. We sleep on a bed of prosperity lined with the expectation of future cash flows.
Use 15‑min Swing Structure + Zones for Reliable Reversals
Many traders try to catch reversals on lower time frames and end up getting faked out. A clearer way to spot reversals is by watching swing highs and swing lows on the 15 minute chart while marking key supply and demand...
China's 2026 Economy Starts Steady, Boosting Consumption Shift
China’s Economy Off to Steady Start in 2026 Amid Lowered Expectations—Better-than-expected performance in first two months of year opens space for Beijing to pursue goal of shifting toward consumption-led growth @ByXiaoXiao @TByGraceZhu https://t.co/KtqJ6NLc1z https://t.co/KtqJ6NLc1z
Saudi Reroutes Oil via Red Sea Amid Hormuz Closure
♦️Here’s a striking example of how a closure of the Strait of Hormuz can reshape global oil flows—and how Saudi Arabia can rapidly adapt by diverting supplies from its eastern fields to western Red Sea terminals. ♦️A VLCC oil tanker was...
2026 Equity Risk Premium Update for Practitioners Released
The equity risk premium (ERP) is an essential ingredient in hurdle rates in corporate finance, discount rates in valuation and expected returns in financial planning. In 2009, I pulled together everything I know about the ERP, in a paper that...
Central Banks Pause Rates Amid Oil, Middle East Risks
Central banks worldwide hold rates steady this week as they watch oil prices and Middle East tensions. The Fed's Powell leads his second-to-last FOMC meeting. 🟢 Open https://t.co/d9xKHu64X9
Soybean Outlook Dimmed as US‑China Talks Stall
Uncertainty returned to commodity markets on Sunday night and soybeans aren't happy with the latest US-China news. Not only may Trump delay his meeting w/ Xi, but the mention of China eyeing "non-soybean row crops" dampens hopes it will buy an...
Soybean Oil-to-Bean Ratio Hits Record High Since 1974
Fun fact: Last Monday, the soybean oil/soybean ratio reached its highest level since futures began trading, with the exception of a couple weeks in June 1974.
Trump Urges Powell to Cut Rates, Fund Global Rebuild
Trump wants powell to lower interest rates and keep printing dollars to fund rebuilding Gaza, Venezuela, Cuba, Mexico and Iran https://t.co/5SBPUcPukV
Accenture's AI Bookings Surge, Fueling Services Upside
$ACN Q2 FY2026 drops Thursday before the bell. Consensus is $2.87 EPS on ~$17.8B revenue. Last quarter, Accenture beat by $0.21 on EPS with $18.74B in revenue, $2.2B in Advanced AI bookings, and $1.1B in Advanced AI revenue. Stock is...
USDJPY Near 160; Intervention Unlikely Amid Rising Yields
$USDJPY near 160, going to be tough for an intervention to be effective with the winds pushing yields up thanks to oil (as goes the case for any major energy importer at the moment)
Master the 50% Rule: Quick NOI, Win Deals
Stop guessing your NOI. 🛑 If you can’t run the numbers in 30 seconds, you’re going to lose the deal to someone who can. The 50% Rule is your “back of the napkin” litmus test for multifamily. If the math doesn’t...
Data-Driven Insight Predicted Green Market, Long QQQ Wins
Market is green who is surprised 🤔 Tell you this much I’m not Don’t believe me? Look at the screenshots yourself On Friday TBL team and I seen an imbalance forming Bitcoin red? Gold red? Vix red? I knew something...
Longeveron Primed for Breakout Post‑placement
$LGVN - "Longeveron closes USD 15 million private placement of shares" Over 50x relative volume on its initial breakout last week over its 200MA, followed by multiple days of low relative vol consolidation... now, I'll be looking for continuation on the...
Swap Powers Boost Flexibility and Tax Efficiency in Irrevocable Trusts
The downside of irrevocable trusts are that they are "irrevocable" and can't easily be undone ➡️ But here's how "swap powers" – the ability to exchange assets in an irrevocable trust with other assets of equivalent value – can be...
Capital‑light Models Boost Returns on Reinvested Cash
"Capital-light models amplify the power of reinvested cash flows." 💡 Want your money to work harder without tying up massive capital? Capital-light investment models are game-changers.l
Step‑up in Basis Can Erase Capital Gains Tax
If you bought a home for $500k and it is now worth $1M when you pass away, your children generally receive a “step up in basis.” If they sell it, they may owe no capital gains tax. But if you gift...
