Stocks Above 50‑Day Avg Rise, Hinting Near Low
Technicians know to look not only for oversold extremes but also divergences, such as credit spreads making a lower high while equity indices make lower lows. So far, we are not seeing those. One glimmer of hope, at least over the short term, is that while the MSCI ACWI made a new low on Friday, the percentage of global stocks trading above their 50-day average made a higher low. This suggests that at least some sort of short-term trading low may be near.
Raise Kids for Life on Under $500 Monthly
Don't buy your kids Jordans. Don't buy your kids a new iPad. Don't buy your kids an iPhone. Here's how you can set up your kids for life without spending more than $500 a month...
Two-Day Momentum Picks: 12 Stocks Surging Over 2%
12 Stocks With Strong Follow-Through Up Another 2%+ Today. Save This List. These names didn’t just bounce — they’re showing real conviction with two straight days of solid gains. This is exactly the kind of momentum I watch for when the market starts pricing...
Adapt Your Credit Exposure: One Size Doesn't Fit All
Why would you hold the same credit exposure in every environment? Bull market, bear market, crisis, calm. Same portfolio? That's not a strategy. $JOJO adapts. https://t.co/btj3P2nFv0
US‑Israel Iran Conflict Boosts Chinese Exporters’ Global Market Share
Ah, well, nevertheless: "The US and Israel’s war on Iran is expected to help China’s exporters gain global market share from rivals in countries hit harder by high energy prices and supply chain shocks" https://t.co/FzaZnRiklq https://t.co/oA3t3jaaS4
Gap Fill Speed Reveals Underlying Trend Strength
$SPY would have to decline to 651.54 and $QQQ to 578.64 to fill this morning’s potential breakaway gaps, and $QQQ has now filled last Thursday’s gap. (No fooling…) How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives...
Use Relief Rally to Right‑size Portfolio After Leg Down
If you didn't like how your portfolio felt last week on the latest leg down, this relief rally is a good spot to right-size things.
Discretion Beats Algorithms: Spotting Gold’s Hidden Reversal
Gold: A textbook 5 SMA retest down after extended run before then setting up higher low/u turn reversal. The quant model didn't pick it up due to the closing mark of the first reaction bar up. ARGUING for the...
Product Prices Reveal Story, Crude Oil Doesn't
What tells a clear story? Crude oil prices = No Product prices = Yes... https://t.co/Ltyf8VQx12
Dollar and Oil Slip, Gold and Stocks Rally
Today's Opening Bell USD, Oil Slide as Gold & Equities Pop- Trump on Deck (Asset Chaptered) https://t.co/jntCW5JrUN
Vanguard's Edge: Long‑term Investors Capture Full Gains
"[W]hat appears to have set Vanguard apart is its fund investors largely staying put and, thus, participating more fully in their gains." A good news story, and a characteristically thoughtful analysis, from @syouth1 https://t.co/HCPoMAVGqV
Rising Input Costs Push Index Up, Inflation Near 4%
This index "has now risen by nearly 20 points in just two months, as higher energy prices have come amid rising costs of other raw materials. On past form, it now looks consistent with headline inflation rising to 4% in...
NRP Poised for 30% Upside as Distributions Return
$NRP is up 30% over the past 12 months. With preferreds retired, the company is set to resume higher distributions. Timing has slipped, though, due to a severe soda ash downcycle forcing reinvestment into the segment. Management now guides to likely distributions...
Market Nears Support, Yet No Oversold Signals
How far do we go down? No one knows of course, but the weekly chart shows that we are approaching the previous peak of 6127. That should act as support, as well as the rising trendline. However, the percentage of...
