Half of People Don't See 401(k) as Investment
Consider the everyday person's knowledge of money: When I ask them about their investments, roughly 50% do not count their 401(k) as an investment. They think of it as something totally separate
Fed Seeks to Block DOJ Subpoenas in Secret Probe
The DOJ probe of the Federal Reserve is playing out behind closed doors The Fed, in sealed proceedings, is asking a judge to quash the subpoenas, which could reduce or eliminate its obligation to respond via @cryanbarber @sgurman https://t.co/HvnC5W8ImQ
Product-Level Demand Separates Winning Industrial Deals
The real opportunity right now? Understanding product-level demand. Not all industrial is equal in 2026. If you’re evaluating an industrial deal in California and want a disciplined underwriting perspective, DM me “INDUSTRIAL.” #CaliforniaCRE #IndustrialInvesting #WarehouseSpace #CREStrategy #CommercialInvestor
Nvidia Not Top Trade; Here Are Better Alternatives
There Are Better Things To Trade Than Nvidia also my short price targets on $NVDA https://t.co/LGkqEyi3XF
Automated Futures Strategy Nets $211 on Day One
Day 1 of running my automated futures trading strategy on MNQ. 3 contracts executed. 1 scalp taken. All trades followed predefined entry and risk management rules. Session result: $211. No hesitation. No moving stops. No discretionary overrides. This is the same futures trading strategy converted into a rule...
From Lender to Fintech: Tapping $13T Mortgage Market
Big quarter for figure: - 50% marketplace → they've become a fintech platform, not a lender - 19% first lien → they've entered a market 32x larger than their original one (HELOCs are $400 billion Market. 1st lien mortgages are $13...
Netflix's Bold Exit Strengthens Long-Term Value
Kudos to management for being willing to walk away. There will be plenty of opportunities over time to keep improving the customer value proposition and the long-term value of the business. This was the right decision by Netflix.
Netflix Finishes Second, Poised to Win the War
Congratulations to the team at Netflix for coming in second. If the history of bidding wars holds, they will end up as the real winner.
Rental Market Mirrors Resale: Lower Rents, Slower Turnover
I spoke at a property management event today, and the general consensus is the rental market is somewhat like the resale market. Slightly lower rents, it’s taking longer to market properties, the good stuff goes quickly, and overpriced listings sit.
Netflix Slides 30% After Failed WBD Merger, Confidence Restored
Netflix’s stock is down ~30% since the WBD merger drama began. While losing WBD removes the last clear major growth lever, it likely reestablishes some investor confidence. Longer-term, we’ll see if they miss the lost IP. But recent major media...
AI's White‑Collar Disruption Inevitable, Timing Only Question
When industrial companies were rewarded by the stock market for moving production to China, it was like a starting gun going off for jobs moving to China. Fade calls that AI will not be that disruptive to white collar jobs; the...
Permits
Permits and builders' confidence data would be more solid if that were the case. https://t.co/N1nLoES68j
Futures and Microsoft Dip After XYZ Cuts, ZS Earnings
Back to the numbers... Stock futures and $MSFT (good job @hedgeye for highlighting Mr. Softee's share price weakness over the last week while the shows were talking about its "value") move lower after the close after $XYZ job reduction...
Institutional Home Ownership Boosts Rental Diversity, Not Affordability
The only empirical finding I've seen on the effect of institutional ownership of single-family homes is that it makes neighborhoods slightly more diverse, to the extent that rentals are more accessible to more households. The issue is an affordability red...
S&P 500 on Track for Worst Month Since April 2025
MARKET RECAP 📉 What a wild and crazy day, S&P 500 fell once again and is on pace for worst month since April 2025 😳 What the heck is going on?!? Let’s talk about it 🗣️
IWM Projected to Hit $290‑$300 by 2026
Check out the beauty of this $IWM chart ... 2026 targets: $290 to $300 https://t.co/pFti1OyqaH
USD/CHF Stuck Near 2011 Low, Breakout Looms
Swiss Franc Forecast: USD/CHF Five-Week Standoff at 2011 Close Low- Breakout Risk Builds https://t.co/aQbUe8s8GA $USDCHF Weekly Chart https://t.co/IEGfXTQuEv
Rocket and Compass Join Forces to Challenge Zillow
Rocket and Compass team up in challenge to Zillow’s grip on housing Rocket Companies—which now also owns Redfin + Mr. Cooper—announced today a new partnership w/ Compass "Compass International Holdings' 'Coming Soon' listings will appear immediately on Redfin, with 'Private Exclusive' properties...
