BE Breaks Above 162 After 21‑EMA Bounce
$BE following through after the 21ema bounce and finally getting through the 162 level for now🤞 https://t.co/MAAw1R9SgM
U.S. Home Prices Show Modest Year‑Over‑Year Gains in December
Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 1.3% year-over-year in December FHFA House Prices up 1.8% YoY in December https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/case-shiller-national-house-price-129
Venezuela's Bolivar Plummets 86%, Calls for Dollarization
On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the Venezuelan bolivar ranks as the WORLD'S WORST currency. The bolivar has depreciated by over 86% against the USD in the past year. VENEZUELA NEEDS DOLLARIZE NOW. https://t.co/HI0TlTBYyv
INTU's 50% Drop Warns Against Bottom‑Picking
INTU lost half its value in 5 months. as three pushes down and small exhaustion gap. However, there is an old expression, "man who picks bottom ends up with stinky finger..." https://t.co/V0x15i4h0R
Indian Stocks Slip Again: Causes and Strategies
Indian Stocks Fell again today. What’s the reason? And what to do with them? #stockmarket #itsector #anthropic #artificialintelligence #Nifty50
AI Trade Rotates: Data and Distribution Lead Next Phase
The AI trade isn’t peaking. It’s rotating. Leadership is shifting from chips to control of data + distribution. Most will chase yesterday’s winners. The next phase is structural. Read before consensus catches up: https://t.co/PmCr4t3wZc @ckaiwu @Mela_Schaffer
Market Fueled by Doomers and Boomers, Says Nomura
Charlie McElligott at Nomura says that the market is being driven by 'Doomers and Boomers' https://t.co/PbuzHGo8VF
Can't Spend Home Equity or Pre‑Tax Gains in Retirement
Two things you can’t buy things with in retirement…. A primary residence and pre-tax returns.
ETF Inflows Hit $304B, Doubling Record Pace
ETF inflows up to $304b YTD, which is DOUBLE the all-time record pace from last year. $VOO at $30b, also ahead of its record pace by 6b while Vanguard as whole is already at $100b, a $3b/day pace, and double...
UVIX Lags as VIX Jumps Over 7 Points
$VIX up more than 7 points from the low on Christmas Eve. 2x long vol (UVIX) actually dropped for the first part of the $VIX move higher and is up only a measly 11% overall. https://t.co/Id9MP45k4L
AI Ghost Trade Signals Oversold Cybersecurity Stocks
Watching Anthropic preso and investors will start to recognize this is an AI Ghost Trade and software/cyber security stocks most oversold I have seen in my career.
NYC Real Estate Stumped by Roosevelt Hotel
#NYC #realestate scratches its head over future of #RooseveltHotel as owner #Pakistan embraces redev under a #JV, an idea that's only been kicking around for 5 years. #DC baffled. #hotel #GrandCentral #CRE #Trump #GSA https://t.co/quNa74iZS1
Apple Becomes Modern Two‑Year Note, Rallies on Risk‑Off
Pretty cool that $AAPL has become the two year note of the modern age. Risk off equals appl rally.
Consumer Staples Outvalue Netflix on Forward P/E
Forward P/E Ratios... Colgate $CL: 23.4x Proctor & Gamble $PG: 22.5x Netflix $NFLX: 19.9x 🤔 https://t.co/3B4ig8yjTW
Start Small, Leverage Vacancy Data for First Deal
Your first deal doesn’t need to be big My first deal was tiny. A 3-unit multifamily deal. Bought it for just $200k At the time I was working in real estate private equity and was spending my nights and weekends looking for...
Tesla Outsells VW EVs by 30‑to‑1 in Q4
Tesla outsold all VW branded EVs by ~30:1 in Q425. $TSLA "Cox Automotive's Kelley Blue Book estimated 125,900 Tesla vehicles sold/registered in the US during Q4 2025"
Gold Poised for Higher Leg; Buy Near 5080‑5100
Gold ( XAUUSD ) : Macro picture remains the same as told earlier. Current move is simply a small profit taking move before next leg higher , which is common after such quick bullish moves. I remain bullish. 5080s - 5100s looks...
