Navy Escort Through Hormuz Eases Supply Fears, Oil Falls
This Bloomberg headline crossing now may explain the new downturn in crude oil prices (repost) --- *US NAVY ESCORTED AN OIL TANKER THROUGH THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ
Sell‑side Lagging; Real Market Move Still Ahead
JPMorgan sees a 10% $SPY pullback. Goldman raised Brent to $76 Q2 target — before oil hit $111. When the sell-side is behind the curve, the real move hasn't happened yet. https://t.co/eWvAv1XMRu
US Oil Slides 15% to $80, 32% Below Peak
*US OIL PRICES EXTEND DECLINE, FALL 15% TO TRADE NEAR $80/BBL April 2026 WTI futures are now down ~32% since Sunday night's peak https://t.co/9QugACQ3Q0
Renewables Don't Drive Up U.S. Electricity Prices
Think of this graph of real U.S. price and electricity production data, straight from the Department of @Energy, next time you hear the false claim that renewables increase electricity prices and that coal, gas, or nuclear is needed to keep...
Housing Stagflation Boosts Buyer Leverage Amid Seller Fatigue
The housing market is hitting stagflation. Jobs are cooling, but the unauthorized war in Iran is keeping oil prices and rates high. Sellers are losing patience and re-listings are at a decade high, giving buyers more leverage. https://t.co/tK43N2ajFT
Live US CPI Trade: NQ, Gold, Forex Opportunities
Trade US CPI LIVE tomorrow with Boris and Sam starting at 8AM ET / 12 GMT @fxflow They'll be hunting for opportunities in NQ, Gold and Forex https://t.co/9c2DFZTDGK
Kirkuk Pipeline Offers Iraq's Sole Hormuz Bypass
Oil production around Kirkuk, in Iraqi Kurdistan, is connected to global markets via a pipeline to the Turkish port of Ceyhan This is Iraq’s only crude supply that can bypass the currently-closed Strait of Hormuz Shut-ins in the Basra area by the...
ING Predicts Oil Market Shock if Hormuz Closes
What impact will closing the Strait of Hormuz have? ING takes a guess featured in the Chartbook Top Links of today. https://t.co/aiQTNxvQMb
HIMS Spikes 55%—Classic Short Squeeze, Lock in Profits
$HIMS surged 55% while the S&P hit its 2026 low. 35.5% short interest. Novo Nordisk deal. Classic squeeze. Fat people need weight loss drugs But here's the thing — if it rips past the value trigger, take profit. Don't fall in love...
GBP/USD Rallies, Eyes March High Breakout Risk
British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Three-Day Rally Tests March Range High- Breakout Risk Builds https://t.co/W09S823voH $GBPUSD Weekly Chart https://t.co/KXMx8hxaQR
Hard Assets Rally as War Ends, Metals Lead
“Precious metals surge as the war ends.” Bizarre, to say the least. Very solid move in miners and Latin American stocks today. Also worth noting: Oil and gas equities remain remarkably resilient despite the volatility in energy prices. None of us own enough hard...
Energy Leads as US Stocks Slip, Value Rotation Persists
US Equity Weekly (Mar 10, 2026) S&P 500 -2% (worst week since Oct) to 6,740. Dow -3%, Russell -4.1%. Oil spiked on Iran strikes + weak payrolls (-92k jobs). Energy led; Tech/Discretionary lagged. VIX →28, yields to 4.14%. Monday relief rally after...
Market Already Priced the Rally; Right‑tail Calls Unchanged
SPX is up 100 handles since Friday close. 10 Delta "right tail" 3 month calls are unchanged. The right tail was more than fully priced. If you are congratulating yourself for "calling" a taco/war cessation or whatever....
Hormuz Closure Reverses WCS‑WTI Spread Amid Sour Crude Flow
Most of the crude that ships out of the Strait of Hormuz is medium-to-heavy sour Western Canadian Select at Houston vs WTI, which reflects a clean light-heavy quality differential, had weakened (widened) on Venezuela reentering the USGC market—Hormuz closure entirely reversed...
