MA Apartment Starts and Acquisitions Set to Plunge in 2026
Easy prediction: New apartment construction starts and acquisitions will plunge across Massachusetts in 2026 until after the potential November ballot measure on rent control is decided. https://t.co/PNqV8oMkvq
Bond Yields Spike, Markets Remain Unpredictable Amid War
War & Mortgage Rates: We're All Along For The Ride Since I am old & have been around for many Geopolitical Events I have learned 2 things: - No one knows exactly how things will turn out - The initial reaction of Financial...
Volatility Clarifies Bear Traps and Market Signals
BTU - Nice TS+1 bear trap. Notice how everything s so much more readable when there is good volatility (!) https://t.co/3dNjZ6BKre
Intuit Begins Mean Reversion After AI Hype Overreaction
INTU - one of the last to revert to the mean from the AI software disrupt "overreaction".... https://t.co/NB6hF3p0sF
Broad Market Breadth Improves, Favoring Value and Cyclicals
Second strong ISM NO print in a row. I'm not bullish, I'm BROADish. We see macro and micro breadth improving into 2027. Benefits to value, cyclicals, active management. https://t.co/geofWJYULy
Duration Fails to Sustain Any Meaningful Bids
Most telling thing about this episode so far is complete inability of duration to hold anything resembling a bid.
Traders Slash BOE Cut Odds Below 50% for March
Traders trim BOE bets, see less than 50% chance of a cut in March https://t.co/qbysIjoLyJ via @highisland https://t.co/TOAzMgmV6e
Gas Prices Spike 50%—Imported Fuel Dependency Exposed
Gas prices up by around 50% today. A painful reminder that relying on imported fossil fuels is a risky strategy. https://t.co/uXkWNMXbeQ
Prefer Selling Spikes, Buying Gap-Downs over Breakouts
Everything becomes a little tougher now due to potential news. Selling spikes and buying gaps downs is probably a better strategy than buying breakouts and shorting breakdowns.
Altos Single-Family Inventory Drops 1.4% Weekly
Final Look at Local Housing Markets in January Altos: Active single-family inventory was down 1.4% week-over-week https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/final-look-at-local-housing-markets-899
NVDA Poised for Short‑term Bounce if It Closes Above 180
$NVDA two days of selling then a gap lower is classic short term bounce play. (a close above 180 would be constructive) https://t.co/4Z1dOruJvL
Read Market Footprints, Trade Structure Over Emotion
Liquidity was taken. Structure was broken. Demand reacted. 📈 The market always leaves footprints — smart traders learn to read them. Trade with structure, not emotion. #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexTrading #MarketStructure #TradingEducation
CBOE Term Structure Reveals Lingering Weekly Market Concerns
And here's what it looks like using @CBOE term structure. Still worried about the next week. https://t.co/fiamATKWkr
ReSeedPartners Hits ‘Default Alive’ Milestone, Validating Model
Very good post @ReSeedPartners, the platform some partners and I started ~3 yrs ago to seed emerging real estate operators, recently reached "default alive", reminding me yet again how powerful a position that is
US Session Push
SP: US session - play for PDL, and then overnight high. NAZ, YM Rus SP all got look above PDL. (confirmation) https://t.co/Vld2LzGVni
Mixed Market Reaction to Middle East Events, No Panic Selling
Market overview to kick off the new month. So far mixed as traders react to the latest events in the Middle East. Selling doesn't feel panic-ky.
Core Inflation Hits Highest Since Early 2024
CPI and PPI translations into PCE suggest core prices in January rose around 0.43%, give or take. That would be the highest month-over-month reading since February (which was +0.448%) and annualizes to 5.3%. It corresponds to a 3.1% y/y rate, the highest...