Austin Rents Poised to Rebound Despite Current Oversupply
Still feels a bit too early to declare a rent rebound in Austin, but it'll happen eventually. The demand drivers are still stronger than other headlines have suggested, and massive supply remains the big headwind... until it isn't anymore. https://t.co/gMblq6btg0
Box Collapse Reveals Potential for Downward Extension
Update to Feb 12 post Sklarew box: fell through the middle. equal extension down eventually possible. "Oh No, Mr. Bill" https://t.co/oGq72zLdo3
Nifty Needs 25,800 Breakout to Sustain Uptrend
Nifty Prediction For Tomorrow 25 February 2026 By Rohit Srivastava | Indiacharts A critical level to watch is the channel's midpoint at 25,510; getting past this could lead to an attempt to break out above the 25,780 level. For a...
Technical Signals Warned: MSFT Decline and Mega‑cap Weakness
📺 $MSFT BIG LESSON & A BROADER MEGA CAP LOOK The recent decline in $MSFT was highly tradable and avoidable if you respected technical signals. It was a sequence of textbook warning signs: 1. The Double Top at $555–$553 2. The Unfilled Gap 3. Support →...
Weekend Tracker Shows Positive Housing Market Amid Crazy Headlines
There are a lot of crazy headlines, and the weekend tracker was positive. We discuss it all today. @housingwire @sarahteresa6 #realestate #housing #mortgagerates #economics
Tesla Will Face Multiple Chinese EV Rivals Worldwide
Not surprised at all. And let’s not forget that many other leading Chinese EV players—such as Huawei, Li Auto, and Xiaomi—have yet to meaningfully ramp up their overseas expansion. Tesla isn’t just competing with BYD. In the coming years, it will...
Buy 380/385 Call Spread, Sell 360 Put, Target $5
$HD "Trade Idea 2: Buy the February 27 Expiry 380/385 Call Spread ($3.X.05) and sell the February 27 Expiry 360 Put for 30 cents." puts expire. Sell to close call spread near $5 or watch to max out Friday
Despite March Weakness, Long‑term Muni Yields Stay Attractive
"March has historically been the weakest month for munis over the past 30 years. Even so, we continue to favor the long end of the muni curve, where tax-equivalent yields remain attractive." -Larry Adam, Raymond James
Buy News, Sell Rumors; Metals and Boomer Stocks Surge
If you missed my client post November 26: "Sell The Rumor of Consumer Cyclical Slowdown; Buy The News." Or December 12: "ROTATION & RECESSION INTO ALL TIME HIGHS" Or January 6th: "2025: METALS ARE THE NEW OIL 2026: BOOMER STOCKS ARE THE NEW INFLATIONARY ASSETS" HALO has...
US Savings Rate Hits 4.5% — Lowest Since 1959
The personal savings rate in the US averaged 4.5% in 2025. History since 1959... https://t.co/umS9AR2N61
Yen Crashes as Dollar Rallies, Markets Brace for Volatility
🚨 Trump State of Union Tonight. The Yen Is Collapsing. Pay Attention Dollar surging across the board Yen crashed 1% overnight as Japan's PM fights the BOJ on rate hikes Dow broke below the 50 SMA for the first time this year -...
Markets Fall Faster Than They Rise, IBM Shows
IBM... Ah Walter, 50% retrace...time to mortgage the house? Largest down day in 25 years...once again proving markets tend to go down faster then they go up. https://t.co/PlB6PYmSOs
Avoid the Rotation Trade: Dow Signals Reversal
It is a Big Trap - Avoid the Rotation trade The rotation trade is making the rounds on social media, but this trend is based on what worked in 2025 and might not work in 2026. Dow theory suggests it...
IMF: China Too Big to Export Out Its Malaise
“I recently spoke with experts at the International Monetary Fund, who put the problem bluntly: China is simply too big to keep exporting its way out of its own internal malaise.” @Lingling_Wei https://t.co/nsBIj0UbEq
SPX Unfazed by Software Slump, Dispersion Signals Warning
If you could plot "vibes" vs SPX price action, yesterday had to be an outlier Sure software and payments were down - but the SPX really didn't care Thats the dispersion that everyone has been talking about for weeks If SPX<6,800 then maybe...
Leased DC Office Still Commands Premium Prices
$163M for 2001 M St. NW in downtown DC. Nearly fully leased. Major law firms on long term leases. Retail that supports daily traffic. $573 per square foot in a market many wrote off. Office is not dead. Weak office is struggling....
Braving Snow to Join Diane King Hall Live at 8:40
Trudging through the ice and snow to join @DianeKingHall on the NYSE set of the @SchwabNetwork Tune in at 8:40.
