MeCURE FY2025 Looks Promising, 49% Upside Forecast
MeCURE just released their FY 2025 results and looks good on the surface. But please do your due diligence. Meristem projects a 49+% upsurge - N91 from current price. Will you be buying MeCURE this week?
US Cancels Strait of Hormuz Safety Alerts Amid War
The US Maritime Administration (@DOTMARAD) put out at the begining of the war 2 "alerts" advising vessles to "keep clear" of the Strait of Hormuz. Overnight, it cancelled the alerts (one alert was due to expire automatically, but the other was...
South Korea Mulls First Oil Price Cap in 30 Years
South Korea is considering to introduce an oil price cap for the first time in 30 years 🇰🇷 🛢️ It is being considered carefully because of possible side effects including market distortions and fiscal burdens, according to Yonhap https://t.co/r66h5y13D6
Wait for Liquidity Grab, Then Follow True Market Direction
Liquidity Grab is one of the most powerful moves in the market. Price sweeps liquidity above the highs, traps breakout traders, and then reverses with momentum. Smart traders don’t chase the move. They wait for the liquidity to be taken and...
US Beef Supply Relies Heavily on Mexican Cattle
"Texas Feedlot Operators Explain Why U.S. Beef Supply Depends on Mexican Cattle Imports" https://t.co/D3IHviRfRg https://t.co/fO9Ac9MceR
SFO Leads Diesel Prices at $5.96/gal Nationwide Map
Map of average diesel prices by market (updated each morning). SFO has the highest at $5.96/gallon https://t.co/DgH7FMrsx0
China Faces Energy Crisis as Gulf Oil Imports Halt
China imports crude oil based on the day, between 65 and 85% of its total, and about three-quarters of that comes specifically from the Persian Gulf. And that has now dropped to zero. Unlike countries like the United States, which...
National Inventory Set to Turn Negative, Price Cuts Decline
The National Inventory is expected to turn negative at some point this year, and the percentage of price cuts is lower compared to last year. Whoever you're getting your housing info from, I would question them about this. https://t.co/AHHEytiMoR
Austin Hits Record Low Rent-to-Income Ratio
It's actually never been cheaper to rent in Austin, TX. The Rent/Income ratio across the metro has dropped to 18.3% - the lowest on record (going back at least 20 years). Landlords are aggressively cutting rents at a time when incomes in...
Japanese Portfolio Managers Barred From Software Investments
“An interesting thing I heard is that some Japanese Portfolio Managers are being actively told company-wide not to touch anything software or IT related in the broad sense, at all” - @InvestInJapan
Diesel Surge Boosts Broker Margins via Fuel Surcharges
The diesel surge is welcome news for freight brokers that have contracted freight. Fuel surcharges will provide a lot of relief, as the diesel surge is moving much quicker than trucking spot rates. Brokers will make a couple of percent on fuel...
Price Parking, Reclaim Lots for Housing Development
"That's why we have these vacant lots, if you get rid of that (free parking) and find a median price for parking where it's kind of expensive you can then build buildings there and people will live there." - @bertkreischer ...
Timing All Asset Classes Beats Even Top Hedge Funds
My market timing calls on dollar, yields, oil, gold/silver, bitcoin & equities (esp growth to value rotation) can help even the best-of-the-best. 🙏
Potential Negative YoY Inventory by April if Seasonal Rise Delayed
We should be getting the national seasonal inventory increase soon, but if, for some reason, that doesn't happen, we will have negative year-over-year inventory data by the end of March or Early April Note: For the worse than 2008 crowd...
U.S. Home Values Up 89% Since 1950 – Hold Longer
Since 1950: U.S. home prices increased 89% Average appreciation 4–5% annually Hold real estate longer.
McClellan Oscillator Signals Bounce After 2024 Carry‑Trade Selloff
#SPX: The McClellan Oscillator has reached levels where price action begins to form a bounce, including the August 2024 Carry Trade selloff and the 2025 Tariff Crash.
