S&P 500 Sheds $650B, Returns to Negative YTD
The rollercoaster ride continues… The S&P 500 has lost over $650 BILLION in market cap so far today, down 1.06%. The index is now negative YTD once again 🔻
Small‑cap Value Poised for Violent Surge Post‑tech Dominance
Russell 2000 $IWM slightly ahead of Nasdaq $QQQ since 2000 and now ahead year-on-year. But the path was dramatic. From 2000–2006 → Small caps crushed tech after the dot-com bust Since 2006, small caps have underperformed large-cap growth for two decades, and severely...
73% of Noon Trades Driven by Downside Volume
73% downside day at noon. Unlike the snowstorm, a nothingburger. DVOL/(UVOL+DVOL); Lowry’s definition. Data per https://t.co/iX5L1DJIjD. See https://t.co/7TpOm9eA5A for explanation.
SaaS Stocks Plummet: Warning About Catching Falling Knife
Feb 2nd I warned clients about catching the falling knife in SaaS. I wasn’t kidding. $IGV #MAG7 https://t.co/AGnysZ3ZHV
AI Panic Ignored as Markets Remain Near Peaks
It's kind of amazing there is so much worry about AI doom with the S&P 500 w/in 2% of all-time highs and the unemployment rate at 4.3% Have we ever had an enormous risk like this play out with everyone worried...
SFM Holds at $65 Amid Steady Growth and Store Expansion
$SFM - seems to have found support around 65.00. Revenue + earnings have been growing steadily for years. Hundreds of new stores opening across the U.S.
Invest in Real Assets, Not Crypto Hype
Warren Buffett teaches the ultimate investing lesson: Real investing is about assets that produce value—farms, apartment buildings, businesses—not hype or hot crypto. Focus on fundamentals, build long-term wealth, and avoid speculation. Most people invest backwards. 💸 Warren Buffett teaches a simple truth:...
Tech Momentum Hits 100th Percentile, Echoing 2000 Bubble Burst
"in tech, momentum’s performance has moved into the 100th percentile. To see similar levels of performance differential between winners and losers go back to 2000 as the dot-com bubble was bursting and the semis were holding up relative to the...
Apple’s Cash Return Beats Rivals’ AI Spending, Shows Strategic Restraint
Apple returned $106.1 billion to shareholders. While its competitors collectively committed $500 billion+ to AI infrastructure. Sometimes the most strategic AI decision is knowing when not to build. Source: https://t.co/KNtNLIRTOQ
Create Paper Losses with Direct Indexing While Portfolio Climbs
How I use direct indexing in my plan: 1.) Contribute $5K/week to an 80% S&P500, 20% small cap allocation 2.) Gets about $30K - $100K in losses on paper a year, depending on the year while the actual investment still goes up...
Follow a Disciplined Buy‑sell Ladder for Steady Growth
1. Price drops 5% → Hold 2. Price drops 15% → Add 10% 3. Price drops 25% → Add 25% 4. Price rises 5% → Hold 5. Price rises 15% → Hold 6. Price rises 25% → Sell 10% 7. Price rises 35% → Sell 20% 8....
China Swapped US Treasuries for Commodities via BRI
How China largely sold out of their net UST exposure yrs ago AND cornered critical minerals without ever impacting UST or commodity markets: Lend USDs along Belt & Road (BRI), repayable in either USD, CNY, or physical commodities This amounted to swapping...
Muni Flows Surge, Highlighting HNW Investor Appetite
Small sector (~3% of USD fixed income), but wild relative flows into munis indicative of HNW demand. https://t.co/tEbLFk9ZiL
House Touring Rebounds but Remains at Five‑year Low
House touring is starting to recover after its abysmal start to 2026. But still at its lowest level in 5 years. https://t.co/MDoX4iIabJ
One Hour Weekly Grew Net Worth $150K
This is Taylor. In 6 months, she: -> Found $35k of "free money" -> Grew her net worth by $150k -> Fired her financial advisor for good Here's how she did it in 1 hour per week:
CRWV Rockets Higher on 5‑minute Chart
$CRWV had a rocket opening on the 5 min chart, based and now moving higher
Software Stocks Tumble as Claude Code Disrupts Cybersecurity
The software selloff continues, w/cybersecurity stocks particularly hard hit following the release of Anthropic’s Claude Code Security due to fears that this code-focused tool will change the industry. This indicates that there is nowhere to hide when it comes to...