Chinese Banks Pivot From US Treasuries to Diversified Reserves
Last week, we published a report titled “How Is China Rewiring Its Trillion-Dollar Surplus?” in response to media reports that Chinese authorities have urged banks to curb their exposure to the US Treasury market. This regulatory signal is highly investment-relevant,...
Stick to Your Process, Not the Market Noise
i'd like to think i've learned a lot about investing over the years... there were times that i was very discouraged as profits disappeared and/or losses grew... it happens so fast... there've been times of great excitement & enthusiasm, which have coincided...
Apple’s 2026 Lead Threatened by Priced‑In Expectations
Everyone assumes Apple’s lead is secure. But 2026 may test that narrative. Leadership isn’t about new products. It’s about what’s already priced in. Expectations are the real risk. Read closely: https://t.co/L377mvJehE @willrhind @graniteshares
Two Incomes Needed to Buy a House as Prices Surge
It takes two incomes to buy a house in modern America, with last year having another sharp increase. Chartbook Top Links of the day is here: https://t.co/Up3SU7RW5f
Mean‑Reversion Signals Deliver 22% YTD Gains
$ES_F Mean-reversion signals. No signal after yesterdays' close. +22% YTD, +50.6% since inception on May 21, 2025. One contract/$50K. Strategy is free for mean-reversion subscribers. Link in reply below. 👇
Watching QQQ: Will Early Strength Hold Above $604.50?
$QQQ Now we watch to see if early strength holds or fades — key question is whether $604.50 now rejects price. https://t.co/2w0irZyLwP
S&P and NYSE Median Stocks Outpace Nasdaq Median
The median stock in the S&P500 Index is up 6.7% so far in 2026. The median stock on the NYSE (> $300M Market-cap) is up 6.3% YTD. Meanwhile, the median stock in the Nasdaq100 Index is up 1.3%, while the...
Take Small Losses Early to Prevent Big Ones
David Cox Rule # 4 small losses are better than BIG ones [hint: the only way to prevent BIG losses is to take a small loss before it becomes BIG] https://t.co/yaVS31HFDm
Turkey's Core Current Account Deficit Surpasses Pre‑2018 Levels
Turkey's "core" current account deficit (blue) has widened back out to levels that exceed where it was before the 2018 "sudden stop" and the catastrophic post-COVID years. Turkey is back in the danger zone. Rebalancing can't happen with Erdogan in...
Yen Falls as Beijing Sanctions Hit Japanese Firms
Yen Slides on a Double Whammy: The US dollar is mostly slightly firmer against the most of the G10 currencies but largely confined to its recent ranges. The yen is the notable exception. Beijing announced it is sanctioning more Japanese...
Most Hedge Funds Bet Heavily on Shorting the Dollar
Almost all Hedge Fund types are exposed to Short Dollar. Some are massively Short. *Will they all be right? https://t.co/Uwzu1CzIdx
USD Steady as Japan Faces Beijing Pressure on JPY
The $USD is mostly little changed. The focus is on $JPY. Beijing stepped up export restrictions to ostensibly curb Tokyo's remilitarization and PM Takaichi reported pressed BOJ harder not to raise rates. See https://t.co/kOoSATxYUA https://t.co/1osffkrwvk
Japan's New Rare Earth Find Won't Shift Global Supply
Japan has identified a large rare earth deposit of its own, but it's not going to change global supply dynamics. Here's the situation... #rareearths #japan #geopolitics https://t.co/2WX7oeO6Jm
Copper Must Stay Above $6 to Avoid Deflationary Dominoes
Atlas' Burden Shifting to $6 Copper? Bitcoin's Gravity Pull - Copper may need to remain above $6 a pound or else. If the economically and stock-market-sensitive industrial metal follows falling Bitcoin, iron ore, crude oil and Chinese government-bond yields, it...
Copper Above $6 Offers Poor Risk‑Reward for New Longs
A Lot Riding on Copper Remaining Over $6 - Copper, the S&P 500 and US Treasury 30-year yield on the same scale may emphasize the implications of some normal reversion. That the metal hasn't had a year since 2021 without...
Copper Overheated: Price Spike Signals Potential Deflation
Is Copper a Prudent Short? Next to its industrial commodity and inflation companions -- iron ore, Brent crude oil and Chinese Government 10-year Bond yields (CGBs) -- copper might be too hot. From a base of 100, starting with our iron...