CAR Remains a Perpetual Short‑squeeze; Trade with VWAP
Observations in $CAR ✅there is no such thing as "up too much" if there are still buyers ✅the intermediate term trend is innocent until proven guilty while above the 🟠rising 5sma ✅daytrades should only be taken in the direction of the 🔵daily VWAP It will end eventually (probably soon) but meanwhile it is a perpetual short squeeze machine that sees one group of shorts get squeezed only to buy from another group of shorts who think it is up too much, round and round it goes.. *this tweet probably comes close to a turning point but I am not going to bet on it, cash is better than a bet where the odds aren't in your favor
Keep a 1.99% Mortgage—Inflation Beats Early Payoff
My coworker has a 1.99% mortgage. That is something you should NEVER pay off early. Inflation is at least 3%/yr. Why would anyone pay that off aggressively? It makes absolutely 0 sense.
AI Chip Rally Propels KOSPI to Record High
KOSPI hits record on AI-driven chip rally; SK Hynix, Samsung lead Macro: AI memory demand and Nvidia ties fuel gains. Risks: geopolitics, sentiment reversal. Trade: buy KOSPI tech on pullback. 🚀 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
SIP Doubles PPF Returns over 15 Years
PPF vs MF (15 Years Tenure) 🔥 PPF :) Monthly Investment ~ ₹5,000 Tenure ~ 15 Years Total Investment ~ ₹9,00,000 Average Return ~ 7% Maturity Value ~ ₹16,00,000 Liquidity ~ Locked Risk ~ Low (Govt. backed) Tax ~ No Tax SIP :) Monthly Investment ~...
BRE Poised for Takeover by LYC or MP
$BRE is a strong potential takeover target for either $LYC or $MP, given that Mrs. Rhineheart is a shareholder in all three companies.
Silver Miners Cheap, Cash‑flow Rich Amid Price Resilience
With silver prices proving resilient at these levels, miners are trading at some of the cheapest valuations in their history. These companies are delivering record cash flows with exceptionally high margins. Game on. https://t.co/a2yC5hgWq2 https://t.co/06A0bDqjf9
Gulf Oil Turmoil Spurs Shift Toward China
US fights Iran. Gulf oil market is roiling. In the meantime, Gulf states are shifting toward China. Day what?!
Fervo Energy S‑1 Reveals Geothermal Pipeline and Costs
Enhanced geothermal energy pioneer Fervo Energy filed its S-1 in advance of a planned IPO, offering a closer look at their development pipeline, current and projected capital costs, and more. @heatmap_news's @MattZeitlin drills down for some insights: https://t.co/vpluY58Osk https://t.co/Q1X1QDKuNb
Condo Prices Drop 12‑31% Across Major Markets
Condo Prices Dropped by 12% to 31% in 31 Bigger Markets. Some Are where They’d Been 20 Years ago, such as Oakland. Condos face some special challenges. Oakland (-31%), St. Petersburg, FL (-28%), Austin (-26%) … the names pile up. https://t.co/SfUETbLV1D https://t.co/Jqb669OFDP
ARK Pivots to Defense, E‑commerce, Delivery; Eyeing KTOS Momentum
Macro: ARK shifts from satellite/biotech to defense, e-commerce, delivery. Key: big IRDM sale; buys KTOS, AMZN, DASH. Risks: rotation, liquidity. Trade: watch KTOS momentum. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Long‑Only Portfolio Profits Even in Down Market
Good day for The Fam and the process, making money in our Long Only Portfolio in a down tape *You can see ALL my ETF positions via Macro Pro and Portfolio Solutions daily https://t.co/lTXupV1ZGs
Oil Pullback Ends Trade Narrative, Sparks Low‑Price Speculation
When a trade suffers the kind of pullback oil has now seen, it's over. A trade is just a story. It needs excitement and momentum. That's out the window and has been replaced by people asking how low oil prices...
Bulls Need Miracle to Achieve 2,505 Net Advances
Breakaway Momentum Watch: Will now take a miracle -- 2550 net advances tomorrow (i. e. no more than 150 declines). But the bulls do have that Whaley Price Thrust working for them...
Track Home Improvements to Maximize Tax-Free Gain
Weird and important tax things to know about selling your house: - Keep a record of any capital improvements you make to your house. This increases your basis and reduces taxes when you do sell your house - If you make money...
Tech Earnings Boost Markets, yet Midterm Seasonality Threatens
Mid-Term Playbook Crash-Up Into Correction Strong earnings expectations — led by tech in general & $MU in particular — are supporting market fundamentalists despite the US-Israel War on Iran supply shocks. But don't be complacent: midterm-seasonality has its own ideas. https://t.co/YmHOApOnTX
Rent Your Home, Fund Your Travels
Most people think travel is expensive. But really, they’re paying for a life back home they’re not even living. Rent. Utilities. Furniture. All sitting there while they’re somewhere else. I stopped doing that and started renting out my house while...
