Oil Call Options Show Limited Upside Beyond $120
🚨 Call options on oil DO NOT indicate significant interest above $120/barrel. signals optimism oil-price rise may be contained. https://t.co/nlL7YR1ZsA
Market Easing on Trump Prolongs Strait of Hormuz Crisis
This isn’t over and the current market reaction, by reducing pressure on Trump, is only elongating the duration of the crisis and the physical disruption through the Strait of Hormuz. https://t.co/bMeee4CJjz
Balance Debt Repayment and Investing to Avoid Future Harm
Both paying off debt and investing are important, but you don't want one goal to end up hurting you down the line.
Strong Entry, Patience Needed Amid Volatile Early Trading
I'm liking the price action so far in the first hour of trading. There's definitely some subtle improvements beneath the surface in recent days. It's still going to be volatile over the near-term, but having a strong entry point, a...
GBPUSD Rally Hits Key Resistance Ahead of CPI
Short video update on the $GBPUSD levels British Pound Rally Faces Major Resistance Into CPI Data https://t.co/JFEq01EOzu
Commodity Hedges Rarely Succeed; Soybean‑crude Link Fails Fast
Very rarely in my 32 years have I seen hedging off risk in another commodity work out. Sometimes it does, but not often. If you bought #soybeans Sunday to protect against rising crude that "hedge" is quickly deflating.
Existing-Home Sales Rise to 4.09 M; Prices Edge
NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.09 million SAAR in February Median House Prices Increased 0.3% Year-over-Year https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/nar-existing-home-sales-increased-836
Tech ETF XLK in Multi‑Timeframe Downtrend vs SPX
downtrends on all 4-time frames for technology $XLK vs. S&P 500 $SPX... top right: 8/20EMA top left: 20EMA/50SMA bottom left: 50/200SMA bottom right: 13/34-week EMA https://t.co/886pewnn9R
Dollar Bounce Signals Buying Opportunity, Risks for Commodities
If you know where the dollar is going, you know where global liquidity is going. $DXY just bounced hard off 96.65 multi-year support and is pressing into the $100 resistance zone. Momentum is improving with higher lows and rising RSI. Today’s pullback looks...
Master Identifying Bullish and Bearish Balanced Price Ranges
Balanced Price Range ( BPR) 📊 Balanced Price Range📊 How to Identify📊 What's make BPR High Probability📊 Bullish BPR📊 Bearish BPR📊
Software Bottom Call Uncertain as Microsoft Bounces Weakly
$MSFT Daily. Software sector has been a trendy bottom call the last two weeks. But no firm evidence yet, with $3 trillion Microsoft sporting pedestrian bounce https://t.co/YBzR4iFcQQ
VX Futures Rise as Spot VIX Falls Near Expiry
Spot VIX is lower but VX futures are higher. WTF? Well, the March contract is moving closer to expiration so the gap to spot needs to start shrinking. Futures will have a hard time unless and until spot drops a...
IEA Convenes G7 Ministers to Assess Oil‑gas Market
Today @IEA hosted a G7 Energy Ministers Meeting, chaired by Minister Roland Lescure of France, on the current oil & gas market situation We will hold an extraordinary meeting of IEA Member governments later today to assess market conditions My statement: https://t.co/ViR4Zc4Mhv...
Earn More, Spend Intentionally to Avoid Lifestyle Drift
A big income jump doesn’t automatically create financial progress. One person I spoke with is jumping from six to seven figures in one year. Lifestyle should grow as your life grows. But it should be intentional. Without a plan, spending quietly expands alongside...
Tech Stocks, Oracle Earnings, and AI Ghost Trade Overhang
Look forward to discussing tech stocks, Oracle’s key earnings, and the AI Ghost Trade still an overhang on oversold software names on @CNBCClosingBell at 3:10 pm with @ScottWapnerCNBC from @FutureProof_HQ in Miami @CNBC @CNBCtech 🏆🔥🍿🎯🐂☀️
War Drives Gas Prices up 18% in Eight Days
Yesterday was day 8 of the war. The national average of gas prices is up 54 cents (18%) since it started. Prices were up 6 cents yesterday. https://t.co/gCWn8VQcNz
February Home Sales Rebound Slightly; Supply Growth Lags
February home sales see small rebound, but supply growth is 'sluggish' https://t.co/lU7RWyXYsP @nardotrealtor #realestate #realestateinvesting #housing
BKLN Put Spread Purchase Signals Credit Concern
Senior Loans ETF (BKLN) buyer 7500 Oct. 19/16 put spreads, been a play on credit worries
Housing Inventory Shrinks to 1.29M, Far Below 2007
1.29 million total inventory in 2026 4,000,000 in 2007 It's 2026, the 4th year after the big sales crash in 2022. Stop dancing with a ghost 🫡
Non‑traded BDC Redemptions Surge Past 5% Limit, Eye Retirement Access
This is the chart the 401k conversation should start with. Non-traded BDC redemption requests blowing past the 5% redemption limit. Trajectory straight up. And the industry's next move is to open these products to retirement accounts.