Avoid Chasing; Wait for S3 Pullback Entry
don't chase. pre-market chasers punished and pullback to S3 for a solid entry. $AAOI https://t.co/4HAaEhf60K
Italy's 2025 Deficit Exceeds EU 3% Limit
Italy’s deficit breached the EU’s 3% ceiling in 2025 after all https://t.co/khPIWxEtbb via @donatopmancini https://t.co/QURIoNIGBe
0DTE Options Transform Index to Stock Trading
The rise of 0DTE options reshaped index trading — and that evolution is now extending to single stocks. Join us today at 1pm ET as we go live with Mat Cashman of the OCC to break down this structural shift:...
ECB Signals Quick Rate Moves Amid Gas Surge
The Fed has been quiet but THIS ECB comment shows you how central bankers are thinking about the rise in oil/gas prices Minutes after European natural gas surged 50%, an ECB Governor said they’re ready to “move quickly” on rates. Energy spike...
Small Monthly Investments Build Powerful Compounding Habits
Many people think it's pointless to invest $100-200/mo. But: 1. It's better than $0/mo 2. You let your money compound instead of wasting it on useless things 3. You form a habit of investing, which could be even more valuable than the initial...
Memory Chip Prices Surge, Burden Downstream Industries
The price of memory chips continues to rise and is being passed on to downstream industries. National Development and Reform Commission https://t.co/Jjf9lb8DTz
Critical One Energy Reclaims Full Control of Namibia Assets
Critical One Energy @Critical1Energy $CRTL.CA $MMTLF Regains Full Control of Uranium and Copper Assets in Namibia, Africa by @newsfile https://t.co/YGdKDhloWd
Amazon Engineer Earns $405K + $9K Monthly Side Gig
Amazon employee Makes $405K/year in California including RSUs and another $9K/month in 1099 consulting income that he picked up in June of 2025. Here's everything we are looking at and why:
AI‑Driven Investing Demands Conviction, Culture, and Risk Discipline
Investing is entering a new regime defined by AI acceleration, crossover convergence, and a widening gap between insight and execution. A conversation with @GavinSBaker of Atreides Management on rigorous debate, conviction, and how culture & risk management drive performance across...
Oil Shock Threatens Inflation, Yields, Market Deleveraging
Markets are in risk off mode but NOT full panic YET 📉 $SPX $ES $NQ down 🛢️ $CL surging 🥇 $GC up YET 💵 $DXY strong 📈 $VIX rising Ras Tanura attacked. Oil supply at risk. Iran escalating. If oil keeps climbing, inflation comes back fast. If...
Disney/Hulu/ESPN Integration Will Appear Easier than Expected
Prediction: this will make the Disney / Hulu / ESPN DTC integration, which has taken 5+ years and with a lot of tough decisions to make along the way, look like a walk in the park. And that's before considering...
Russell 1000 Sets Record Daily Highs in 2026
Russell 1000 $IWB as has been the case every single day in 2026, we're seeing more highs than lows... https://t.co/3E04oJLnNX
GENB CEO Describes Emotional Whirlwind Going Public
2March: How did @generate_biomed CEO @mike_nally describe his whirlwind of emotions as his company went public? Read what he and CFO Jason Silvers, MD, JD said about $GENB plus updates on $CASIF, $NVAX, $PMVP & $SRPT in my latest StockWatch...
PRM Restructures Contracts to Stabilize Fire Safety Business
$PRM on how they have transitioned the fire safety business to be less cyclical by restructuring their fire retardant contracts
VIX Spot Above Curve Signals Major Market Move
Spot $VIX sitting above the entire $VX futures term structure. This is not normal (duh). Either spot comes down or futures need to move higher. Pick one and play it accordingly. https://t.co/UHEiLblhn0
Gas Prices Jump
UK & European gas price benchmarks have both hit 12-month highs, jumping ~50% today after Qatar paused production in the face of Iranian attacks But it's worth putting this in perspective – we're a long way off the insane spikes we saw...
