Brent Hits $110 at Open, Analysts Ponder Oil's Next Move
Brent surged to a high of $110 at market open Monday. What next for oil? Speaking to Singapore's 938 Live Radio at 9.00 am SGT. https://t.co/xI65gMZvag
Don't Chase Brent Spike; Hormuz Closure Unlikely to Worsen
Brent is $106 and markets are in full panic mode. They were slow to price the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz, but at this point the Strait isn't going to get any more closed. If anything, it'll...
Taiwan Caps Weekly Oil Hikes, Likely Freezes Power Rates
Taiwan's government will set a weekly cap on oil price increases to help contain domestic inflation, local media reports 🇹🇼🛢️ Fuel prices to be adjusted overall by ~5% this week The likelihood of freezing electricity tariffs in April is high https://t.co/tTWfUV2wiI https://t.co/LgRs7ClOH7
Gulf War III Cuts Global Oil Supply by 20%
Yeeps: @Bob_McNally of @RapidanEnergy "Gulf War III has disrupted ~20% of global oil supply for nine days and counting – more than double the previous record set during the Suez Crisis of 1956-57, which disrupted just under 10%."
Targeting US Index Pullbacks, Gold Dip at 4880
My game plan: - Looking for continued downside on US indexes & fade-away any short term strength in them , but waiting for intraday pullbacks - Eyeing the current move in Gold as a dip buying opportunity , but waiting for levels...
Historic Oil Supply Loss Doubles Suez Crisis, No Spare Capacity
Compared to the last maximum disruption during the 1956-1957 Suez Crisis (as a percentage of total liquids demand), this represents the largest oil supply loss in history, by a factor of two. Worse, unlike in past crises, there's zero spare capacity...
Hormuz Closure Triggers Sulfur Shortage, Sparks Demand Destruction
Negative supply shock will lead to price increases & the only way to correct that if supply doesn’t rise is, well, demand destruction. We are headed towards demand destruction if the conflict doesn’t end by Day 14. Today is Day 10....
Buy Distant Futures at Discount, Earn Risk Premium
[looks at Brent curve] Gary Gorton voice: "investors can earn a risk premium by buying distant commodity futures at a discount to spot"
Low Reserves Raise Borrowing Costs and Default Risk
Isn't it likely that countries in fiscal distress find it hard to borrow, have to pay high default premia, and run down their reserves like everything else?
Gas Prices Likely Over $4.50, Threatening Trump's Appeal
According to @Polymarket, there is a 64% chance of average US gas prices surpassing $4.50/gallon this month. THE WINDS OF WAR = HIGHER GASOLINE PRICES = MORE AFFORDABILITY PROBLEMS FOR TRUMP. https://t.co/yN19wtznw8
Unfilled S&P Gap
Left is a still unfilled gap in S&Ps from Jan 1, 2013 Will another gap in S&Ps become unfilled? Just asking for a friend. https://t.co/cNPv8XxpVb
War Fuels Fertilizer Crisis, Threatens Asian Economies
The war’s not stopping because of some pain at the American pump. The implications for global fertilizer markets (ammonia, sulphur) are probably going to be as big of a deal as the energy disruptions in several months. Asian economies are in...
Short Basket Surges 6% Amid 2026 Market Dispersion
On Liberation Day, we created a Long/Short basket (dollar neutral) meant to capitalize on any fears of stagflation due to Tariffs. That wasn’t our expectation, however. We wrote “The likely result…the administration declares victory, and most tariffs eventually come down...
Banana Peel Sell‑Off Materializes, Mid‑March Weakness Expected
We've been saying for weeks now that the odds of a banana peel sell off was high. It simply is that time of year and now it is happening. Lot of fear out there, but more weakness into mid-March would...
Oil Prices Surge Past $100, Accelerating EV and Solar Shift
Oil futures over $100, which is going to shock folks — but I’m old enough to remember $140-150 peaks in the past (inflation adjusted) Only upside, is that folks will lean into EVs and solar if this lasts more than...
Small Caps Tumble over 3% Amid Inflation Fears
Small caps down more than 3% because 1.) Inflation is a much bigger worry than a week ago and no cuts are coming? 2.) Sell the winners? 3.) Lucy https://t.co/3gsriv02Qd
India’s Fertilizer Reliance Highlights Asia’s Supply Vulnerability
Asia supply of oil, gas & fertiliser is rather concentrated. We are seeing a massive supply shock to the most important input of modern life: food and transport.
