Spotting NASDAQ Bottom with $TQQQ Trade
bottom snipe like here with a bottom pick on the NASDAQ here using $TQQQ 🎯🎯 $QQQ $SPY https://t.co/jAxoEQg65i
Geopolitics Decoded: Investment Insights Ahead of Headlines
Thoughts? Follow @tallguytycoon - I break down geopolitical events and how they impact investments before the news does.
Geopolitical Shocks Trigger Short‑term Stock Drops, Not Recessions
Geopolitical risks may weigh on the outlook for stocks in the short run, with the S&P 500 now below key support at its 100-day moving average. Stocks have been transitioning leadership toward commodity-sensitive sectors and value stocks so far this...
Bond Volatility Stocks TW, MKTX Signal Market Trouble
Bond Volatility winners $TW $MKTX also always a good market hedge / indicator of trouble coming
Prop Trading Consolidates in March 2026
March 2026 kicks off with big changes for @ApexTradeFund @TradingLucid @Xpertfunding @ftmo @OANDAPropTrader Get the details https://t.co/hvM8ZXjDn6
Private Credit Mirrors 2007‑08 Troubled Financials Amid Downtrend
$OWL Daily. Clear downtrend. Weak bounces. Major issues lurking. Private credit starting to act like some problem financials in 2007/08. https://t.co/suwdNfuKKO
SVIX Plummets, May Signal Emerging Volatility Cluster
Vol gods very angry this morning. That means that $SVIX is being smashed to a level that gets it on the watch list. But it could be the first of a cluster (see March/April of last year), so be careful...
Stocks May Need to Tumble as Bonds Buy Crash Insurance
The SPX is now down ~2.5%. As the red annotations show, the 10-year yield is 5 bps lower to 4.06%. Bonds are being bought as crash insurance. This probably means stocks have to crash to keep bonds from trading back to 4.11%. https://t.co/Ks8NfeSfzT
Preserve Capital, Tighten Stops Until Post‑conflict Rally
As always, risk management is paramount. In a market under distribution, tightening stops and prioritizing capital preservation isn’t just prudent — it’s essential. When the tape refuses to reward low-risk setups and breakouts fail to follow through, discipline becomes your greatest...
Weekly Slow Line Sinks Below Zero, Signaling Cycle Shift
posted this chart awhile ago showing cycle work (need to see the weekly "slow line" get buried below the zero line). https://t.co/5u8fVYjmle
Market Breadth Weakens as Downtrend Signals Mount
The structural makings for market downtrend have been long in the making...near record number of Hindenburg Sell signals (sometimes a dubious indicator) but speaks to the deteriorating market breadth. The surprising thing was how long the RS leaders kept...
Shorts Suffer: Gains Wiped, Rally Still Downtrend
Really hard to press shorts: one piece of good news erases days of gains in hours. And when it’s all said and done, the stock will rally 10% and still be in a downtrend. Nothing changed. Just pain
Dollar Surge Flushes Gold, Emerging Market ETFs
The rock solid complacent trends like $GLD, $EEM, and $ACWX all getting flushed today as the dollar rips another day https://t.co/f6LhWCRZLV
Soybean Price Below 11.64 May Signal Downside
Upper Keltner for #soybeans right here at 11.64. Close below that would probably allow for a little more follow through to the downside. Feels like we are moving more to risk off VS buy everything because oils inflationary....
DAX May Face Sharp Downside Move
DAX - going to be fugly it this comes out the downside. (measured move projection possibility) https://t.co/OYKBGz8xYS
Only Log in to Buy, Not to Watch
Don’t even bother logging into your investment accounts if you’re not buying more stocks. You’re just going to make yourself feel worse and selling will only hurt you in the long term.
Stats Without Context Provide No Value
$SPY - Sideways price action cuts both ways... Yes - "Only XYZ % from New Highs" but also now this move puts us at new 3 month lows. People yelling stats without context are not doing analysis and analysis is the...