2.5% Cap Rate Rise Erases 30% Equity
Cap rates go from 4% to 6.5%. No big deal, right? Just a 2.5% move? Nope, that’s a 38.5% crash. Put down 30%? You’re completely wiped out. But everyone reading this understands basic commercial real estate math and already knows this.
Onto's Rigaku Stake Raises Valuation Risk, Trim Suggested
Onto buys 27% of Rigaku for $710M, bolstering X‑ray/CD‑SAXS tie‑up; strong cash but 105x P/E flags valuation risk. Trading insight: trim ONTO on strength; watch execution. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Oil Surge Pushes Brazil Real Toward 4.50/USD
We're on our way to $/BRL 4.50. Oil prices aren't going to fall back to pre-war levels quickly, which lifts Brazil's terms of trade and the Real. I'm moving my posts behind a paywall in coming months. Please consider subscribing...
Q2Metals Hits Record High, Poised for Unicorn Status
Congrats @Q2Metals on another all-time closing high. Strong set up with maiden MRE on the way very soon. The most exciting #lithium exploration story at present. And perhaps ever…. Destined for 🦄 status IMO… $QTWO.V Not advice. DYOR https://t.co/Yu2F5zv7cx
China’s Decade-Long Goal: Avert Global Economic Catastrophe
Oh, Rudy... I'm so saddened by this line: "China is clearly intervening to get the Iranians to open the strait to prevent a global economic catastrophe." @RudyHavenstein Yes... it has been shown over the last decade that China's primary objective...
SPRC Surge 21x Volume, Eye $8‑$10 Continuation
$SPRC over 21x relative volume here in after-hours, and if this holds up overnight, I'll be watching it for continuation opportunities tomorrow on the simple S/D flip over highs. Range to $8/$10+
Pandemic Fuels 4.7M SF Supply Gap, Rents Surge
The MOB Market: Low vacancy. Rising rents. Demand outpacing supply. Since the pandemic, demand has outpaced new supply by 4.7 million SF across the top 100 markets. https://t.co/TyEj7PBonU
Big Tech's Low Taxes Boost Profits, Erode Worker Share
Actually, Pro-Trump MAG4 companies - $META $TSLA $GOOGL & $AMZN - unsurprisingly pay the least US taxes despite being some of the largest companies in the world. https://t.co/80OHUutsyx Also this trend of US corporate profits growing faster than the domestic economy has...
AI Fuels Rally; VRP Vanished, Options Now Pricey
@WarrenPies on debasement, AI = stock tailwind + VRP gone, single stock options rich after the recent record rally https://t.co/HQ57lAcHbm
National Vacancy Rates Surpass 2019, Sun Belt Rentals Cool
The national vacancy rate is now above pre-pandemic 2019 levels Just as in the for-sale market, Sun Belt boomtowns have been experiencing the biggest cyclical rental cooldowns Chart via @ResidentialClub
Charge Higher Spread for High‑Risk, Heavy‑Lift Deals
Just because the standard is to underwrite 150 bps of spread doesn’t mean you should do that for every deal. This is a multifamily deal I was looking at a little while ago. It’s a *heavy* lift: - Currently operating as a...
US‑Iran Talks Will Steer Markets over Next 48 Hours
Here's the top global macro event risk over the next 48 hours. I think there is a lot of important backdrop to the likes of US retail sales, UK jobs and Tesla earnings....however, I think the US-Iran negotiations will be responsible...
Tech Leads Sector Rotation, Reviving Equity Momentum
"While there was some handwringing about weak breadth over the weekend, it’s important to note that sector rotation has played a starring role in the recent equity drama. Tech stocks have sprung back to life..." More from me on @stockcharts $SPY...
Market Ignores Apple CEO Change Amid Bigger Shocks
Daily US Market Review — Monday, April 20, 2026 Apple changed its CEO for the first time in 15 years today. The market barely blinked — because it was too busy absorbing three bigger shocks: an Iran ceasefire teetering on Wednesday's...
Early, Consistent Investing Beats Large Late‑stage Contributions
"At some point, there's not much point investing an extra $10K" The key lesson here: The longer you invest and the more you invest, the less your later investments really move the needle This sounds obvious ("Just invest a lot, duh"), but...