Inflationary Assets Surge; Food Price Spikes May Spark Unrest
$105/bbl A few months ago many said this would never happen. Never bet against inflationary assets in an inflationary era. Deglobalization is structural no cyclical. Watch food prices next. In a world of extreme inequality, with a Fed that needs lower rates to keep...
WTI Could Hit $115 If Gas Gains Replicate
If the front-month WTI crude oil future matches natural gas’s 100% gain in 2026 to its January peak, it would reach about $115 a barrel -- then what by the midterms? Gas has reversed all of those gains. Spiking crude can be...
Lag And
Hey energy experts, what's the lag, in days, from a change in wholesale gasoline futures to retail (AAA average) prices? And what's a good rule of thumb on the spread/mutiple between the two? (Answer in DM's if you prefer.)
Brent Crude Nears $110, Signaling Economic Strain
Behold, the global economy cracking. Brent crude approaching $110/bbl, up >$16 higher since Friday’s close. https://t.co/exH8mOBUXy
WTI Crude Surges Over 21% Past $100
WTI crude has shot up as much as 21.7% immediately after the Asia session open. We are well above $100/barrel. #Oil #OilPrices #IranWar2026 https://t.co/vC2re37nrC
Oil Spikes 20% as Brent Nears $110, Risk Assets Tumble
Oil prices opened about 20% higher in Asia on Monday. Brent crude near $110 now. Risk assets are in for a terrible session today https://t.co/iLDxgMZZxb
Brent Surpasses $110 Amid Hormuz Turmoil – Outlook?
Join us today in an X Space for X Subscribers: 🚨Hormuz Chaos: Brent Blasts Past $110 — What's Next for Oil?🚨 Today, Sunday, March 8, 9:00 PM US EST, 8:00 PM US CST No link now. Will open the Space on time.
Rising Fuel Costs Trigger Supply Chain Margin Collapse
If you go back you will see that I did. This is the chart I alerted members to my private X service to three weeks ago https://t.co/ebO2QwWczT
Rising Crude Oil Threatens Airline Stocks This Week
If Crude Oil does what the chart indicates might be possible, then airlines are headed for a world of hurt. I would not want to be long airline stocks this coming week $CL_F For all you fancy-pants newbie chartists, this is called...
Shift to Risk‑Off Grain Sales, Bonds Gain Safety
May be starting to move in to a market of instead of buy grains and soy for an inflationary trade into sell grains and soy in a “risk off” everywhere type of trade. Gold and silver are sure not...
Oil Spikes 13% to $100, Nudging Inflation Up
Oil prices surge another 13% to $100 a barrel, after the biggest weekly gain since 1993
U.S. Gas Prices Jump 46¢, Diesel 83¢ in Week
The turmoil is already hitting Americans’ wallets. Regular gasoline across the U.S. costs 46 cents a gallon more than it did a week ago, according to AAA, while diesel has become 83 cents more expensive @WSJmarkets @DavidUberti https://t.co/QZd9ArOPkx
US100 Reaches 200‑DMA, Up
And US100 hits the 200 DMA...400 pts from Friday's note issued 10 mins after NFP (time is GMT) https://t.co/bdLsTvTejL
True Compounders Reinvest Cash at Returns Above Cost
"A true compounder reinvests cash flows at rates above its cost of capital." Most investors chase growth. The best investors chase compounding. A true compounder does one thing exceptionally well: it reinvests cash flows at returns higher than its cost of capital.
