Market Bounces Above 2024 Levels After Seller Retreat
A step in the right direction? Yes. Sellers stepped back from the market in 2025, but for three months in a row we are finally above 2024 levels again. We are still historically anemic, but this is a positive direction. Let’s hope it keeps up. https://t.co/4uql9xbfhw
SPY Holds $675 Support, Climbs to $681.65
$spy follow up as it held $675 area and reclaimed $680 then $681.65 A few names help lead the way https://t.co/RCNnDd8R4r
NVDA's Bullish Candle Could Shield Nasdaq 100
$NVDA - The day isn't over yet, but so far we have a bullish engulfing candle off the 200 day MA. If NVDA holds above its 200 DMA for the rest of the week maybe the Nasdaq 100 will not...
Watch SNDK's Low-Volume Drift Toward 21‑EMA
$SNDK keep a close eye on this one Currently in a lower volume drift to the 21ema. https://t.co/NrX4v63gQD
US Haven Status Threatened, yet Likely to Fade
'For now, though, this serves as another warning sign to US authorities that their haven status is in peril'. I don't think this is any more right now than it was a year ago in other circumstances, or before that....
0.78 Ratio Signals Modest Value Edge, Not Explosion
The blue line is Forward P/E of Value divided by Growth: * 1.0 = Value and Growth trade at the same forward P/E. * <1.0 = Value trades cheaper than Growth. * Lower = wider valuation spread favoring Growth. Historical 3–5 Year Returns: * When...
Tesla Needs 21‑EMA Break to Confirm Uptrend
$TSLA strong bar off the gap down open & 200 day Still needs to get above the 21ema to be in an uptrend https://t.co/mu13xUuTIq
Strait of Hormuz Crisis Halts Traffic, Tankers Brace
Strait of Hormuz Enters Active Crisis: Five Ships Hit, Traffic Collapses, Tanker Markets Brace for Historic Shock https://t.co/QozOvFyHte
US Soybean Inspections Hit Record, 65% Headed to China
🇺🇸Last week's U.S. corn and soybean export inspections topped all estimates. 65% of the inspected bean volume was to China. https://t.co/pdWgCErVIi
2% Inflation Won’t Trigger 3% Mortgage Rates
2% inflation won't lead to 3% mortgage rates with the Fed at neutral policy. https://t.co/TpEKz1u8Cu
Wheat Export Inspections Outpace USDA Target by 57M Bushels
Marketing year to date #wheat export inspections exceed the seasonal pace needed to hit USDA's target by 57 million bushels, versus 62 million bushels the previous week. #oatt
ETF 351 Seeding Risks: Top 10 Mistakes Highlighted
Lots of chatter on ETFs being seeded via 351. Makes sense-we've seen a large increase in activity (and press e.g., @justinaknope @denitsa_tsekova). Here is an older article that talks about the top 10 ways to screw these up. https://t.co/pcyPnnrYtg Note: Economic substance...
Apple's 65% Share Signals Boost for SWKS
Comments at MSCO conference from $SWKS CEO are perhaps a positive tell for $AAPL being that they are a 65% customer to them
Apple's New Products Promise Modest June Revenue Upside
The new $AAPL products should translate into a modest upside for June quarter revenue. https://t.co/3YfhPcJTiW
Markets Shrug Iran Strikes, Eye Earnings-Driven Sell‑off
Obviously the market doesn't really care about the strikes in Iran. The stock indices are barely down, silver is selling off big and crude oil is spiking, but nothing significant, it's nowhere near last June's high from the previous strike...
Free 24‑Hour Money Makeover: Find Breathing Room
That answer sat with me. Because at this point it’s not even about luxury anymore... It’s about having enough money to simply live. If this is where you are right now, I'm so sorry. It's affecting so many of us right now... but...
