Financial Media Misuses Weak GDPNow Forecasts to Spin Bullish Narrative
Recall @HalftimeReport Slink's confidentally quoting (on almost a daily basis) of the robust GDP Now projections by the Atlanta Fed (among the worst forecasters extant) to support her "the economy is great" and bullish market thesis? That is the way it is on Fin TV with so many trying to bolster their brands (selling a service, attracting investors, etc.) - despite no modelling, no investment process or rigor. There is no ownership for errant projections on the economy and individual stocks (such as this week's boners - $OWL $CVNA $CRM $PANW, etc). Losers are swept under the carpet and winners are emphasized. Trump-like. I call B.S. Again. @ScottWapnerCNBC @gnoble79 @KeithMcCullough @hedgeye @SamofAmerica
Supreme Court Undermines Washington’s Geoeconomic Power Base
The legal foundation of Washington’s geoeconomic power plays is looking shaky after the U.S. Supreme Court ruling invalidated the use of the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) Source: Vizualytiks https://www.voronoiapp.com/trade/US-Tariff-Revenue-7693
Gold and Silver Surge Amid Iran Tensions, CNY Break Ends
Gold back over $5100 USD and Silver over $84 USD. We have a potential Iran conflict, and the end of the CNY break next week. https://t.co/Eac6sG80np
Supreme Court Says IEEPA Can't Authorize Presidential Tariffs
The Supreme Court Ruling In a 6–3 decision (Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump), the Court ruled that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) of 1977 does not give the President the authority to impose tariffs.
US‑Led Regime Change Leaves Libya with 58.8% Inflation
#LibyaWatch🇱🇾: Thanks to US-led regime change operations in 2011, Libya is a failed state. Today, I measure Libya’s inflation at 58.8%/yr. LIBYA’S ECONOMY = IN THE TANK. https://t.co/5JVou6TFc3
ETF/ETP Trading Volume Halves in Weekly Pullback
The ETF/ETP market closed this week with a significant pullback from last weeks performance. A total of 3.837 million units valued at ₦547.380 million were traded across 5,252 deals this week. This represents a notable decline compared to the previous week (ended...
Gold Reclaims $5,100 Amid Geopolitical and Rate‑Cut Pressures
GOLD ( XAUUSD ) : 5100 Has Been Reclaimed. Exactly as shared ahead of time. Technical break of market structure , Rising Geopolitical concerns , Tariffs uncertainty , Stagflation concerns , Rate cuts pricing = Higher Gold.
Mineral Resources Posts Interim Profit on Onslow Boost, Lithium Rebound
Mineral Resources swings to interim profit on stronger Onslow output, lithium rebound https://t.co/DOTSeLY4pB via @KitcoNewsNOW
Prioritize Understanding Over Constant Market Openings
We should stop asking for stock markets to be open for every economic announcement so that traders can hedge their risks. Imagine if our market was open when these new tariffs were announced and old ones scapped- 12 hours later people...
Japan's Low Inflation Reflects Weak Money Supply Growth
Japan’s inflation rate comes in at 1.53%/yr in January, BELOW its 2%/yr target. JP’s money supply (M2) is growing at 1.56%/yr, WELL BELOW Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of~6.07%/yr, a rate consistent with JP’s 2%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY...
Section 122 Exemptions Enable Net Tariff Reduction
Important. Net effect of striking IEEPA/ reciprocal tariffs and doing the 122 with similar product exemptions should be a tariff reduction.
Stop Obsessing over Tiny Financial Details
Also doesn't matter: - Switching savings account to get an extra 0.05% interest - Agonizing over the cost of daily coffee - Tracking 50+ line items in a budget
US Sells Venezuelan Oil to India, Surprising Twist
Today, the US announced a plan to sell Venezuelan oil to India. Note who’s selling Venezuela’s oil to India. It’s Uncle Sam. AMAZING. https://t.co/SLitquccox
IEEPA Tariff Invalidated Threatens Existing Trade Deal Framework
JPMORGAN: “.. many trade deals negotiated to date have relied on IEEPA tariffs and have not yet been formalized as trade agreements. With the legal basis for these tariffs now invalidated, the fate of these deals is in question. These...
China’s Growth Needs Domestic Consumption, Not Exports
China’s economy has held up remarkably well against shocks like U.S. tariffs but continued resilience will need consumption to drive growth, rather than external demand, according to a report by the International Monetary Fund. @Tracyyyqu https://t.co/7pUUCZaEr2
Trust NCI's Spider Sense, Go Long $BNAI Tonight
$NCI never doubt spider sense 😎 Nice long bias today @IUTraders for potential $BNAI Friday night replication. https://t.co/sEPvEtmdVc
Structured Sales Protect Sellers; Buyers Should Disrupt Them
So nuts. The most important thing a listing agent does is run a structured sale process, so that: 1. All prospective bidders feel like they have a shot, if they put their best foot forward, & 2. The seller can systematically, calmly...