SPX Near 6,800: Downside Pressure Builds After 1% Drop
Here is the live look for SPX. Some covering here after the ~1% decline the fuel is there for downside spice, but the previous 10 attempts at this level bounced (bend)... <6,800 remains the place where its likely a break https://t.co/6N5sVTgJ0t
Cheap Chinese EVs: Attractive Until Companies Collapse
Cheap Chinese EVs are boon, until the company goes bust. "Neta Auto’s parent company filed for bankruptcy last year after failing to pay wages, stranding customers in Thailand without after-sales support. Singulato, Aiways, Byton, and Levdeo have all shut down." https://restofworld.org/2026/china-ev-exports-competition-price/
Lower Prices Drive More Competition, February Mirrors Pre‑2020 Trends
How is the market? Here’s a look at closed sales so far in February that have sold above, below, and at the original list price. Do you see the trend? The lower the price, the more competitive it is. I...
Diversifiers May Offer Negative Risk Premiums
Today's spaced repetition ties in well with @dampedspring fantastic commodities post yesterday. For example why amazing diversifiers likely have negative risk premiums
Dollar's Reserve Role Extends to Growing Quasi‑Reserves
Indeed; an important point -- tho the dollar's reserve currency role is often taken to mean its role in private payments not just in official reserves. More importantly, there is a lot quasi-reserves floating around now --...
Permanent Insurance Rarely Worth It, Except Special‑Needs Cases
Ehh. This one is a bit too far. About ~5-10% of the time, a permanent insurance policy can be a good fit, and NO, I do not sell them. For example, if you have a business that has a partner...
Stocks Dip After Hot Week, Entering Consolidation
Stocks taking a hit today but things got very hot last week, so some Consolidation needed to calm things down a bit.
December PCE Inflation Hits 2.9%, Exceeding Fed Target
The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) rose from 2.8%/yr in November to 2.9%/yr in December. That’s ABOVE the FED’s inflation target of 2%/yr. INFLATION = THE GENIE THE FED JUST CAN'T PUT BACK IN THE BOTTLE. https://t.co/bTd3rr7JXl
Volatility Crush Signals March Put Flies; KRE Short
$KRE from my Feb 13th morning note: "So, when vol gets crushed, it’s time to reload put flies for March. And, to tie this all in, a nice trade for all of the above are some KRE negative deltas, because...
Market Rally Masks Weakening NYSE Breadth
The NYSE Advance-Decline line made new all-time highs on Friday. But the % of stocks on the NYSE above their 200-day moving average made lower highs. And today it's actually hitting new 6-week lows.
Emerging Markets Still Offer Cheap Value Opportunities
Emerging markets portfolio manager Juan Torres on: * Where the Real Emerging Markets Value Is * If US Stocks Fall, What Happens to Emerging Markets? * Should You Hedge Emerging Markets Currency Risk? * Is Buying the Dip Still Smart? * Emerging Markets Outlook: Cheap or...
Undervalued Stock <
Imagine selling a security barely above net cash because of industry overhang/listing deficiency while it trades at <2x EV/TTM FCF with massive impending regulatory tailwinds? https://t.co/HZIgUsuHYT
Freshpet Surges to New Highs Post‑earnings
Freshpet $FRPT ramps to new highs after earnings Another Signal Strength Stock brought to you buy Biolsi @Hedgeye_Staples https://t.co/VK3Ex0ZWns
Complacency Ignoring Imminent Software Stock Crash
Still tons of complacency out there for what is developing as an outright crash in software stocks $IGV
NYT's AI-Driven Overhaul Saved Dying Newspaper Model
Left: what happened to newspaper stocks. Right: what NYT did about it. The product that survived looks nothing like the one that was dying. The software/AI playbook may already exist https://t.co/OL43xsRz6Q
Tens and 30s Surge Above 5‑SMA, XLU Leads
Tens getting a decisive push back above 5 SMA. 30s too...XLU led this 5 SMA play...not sure why 10s and 30s were slow to follow but looking swank now.... https://t.co/Pq8M5w3BIa
Dropping Workday, Yet Pharma Stocks Remain
WDAY - taking this one out of my data base...on the other hand, world needs drugs - JNJ, LLY etc. https://t.co/H6SQ6lYbNR
Supreme Court Rules Trump Tariffs Illegal, Congress Holds Tax Power
Trump's IEEPA tariffs are illegal, as per the SC, and he's going to have to work with Congress and subject to the law now to sustain the tariff regime in various other ways. Or go back to court. China and...