Spot the Hidden Great Rotation Before It Hits
Everyone’s chasing last year’s winners. The real move is under the surface. Leadership is rotating. Capital is rotating. By the time it’s obvious, it’s late. The Great Rotation is accelerating. Here’s what most investors are missing: https://t.co/Q38nu61vBB
Returning to Short SPY Calls After S&P Rally
Back Shorting SPY Calls @thestreetpro With S&P cash -9 handles (a big rally from the lows of -70 handles) I am back shorting (SPY) calls. By Doug Kass Mar 2, 2026 11:21 AM EST @guyadami @dougkass
Spot Clean Trends, Yet Embrace Messy Opportunities
Look for clean trends. But don't ignore the messy ones - they'll eventually present opportunties, too.
Berkshire Will Buy Back Shares Below Intrinsic Value
Greg Abel: "Share repurchases are another important capital allocation option. We will buy back Berkshire shares when they trade below our estimate of intrinsic value, conservatively determined, ensuring that repurchases enhance per-share value for continuing owners."
Germany Reverses Heat Transition, Reviving Fossil Heating
Just last week the German government gutted the heating law which was supposed to drive a transition away from gas. The timing could not have been worse: Gas prices are up 50% today & this crisis could worsen significantly. This will...
LNG Terminals Need Long‑term Contracts, Not Spare Capacity
Why on earth would Canada (or anyone) have that much spare LNG capacity? The reason many terminals weren't built is because they couldn't secure long-term offtake deals. No one was building terminals on a purely merchant basis.
War‑favored
Seeing all the gap higher open war-favorite groups fade here, classic sell the news action
60+ NYSE and 21 Nasdaq Stocks Hit All‑Time Highs
Over 60 NYSE and 21 Naz making ATH today.... Summary of Stocks With New Highs & Lows - https://t.co/FERzGR60yl
From Early Short to $400 Long: Tesla Triumph
SHORT worked early here on $TSLA, flipped LONG on the break of $400 and the rest is history......🫡🤑😎 #trading #stocks @ttvresearch @traderTVLIVE https://t.co/SpMay9i78f
Corn Dominates Export Inspections, Soybeans Second
Export inspections for the week ending Feb. 26 (mln bu): #corn 73.2, grain sorghum 9.4, #soybeans 41.8, #wheat 12.6 #oatt
2025 Portfolio Review: Hits, Misses, and Dollar Lessons
My annual portfolio review is one of my most read posts of the year. The 2025 edition is now live 📊 Did I hit my goals? 👉 The Good, The Bad and The Dollar 😉 Check it out here: 🔗 https://europeandgi.com/inspiration/2025-dividend-portfolio-review-the-good-the-bad-and-the-dollar/ Share ⏩ &...
Oil, Fertilizer Prices Surge After US‑Israel Strike
#oil & #fertilizer prices both spike following the US-Israel joint strike on Iran with the Strait of Hormuz essentially shut down. #oatt #oott https://t.co/wrY5JcnYwb
Housing and Food Prices Cooling Amid Oil Inflation Fears
Good to see on a day where there are worries about high oil prices and inflation, other key inputs like housing and food may be cooling
Trust Drives Markets: When It Falters, Risk Rises
Trust is emotional. It’s also economic infrastructure. When it weakens, markets reprice risk and retirement plans built on stability require harder tradeoffs. Most people treat trust as sentiment. It isn’t. It determines how money moves. I sat down with George D. Kinder to...
ISM Manufacturing Prices Misleading; Soft CPI Ahead
Some focus given to ISM Manufacturing Prices back in 70. In my opinion very misleading for now (and solely based on energy). But the jury is obviously out. I expect a couple of incredibly soft CPI reports coming up.
