The 2026 market doesn't care about your 2025 playbook. Either evolve or get left behind. I’ve stopped chasing and started buying the "failed" moves. Undercuts for longs, uppercuts for shorts. Entering at the point of maximum pain for others is the only way to get size on with low risk right now. I’ve also slashed my frequency. 1-2 positions max, at a time. If you're juggling 6 tickers in this chop, you aren't trading—you’re just gambling. Most importantly: Pay yourself. 2R-3R hits? Trim it. Don't let a winner turn into a loser because you’re waiting for a trend that isn't there. Adapt or sit out. Simple as that. Have you changed at all?

$AAPL broke down under minor triangle support today, & always important to monitor the "Generals" when they show meaningful strength or weakness @IBDinvestors @marketsurge While SPX and QQQ have proven range-bound in recent months, the action has proven...

I want to gently point out that most people do not understand that if you invest enough, your portfolio can pay your housing costs in perpetuity So when I say "renting can be cheaper," they are bewildered "Yes but how will you...

Pulled some #Opendoor stats in Sacramento. They are doing better than a few years ago, but some razor thin margins. This is the dollar difference between acquisition price and resale price. Real estate fees, holding costs, credits, & repairs costs...
March 2020. COVID panic. Markets collapsed overnight. Two clients. Same portfolio. Same allocation. Same advisor. What they did next created a gap worth hundreds of thousands of dollars. It will probably never close.

Draftkings is getting into prediction markets "Because prediction markets aren’t subject to state taxes, they are expected to have margins that are 10 to 30 percentage points higher than traditional sports betting" https://t.co/NZkaOy523j https://t.co/jXiPNCN8da

Marvell $MRVL is one of our top candidates to potentially be added to the S&P 500 this month. Strong earnings today and it popped 15% after market. S&P 500 rebalance announcement will be tomorrow after close. https://t.co/lZz8qTXoSU

Here’s how to identify when a deal is too risky: Sometimes the deals you don’t do are more important than the deals you do This 40-unit deal that I underwrote a while ago had 4 major deal breakers 1. Having to take...
If you’re a millennial, you need to stop believing that owning a home is the ONLY way to build wealth. It is just one part of the puzzle and an optional one at that. If you can’t own a house,...

February was another strong month for the Japanese equity market and for Senjin Capital Fund I. The Fund’s unit price increased 6.7% in AU$ terms, despite a ~3% FX drag from the weakening Yen. The Fund has now returned 48% net of...

This chart shows the = home price an American household on a median income can afford. More at today's Chartbook Top Links: https://t.co/1bNlhKyjp5
“The spread between large-caps and small-caps is the widest we’ve ever seen.” Rob Arnott joins us on @excessreturnpod to discuss historic valuation gaps, AI expectations, investing in periods of conflict and why the biggest opportunities may be where investors aren’t looking....
Believe it or not but @chamath's current SPAC, $AEXA, trades at the highest NAV premium of all pre-deal SPACs (by a long shot). $AEXA trades at a 10.5% premium to NAV, while the next highest valued are below a 2.5% premium. Despite...
They physically cannot restart everything by March 9–apparently full capacity probably can’t be restored for a month.
"The US Dollar may still have moved up after the war started, but the price of US Treasuries went down. Flight-to-safety and flight-to-quality aren’t what they used to be."

We're going LIVE today at 5pm ET / 2pm ET for our daily market recap show, CHART THIS with Dave Keller. Excited to break down the latest charts and market observations as $SPX and $QQQ rallied hard into the...
99% of traders enter too early. Smart money waits for the precision entry. Price taps the order block, liquidity is taken, and the reaction begins. This is the difference between emotional trading and strategic trading. If you understand SMC and ICT concepts, the...

Just published a writeup on $GDOT, the math is inevitable. (I am being playful, the math is probabilistic. DYODD, see disclaimers in my post, linked below:) https://t.co/ZjGJRg0ROs
Florida condo owners lost $60,000 in equity in one year. Orlando condo owners gained 11%. Same state. Same year. I break down exactly why — and what happens next. https://t.co/fY7zpTVEkE
The Iran War - Day 6: Energy Disruption, Regime Fragmentation, and Ukraine You are watching a full preview of Peter's coverage of the Iran War. Join our Analyst Tier on Patreon to access daily videos and analysis of...

"Steve, did you get long QQQ at 602.50 based on the tape or was it 20+ years of experience" --student at weekly review "It was a little bit of both. Earlier in the week there was a large opening drive from...

US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Breakout Faces Major Test at January High- NFP on Tap https://t.co/ww8j824xfZ $DXY Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/7sX9giMwmH

"I know I said last April that 'as the debtor country, America has all the leverage v. China'...& I know we are actively trying to choke out both you AND Russia...but could you buy less oil from Russia & more...
In long-term bet, Chicago investor buys third multifamily property in city in less than a year https://t.co/6uKHH6SzQR

Korean retail investors had record margin debt. Bought the AI chip story with 30-40% down payments. Then oil spiked. Margin calls hit. Forced selling cascaded. This is the disposition effect in reverse. When everyone holds losers too long, the unwind is violent. The lesson:...