QQQ
after failure to reclaim 600 $QQQ in a downtrend. held pre-market support first time... https://t.co/aA27OsTKQw
Market Breadth Drops Below -2000, Rare Occurrence
Its been a long time since we saw market breadth readings worse than -2000 https://t.co/vWEmtQAlyw
Gold ETF Likely Peaked, Falling Below $500
the top is probably in for $GLD. lower high ystdy into 500. rats running for the exits today... @PeterSchiff https://t.co/ZxaxY0aB5F
Utilities Outpace S&P, Signaling Beta Rotation Bearishness
that's a mighty big surge of utilities $XLU vs. S&P 500 $SPX in the past 4-weeks (middle panel) - it's a bearish condition for the #betarotation model and if you haven't read their analysis @charliebilello @leadlagreport - i'd say you...
Current Gold Bull Market Shortest, Still Room to Grow
I showed yesterday the duration of major #gold bull markets and that the current one is the shortest on record—it would also be the lowest percent gain, more evidence we've go a long way to go... https://t.co/nMauHEtp2A
Dollar Rallies as Risk‑off Sentiment Deepens, Stocks Fall
In contrast to the US indices drop, the $DXY Dollar Index is extending its rally. Risk correlations are increasingly aligning - suggesting a stronger drive in sentiment (specifically 'risk off') https://t.co/TQcm749mr6
Sticky Upside Volatility Threatens Crowded Short‑Vol Trade
Embedded issue with markets now is whether volatility remains sticky to upside and destroys the crowded and complacent short vol trade which has been going on for years
Fed Sees Stable Labor, Cautious Optimism, Future Rate Cuts
NY Fed President John Williams with a speech that marks to market his outlook, one that has few changes from recent commentary out of Fed leadership: Labor market has shown “promising signs of stabilization.” Despite a “lack of headway” on...
Relative Strength Fails Spectacularly on Extreme Market Days
You can punch the "look for relative strength" people right in the face on days like today.
Implied Vol Outpaces History—Will It Converge Soon?
Implied vol is well ahead of historical vol. Is the latter about to catch up? https://t.co/n7Ii78S3oL
Wider Term Premia Needed to Hedge Bond‑equity Shocks
Term premia should reflect the hedging qualities of government bonds. If we are going to keep getting negative supply shocks - which reduce equities and raise yields, creating a positive return correlation - term premia need to be a lot...
Historical Feb‑March Weakness Predicts Upcoming Market Slip
It is what it is, weakness in February and the early parts of March are quite common the past two decades. We've been saying expect a banana peel and we are on it. https://t.co/fTK460vLTF
S&P 500 Records Smallest Two‑Month Range—Tightness Won’t Last
Good reminder that we just had the smallest first two month range EVER for the S&P 500. Tight ranges don't last forever. https://t.co/4UYArPODOU
QQQ Gaps Down, Still Below 21‑EMA – Watch the Close
$QQQ gap below the level. We were "supposed to" see follow through higher today or a hold. A gap down is negative. Still below the 21ema. See how we close https://t.co/2PaRAvRI6S
Quasi Sklar Box Signals 5,000-Point Downside for Gold
Quasi SKlarew box suggests minimum downside of 5000 for GC. note perfect 120 "u turn" at the top. https://t.co/wHdOR1RvDF
Japanese Homebuilders Target U.S. Market for Affordable Housing
This is one to watch, especially on the #affordability play. Japanese #homebuilders go on a U.S. shopping spree https://t.co/mx1I1mmMB6 #realestate #realestateinvesting #housing #economy
Ignore Market Noise; Stick to Long‑term Plan
If you're not retired: > stop obsessing over share prices, it's just noise > stop stressing about daily market moves, they don't matter > stop panicking over short term drops, they are normal Just stick to your long term plan. Stick to your allocation....