Goldman Forecasts S&P 500 Hitting 7% Gain by Year‑end
Goldman: “The US equity market should continue to make new highs in coming months on the back of continued earnings growth. We expect a 7% rise in the S&P 500 to our year-end target of 7600”
Microsoft Trade Nets $2,800 Profit
MSFT Trade $2,800 in 10 Days (Here’s the Full Breakdown) #optionstrading #tradingtips #stockmarket #tradingstrategy #msft
Sell S&P Puts to Boost Returns Beyond the Market
You can buy the S&P and beat 90% of stock pickers… Or you can buy the S&P and sell puts on it… and quietly move into the top 1% Same foundation. Slightly different approach. One just adds income on top of the market’s long...
Citadel Proposes Half‑penny Tick Pilot to Test Market Quality
Citadel just urged the SEC for a 2-year pilot on tick sizes. 30 of the 60 most liquid stocks & ETFs would get half-penny ticks ($0.005) + lower access fee caps. The other 30 stay at the current penny tick ($0.01)...
Tiny Triggers Can Jeopardize $110 Trillion Economy
turns out it doesn’t take much to hold a $110 trillion global economy at risk.
All Eight Signals Confirm Bull Market Resurgence
🟢 8 of 8 Bullish 🟢 Regime: Confirmed Bull Market After a few weeks of caution, 8 of 8 signals say we’re back in go mode. Price back at all-time highs. Momentum flipped back to bullish. Internals, breadth, and risk appetite all improved together. This is...
Oil Rebounds as Material Momentum Drives Targets and Exits
Oil is on the rebound but so are pockets of momentum. We’re still seeing strength show up in materials, hitting targets and raising exits while new setups continue to trigger. Today's momentum report: https://t.co/4SRJUfV3YA
Northland Boosts AXTI Target, Yet Stock Stalls
Art of the Deal Pre market Northland raises the price target on $AXTI to $90 from $45 in what looks to be a super bullish note with bullets. - Stock wont rally early AM - boutique house highlights price drops in Indium. Post...
XETFs Files Upside Boost ETFs Targeting Private Firms
New filing for a bunch of "Upside Boost" ETFs based on (mostly) private companies from issuer called xETFs https://t.co/yCEgiEpF0a
Four Criteria to Spot Potential 10x Stocks
When looking for 10x stocks, I want to see: ✅ Explosive revenue growth ✅ A massive market opportunity ✅ Low or no debt ✅ Product people love If a company checks all 4 boxes, I dig in. What’s a stock that passes your test? $ALAB $UUUU $IREN
China’s Auto Export Surge Defies EU Tariffs
The second China shock isn't going to go away on its own, or with half measures -- China's auto exports to Europe, for example, have clearly reaccelerated (even with the narrowly targeted CVDs against battery electric imports) 1/ https://t.co/pdaadEXUrD
Delaying Retirement Boosts Portfolio Value by Two‑Thirds
A small shift in retirement timing can change the market environment the retiree enters and, with it, the sustainability of the plan. https://t.co/ExgMMZqtKQ Georgios Argyris, Research Director at bellavia app shows how the effect becomes clear when comparing otherwise identical retirees...
California’s Oil Decline Forces Costly Imports and Shortages
For a mix of reasons, California has decimated its local oil production. As a result, it’s now producing only about 300,000 barrels a day. But as the economy grows and the population expands, oil demand continues to rise. The state...
Earn 6% Yield Renting Equity’s Cash Machine
You’re basically renting the same cash generating machine equity holders own, just higher in the stack while getting an over 6% yield. Real ones know there is likely upside as well. Interesting for income seekers.
Extended Ceasefire Leaves 182M Barrels Off Market
Important to remember that, with 13 MMbpd in oil production still shut-in across the Gulf, a two week ceasefire extension with no change to the status of Hormuz means another 182 million barrels lost to the market. *Poof* Sooner or later that's...
AWS Alone May Be Worth $2 Trillion, Boosting Amazon
Amazon (ie $AMZN) current market cap is $2.7 trillion. After the news tonight with Anthropic, it's possible that AWS (by itself) is worth at least $2 trillion and maybe the full $2.7 trillion in which case you get the rest of...
Iran Risk Unpriced Amid High Oil, Demand Lag Threatens
Iran risk is not priced in from elevated oil prices or supply shocks. @HFI_Research wrote about lags that trigger potential demand hit if prolonged.
Gap‑filling Myth Debunked: Not All Gaps Close
"As a reminder, gaps are measured by the period’s closing price and the subsequent period’s opening price. The thinking is that there’s unfinished business on the chart. In Japan, they say there’s an open window that must be closed. In Western...
Hormuz Blockade Drives Iran's Currency to Record Weakness
Read a good summary of the economic impact of the Hormuz blockade on Iran by Foreign Affairs. A good rudimentary reminder of the pressure is the exchange rate: USD/IRR is 1.320 mln and black market looks to be around 1.512...