As a country, we simply don't ever build on a supply-first model; we only build based on our demand curve. This is why the builders pause when total completed units for sale just hit 120K, for decades https://t.co/S6RwyAA3hO

The Middle East conflict is stress testing global energy. Bloomberg sees oil at $108 in a severe escalation. We have seen this before. The difference now is that solar and batteries are more cost competitive. Every fossil fuel spike strengthens the...

On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the Sudanese pound ranks as the WORLD'S 6TH WORST CURRENCY. The pound has depreciated by 28% over the past year. https://t.co/6WS2fKoH6r
Why Are There No Ships in the Strait of Hormuz | March 5, 2026, Update Video: https://t.co/tcPFyfGeV8 https://t.co/Wgk4B6EEIp

Given this situation, millions of Americans could afford and even need to move, but they stay in homes they no longer want because they do not want to lose their low mortgage rates. Yet each quarter, people have given up...

$ES_F bigger picture, weekly, still amazing topped right at the 1.618 extension, the 1.382 sits at lower value edge now, 6682.5, below that it gets real thin back to 6125 with AVWAP off 2025 low at 6460 important too https://t.co/dOkIMQUPwK
Novo Nordisk expands partnership with Weightwatchers to Germany. Dream team. Love to see it. $NVO $WW

Most jobs will offer things like health benefits, retirement plans, and gym discounts upfront. But one benefit that doesn’t get talked about enough is financial education. If you think your company could benefit from something like this, feel free to pass...

Brutal day, the S&P 500 has wiped out around $800 billion in market cap, falling 1.4%. The Dow Jones is having its worst day of 2026, down over 2% 📉 Meanwhile the VIX (volatility index) is up 17% and is now...
Economic calendar shows we have the employment report and retail sales report at 8:30AM tomorrow.

🚨Investors are hedging against a market crash at a record pace: Combined put open interest in credit ETFs, $HYG, $LQD, $JNK, and $BKLN, plus call open interest in the Treasury ETF, $TLT, is up to a record 15.9 million contracts. This has...
Macro: coal demand bifurcates—metallurgical firm, thermal pressured. Key factors: Warrior Met's Q4 strength; Peabody's diversified mix. Risks: regulation, China slowdown. Trade: Buy Warrior Met on pullback. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Little Note: Big Warning with complimentary access to my live trading room recording & (unedited) AI briefing notes. https://t.co/kpucMGgu60
My biggest estate planning tip when it comes to trusts? Fund the trust. So someone can pay thousands of dollars to draft a beautiful trust document and still end up with a full probate estate. Creating a trust is only half...
I've long-held that one of the most important skills for an advisor to develop is to become an excellent "Google-er." With the advances in AI over the past few years, I've started to reframe that concept to becoming more of...
From phishing emails to bogus tax credits, the IRS warns that scammers keep changing tactics. Here’s what you should know about the most common tax scams now. https://t.co/0ciX8gUJKy
observation $VIX currently 25.18 makes for hard environment for swing trading and must stay nimble if day trading. My opinion, your wallet.
Backers project, based on Forbes’ billionaires list, that a new wealth tax would raise $4.4 trillion over 10 years for childcare, housing, and a $ 3,000-per-person check for many Americans. https://t.co/6EYBhzxmZP
Most paid preparers aren’t subject to any licensing or competency standards. A new bipartisan bill would tighten enforcement against bad preparers, but it stops short of regulating the industry. https://t.co/J8Bz2tVSPF
Morgan Stanley was at the center of the tech universe this week. Dario Amodei and Sam Altman on the Pentagon drama and competition. Jensen Huang and Satya Nadella on where AI goes next. Going live in ~an hour with the...

Atlanta condo down 25% from peak value. Seller taking $40k loss. And now listed at pre-pandemic pricing. The condo market in many cities is getting smoked right now. (with some decent buying opportunities starting to show up). In this case - the HOA fee is...

$APP - Probably made an intermediate term low 3 weeks ago when it bottomed at 359. It needs a weekly close above the 10 week MA(currently at 498) to confirm that. https://t.co/g7pYhVC2tZ

UST funding pressure starting to ramp up as swap spreads narrow 3-4 bps across the curve. 30y tenor now less than -78 bps https://t.co/yWt8DEzUEr
New Trillions Pod: Freedom is Paying Off for This Indie ETF on @EricBalchunas's tl rn. Very unplugged convo where I got to share this moment of reflection on the adventure with day T-300 supporters. THAT is living the dream. Thanks...

$AMZN daily. Note the ER gap. What have I taught on first tests of gap? Playing out so far. https://t.co/37HPE2Lm5g