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USO and Oil Shorts Performing Strongly Today
2nd tarde of the day here with $USO and #OIL short here. so far so good. 🫡💥 https://t.co/qXhkRgCEbx
Slow Line Dips Below Zero, Meeting Downside Target
Update: The minimum downside objective was met with a CLOSE of the slow line beneath the zero line on the weekly charts. (suggested 2 1/2 months ago) https://t.co/dkTsV9E8Vi
Targeting GBPUSD Reversal with Buy Limit at 1.32787
Let’s try to catch the reversal move on GBPUSD. 🎯 🔻 Buy Limit: 1.32787 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.32184 🎯 Take Profit: 1.33952
High‑Yield Bonds Diverge, Falling While Risk Rally Persists
$HYG Daily. Biggest early divergence to the rally in risk is high yield/junk and some private credit names in the red. Here, high yield corporate bonds gapping down. Trump speech tonight on tap https://t.co/9x0hkcFmtd
Trend Day Upswing Likely to Revert to EMA
following a trend day up, probabilities favor reversion to the 15 minute pit session EMA before the end of the day. https://t.co/uXHTqKZRRv
Spotting Fakeout Breakdowns in Oversold Uptrends
$ITA - Oversold within the context of a longer term uptrend with "fakeout" breakdown and well defined risk. These type(s) of setups are my focus.... https://t.co/tJ1TzyF04C
Range Expansion Outside Daily KC Signals Selling Climax
Friday: Range expansion with close outside of the daily KC at end of wing down = selling climax. https://t.co/IxmgbfoieA
Mag 7 Slump Drags S&P; Breadth Still Not
The Mag 7 are now leading the way down, which means that the cap-weighted S&P 500 is following suit. The M7 peaked last October and is down 17% from that high. That’s almost twice as much as the S&P 500....
Middle East War Lifts Fixed
Most Fixed Mortgage Rates Are Now In The 4% Range: What Should People Do? The War In The Middle East drove up Canada Bond Yields & therefore drove up Fixed Rates 5 - Yr 4.04% - 4.29% Variable Rate Mortgages now look...
Crocs Paid Half Its Market Cap for Tiny HeyDude Sales
Last year, the Crocs brand sold ~129 million pairs of shoes - or nearly 6x greater than the ~22 million pairs that were sold under the HeyDude brand. In early 2022, Crocs paid ~$2.5 billion for HeyDude. The company's market cap is...
Silver Blow‑off Targets $28.31 Low by 2030
$Silver - Blow off moves in the past ended with a return to the origin of the blow off. In 1980 it was to the April 1978 low at 4.90. In 2011 it was to the February 2010 low at...
USO Iron Condor Targets 115‑135 Range Through 2027
Oil (USO) interesting trade September 2027 as the $140/$135/$115/$110 Iron Condor trades 1000X expecting a 115-135 longer-term range to hold
Mortgage Refinance Demand Drops over 40% in a Month
Weekly #mortgage refinance demand is down more than 40% in the past month https://t.co/KBjl0aRgH6 @MBAMortgage @mortgagenewsmnd #interestrates #economy
Apartment Rents Slide as War, Job Cuts Curb Demand
#Apartment #rents weaken further as war and job cuts weigh on demand https://t.co/bhTYCv7BMT @ApartmentList @CoStarGroup @apartmentscom
Gold's Bearish Engulfing Hints End of Bull Market
$Gold - The March candle was a bearish engulfing candle similar to September 2011. At the monthly low it hit the 10 month MA as it did in September 2011. The bull market may be over and gold could suffer...
Market Stress Unites Cap and Equal‑Weighted S&P 500
During times of market stress, correlations tend to converge to 1, and that is the case now within the equity markets. The chart below shows that the S&P 500 cap-weighted index is suffering the same fate as the equal-weighted index....
U.S. Dollar Index Remains Boring Amid Forecast Hype
i've said it before and i'll say it again, the U.S. dollar index $DXY has got to be one of the most boring 🥱🥱🥱charts out there... and my enthusiasm feels inversely correlated to those that like to prognoticate about it......