Iran War's Historic Oil Disruption Hinges on Conflict Length
The war in Iran has caused the biggest disruption in oil production in history. Whether it becomes the long-feared “nightmare scenario” for energy markets (and the global economy) now depends on the duration of the conflict. My @FT column: https://t.co/uKMsVXBCQY
Israel's 1.8% Inflation Matches Golden Money‑supply Growth
Israel’s inflation is 1.8%/yr. Israel’s broad money supply is growing at 8.1%/yr. That's WITHIN Hanke's Golden Growth Rate range of 7.7%-9.7%/yr, a rate consistent w/ hitting Israel’s 1%-3%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/CWltetUlYU
Early Iran Risk Warning Yields Record Oil Gains
Since my client warning, VIX has risen 70%. and because I warned two weeks ahead that IRAN RISK IS NOT PRICED IN, clients got to take full advantage of every dollar of the largest weekly gain on record in data going...
Chinese PV Polysilicon Prices Fall as Capacity Idles
Chinese PV Industry Brief: Polysilicon prices slide amid low operating rates #energysky -- via pv magazine global: https://t.co/JsM63FU7l1
Systematic Short Books Boost Agentic Edge for Funds
If you are a long-short equity fund thinking about ways to adopt an agentic approach, I encourage you to think about building a systematic short book. 1) Good shorts tend to rhyme more than good longs and and so are fertile...
Mexico's Inflation Aligns with Hanke's Golden Money Growth
Mexico’s inflation is 3.8%/yr. Mexico’s money supply (M4) is growing at 9.2%/yr. That's WITHIN Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of 7.3%-9.3%/yr, a rate consistent w/ hitting Mexico’s 2%-4%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/jQ05GUvmPW
US AI Supercomputers in Middle East Shift Global Race
Look at how much US AI supercomputer cluster capacity was planned for/installed in UAE and Saudi Have not seen any strategists discuss yet what this means for US v. China AI race Seems important. Thoughts? https://t.co/23plcm9k0V
Crude Oil ETF's 33% Surge: A 6‑Sigma Rarity
The Crude Oil ETF spiked 33% over the last week, the biggest weekly gain in its history. This was a 6-sigma event, which (assuming a normal distribution) is only supposed to occur once every 4,039,906 years. So we shouldn't see another spike...
Nearly All Equal‑Weight SPY Sectors Slip Over 1%
No Place To Hide.... 10 of the 11 Equal Weight $SPY sectors were down this week. 9 of 11 down more than 1%...... https://t.co/tpTJaIDGL3
VIX/VXV Spike Signals Near-Term Bottom, Upcoming Rally
The $VIX: $VXV ratio spiked to 1.07 on Friday. That's the biggest volatility spike since the April 2025 crash low. Last March it had an initial spike to 1.08, dropped to 0.90, then spiked to 1.27 in April, but this...
Simple Blueprint: Talent, Value, Passive Income, Tax Mastery
Stocks Bitcoin Real Estate Businesses Private Equity Buy talent Invest in skillsets/education Provide value to marketplace Income to passive investments Aggressively maximize the tax code That’s my blueprint to $100M. Don’t overcomplicate the game.
Stock Volatility Gap Hits 2008 Levels, Options Soar
Market stress is surging at a rapid pace: The spread between the average 9-month volatility of S&P 500 stocks and the S&P 500 index's 9-month volatility is up to 18 points, the highest since 2008. This spread has DOUBLED over the last...
Microsoft's Bullish Reversal Likely Avoids 200‑week MA
$MSFT - After almost hitting its 200 week MA last week we had a bullish reversal this week so I don't expect it to hit the 200 week MA anymore in March. An intermediate term low is probably in but...
U.S. Debt Outpaces Growth, Threatening Investor Portfolios
Jerome Powell warns the U.S. is on an unsustainable fiscal path, with national debt growing faster than the economy. Investors, learn how this affects the stock market, portfolio risk, and long-term wealth building. Smart value investing can protect your financial...
Junk Bond Drop Signals Real Economic Stress
High yield credit (HYG) down 0.5% on March 6th. When junk bonds sell off alongside equities, it means credit markets are sniffing out real economic stress, not just a volatility event. Watch HYG. It leads. Always. https://t.co/HpbzOsBALw
Nifty50 Option Mispriced, Hints at Monday Move
One interesting thing I noticed in Friday’s EOD option chain for Nifty50 (10 Mar expiry)...🤔 >> Look at the marked Option, closing around ₹439.85. Based on basic OTM risk premium / volatility structure, this option’s theoretical fair value appears much higher... >>...