ProShares Shifts $17B to IQMM for Cash Management
Mystery solved via Ben re the $17b in $IQMM on Day One. The call is coming from inside the house, literally, ProShares own funds are all now using IQMM now for their cash positions. Big time BYOA and not as...
Historic Shift Signals Growing Market Structure Risks
Historic Dispersion From Growth To Value Rotation - some quant talk to highlight growing risks in market structure. #CTA #IRAN $NVDA https://t.co/ZcfZDnpE7l
MFs Adding ETF Share Classes Will Trigger Massive Drainage
Prepping for presentation I found this slide from last year, it's a bit strong but I stand by it re what will be the main impact of MFs adding on ETF share classes (which should kick off in next few...
Deere’s Dividend Surge Validates 12‑Year Analysis
I analyzed this company twelve years ago You will never guess what happened next https://www.dividendgrowthinvestor.com/2014/07/deere-co-de-dividend-stock-analysis.html
Dollar Stays King, No Signs of Dethronement
My take on the US dollar: "The DOLLAR IS KING, and it's going to REMAIN KING. It's hard to knock a king off his throne." https://t.co/txOJ9KZ8Qw
Korea Call Delivers Near‑double EWY Gains Since August
Since our bullish call on Korea last August… EWY +99.27% SPY +7.78% Money counting time. https://t.co/EKTw9HANNh
S&P 500 Rebounds Above 6900, Tech Leads Rally
$SPX closed back above 6900 to end the week. $GOOGL $AMZN and $NFLX powered the rally, silver surged 8%, and I tackled viewer questions on $CAT entries, $MSFT Fibonacci risk, $ENPH breakout and the Hindenburg Omen. Full CHART THIS Mailbag: https://t.co/HpUIXN5kHi https://t.co/AiL2WR6RDf
VanEck Launches $WARP Space ETF, Joins UFO Rivals
NEW: @vaneck_us files for a space ETF. Will have an awesome ticker -- $WARP. This will compete on some level with a handful of products like $UFO, $ARKX & $UFOD https://t.co/POFTNx77Nb
Investors Shift to Staples Amid Mag‑7 CAP‑Ex Weakness
In my weekly markets video for clients, I highlighted how investors have gone from “7 to Staples”. Usually, growing macro risks lead to Staples leadership. This time macro isn’t the issue, but it could be due to Mag 7’s idiosyncratic...
Argentina's 32% Inflation Fueled by Runaway Money Growth
Argentina’s inflation comes in at a RED HOT 32.4%/yr. NO SURPRISE. AR’s money supply (M3) is growing at 38.7%/yr. That's WELL ABOVE Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of 9.8%/yr, a rate consistent with hitting its 5%/yr inflation target. INFLATION = PRES. MILEI'S ACHILLES HEEL....
Section 122 Tariffs Approaching Rapidly: Key Points
A couple of points on Section 122 tariffs -- as they seem to be coming quickly 1/ https://t.co/s9LF3ZMZ1q
IMF's 2025 Report Flawed Using Outdated
This illustrates the problems with the IMF's 2025 external sector report -- for one, it uses the 2024 current account surplus as its measure, and a lot has changed since then ... 1/2 https://t.co/uBaXFvSXhW
Even on a Log Scale, Growth Still Accelerates
You may look at this and think “meh” initially. Then you look again and realize its a log plot anddddd it’s still bending upwards… 🤯
BMO Raises Gold Forecast to $6,500, Bull Peaks $6‑7k
The Bank of Montreal has followed my lead. It just UPGRADED its gold price forecast to $6,500/oz by year's end. I predict the GOLD BULL will PEAK at $6,000-$7,000/oz. BUY GOLD, WEAR DIAMONDS. https://t.co/69wgiprOrt
China’s Defense Surplus Funding Threatens US Corporate Influence
Sad to watch so many analysts and economists argue that it is a "win" to allow China to continue to deploy surpluses earned from making a significant % of the US military for us 👇into US equity stakes which China...
