Oracle's 61% Drop Signals Bear Market Near End
$ORCL - Bottomed at the 200 week MA in early February. The 5 month crash from September to February was significantly bigger than the 2008-2009 and 2022 bear markets in which the drawdown didn't surpass 43%. The drawdown of the recent crash was 61%, so there's a good chance the bear market is over.
Depressed Oil‑Gold Ratio Signals Multi‑Year Energy Outperformance
Oil peaked in 2008 at $140 and has fallen sideways since to ~$65 today. In hard-money gold terms, 1 ounce buys 100 barrels of oil. Oil has been deflating for decades. The only time it was cheaper was 2020 when...
More Pandemic Construction, Fewer Bidding Wars; Less Building, More.
🏗️The places that built the most housing during the pandemic have the fewest bidding wars, and the places that neglected to build have the most. 🏘️ See percent of homes selling above list price by county. https://t.co/giPGgmFuBr
South Sudan Lacks Reliable Money Data, Undermining Accountability
South Sudan’s government hasn’t produced RELIABLE MONEY SUPPLY DATA since October 2024. SOUTH SUDAN = NO RELIABLE DATA = NO ACCOUNTABILITY. https://t.co/UAqAIjbHdP
Avoid Underwriting Errors to Maximize Build‑to‑Rent Profits
Build to Rent Deals: Avoid Underwriting Mistakes for Profit Follow @chasecalhoun.realestate for more on build-to-rent and real estate investing. #realestate #investmentproperty #buildtorent
NVDA Lagging Hints Market Top, yet Breaks Out Pre‑earnings
using Nvidia $NVDA is lagging the market as a supposed sign of a market top is what it is... but seeing them break the stock out ahead of earnings? markets are fun...
Viral Blog Sparks Short‑
two thoughts: 1) viral blog post shorting in the hole? 2) funds, apparently short these stocks, helped with the article 🤔? clarification needed. tbd but fun to watch. https://t.co/SCzhCMC5Fo
HOOD Rebounds as Crypto‑tech Bounce Restores Confidence
$HOOD - coming to life after a brutal few weeks. Crypto + tech bounce helping restore confidence. Still expansive, but a relief rally may be due.
Europe's Anti‑Russia Stance Fails: Oil Still Bought
Are the RUSSOPHOBES in Europe still buying Russian oil? The answer is YES. SANCTIONS = NEVER WORK. https://t.co/EGIEz4CjE2
Bay Area's Tech Boom Fuels Essex Growth Through 2026
Here are some highlights from Essex's (major West Coast apartment REIT) recent earnings call: 1) The Bay Area remains a bright spot for Essex, driven by tech jobs plus limited housing supply. Essex expecting same for 2026. https://t.co/bENUiyzAc3
Closed Pharmacies Find New Life as Versatile Retail Hubs
Drugstores are shrinking fast, but their real estate is not becoming obsolete. Well-located former pharmacies are turning into some of the most versatile second-generation retail and healthcare sites in the market. ▫️Walgreens plans to close 1,200 stores (500 in 2025 alone). ▫️CVS...
Context Over Strategy: Structure Your Trades for Success
Most traders don’t lack a strategy… they lack context. 📊 Balance vs Imbalance. Fade vs Continuation. If you’re clicking without structure, you’re gambling. Comment STRUCTURE and I’ll send the guide. 🚀 #futurestrading #vwap #traderlife
Current Stance:
My positioning & stance update on Gold , Dollar , US indexes & Bitcoin 🧵
Stop Giving the Gov Interest-Free Loans: Zero Your Refund
When you get a tax refund, that means you’ve been loaning the government money interest-free throughout the year, and they’re just returning money to you that was already yours. That’s why it’s called a refund. Try to keep your refund...