Ignore Recent Dip, Trend Since June Remains Upward
So we can move along from this 2-month period Last month's report was a holiday softness; the rebound should be discounted as well, and just forget these last two months and follow the trend that has been since mid-June
AI-Driven Quant Models and Two Defensive Strategies
🔬 Research links: building quant models, the proper use of AI, and a look at two defensive strategies. https://t.co/Dgs1We8thJ chart: https://t.co/zEEeAwtzS4 https://t.co/8FlBmkGAR6
VWAPs Above 2025 Close Signal Caution Ahead
🔴2026 high VWAP 🔵YTD VWAP 🟢MTD VWAP -------- 2025 close A lot of reasons to continue to be cautious $SPY $QQQ $SMH $IWM https://t.co/DkfU8D5ejP
Final Home Sales Report Shows Snow Impact, Outlook Stable
Just remember, this is the final existing home sales report that has some of the snow variable in it; our forward-looking data looks fine for the last 3 weeks https://t.co/JtXKhBSDDM
BioNTech Founders' Exit Needed as Sales Plunge
This morning's BioNTech news strikes me as very odd. Certainly, founder Ugur Sahin and Ozlem Tureci shouldn't feel compelled to run the company forever, and they may not be the right people to manage both the continued decline of Covid-19...
Option Volume up 5%, Calls Lead, IV Split Across Stocks
From @Cboe: Monday's option volume of 72.4M contracts was 5% above recent average levels, with calls leading puts 8 to 7. Among the 500 most liquid single stocks, 30-day IV was higher for 256 and lower for 199.
Canadian Rents Drop 17 Months Straight, Still Too High
Rents In Canada Falling For 17 Straight Months: A Good News Bad News Story Let's be really clear on this: in 2023 - 2024 Rents in many Canadian cities were insanely high This constant drop in Rents was so badly needed BTW: Rents...
Markets Expect Stable Supply, South American Soybeans Lean
USDA's March WASDE is due at 11 am CDT on Tuesday. On average, the trade isn't looking for any significant supply changes at the U.S. or world level, but there is a downside lean to the soybean crop in South...
Austin’s Housing Surge Fueled by Rent‑control Ban
What many YIMBYs miss about the Austin housing supply miracle: Investors were willing to capitalize that construction, in part, bc, except in cases of *actual* emergency, Texas bans rent control at the state level. https://t.co/rl9bpQ94Cx
US Market Shows Technical Breakdown Amid Bubble Fears
The U.S. stock market is showing numerous signs of a technical breakdown, which is alarming given the bubble conditions of recent years.
Goldilocks Market Boosts EM Commodity Exporters Amid Brent Dip
We're in a goldilocks environment for EM commodity exporters like Brazil and South Africa. Brent has fallen significantly, which is good for risk appetite. But it's still 20% above where it was before hostilities. That's good for EM commodity exporters......
Buy Semiconductor Pullbacks, Trim Profits as Sector Remains Resilient
📺 SEMIS ARE LEADING AGAIN? Join Power Plays: https://t.co/m0rkY6jL0N Late last week, I suggested focusing on semiconductor plays: Broadcom $AVGO, Marvell $MRVL, and Nvidia $NVDA, which all showed relative strength and offered profitable setups. $AVGO was the clearest setup, holding above the $323...
Skip Oil Frenzy; EM Differentiation Lifts Brazil, South Africa
Trump yesterday said war will be over soon. Oil tumbled. As I signaled over the weekend, better to steer clear of the frenzy around oil and focus on EM differentiation. That theme's only been traded for a few days and...
Oil Spikes in Response to Trump's Iran War Stance
My comments on oil's reax to Trump's Iran war declarations in conversation with @AJEnglish earlier today.