NVDA Shines for #630Club Watchers, Solid Software
$nvda a great trade this morning for those who watched the #630club. Software was decent also 💪
Energy Reversal and VWAP Gap Signal $INDO Setup
Both a reversal in Energy stocks in addition to a small cap gap stock losing at vwap makes $INDO a good setup. was early initially though. https://t.co/QSXGMfyHtU
Tepper Dissects Markets, AI, Capitalism, and Crisis
Our chat with Jonathan Tepper on: * Building a Dominant Long-Only Fund in a Distorted Market * Buying Booking at Peak Fear: COVID, Google & Mispriced Risk * Will AI Disintermediate the Platforms? * AI Winners, Losers & the SaaS Apocalypse * The Myth of...
Nvidia Sees $335M June $150 Call Surge, March 160 Adjusts
Nvidia (NVDA) with $335M of June $150 ITM calls bought as big March 160 position adjusts
2030s May Open Homeownership for Gen Z, Despite Racial Gaps
Is Gen Z completely priced out of homeownership, or are market shifts creating new opportunities? Analyzing the latest economic data reveals significant racial disparities and supply trends that suggest the 2030s could be a pivotal decade for young buyers. https://t.co/hWYTDWyAf9
Refinery Stock Breaks Out Amid Strong Energy Uptrend
$PSX Daily. Refinery stock popping up and out of tight falling channel in context of overall strong uptrend as energy surges. Far from extended https://t.co/Deqj2QXqRJ
MA Apartment Starts and Acquisitions Set to Plunge in 2026
Easy prediction: New apartment construction starts and acquisitions will plunge across Massachusetts in 2026 until after the potential November ballot measure on rent control is decided. https://t.co/PNqV8oMkvq
Bond Yields Spike, Markets Remain Unpredictable Amid War
War & Mortgage Rates: We're All Along For The Ride Since I am old & have been around for many Geopolitical Events I have learned 2 things: - No one knows exactly how things will turn out - The initial reaction of Financial...
Volatility Clarifies Bear Traps and Market Signals
BTU - Nice TS+1 bear trap. Notice how everything s so much more readable when there is good volatility (!) https://t.co/3dNjZ6BKre
Intuit Begins Mean Reversion After AI Hype Overreaction
INTU - one of the last to revert to the mean from the AI software disrupt "overreaction".... https://t.co/NB6hF3p0sF
Broad Market Breadth Improves, Favoring Value and Cyclicals
Second strong ISM NO print in a row. I'm not bullish, I'm BROADish. We see macro and micro breadth improving into 2027. Benefits to value, cyclicals, active management. https://t.co/geofWJYULy
Duration Fails to Sustain Any Meaningful Bids
Most telling thing about this episode so far is complete inability of duration to hold anything resembling a bid.
Traders Slash BOE Cut Odds Below 50% for March
Traders trim BOE bets, see less than 50% chance of a cut in March https://t.co/qbysIjoLyJ via @highisland https://t.co/TOAzMgmV6e
Gas Prices Spike 50%—Imported Fuel Dependency Exposed
Gas prices up by around 50% today. A painful reminder that relying on imported fossil fuels is a risky strategy. https://t.co/uXkWNMXbeQ
Prefer Selling Spikes, Buying Gap-Downs over Breakouts
Everything becomes a little tougher now due to potential news. Selling spikes and buying gaps downs is probably a better strategy than buying breakouts and shorting breakdowns.
Altos Single-Family Inventory Drops 1.4% Weekly
Final Look at Local Housing Markets in January Altos: Active single-family inventory was down 1.4% week-over-week https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/final-look-at-local-housing-markets-899
NVDA Poised for Short‑term Bounce if It Closes Above 180
$NVDA two days of selling then a gap lower is classic short term bounce play. (a close above 180 would be constructive) https://t.co/4Z1dOruJvL
Read Market Footprints, Trade Structure Over Emotion
Liquidity was taken. Structure was broken. Demand reacted. 📈 The market always leaves footprints — smart traders learn to read them. Trade with structure, not emotion. #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexTrading #MarketStructure #TradingEducation
CBOE Term Structure Reveals Lingering Weekly Market Concerns
And here's what it looks like using @CBOE term structure. Still worried about the next week. https://t.co/fiamATKWkr