HIMS Reverses
$HIMS price action today opposite of friday. --chasers on Open punished but but seeing buying above friday afternoon resistance. --50% move above recent prices needs some time to digest. https://t.co/3DBSVSTVw0
Google Stock Shows Solid Upside After Breaking Resistance
decent upside follow thru in $GOOGL today. buyers stepped in right at ystdy afternoon resistance. https://t.co/TCVlsnIdzE
Mechanical Put Bounce Signals Rising Investor Risk
Nothing has changed: the bounce was predicted on mechanical put monetization NOT fundamentals. Now we wait for VIX to base & move higher as posted for clients on more active timeframes. ;-) But big picture, risk has only increased for investors....
How IEA Emergency Oil Releases Actually Work
It's a while since the last IEA emergency oil release, so I put together a briefing note on how it works in practice as it follows a strict technical and diplomatic protocol. The below is a (simplified) guide to follow...
Higher Income Won’t Save You Without Money Management
Yes... earning more can help. But I’ve also seen plenty of people making six figures who still feel broke every month. Why? Because income by itself doesn’t fix money habits. If there’s no plan for your money, a bigger paycheck usually just means...
Extreme Backwardation Signals Temporary, Overdone Oil Price Spike
You didn't have to be a genius to look at the extreme backwardation in the Futures curve for crude oil to call the current price spike temporary, and overdone. #CrudeOil
30-Year Mortgage Rates Drop 63 Bps, Spread Narrows
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate today: 6.09% Same day last year: 6.72% -------------------- 10-year Treasury yield: 4.12% Spread today: 197 bps
MSTR Lows and Premium Persist; Capitulation
I don't think the lows in $MSTR nor its premium to NAV are in. True capitulation only arrives when the orange dots stop. https://t.co/Xo0lbzEvxE
SPY Climbs Higher; Morning Trade Proves Successful
$spy morning glance as we try and digest higher. So far the morning trade worked https://t.co/PmlVmn37AU
Japan Sets NdPr Price Floor, Investors Remain Unmoved
Japan becomes the second country to lock in a NdPr price floor. Countries seem to recognise the issue with rare earths but equity investors seem not to... https://t.co/5GI3bRV7K3
NVIDIA’s $120B Earnings Make Now Ideal Entry
NVIDIA makes $120 billion in net income a year. The stock is down from its highs. One week before the most watched event in AI — GTC 2026 — this may be the best entry point in over a year....
Feb 2026 Home Sales Fall 17% Below
U.S. existing home sales total 257,000 in February 2026 Since 2000, February has averaged 310,000 U.S. existing home sales Resale turnover remains constrained Table via @ResidentialClub Data via @nardotrealtor https://t.co/4g2dE9eSU5
Corn Supplies Surpass Forecasts Amid Brazil, Ukraine Harvests
World corn stocks come in above expectations on larger crops in Brazil and Ukraine. Slight downward adjustment in wheat stocks and minimal movement in soybeans. Chinese soy/corn/wheat demand assumptions were unchanged. https://t.co/nknz514GTs
Market Stays Calm Amid Monthly Crop Report
Today's market response thus far about as calm as they come for a monthly crop report. #oatt
Buy Crude at 83‑92; Below $75 Signals End
If you are bullish crude on reescalation, this is the buy zone .. Equilibrium in CL1 should be 83/92 .. Single prints yesterday on trump comments in the 91/92 area. Below $75 (the first Sunday gap when the war started)...
World Corn Stocks up Nearly 4 MMT, USDA Reports
World #corn stocks rise by nearly 4 mmt in today's WASDE report from USDA #oatt
Today's IBIT Leaders: All Top Five Options Are Calls
Top 5 IBIT options traded today (by volume and by notional) are all calls: https://t.co/LW4IxoGyqb
USDA Holds Corn, Soybean, Wheat Stocks Estimates Steady
USDA made no changes to U.S. #corn, #soybean, or #wheat ending stocks estimates today. #oatt
USDA Tweaks Brazil Corn up, Cuts Argentina Corn, Soy
USDA left Brazil #soybean crop unchanged at 180 mmt, raised its #corn crop 1 mmt to 132 mmt, Cut Argentina's corn 1 mmt to 52 mmt, while cutting soybeans 0.5 mmt to 48.0 mmt #oatt
Large‑Cap Valuations at Historic Premium Over Small‑Mid Caps
The large-cap valuation premium is still near historical extremes. Large caps are trading at a ~28–36% premium to small and mid caps. That’s historically wide outside of the late-1990s tech bubble. The chart tracks forward P/E ratios for three indices: * Red: S&P 500...