Silver Near 10‑Month Streak Amid $2T Liquidations
$2 trillion in forced liquidation blamed on chinese traders, margin hikes & Warsh pick, silver is 33 cents away from completing its 10th consecutive monthly candle (if it were monthend) #forex #XAUUSD #XAGUSD https://t.co/SOjpd04sAO
Park Sale Proceeds in Money Market, Not Stocks
"I got $500k from the sale of my home. What to do with the cash if I need to buy another home within a year?” Money Market Fund (like $VUSXX) paying 3.64%. State tax free, so it’s a great choice, or HYSA. Unless...
Crossing $100K Unlocks Compounding, $1M Becomes Inevitable
The $100,000 portfolio is the mark when a lot of stuff changed for us. It wasn’t the actual amount, but the fact we were able to build a system that generated a substantial enough amount to show us that the...
NovaGold Opts Single‑phase Donlin Build at $5,000 Gold
"We have looked at building [the Donlin project] in phases, but given the current price environment of about $5,000 an ounce, it's our current thinking to build the project in a single build," said @NOVAGOLD 's CEO Greg Lang. ...
NYSE Composite Hits Record Weekly Close
That was just the highest weekly close in the history of the NYSE Composite Index https://t.co/jxcFWw2qDi
Funds Go Long on US Grains, Soybeans Surge
📈Funds turned bullish across U.S. grain & oilseed futures and options through Feb. 17, their first collective long since early December. This was driven by surging optimism in soybeans & soybean oil and waning pessimism in the grains, especially corn....
Your Gateway to Private Money Lending Deals
POV: you wanted to learn how to fund deals through private money lending and then you found my page..imagine that.
NVDA to Outpace Street, 2027 Growth Near 40%
T-minus 5 days until $NVDA reports. I expect guidance to come in ahead of expectations for CY26. That said, the real question is: what about 2027? My take: Growth in CY27 will be closer to 40% vs. the Street at...
Vipin Arora Heads BEA, Reporting GDP and P
Another Friday, another “Friday Night Dirty” from @VD718 @Seawolfcap & myself from our “WAWD” Substack. A throwback to “Electric Company”: $CVNA $OWL & you will be hearing the name “Vipin Arora” who heads the BEA which is responsible for reporting...
Fade the Belly Below -90; Auctions May Reverse
Both short and long term, this is a good level to fade the belly with the curve-wide 'fly (2s5s30s) back below -90. Mid-curve auctions next week could trigger a reversal https://t.co/q33LIbWZ5V
Build-to-Rent: Slow Wealth, Not Quick Riches
Build to rent is definitely not for getting rich quick but an awesome strategy to build wealth long term. Follow @chasecalhoun.realestate for more on build-to-rent and real estate investing. #realestate #investmentproperty #buildtorent
War Risk Premium Adds Only $10 to Oil Prices
U.S./Iran: Oil Prices and the War Risk Premium Oil traders currently assign a low probability to a war between the United States and Iran that results in significant and sustained disruption to exports from Iran and other countries in the Persian...
28‑km Soybean Truck Queue Highlights Brazil Port Bottleneck
🇧🇷A 28-kilometer line of trucks waiting to deliver soybeans has formed outside Brazil's Miritituba river port. Just for reference, the journey from Sinop in north Mato Grosso - which is heavy in soybean production - is about 1,000 km (620...
Apple’s Nasdaq Correlation Hits Historic Low, AI‑Proof Edge
⚠️Apple has almost NEVER decoupled from its Tech Peers like this before: $AAPL, 40-day price correlation with the Nasdaq 100 dropped to 0.2, the lowest since 2006. This is down from 0.92 in May 2025, a truly historic divergence. This comes as Apple...
S&P Briefly Dips Negative, Marking a Ludacris Day
ludacris day means that sometime in the day the s and p turns negative after being substantially higher. the s and p did turn negative (briefly) qualifying as a ludacris day.
Supreme Court Ruling Won’t Boost Dollar Amid Growing Policy Chaos
The rollout of reciprocal tariffs last April caused an alarming and sharp fall in the Dollar, so why isn't today's Supreme Court ruling causing the Dollar to rise? The April fall in the Dollar was about policy chaos in DC,...
GBP/USD Breaks Range Lows, 200‑DMA Test Ahead
British Pound Short-term Outlook: GBP/USD Breaks Range Lows – Can 200DMA Hold? https://t.co/yX3huN7zHS Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/ZKGEjVWqUH
Trade Wins Spark Brief Nifty Surge, Not Sustained Gains
When Trade Deal Announced. Nifty jumped 1100-1200 points📈 and within few minutes 500-600 points gone. And within 1 week almost down to the previous level.. So, don't be so excited after this US Supreme Court Decision. 📊 Gift Nifty only...