China's Gold Reserves Jump 260% Since 2022
Since October 2022, China’s gold reserves have SURGED by 260%. BUY GOLD, WEAR DIAMONDS. https://t.co/ot9Q5fMQ8n
Co‑Packaged Optics Dominate Top Winners This Year
Just keeps going $FORM Seeing this Co-Packaged Optics discussed across a bunch of big winners this year https://t.co/sosRLrP3tq
Volatility Drops Across Board Despite Apparent Front Pressure
Yesterday SLV vols were down with the small down day...today vols are down across the board on the uptick. Unexpected. These are pct changes in the vols. It appears like the fronts are getting hit harder. But they're not... https://t.co/Py3JzocrxE
Gap-Fill Speed Reveals Underlying Market Trend Strength
$SPY would have to decline to 688.35 and $QQQ to 608.99 to fill this morning’s gaps. How quickly the gaps get filled -- if at all – gives us an idea of how strong the underlying trend is. https://t.co/jdkTxguib0
Trump Quiet on $2,000 Tariff Rebate Checks
EVERCORE: “.. Trump has not emphasized the $2,000 ‘tariff rebate’ checks since earlier this year, suggesting that at least for now this has fallen off the agenda ..” 😔 https://t.co/EN0kaph84R
BROS Rebounds After Pullback to Prior Reversal Level
$BROS daily pulled back to a former reversal level, tested and gap up today. https://t.co/1IjZkJ8stu
ARM Breaks 200 EMA, Signals Upward Move
$ARM price finally allowing me to move up the let it ride stops. watching for a move over the 200ema and then 100ma to move them up again. updated chart https://t.co/yv6Ovyqrxq
Mid- and Small-Cap Tech Surge Amid Large-Cap Decline
Despite Large-cap Technology stocks down over the past 4-5 months, both the Mid-cap Tech and Small-cap Tech indexes keep hitting new all-time highs this week. https://t.co/X2wjg3v8Qp
Austin Rents Set to Rebound as Vacancy Dries
#Austin poised for another moment. Rents there w/probably rise in coming months after falling last 10 qtrs as trove of empty apts starts to run dry. #realestate #CRE #multifamily #tech #mortgage #investmentsales https://t.co/meHbZSFqVN via @WSJ https://t.co/T2gRvG2Sc2
HOOD Faces Tough Overhead Gap, Yet Gaps Above 10‑EMA
$HOOD has the overhead ER gap so won't be easy. Gap up and back over 10ema so far today. https://t.co/5Pmwk8Hi5G
Netflix at Lows, Gap‑up Reversal Signals Trade Opportunity
$NFLX based at lows and gap up reversal today. Trade your plan. What I see on the chart https://t.co/mG1XGAbdPA
RDDT Tests Support; Bulls Must Break 165 to Recover
$RDDT - back at its support zone from June last year (just after the market flash-crash). This is a pivotal point...buyers need to defend it to avoid getting ugly. Bulls need a 165.00+ breakout to restore confidence.
EM Earnings Surge 31% YoY, Outpacing US and Commodities
One way to visualize the global earnings convergence is by showing earnings estimates for the different regions on a log scale. All estimates are rising but EM estimates are rising the fastest. Shown another way, EM estimates are now rising at...
Needham Calls LQDA Sell‑off Overdone After UTHR Comments
Needham defending $LQDA , reits $52 PT - calls the reason for the sell off on comments from $UTHR management that they are seeing no impacts from the Yutrepia launch, We view the stock reaction in LQDA as overdone....
Python Reduces Portfolio Optimization to Four Lines
Stop trading with Excel. Start trading with Python. Portfolio optimization is literally 4 lines of Python code:
Balance Stocks and Bonds: Market Equilibrium Drives Wealth
Jack Bogle’s investing wisdom still holds true: when you lower your stock allocation and raise bonds, someone else is doing the opposite. That’s how market equilibrium works. Understanding asset allocation, the 60/40 portfolio, and index investing is key to long-term...
Chip Surge vs Software Lag Sparks Profit‑Seeking Unwind
One of the biggest divergences in the market overall & tech trade specifically...has been the outperformance of semiconductors & underperformance of software...being long chips & short software has produced a massive return since June 2025. What is the potential catalyst for...
Coinbase Options Play: Low‑Risk Bet on Potential 10× Upside
of all the stocks beat up lately, Coinbase $COIN is one of those names... if we zoom out to the weekly we can see it found support in this area multiple times before... i'd been tinkering with options as a...
Post‑vacation Boost: XWEL Continues After‑hours Surge
Sometimes a little time away in a different environment can pay dividends... and we proved that this morning on $XWEL. Today was my first day back from vacation. $XWEL gave us phenomenal follow-through on the continuation from its after-hours gap up...
