U.S. Sends 100 Advisors to Train Nigeria Post‑Airstrike
Following the Christmas Day U.S. airstrike on a jihadist target in northern Nigeria, the U.S. has deployed 100 troops, more so advisors, to train local counterterrorism forces in Nigeria. Full Newsletter: https://t.co/uIZSP3p5af #nigeria #usmilitary #geopolitics https://t.co/j1BH1u6PXG
Software Vols Drop Post‑Earnings, Bullish Call Shift
Viral Blog Bottoms? If you look at the software vols, we obviously still see some very high IV Ranks but those should come down today now that some earnings have passed. We'd argue lower IVs in this space generates a bullish...
IMF Confirms US Fiscal Boost Exceeds Estimates
People keep telling me I'm wrong about the US fiscal boost this year, but the IMF just published this.. thats bigger than our estimates btw https://t.co/HKAuw6DenI
Cava Targets 1,000 Locations, Sparking DC Retail Opportunities
Cava is aiming for 1,000 restaurants by 2032. The DC-based chain just hit $1.2B in revenue and plans to pass 500 units this year. Same-store sales were flat last quarter, but expansion is driving growth. They’re preparing for 100 openings a...
China's 90% Model Threatens 20 Industries—Act Now
My new book China's 90% Model launches March 17 To mark the launch of my book, I am hosting an exclusive session for my LinkedIn community. Are You Aware? Do You Know? In one hour I will take you through: 🔹What China's...
Chart Reading Mastery Comes From Research and Experience
The ability to read a chart is a gift you can only earn through research and experience.
Focus on Optimizing Existing Strategy, Not Chasing New Ones
Once your strategy is working, stop looking for better strategies. Look to optimize what you already have. Chasing perfection will kill your edge. Protect what you've built through focus and discipline.
US Crude Stocks Surge 16M Barrels, Gulf Coast Leads
U.S. CRUDE OILinventories surged by 16 million barrels over the seven days ending on February 20, the largest one-week increase for three years. The increase was concentrated at refineries and tank farms along the Gulf Coast where stocks rose by...
Nvidia's Obligations Surge, Raising Structural Risk
Short Thought: Nvidia Ratchets Up the Risk Michael BurryFeb 26 Welcome to one short thought. Just going through the Nvidia numbers. I would like to highlight for you one specific aspect of their financials that I find troubling. The 2026 Form 10K...
Inside How Liquidity Providers Power ETFs and Markets
Join me at 2pm GMT today on Spaces to discuss what’s really going on behind the scenes when liquidity providers like Jane Street support key ETFs and markets. https://t.co/a9uhteuOzP
WIL Shows Decent Fundamentals but Weak Chart, Not a Hold
#WIL results read OK. Has debt now and acquisitions weakened margins. ShareScope has fwd p/e 11.1 falling to 9.3 and fwd Divvy 4.4% rising to 4.6%; attractive numbers. Chart weak and AI possible threat. I don't hold.
TATE's Weak Performance Calls for Patience Despite Yield Rise
I keep looking at #TATE as something for my Income Portfolio but unfortunately it seems to have got itself in a bit of a rut of weak performance. ShareScope showing fwd Dividend Yield 5.1% rising to 5.2%; patience needed then.
MTEC Shows Cash Boost, Falling P/E, Worth Watching
#MTEC "ahead of recently upgraded expectations". Net Cash £11.9m (up). ShareScope has fwd p/e 17.4 falling to 13.7 but no Dividend. Mkt Cap £55m ish so quite small. Worth a look. I don't hold.
Nvidia's Strong Earnings and Outlook Discussed Live
Look forward to discussing Nvidia’s robust earnings and guidance on @BloombergTV with @lisaabramowicz1 @FerroTV @annmarie at 7:15 am
Zimbabwe's Lithium Ban Likely Short‑Lived, Minimal GDP Impact
The Zimbabwe export ban seems to be due to transfer pricing, ie producers understating grade/value of exports. Similar to what we saw from the Chinese company that operated Bald Hill in Australia a few years ago. On my calcs, average Zimbabwe...
Bailey Pushes New FSB Initiative for Cross‑border Payments
Bailey makes new FSB bid to kickstart cross-border payments work https://t.co/iC7ZiAlciT via @LauraNoonanX @Alemrome https://t.co/sSnw6BJ8QB
300th Stock Club: Revisiting 13‑stock Legacy, New 10‑year Picks
Our 300th episode of Stock Club has dropped. Mike and I review the 13 stock portfolio from an early show 7 years ago (it has one 24 bagger in it) — and we each pitch three to buy now and...