Panic Markets Offer Prime Buying Opportunities Through Discipline
Thrilled to be featured on @TheStreet with Caroline Woods @Cline_Woods in a piece by Rebecca Mezistrano. The topic: why panic markets create the BEST buying opportunities. This morning was a live case study. Oil at $119 → back under $97. VIX at 32...
Mean‑Reversion ES Futures Deliver 50% Return, 1.67 Sharpe
#ES_F mean reversion strategy update. 13 trades since inception (May 21, 2025), 50% return (1 contract/$50K), 21% YTD. Sharpe ratio is 1.67. Link in reply below 👇 https://t.co/kptIfdqx6F
Massive USO Flush Restores Trend in Final Hour
the massive $USO flush in final hour ystdy just brought it back to trend... https://t.co/qZjWtShXON
New Switching Strategy Delivers +4.7% YTD, Beats SPY
Bonus momentum and mean-reversion switching strategy update with new signals. +4.7% YTD vs. -0.5% for $SPY ETF. 1.19 Sharpe since inception (October 9, 2025). $TLT $GLD $TLT Link in reply below. 👇
Positioning Surveys Overstate Market's Max Long Status
Most positioning surveys hint that markets are Max Long. I don’t Think that is true - see e.g the below https://t.co/0m7dt8z2e2
Silver Nears $90 as Capital Rotates Through Metals
Silver is approaching $90 again — this time from a much more oversold level. Notice what’s happening across the commodity complex: Capital keeps rotating from one resource to another. While the market’s attention is fixated on the current flavor of the month...
Oil's Real Upside Remains Unpriced Amid Ongoing Tensions
$WTI hit $111 intraday. Pulled back to $97. Still up 70%+ YTD. Markets priced in a ceasefire that hasn't happened. The Strait of Hormuz is still closed. Unpopular opinion: the high for oil is not in yet. https://t.co/Ag4wJnGVhR
S&P 500 Daily MACD Rises, Weekly Still Lagging
S&P 500 $SPX left: daily chart - #MACDhist ticked up right: weekly chart - early in the week and not enough to tick same (yet)... both reached RSI(5) oversold as shown... https://t.co/Avd7QYZoI2
Friday Bounce Expected, but Follow‑through Remains Uncertain
Talked about this Friday....not the place to short the market...the bounce is expected the real question is do we get follow through.... https://t.co/kcrLhvuPuA
Breadth Below 5‑Day MA Signals Pending Market Shift
Yesterday was Day 1 of a rally attempt. But markets go up AND down — not up OR down — even in corrective phases. Breadth remains below the 5-day MA, and market structure is still negative. Eventually, that changes, and...
Innovator IBD Breakouts Outperform S&P 500
interested in your take/interpretation and if you can relate, breakout-wise, with these charts? top: Innovator IBD Breakout Opps $BOUT bottom: relative to $SPX @markminervini @OliverKell_ @Trader_mcaruso @dryan310 @chasharris1025 @MMMTwealth @the_chart_life @Zeninthemarkets @Upticken
Berkshire Targets Major Operating Ratio Boost for UNP, BNSF
Operating Ratio comparison for UNP and BNSF Greg Abel, 2025 Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letter: "The gap to the industry’s best remains too wide... We will be disappointed if we do not deliver a substantial [operating ratio] improvement over the next few...
Middle East Strikes and Oil Surge Amplify Global Risks
As strikes shake the Middle East and oil prices soar, what are the global ramifications of the US and Israel’s conflict with Iran? 🎥 Tune in LIVE as @TimOBrien discusses with @JavierBlas and @MarcChampion1 Tuesday, March 10 @ 8:30 am EDT...
Risk-On Surge Floods SPY, QQQ, HYG; VOO Steady
Flows did a 180 yesterday and went FULL risk-on with $12b flooding into trading crowd favorites $SPY $QQQ $HYG et al.. while $VOO (the tortoise in the wealth creation race) doing its half a bil a day regardless of the...
Eight Experts Analyze Today’s Oil Market Landscape
8 experts express their views about current oil market conditions. 👇👇👇👇 click on the link, then change the language in your browser.
Skip Netflix: 5 Videos, 3 Hours, Smarter Investing
Skip Netflix tonight, instead watch these 5 videos and become a better investor in 3 hours. You’ll learn the fundamentals of economics, investing, and assets like gold, bitcoin, and stocks, taught by some of the greatest investors of all time.