MO Crashes; Bought April Puts at 5000x
$MO ugly with some news this morning and had those Apr. puts bought 5000X other day https://t.co/ChO9ndG1S1
Ellen Wald: Brent Prices Must Rise Amid Iran War
Watch Price of Brent Should Be Higher to Reflect Situation in Iran War, Says Ellen Wald - Bloomberg @ACGlobalEnergy #oott #iran https://t.co/rdYCFWeqvC
Nike Investors Endure 74% Loss over Five Years
I don’t know what’s more painful: losing 74% of your investment from the highs, or having to sit through it for five years. Tough stretch for Nike investors $NKE https://t.co/qoshCVwoO0
Navigate Care Costs, Dream Test Drives, and Raise Requests
💰 Personal finance links: the high costs of long-term care, test-driving your dreams, and how to ask for a raise at work. https://t.co/jYsUMSYOxm image: https://t.co/Xbr9dODbqQ https://t.co/RNxFJ8sMIV
Energy Trim Not Bearish; Valero Shows Reversal Potential
just cause we took some energy stock gains in #AllINsync (trimmed in red circles) doesn't make me bearish... had just been expecting that energy stocks would reverse when the market bottomed... here's our Valero $VLO activity... https://t.co/BlDE6WNa6w
Mortgage Applications Plunge 10% Weekly, Purchase Demand Slides 3%
Mortgage applications decreased 10.4 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey ... The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 3 percent from one week earlier.
AI-Focused Positioning Drives Nvidia’s Massive Outperformance over AMD
Nvidia vs AMD over the last 5 years: NVDA: +1,158% AMD: +157% Same industry… completely different outcomes. The difference? Positioning around the AI boom. The market rewards companies that dominate trends—not just participate in them.
Diesel Prices Show Striking, Relevant Dispersion Nationwide
I will keep retweeting updates of @GasBuddyGuy great data. This dispersion in diesel prices is both striking and relevant.
Large Warehouse Leases Surge 31% as Data Centers Drive Demand
High time for storage. Demand for biggest #warehouses rebounds, w/146 leases of 500KSF bldgs+ in 25. That's up 31%+. '#Datacenter construction is starting to be a demand driver.' #realestate #CRE #industrial #logistics #Cushman #Savills https://t.co/qPqh4r1J17 via @WSJ https://t.co/6eV5DXeJBR
Average Investors Lag S&P; Index Funds Win
The average investor made 2.1%/yr in 1996-2015 vs 8.2%/yr for the S&P 500. This is exactly why many investors should just invest in index funds and chill. Stop gambling in individual stocks. Stop options trading. Start investing.
TSX Leads Major Indices Back to 50‑Day Average
the Toronto stock market $TSX is the first of the big indices back to the 50-day average, continuing to offer it's relative strength advantage...
SPYM Doubles Competitors, Leads VOO in YTD Flows
Inigo Montoya, err I mean $SPYM, took in double any other ETF over the past month. Now has comfortable lead over $VOO in YTD flows. https://t.co/jLeSeHAiNw
Cold‑Storage Hits 20‑Year High Amid Looming Industry Challenges
The reason nature abhors a vacuum is cuz it's chilly. 20-yr high hit in #coldstorage, as bldg boom, rising costs+weak demand take their toll. 'The industry is g/to have a tough couple of years.' #realestate #CRE #industrial #logistics #mortgage https://t.co/30UETCwZhR...
Oil Shocks Fade; Markets Typically Rebound Within Months
Military conflicts and oil shocks are nothing new. We’ve been through this many times. Yes, they create uncertainty and shake things up, but historically oil has come back down within a few months, and stocks often start moving higher not...
Kite Lake Secures $700M, Signaling Hedge Fund Appetite
𝐓𝐇𝐈𝐒 𝐈𝐒 𝐍𝐎𝐓 𝐀 𝐉𝐎𝐊𝐄! Kite Lake raised $700 million in new cash, signaling improving appetite for hedge funds. The event-driven trading specialist reopened for a day to take in the money and closed it to further capital again. https://t.co/8wIkR828BM
ETF Flows Tighten While Volume Surges Across Sectors
In this week's video we highlight the rise of restraint from ETF flows, as well as dig into elevated ETF volume, and a few sector flow charts you should know. https://t.co/ewwa4G5PCz
DJP Quarterly Chart Forms Cup‑Handle Breakout
iPath Bloomberg Commodity $DJP quarterly chart... looks like a big cup with handle breakout to me, if you're asking... https://t.co/RvQ7TfV1do
Fundamentals Strong, S&P 2026 Target 7100 Signals 9% Gain
"Although sentiment has soured, fundamentals have remained resilient. S&P 500 2026 earnings estimates rose 2% in March, pushing consensus growth expectations up to 17% YoY. At the same time, the S&P 500's forward PE sits ~15% below its recent peak...