SPX Slides Below 3‑Month Range Amid FOMC, Iran Tensions
SPX has broken solidly below its 3-month range. This next week brings expiration dynamics and FOMC, with the backdrop of geopolitical risk from the Iran conflict. Where could this market be headed? View our weekly analysis at: https://t.co/f2As6iRdoD
Sunday Stalk List: Spotting the Market Bounce
The Sunday Stalk List | Ep. 40 This Week’s Theme: The "Bounce" Check out the charts I'm Stalking 👇 https://t.co/F52ws0GUdA
Apple's AI Hardware Push Could Lift Stock 33%
Apple’s AI Hardware Blitz Could Send The Stock 33% Higher, Says Wedbush’s Dan Ives https://asymco.com/2026/03/09/apples-ai-hardware-blitz-could-send-the-stock-33-higher-says-wedbushs-dan-ives/
FTSE Small-Cap Faces Bearish Pressure, Testing Support
#FTSEsmallcap small Down Candle. Support 7354, 7155, 7102. RSI 32 low but not Oversold. 13/21 day EMAs Bearish. Down Candle on Weekly. Top Bollinger Band 7918. Midpoint Line 7675. Bottom Band 7432.
Atlanta Condo Hits 22% Loss, $1,750 Monthly Deal
Some crazy deals are popping up on condos. On this listing, seller in ATL is taking a 22% loss from their 2023 purchase. Current list of $229k almost back to pre-pandemic valuation. A mortgaged buyer can buy at all-in cost of $1,750/month,...
Nasdaq Tests Key Support Amid Bearish Indicators
#Nasdaq Comp Down Candle and testing Support. Support 20906, 20560, 20000. RSI 41 not low. 13/21 day EMAs Bearish. Inverted Hammer on Weekly, but really a doji. Top Bollinger Band 23030. Midpoint Line 22572. Bottom Band 22122.
Higher Stock Returns Reward Higher Risk
The only reason why stocks have a higher long-term return than bonds and cash is to compensate investors for taking on the greater risk of uncertainty, volatility and drawdowns along the way. Without this risk there would be no higher reward....
Strait of Hormel Closed, Chili Spikes to $200 per Barrel
the Strait of Hormel remains closed and the price of chili has surged to $200 a barrel
Qatar, Kuwait Will Dump US Assets Amid GDP Collapse
If their GDP drops 14%, do you think Qatar and Kuwait will: a) Slash government outlays (thereby risking domestic unrest), or; b) Sell USTs & US equities “until their hands bleed” to raise USDs to buy needed goods to try to...
Markets Hunt Exit Strategy in Weekly Report
Weekly Market Report: In Search of an Off-Ramp. Everything you need to know, almost. Link in reply below. 👇 $SPY $GLD $VEU $UUP $TLT $DBC $IEF https://t.co/5P0NWyluhR
Oil Demand Loss Hurts Big Economies More than Small
At risk of sounding unkind, for the global economic impact, it matters where oil demand destruction happens. The GDP hit — and spillover — isn’t the same if it occurs in a small economy like, say, Bangladesh, than if it happens...
Monday Trade Picks: Energy, Crypto, Cloud, and More
Dragonfly Capital - Trade Ideas for Monday: Peabody, Coinbase, Devon, H&P and Cloudfare https://t.co/nGJcG76Dlp $BTU $COIN $DVN $GP $NET
IEA vs Market: Hormuz Closure Impact Dispute
Iran's supreme leader says the Strait of Hormuz should remain closed. Tankers are burning near Basra. The market is treating this like a temporary disruption. The IEA is treating it like a structural one. Someone is wrong. https://t.co/VEZoi3Wz44
S&P 500 Logs 32nd 5% Pullback Since 2009
The S&P 500 is down 5.4% from its Jan 28 peak, the 32nd pullback >5% since the March 2009 low. Video: https://t.co/P29a0c5vMR
Big Tech Slumps Over 20% Amid Bear Market
Big Tech in bear market territory... Amazon -20% Tesla -22% Meta - 23% Palantir -28% Netflix -29% Microsoft -29% Oracle -55%
Magnificent Seven All Down, Lagging S&P 500
All 7 members of the Magnificent Seven are down on the year and underperforming the S&P 500. Video: https://t.co/P29a0c5vMR
Crude Oil's 48% Surge Marks Second‑Largest 2‑Week Jump
Crude Oil Futures started trading in 1983. The 48% spike over the past 2 weeks was the 2nd biggest 2-week % increase in history. From $67/barrel to $99/barrel... Video: https://t.co/P29a0c5vMR