DC Height Act Forces Windowless Bedrooms in Apartments
If you ever wondered why DC has so many apartments with windowless bedrooms … it’s the Height Act https://t.co/Axl6cvRgrf
DDOG's Earnings Spike Masks Underlying Trading Risk
$DDOG in a group that has been hard to trade and trust. The name had good reaction to earnings and then fell to current lows. Clear risk. https://t.co/dEj54uWjDe
Strategic Reserve Could Stabilize Mineral Markets, Unlock Capital
Last night’s State of the Union address tied AI dominance to power plants, permits, and domestic mining. Earlier in the day, the House Energy & Minerals Subcommittee debated how to actually fix the mineral markets behind that ambition via the SECURE...
Mortgage Demand Hits 10‑month Low, Biggest Homebuyer Strike
Mortgage demand to buy houses just plummeted to its lowest level in 10 months. The MBA mortgage purchase index is now at 150. 57% crash from pandemic peak. 40% drop from 2018-2019 levels. It's the biggest homebuyer strike ever. https://t.co/FVB0HYY4bc
Discipline Is Loyalty to the Future You
Discipline doesn't necessarily mean you're "being strict". You're being loyal to who you’re becoming. When you wake up and work out. When you log off instead of doom scroll. When you say no. When you decide not to order that thing you saw on TikTok...
Look Beyond Median Sales Price to Understand Home Price Trends
What are home prices doing? It depends. Some thoughts today about interpreting price change. I think it's really important to think beyond the median sales price in 2026. I hope this helps. Any thoughts? https://t.co/KmyRaAIto8
Bears May Get Brief Relief, Not Full Trend Reversal
@GrainsGorilla your bearish tenacity may be about ready to payoff, at least for a little while. May be time time to shake the trees for a little bit and give some relief to the bears it seems. ...
Crude Oil Bullish Order Block, Yet No Range Expansion
CL had OD/ID BO pattern, but no range expansion (yet)...significant zone comes in well below. https://t.co/vLjGgmEMpf
Earn $100k+? Cut Debt with 17 2026 Changes
If you're making over $100k/yr but are still in debt... Stop what you're doing. Here are 17 changes you need to make to get ahead in 2026:
SPX Insights: Patterns, Volatility, Trends & Momentum Signals
Latest video - All about $SPX 📌 Patterns Overview 📉 Two-Way Volatility 📦 One Big Trading Box 📈 Trend Analysis 🕰️ Long-Term Trend 🚀 Momentum Signals 🆕 New Highs 🌊 Market Breadth https://t.co/s3PMNfDKkt
SpaceX Poised to Deliver Broadband Cheaper than Any Alternative
Dan Sundheim on SpaceX: "The telecom market globally is now the TAM... They've come so far down the cost curve that I think in a relatively short time - months or a few years - they'll be dramatically cheaper than...
Sold $
Long time let it ride $LOW sold today after ER and the cautious outlook. Made great coin. The name goes back on go-to list.
ECG Soars 26% to Fresh All‑Time High
$ECG monster move today, a favorite small cap wrote on last year, up 26% to new highs
Timing Matters: Five Distinct NY Trading Sessions
The market doesn't trade the same all day. The NY trading day has 5 distinct sessions: → Early NY Open → NY Open → NY Close → Asia Open → London Open Some are continuation trades. Some reversals. Do you agree that market...
USDJPY‑Yield Spread Correlation Rebounds to Strong Positive
The rolling 40-day (2 month) correlation between $USDJPY and the US-Japan 2-year yield spread has rebound to a stronger positive (+0.6) after 10 months of inversion. Will it just start syncing up or will this gap in carry standing close?...
Tech Exports Drive 5% GDP, 7% Jobs in India
According to the World Bank, computer & information services exports account for nearly 5% of India’s GDP and generate roughly 7% of India’s employment. NO WONDER PM MODI IS SO POPULAR. https://t.co/aWyUaxVmlL
Bull Flag Signals Fresh ROC Flip, New Upward Leg
AD on Buy Day, fresh flip up on ROC, daily bull flag suggests potential for new leg up. https://t.co/2uLjv0D8HZ