Record Dividend Amid Profit Dip Raises Order Book Questions
Velesto Energy just reported a profit dip for FY25, yet they are paying out the highest dividend in the company's history. Is the RM1.3 billion order book enough to offset lower rig utilization and declining charter rates? Here is the breakdown of...
UBS Predicts 20% Chinese Stock Rally on Inflation
Chinese stocks may gain another 20% as rising inflation expectations translate into better earnings, according to UBS Securities Asia https://t.co/X14DnpuQpY
China's Rare Earth Export Curbs Still Limit US Supply
Chinese rare earth export controls are still choking off lots of material to the US
Semiconductor Index Delivered Over Tenfold Returns Decade‑Long
The PHLX Semiconductor index: ASML, TSMC, Texas Instruments, AMD, Nvidia, NXP, Qorvo, Qualcomm, Applied Materials, Broadcom etc. More than a ten-bagger in the past decade https://t.co/P0OKb3JVYf
Trump's Pressure Pushes Modi to Diversify India’s Trade Partners
#IndiaWatch🇮🇳: Thanks to Trump’s threats and tariffs, Modi has pivoted and opened India’s doors to Japan, Brazil, Canada & the EU. MODI IS FASTER ON HIS FEET THAN YOU THINK. https://t.co/I5SCjNBPfI
More Funds ≠ True Diversification; Look Deeper
Most people think diversification means owning lots of different funds. A client came to me with 17 funds across 4 fund houses. "My advisor said this was maximum diversification." When I showed him what he actually owned underneath, something broke.
Ecuador to Extend Mirador Mine Contract, Enable Norte Expansion
Ecuador plans a Mirador copper mine contract extension in 1H 2026 to unlock Mirador Norte expansion. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/02/mirador-copper-mine-contract-extension.html
Activist Pressure, Not Weak Yen, Drives Real Improvements
Seems to me that the biggest improvements have been in firms: - Shamed into increasing their P/B to 1.0x - Targeted by shareholder activists like Oasis - Already had the right mindset, eg Hitachi / Itochu - Illusory improvement from the weak yen https://t.co/KxTgEB3c9O https://t.co/DoX7UvP2gs
China’s Role: Minor Export Market, Major Input Supplier, CNY Undervalued
It means a lot less than this. As an export market China is way less important than the US to Germany/ the EA. As a source of consumer & intermediate inputs China is of course a massive supplier,...
Japan and Korea Hit Record Highs on Nvidia Rally
Asia stocks rally: Japan & S.Korea hit records as Nvidia lifts chipmakers; China/HK mixed, BOJ inflation data a risk. Trade: buy Korean memory names on pullbacks. 📈 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Korean Stocks Poised to Triple by Early April
Korean stocks are currently on pace to triple from last year's low by early April. 3X! Cray cray https://t.co/zYrHooCxrS
AI Panic Drops Software Stocks, Yet Engineer Demand Rises
Software stocks are cratering on fears AI will destroy their business. Yet job postings for software engineers are up 11% year over year. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/7PaTI6jR9W
Amazon's $50B AI Bet Boosts NVDA Play
Macro: Big-ticket cloud/AI capital flows concentrate. Key: Amazon pledges $15bn now, $35bn tied to IPO/AGI. Risks: valuation/tech execution. Trading insight: Buy NVDA on AI infra demand. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Snowflake Beats Estimates, Shows AI-Driven Growth
$SNOW revenue, RPO and guidance came in ahead of consensus and the WSJ headline says company benefiting from AI adoption. This is the point we've been making for several weeks... some infrastructure software businesses are beneficiaries of AI. https://t.co/dX1lJsYfye
Nuanced Take: BoP Deficit Matters,
I actually don't think Mark and I are that far apart (tho I wouldn't start by arguing that a BoP deficit is meaningless, as I certainly find value in some cuts of the balance of payments + get annoyed when...
Doubling on Profit Peak Is a Flawed Strategy
I love Claude, but it makes some really bad assumptions. For example. One strategy where the average holding period is 5 days. On the 5th day that is when the profits tend to peak. So the win rate on day...
Simple Habits, Big Advantage over Average Savers
Basic personal finance habits: • get 401k match • track your spending • route % of paychecks into savings automatically • avoid cc debt • keep at least 3 months of expenses in HYSA • max Roth IRA Do these consistently and you'll do much better than...