Precious Metals Outperform US Stocks, Stay Long
CHART OF THE DAY: We Remain Long Of Precious Metals Which Continue To Smoke US Stocks https://t.co/6qnn1dwo1s via @hedgeye
Potential QQQ Upside Move Targets 616 Level
i don't think this resolves to the upside but if it does 616 would be in play. $QQQ https://t.co/5aOYPZSx0r
Lumentum Joins S&P 500, Remains Momentum Buy
Lumentum graduating from mid-cap status into the big leagues with inclusion into the S&P 500. Stock is part of our momentum buy list and continues to act well technically (long) $LITE https://t.co/DTkN238w42
Even Small Salaries Can Kickstart Investing Today
Your salary is not too small to invest. The habit of investing is built on small salaries; not big ones. - Pay yourself first, before anything else (10%) - Start with as little as ₦1,000 (Cowrywise, PiggyVest and Risevest) - Cut one unnecessary expense...
How to Fund Apple Cash and Maximize Apple Card Rewards
Just joining the complex Apple Card ecosystem? It's smart to learn how to move your money around, including funding your Apple Cash. Here's a primer that explains how everything interrelates and how to maximize your rewards: https://t.co/ZPP9OBmIZw #applecard #applecash #banking...
Oracle Earnings Spark 15% IGV Rebound, Momentum Persists
Perhaps some Oracle earnings day jitters for the software etf $IGV. Nice 15% bounce off the recent lows and still might not be done, but we're seeing our first rest day. https://t.co/5RTK5xXcNv
India Redirects LPG to Homes Amid Gas Shortage
INDIA GAS SHORTAGE 🇮🇳 ⚠️ India invoked emergency powers to redirect LPG away from industrial users to households LNG supplies to petrochemical and power plants are being curbed The crisis in the Middle East is throttling India’s LPG and LNG supply https://t.co/ujn00XTSnf
Venezuela's Bolivar Plummets 87%, Calls for Dollarization
On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the Venezuelan bolivar ranks as the WORLD'S WORST currency. The bolivar has depreciated by 87% against the USD over the past year. VENEZUELA'S PATH TO RECOVERY = REPLACING THE BOLIVAR WITH THE DOLLAR. https://t.co/rbalL5aTfh
Gas Hits $3.54, Adding $25 Monthly Tax
What a chart. Gas prices are now $3.54, up more than 55 cents since before the war in Iran began. This is the highest gas price ever under President Trump (including his first term). This is effectively a $25/mo. tax on most households....
China's Jan‑Feb Soy Imports Hit 7‑year Low
🇨🇳China imported 12.55 million metric tons of soybeans in Jan-Feb, the smallest volume for the period in 7 years. The Brazilian harvest was slower, U.S. cargoes were still en route and customs clearing times were extended. Expectations for March are...
Invest $288 per Paycheck, Retire with $2M Tax‑free
If you... - Put $288 per paycheck in a Roth IRA - Invest in low cost ETFs - Starting at age 30 - Until retirement You'll only pay $263k. But you'll EARN $2,032,680 (tax free). Here's exactly how it works:
Dollar Stalls Near 99.50 as Risk Aversion Eases
The Dollar stallout around 99.50 aligned to channel, some Fib standing and of course the curb on severe risk aversion around oil prices. That said, not a lot of pullback in the softened rate cut expectations around the FOMC's 2026...
Value Investing Returns Amid Historic Growth Cycle
We are in the midst of one of the largest growth cycles in modern history. Has the switch finally been flipped back to value in 2026?
SPY Weekly
Back to underside of 20sma weekly $SPY now resistance, and goal for the bulls is to close over it by Friday. For bears, to slap down against it
Deep Research Jumpstarts Investment Thesis Evaluation
Deep research can save so much time evaluating an investment thesis You can't rely on it entirely, but an awesome start https://t.co/PLQyWBlnS1
AVGO's AI Surge Forces Target Revision to $310
I've been saying $AVGO is overvalued for months. Last week's earnings proved me wrong. $8.4B AI revenue. 77% gross margin. Q2 guide +140%. I take my words back. Updated my BuyTrigger to $310. But the war isn't stopping tomorrow. No rush, darling. Let...