VITL's Low-Return Claim Clashes with $100M Buyback
A slide from the $VITL December 2025 Investor Day, which ranked capital returns as their lowest investment priority; two months later, announced a $100 million repurchase authorization, which would require debt issuance. https://t.co/IAg2QWKbrE
Location Beats Building Condition: Vision Can't Fix Bad Sites
Doesn’t matter how ugly, run-down or obsolete a building is: If the post-rehab rent or sale price is sufficiently high to justify the expense, you can figure out how to fix it, w enough vision & capital. On the other...
Market Dip Matches Expectations, FTSE
This is certainly more like the whack to markets I had expected yesterday. At least I might get a good opportunity to open a GIT #FTSE100 Long at some point. :-)
Doubling Down at Lower Prices Ends in Loss
There is an old adage that comes true in every major market cycle The person who is long at 100 and says they will double up at 50 ends up selling everything at 60 Happens every time -- never fails to happen
Never Trust Caller ID—Always Verify with Bank
My very smart friend got scammed yesterday. Because she's a smart cookie, the scammer only got $400 but it could have been so much worse. 1️⃣ When someone calls you claiming to be from your bank, thank them for the call and...
SPY Approaches Consolidation Floor; Below 670 Triggers Market Drop
$SPY trading near the bottom of its multi-month consolidation range. A move below 670.00 could drive the entire market lower.
Capture $1 Call Spread Profit, Free Put Hedge
$BBY "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 62/63 Call Spread (80 cents) and sell the March 6 Expiry 56 Put for free." puts expire, sell call spread near $1.00 or on any weakness in stock price
MDB Call Spread Busted; Roll Puts Down/Out
$MDB "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 330/342.50 Call Spread ($7.40) and sell the March 6 Expiry 275 Put for a 20 cent credit." call spread a bust, will need to roll puts down and out.
Sharp Dollar Rally Threatens Treasury Market Stability
The Dollar is rallying sharply. When this kind of Dollar strength happens, risk of disorderly market conditions and problems in the US Treasury market rise, because the highly leveraged basis trade can get hit as EM central banks sell their...
China's Mineral Dominance Exposes Western Strategic Failure
China won the mineral war. Two new books show how the West let it happen Read more here: https://t.co/9ofBAHFGLx https://t.co/Qa5SYQX6Dg
Weekly Safety Checklist for New Buying Decisions
a weekly glance at our "Is It Safe for New Buying?" checklist... $TSX $QQQ $SPX $IWM https://t.co/ryem6Ua7LX
Sunnyside Yard Redevelopment Aims to House 12k Families
At 192 acres, #SunnysideYard w/the largest coach yard in the world w/it opened in 1910+w/#MayorMamdani wants to put 12K families. +He wants #Trump to ok #21B in fed $$ for it. 'In a city w/land is so precious, here lies...
Gold Slides Below $5,100 as Safe‑Haven Demand Fades
Spot gold has now fallen below $5,100 despite rising global uncertainty. Safe haven bids are fading as traders de risk and raise cash. Silver has dropped under $78, down $20 in just 24 hours. Volatility is accelerating across metals . Is this...
KORU Rebalances on MSCI Korea Close, Not US ETF
Hey Friends. Been digging through the $KORU Docs. With Kospi and MSCI Korea 25/50 down sharply overnight this thing is looking like a down 30% day. As far as I can tell its NAV and Rebalance timing is...
Visa, Mastercard, AmEx Slip Below Key Bearish EMAs
three credit card trends... Visa $V and Mastercard $MA have already crossed 13/34-week EMA bearish... it looks like American Express $AXP isn't far behind... https://t.co/AA0IDiYONt
Stocks Outpace Inflation, Preserve Purchasing Power
In my opinion, this is the most compelling chart for being a stock market investor. Over the last 50 years: -US Inflation: up 6x -S&P 500 dividends: up 21x -S&P 500 total return: up 265x Over the long run, stocks trounce inflation and protect your...