Global Equities Rise as India Volatility Falls
Global Market Update: Gift Nifty +53.00 (0.21%) 25,672.50 DowJones +307.77 (+0.63%) 49,482.27 Nasdaq +288.40 (+1.26%) 23,152.08 India Vix -0.6875 (-4.86%) 13.4625 S&P 500 +56.07 (+0.81%) 6,946.14
Japanese Managers Lack Equity, Limiting Market Discipline
I think reading through Jim Grant's old books with snippets from his newsletter is great market education. You'll get perspective on the current market environment.
Hardware, Cybersecurity Thrive; AI Compresses Software Services
The Goldman Sachs list of AI winners & losers: Supposed winners: - Cloudflare - CrowdStrike - Palo Alto Networks - Oracle - Microsoft - Amazon - Alphabet - Nvidia - TSMC - Micron - Arista Networks - Palantir - Zoom - Vertiv - Eaton - NextEra Energy Supposed losers: - https://t.co/yZK0mvfWhp - Salesforce - DocuSign - Accenture - Duolingo - Workday - SAP - Atlassian - UiPath -...
Stop Bad Timing: Fix Missed Opportunities
Ever take a perfect setup just to watch it go nowhere? Then it moves right after you exit? That's not bad luck - it's bad timing. Learn how to fix that https://t.co/fjBDMYb0AE https://t.co/8b9qHMu9bF
CRM Poised for Bounce; Dip‑buyers Eye Software Long
$CRM - Despite the post-mkt selling, CRM looks poised to bounce in the weeks ahead & i suspect Dip-buyers can finally position long in Software for some mean reversion vs market and also vs. Semis @IBDinvestors @marketsurge NEW Beta...
Metals Rally yet to Spark Inflation, History Warns
A very compelling chart. The recent rally in metals and mining has not yet evolved into a material inflationary impulse, in my view. Markets still seem to be dismissing that possibility — even though history suggests otherwise. https://t.co/FhHZJUOI67
Treat California CRE as Distinct Markets, Not One
California isn’t one market — it’s multiple markets. Central Valley CRE and Coastal CRE require completely different underwriting strategies. If you analyze both the same way, you’ll misprice risk. Smart investors adjust their model based on geography. DM me “UNDERWRITE” if you want to...
Combine HTF Trend with LTF Entry After Liquidity Grab
4H HTF = trend. 5min LTF = entry. Price hit 100% retrace, grabbed 50% liquidity. Model #1 + TBS = entry trigger. Wait for MSS, CISD, then enter at Breaker Block.
NVDA Guidance Shows AI Market Still in Early Stage
$NVDA Three takeaways on Pressure Points: 1. The stock being down 1% underscores that investors’ long term growth concerns remain. 2. The fundamentals and outlook came in better than elevated whisper numbers. 3. Most importantly, the guidance reinforces just how early we are...
Rental Vacancies Stay Low, Supporting Mortgage Rates
Rental vacancy data has been the quietly positive story for #mortgagerares for over a year now. @housingwire @sarahteresa6 #realestate #housing #economics #chartdaddy
Small‑cap Rally Signals Leadership Rotation, Not Squeeze
Small caps just hit record highs. While everyone chases mega-cap AI, leadership may already be rotating. That’s not a squeeze. It’s a signal. @JDHatfield_ICAP @InfraCap explain why it matters: https://t.co/11ZhJg1jL3
Mag‑7 Premium Plummets From 100% to 10‑year Low
The Mag-7 used to trade at a 100% premium over the rest of the S&P. It's now collapsed to a 10-year low. Do you realize what's happening?
AI Token Demand Will Drive $700B Compute Surge
The final question of the call turned into a 7-minute Jensen manifesto on how growth can continue. $NVDA My take: It passed the sniff test. Here’s the play-by-play: Goldman asked if Jensen still feels good about growth accelerating beyond the April quarter. Jensen...
Day Two Tech Bounce: Nvidia Holds the Key
We are in Day 2 of this toga party in oversold tech bounce chases - if NVDA doesn't muck it up.
Home Prices Stay Sticky Without Massive Supply Shock
The history of homeprices going back over 80 years. It's rare for nominal home prices to fall; it's super rare to have a massive nominal housing price crash. Home prices are sticky unless you have massive supply and distress sales...
NVDA Still Flat After Stellar Earnings, Beats Whisper
I’m surprised that $NVDA isn’t up big time after that masterpiece. Crushed the whisper, too.