Diversify Globally for Outsized Returns Beyond the S&P
Start of 2025: ‘Why should I own anything outside of the US?’ 14 months later: South Korea +204%, Peru +143%, South Africa +108% … S&P 500 +18%. The future is unknown. That’s why you diversify. https://t.co/2Lpruh2h0i
Copenhagen Market Hits Multi-Year Lows, Among Weakest Globally
Denmark (Copenhagen) stock market monthly chart... one of the WEAKEST stock markets out there... dropping to multi-year lows... (no clue what's happening there)... https://t.co/zfvOF9MNEB
Altruist AI Tax Tool Sparks Custodian Stock Selloff
In this month's latest in #AdvisorTech news. @altruist's launch of a new AI-powered tax planning add-on to its Hazel AI notetaker, which triggered a big selloff in the stocks of established RIA custodians like @CharlesSchwab, @LPL, and @RaymondJames: https://t.co/GaoXPwW9F3 And other...
Shanghai Market Posts Another Monthly Gain, Stays Under December Peak
Chinese Shanghai stock market... monthly chart... another up month, though still below December highs... https://t.co/1tVC6QTIDO
Three‑month MACD Histogram Decline Hints S&P Weakness
S&P 500 $SPX monthly chart... not much to see, but #MACDhist has ticked down for three months in a row... https://t.co/0YNrNMkKdz
Trim Metal Gains; Drones Poised for Long‑term Re‑rating
📺 ROTATION INTO WAR-LINKED THEMES? VIP Newsletter: https://t.co/Rqp84Wg39F $SLV and $GLD are up sharply in response to the geopolitical tensions. However, when you get a gap up in metals, you trim. Don’t fall in love with the narrative. Trim into strength,...
SHLD Surges to 80 on ETF Buy, Iran Strike Signal
$SHLD hit 80 this morning, last week's ETF buy...and another options flow signal that a strike on Iran was imminent https://t.co/X4FCStX2RJ
Dollar Rallies on Middle East War; Treasuries Stay Unsafe
Dollar Jumps on War, but Treasuries are No Safe Haven: There is one fundamental driver today and that is the Middle East war. After finishing last week on a soft note, the greenback has rallied. It is up by 0.5%...
Salesforce Q4 Beats Expectations, Agentforce Gains Momentum
.@Salesforce Q4 strong, Agentforce picks up momentum https://t.co/PqLYc0tJFP Salesforce reported a better-than-expected fourth quarter powered by Agentforce and Data 360. @ldignan https://t.co/c9L1RS7gVt
Macro Cycle Shift Triggers Broad Market Re‑rating After AI Boom
Maybe, just maybe, there is a cyclical component to the past 5 months of underperformance in the largest names and momentum factors. A turn in the macro cycle usually leads to a turn in market leadership. We went 3 years...
Belly Bonds Sell Off; 5-Year Yields Ease
Non-stop selling of the belly since futures opened last night with 5s easing up on the curve after a historic run. https://t.co/7GuCuTfHeW
Ten-Year Yields Rise Above 4% Amid Brief Conflict Reaction
Ten-year treasury yields are back above 4%. Very short-lived reaction to the conflict in Middle East. https://t.co/CSDtKBWAFO
Geopolitical Shocks Bottom Fast, Recover in Weeks
Geopolitical shocks feel scary… but history says bottoms come faster than you think. Avg S&P drawdown: -4.6% Avg time to bottom: 19 days Avg recovery: 40 days 6–12 months later? Mostly positive.
Post‑COVID Dreams of Roaring Twenties Meet 1970s Reality
Post-COVID, there was hope for an another roaring 20s. It’s been more like the 1970s.
March Cold Snap Won’t Significantly Raise Consumer Gas Prices
A cold spell in Europe in March would definitely put the cat among the pigeons, but worth remembering that it takes a while for gas prices to feed through to consumer prices, so "flash in the pan" shift won't matter,...
Upgrade Your Trading: Switch From Excel to Python
Stop trading in Excel like it’s 2009. Start using Python + ChatGPT. Here's 7 small steps:
Iran Conflict Drives Defense, Energy Stocks Amid Volatile Market
Markets entirely driven by the Iran conflict today, as Defense and energy stocks are the biggest in play. $NCLH guidance plus the conflict has it trading down, while unless in metals most of the market causing a frown. $SLV - Trend...