Prioritize Peace‑of‑mind ROI over Pure Financial Returns
I'm going to keep banging the drum for decisions that deliver "peace of mind" ROI rather than a financial return, especially for people whose plans are in good shape. My new one. https://t.co/9wYrEdGWx4
AmEx Slides as Credit Card Leaders Trend Downward
$AXP Daily. Update. Aggressive follow-through lower for AmEx as it follows $MA $V to downside in major credit card space. Major top on cusp of confirming. https://t.co/JJcBjfmOsT
Stop Maximizing, Start Optimizing for Sustainable Success
High achievers rarely struggle with discipline. They struggle with knowing when to stop maximizing. Trying to win every financial decision can quietly erode both wealth and well-being. For two years, our savings rate dropped to 5%. We were building a marriage across two countries. No...
10‑Year Yield Drops as Fed Begins Rate Cuts
U.S. 10-year yields $TNX with all the @federalreserve increase rate decreases (green circles) since the latest (rate dropping) cycle started in Sep '24... https://t.co/Tch3MSks2c
Microsoft's $1.3T Valuation Slips 30% Amid AI Hype
A $1.3T valuation hit so far... Microsoft $MSFT -30% off sale, stock close to unchanged since Q4 2023, "AI revolution."
Chile's Chicago Boy Reforms Outpace Argentina's Peso Woes
Chile basks in the afterglow of the free-market reforms put in place by Pinochet’s Chicago Boys (1973–1990). Argentina struggles under the weight of the Argentine peso. CHILE LEAVES ARGENTINA IN THE DUST. https://t.co/UyNgQY2kIL
Young Investors Should Embrace Market Crashes for Long-Term Gains
If you are in your 20s or 30s, you want the stock market to crash. You should be looking forward to 20-30% drops. This is because you have 20+ years until retirement. You have time. Just buy good funds and you’ll win in...
POS Malaysia Teeters on Insolvency After Nine Years Loss
POS Malaysia “Survival Before Recovery”. •Another Net loss RM209m FY25 •9 tahun berturut rugi. It’s a structural earnings problem, reflecting business model under sustained pressure. •Accum losses driven reserves to deeply negative ~RM1 bil •Net Asset per share only 11sen. Balance sheet now thinly...
DXY Net Longs Flip Back to Positive Territory
#DXY net longs make it to net longs territory for now https://t.co/HWXbhMOOqi #forex $FXE $UUP https://t.co/Emg2FxVwkD
Market Reaction Scores Reveal Earnings Surprises
Plenty of sites give you an earnings calendar. Others give you an AI TLDR of the release. The team at @StockMktTV focuses on what actually matters: how markets react. The Daily Beat breaks down expectations vs reality using a proprietary...
Doug Kass Expands Index Short Calls Amid S&P Rally
Adding to Index Short Calls @thestreetpro With S&P cash +5 handles I am adding to my Index short calls. By Doug Kass Feb 23, 2026 9:39 AM EST @dougkass @tomkeene @business
Core PCE Inflation Surges: Over Half Exceed 3%
There are 178 components to core PCE and 48% of them saw YoY inflation >3%. This was 42% a year ago. We continue to think inflation will run closer to 3% than 2% and we do have a little bit of...
Fed's “Open Market” Is Actually Managed, Not Open
why is it called the federal open market committee when said market is very clearly managed and a closed system
Price Reveals Truth Better Than Any Expert's Words
Price tells more truth than any big brain who writes a lot of words ever can or will.
QQQ May Hold $605 or Slip to Lower Range
$qqq channel intact. Will today be easy and hold $605ish. Or back to low end of the box and range https://t.co/6H9MUXu9Oo