MasTec Beats Earnings, Raises Q1 and FY26 Guidance
MasTec beats by $0.12, beats on revs; guides Q1 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus; guides FY26 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus $MTZ
S&P Holds Above 100‑Day MA, Bulls Remain Confident
$SPX - Yesterday's gap was filled. Still trading above the 100 day MA. As long as it's above the 100 DMA there's no reason for the bulls to be worried. And even if it closes below the 100 DMA we...
Block Slashes 4,000 Jobs, Bets on AI Productivity
Ending the month with a bang @jack Block Block is cutting 4,000 employees, reducing its workforce by nearly half as the financial technology firm places a bet on artificial intelligence changing the future of labor productivity. cc @dailyjobcuts @MacroEdgeRes
Dell Projects Q1 Earnings Far Above Consensus
Dell sees Q1 EPS mid-point at $2.90 vs $2.34 FactSet Consensus; sees Q1 revs $34.70-35.70 bln vs $28.99 bln FactSet Consensus $DELL
Clear Levels to Watch as Deal Nears Resolution
Hate trading deal stocks, but we see clear levels to watch as this comes closer to a resolution. H/t @cgames2002
Software Gains Momentum, Semis Lose Appeal
Last night's report discussed six reasons for why Software might finally start to gain traction, but this could also happen at the expense of Semis. The false breakout was very much apparent this morning & while broader mkt breadth...
SLV Breaks $80, Holding Half Position
trying the $SLV long here with trend and the $80 break. now at $80.47 still have 50% of the position @ttvresearch @traderTVLIVE #silver https://t.co/lKKmUNcnOx
Canada’s Inflation On Target, Money Supply Grows Below Golden Rate
Canada's January inflation (CPI) is ON TARGET at 2.29%/yr. Canada’s money supply (M3) is growing at 4.02%/yr. That’s a bit below Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of ~6-8%/yr, a rate consistent with Canada's 1-3%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY...
S&P 500 Faces Worst Month Since 2025 Amid 2026 Volatility
The S&P 500 is now on pace for its WORST month since April 2025 😳 Volatility continues to be the main storyline of 2026 🎢
Renters Can Invest With Discipline, Not Just Homeownership
“Renters don’t invest.” What you really meant to say is, “I don’t know renters that invest, and my self-worth is tied up in owning a house.” The truth is, you have to have discipline as a renter to save up...
Gold Undervalued; Expect Massive Sector Rotation Ahead
New podcast with @davidlin_TV... My thesis: #gold and gold stocks are undervalued when compared to other asset classes, I thus expect a major rotation into our tiny sector as geopolitical risks, debt, supply-demand imbalances, etc., build. Meaty podcast: https://t.co/aEmxBYkF6K
CRM Hits Highs, Calls Surge Like WDAY
$CRM highs, call fly trade up big and similar to WDAY gets a positive reaction
Freezing California's Building Code Prevents Stricter Updates, Chaos
Some YIMBYs were mad mad that California froze the building code through 2031, on the idea that it would block hypothetical good code updates like single stair. But the reality of annual code updates is actually just an ever-stricter code...
Decade‑Long Tesla Critic Burns Billions Shorting Stock
tslaq been saying the same stuff for a decade and then lighting tens of billions of dollars on fire shorting the stock... $TSLA
QQQ Remains Volatile With
Still very easy to get chopped up out there. Speaking for a friend of course. No range breaks in sight so far $QQQ https://t.co/v29Vh7vQNg
TTD Shows Hollow Pattern; Added
$TTD I like the hollow on the daily from ER, it caught my eye. I am putting on homework list. Homework list doesn't mean a name makes it to watch or a trade.