Only Staples and Energy Up: Survival Trade, Not Growth Scare
Only two sectors green on March 6th: Consumer Staples (+0.4%) and Energy (+0.2%). Tech -2.1%. Discretionary -1.8%. Financials -1.3%. When people buy Cheerios and oil but sell everything else, you're not in a growth scare. You're in a survival trade. https://t.co/8RrBLVWIBN
Iran Conflict Fuels Endless Oil‑price, Russia‑Ukraine Funding Loop
So the longer the Iran conflict lasts... 1. The longer oil prices are higher 2. The longer the Trump admin allows Russian oil to be sold without sanctions 3. The more financial firepower Russia has to support Iran to prolong the conflict ...rinse and...
Sentiment Extremes Signal Upcoming Market Reversals
Sentiment extremes often precede reversals - but it's never as easy as it sounds. See IGV from Jan-Feb.
Unlock Systematic Trading Blueprint Insights with Steve Burns
Here is an interview I did recently: The Systematic Trading Blueprint with Steve Burns https://t.co/EX1CEF4BPd
Goldman Sachs Equity Sentiment Remains Flat, Offering Little Guidance
GS equity sentiment still near the flat line.. can't take much signal from that https://t.co/ySSxmcNywv
VIX Hits Highest Level Since April 2025 Tariff
VIX closed at its highest since the Apr'25 tariff (and above the +1 StD level).
Goldman Holds 7600 SPX Target, Cuts Loom
Goldman sticking with a 7600 YE SPX target... I give it 4 weeks before we start seeing estimate cuts across the street https://t.co/DsTzT8zbEO
Energy Outperformance Makes S&P 500 Returns Volatile
$XLE vs. $SPY - Forward returns for the S&P 500 pretty bumpy when energy is outperforming this much.... https://t.co/Cp4GQFvRq3
Industrials Overvalued at 26x P/E, Staples Match Tech
S&P 500 sector valuations... Industrials a nosebleed 26x P/E Staples same as Info Tech https://t.co/p5OdBIqFE8
Identify Real Price Discovery, Stop Fading Expansions
Most traders see price stretch and immediately try to fade it. Big mistake. Sometimes that move isn’t exhaustion… it’s price discovery. The Price Wave Deviation Bands help you see the difference between rotation and expansion so you stop fading the wrong moves. Full class now...
Russell 2000 EPS Growth Slips Below 50%
Down, down, down... Russell 2000 CY EPS growth estimate now below 50%.. it was > 60% coming into the year $RTY $IWM GS https://t.co/qDC1XXP7cq
Clients Outpace Advisors: Record Bullish Sentiment Signals Capitulation
BofA: Signs of capitulation: a record proportion of clients are more bullish than their advisors https://t.co/ZGEXCrToNB
Most Homeowners Miss Tax Savings Worth Thousands
2 in 3 households own a home, yet most have no idea how homeownership taxes work. If you own a home (or plan to), here are some tax tips that will save you thousands:
Small‑cap Slump Signals Delayed Bull Market Confirmation
Russell 2000 down 2.3%. Small caps are the canary. They need cheap credit, domestic demand, and labor stability. They have none of those right now. If you're waiting for small cap leadership to confirm a bull market, you'll be waiting a while. https://t.co/mDOKLhcosE
Your BlackRock Worries Likely Miss the Real Issue
If you saw the BlackRock headline this week and your first thought was "should I be worried about my own investments," you're not the only one. But the thing you're worried about probably isn't what you think it is.
RSPD vs RSPS: Repeating Patterns of Range and Breakdowns
$RSPD vs. $RSPS - So Many charts look like this..... Annoying range.... Failed Breakout..... Successful Breakdown.... Messy Action Below the 200 Day..... https://t.co/uh2qn4kI15
Dragonfly Capital's Weekly Market Outlook: Key Moves Ahead
Dragonfly Capital - What to expect from the stock market this week https://t.co/SCdJB4qg8A $SPY $IWM $QQQ $GLD $TLT and more
Local NIMBY Votes Drive Housing Prices Sky‑High
This is why your housing is so expensive Not Blackstone, not "greedy landlords" Just your mom, dad, & neighbors voting for NIMBY local politicians who then prevent housing from being built That's why you pay tens of thousands of dollars more than...