WTI Surpasses Brent, Signaling Market Shift
Hey @chigrl How common is it to see WTI>Brent and what does it signify please? “West Texas Intermediate surged as much as 15% to $104.61 a barrel at the open after last week adding a record 36%. Brent climbed above $102.” @business
Oil Futures Top $100 Amid Middle East Tensions
Oil futures surge above $100 for the first time since 2022 🚨 🛢️ Brent contract jumps more than 10% as the conflict in the Middle East continues https://t.co/KgPOv96YdC
Markets Tumble as Oil Hits $100, Iran Tensions Rise
NQ drops 200 points on the open with a wide gap WTI above $100 for first time since 2022 24,000 will likley tested as sentiment sours over expanding conflict in Iran Prepare to hear doomsday all day long on talking head TV
Oil Prices Surpass $100, Market Still Surging
Crude >$100 I’d say here we go, but honestly can’t believe we’re still going. https://t.co/14yKcmsMOq
WTI Tops
WTI > $104 RBOB not up as much, but it crossed $3.. implying $3.95 at the pump in due time. https://t.co/yLhu2NxY1C
Iran Conflict Shatters Fragile S&P 500 Range
The S&P 500 spent months holding in a tight 6,800–7,000 range, yet the options market signaled fragility beneath the surface. The Iran conflict finally broke the equilibrium as we saw play out last week. Check out our weekly analysis: https://t.co/UMX9NhD0Z1
Middle East Conflict Sends Oil, Gas, Stocks Tumbling
How the US-Israel-Iran War Impacts Oil, Gas, and US Stocks | Anas Alhajj... https://t.co/ZnJKFSYWCr via @YouTube
Iran Appoints Khamenei's Son, IRGC‑linked, as Successor
Iran has named Mojtaba Khamenei, a son of the country’s slain supreme leader, as his father’s successor. He is known for having close ties to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps.
Zillow Predicts Near‑flat Rent Growth, Easing Inflation Pressure
Zillow just updated their 2026-27 rental market forecast. They're projecting single-family rent growth at only +1.1% in 2026, and +0.5% in 2027. With multifamily rents dropping -0.2% and -1.5%. They also project CPI rent growth to fall to ~1.0% by early 2027, which...
Citi Advises Holding Off Equities Amid Soaring Oil
“We see no reason to actively add equity exposure at this time as risk/reward will improve from either price action or a path to de-escaltion forming:” Citi’s Kaiser. The oil VIX reached its highest level other than during COVID since...
Bears Deliver Punches, Bulls Take the Hit
The Sunday Stalk List | Ep. 39 Punches were landed this week, and not by the bulls.. https://t.co/JwYFveywfv
Preparing for a Data-Heavy Week: CPI, GDP, Earnings
busy week ahead with CPI GDP $ORCL $PATH $ADBE earnings and lots of news flow. Get my game plan tomorrow: https://t.co/YtTTmqCyAJ https://t.co/IOFyfaYqny
TDEX Crash Put Hits 97th Percentile Amid Volatility Surge
OK. Pending apocalypse or local bottom? @Nations_Indexes TailDex ($TDEX aka crash put) hit 30 on Friday with $VOLI (ATM vol) at 22.58. TDEX level is 97th percentile and spread above VOLI also 97th percentile. You don't need to look far...
Inventory Growth Slows, February Still Outpaces Season
This ResiClub table helps you see through the seasonal inventory shift noise The inventory growth slope has decelerated from last year However, based on the February figure—the most important print of the year—we’re pacing a tad above the normal seasonal pace https://t.co/6IrsSaR9mW
Low US Rigs Signal No Rapid Production Surge
The low level of active US oil and gas rigs indicate a quick ramp in production is unlikely without sustained high oil prices and higher E&P company share prices. https://t.co/GDCcOHcEBE
Home Prices Dip 1.38% YoY, Falling Since October
List prices are 1.38% below last year. Home prices have been negative since October and are moving lower, relative to last year. Here's two views https://t.co/xHl3d0HNvs
Corn and Soybeans Reach Record March High
📈New-crop CBOT corn & soybeans marked new annual highs on Friday, both surpassing the 2025 highs. But could even higher prices come beyond March? Dec corn hasn't set its annual high in March since 1999, soybeans haven't since 2004. https://t.co/gfh7zbFw5j
Gas Prices Jump 15%, Boost March CPI by 0.45%
The national average of gasoline prices is up 45 cents since the war began last week, or a 15.12% increase. This is the second largest increase in the last two decades, depending on the measure you choose (dollar or percentage). All things...
Tax Wrappers Are Cheat Codes, Not Indexing Tools
Tax wrappers (IRAs, HSAs, etc.) are cheat codes for arbs & special situations. Active investors using them as indexing & long-term only vehicles are sabotaging their risk adjusted after tax returns. https://t.co/HDlplC0mGI