Trade Less, Focus on High-Quality Setups
A lot of people ask why I only trade from 9:30 to 11. But what most don't realize is that time doesn't equal money in trading. One A+ setup beats five B- setups every single time. Today, I traded my plan on $CURX,...
NVDA Slides, Targeting 200‑day Support Near $175
$NVDA - Selling off like every big tech stock in this earnings season so far. The immediate downside target is the 200 day MA around 175. https://t.co/TJUNKNN6qL
Patience Pays: Short Setup Finally Worked After VWAP Miss
It took all day to set up a short I liked in $QBTS but eventually worked. Missed VWAP fail, but you can only take the next trade. #trading https://t.co/W5e0rdM8Ga
Silver Poised to Hit $250 per Ounce
The #gold-#silver ratio table tells us the silver price is eventually headed to $250. Or more... https://t.co/nKwKjms6nr
SPY Holds Feb Uptrend, March May Test All‑Time High
$SPY has defended this uptrend line since the start of February. Seems to have worked like magic as support for the last few weeks, but hasn't been strong enough to push the index to retest all time high. Maybe in...
Funds Defend Soybean Longs, Holding Above $11
Funds defending that long position in #soybeans like crazy. 11.55 in May looks like the area it needs to keep closing above for now.
SEP IRAs Limit Advanced Tax Strategies—Consider Better Options
SEP IRAs are a dead giveaway that somebody has room to do great planning 1.) They block backdoor Roths 2.) They reduce QBI more than solo 401ks do since SEP IRAs only allow employer contributions 3.) They do not support the mega backdoor...
NVDA's After-Hours Surge Past $203 Missing From Charts
Too bad that $NVDA push above 203 last night in AH trading won't show up on the chart...
US Chipmakers Turn to Sunrise Metals Amid Scandium Shortage
U.S. semiconductor manufacturers are feeling the pinch from Chinese restrictions on scandium exports, @Reuters reports, underscoring the importance of @SunriseMetals’ Syerston Scandium Project as an essential supplier to key U.S. industries. “U.S. chipmakers have experienced delays in receiving new scandium export licenses from...
Homeownership Up, America Not Turning Renter Nation
Is America becoming a renter nation? The answer is an unequivocable "no" according to U.S. Census data. Today's homeownership rate of 65.7% is: +0.6 ppts since pre-COVID +1.9 ppts since 10 years ago +0.4 ppts above the long-term average +0.9 ppts above the long-term median +1.0 ppt...
Put Your Paycheck to Work, Not in Zero‑Interest Checking
One of the biggest money moves I made? I stopped letting my paycheck sit in a checking account that earns zero percent interest. If my money’s gonna chill, it might as well make a little coin while it waits. 💸
MTD Returns Negatively Correlate 41% with Daily Returns
Quick proof of theory: MTD return as of y'days close has a -41% correlation with today's return. Statistically significant relationship at the 0.01% level. https://t.co/5nNOjJXagQ
S&P Stagnates Four Months as QQQ Peaks, FANG Falters
The S&P 500 has gone nowhere since October 29. Four months of chop. Small rallies get sold. Small dips get bought. Net = zero. Meanwhile, underneath: → $QQQ peaked 4 months ago, resistance stacking up → NYSE FANG Index down 17% from...
Shelter‑driven Inflation Easing as Vacancies Rise, Wages Slow
Fed doves have happy tears, since over 40% of CPI inflation is due to shelter and wage growth is slowing down. Rising rental vacancies mean it's unlikely to see breakaway inflation again. @housingwire @sarahteresa6 #mortgagerates #inflation #economics #realestate #chartdaddy
FANG Index Crashes 17% as S&P Holds Near Peaks
The NYSE FANG Index peaked on October 31, 2025. It decisively broke its 21-day on December 12. That moving average has acted as resistance ever since. Down 16.9% from highs. Every bounce sold. Lower highs. Lower lows. The S&P 500 is down less...
CEO Exit Undermines Confidence in Trainline’s Long‑Term Vision
Trainline's CEO is jumping ship. Here's a snippet from what I wrote in my $TRN deep dive conclusion: "If Trainline were a founder-led business today, with a CEO who still owned a truly material personal stake and followed a long-term blueprint with...