
Everyone is getting increasingly bearish here, and while I understand the concern, the macro backdrop is improving a lot, especially in the US - that we can measure live with Nowcast IQ There is a very very underappreciated comeback in the US economy, if we set aside the "noise" from Iran (which we obviously cannot). My point is just that the backdrop is very bullish if the dust settles
"I need to park $50k of cash for 12 months. What are my options?" > $VUSXX (Vanguard Treasury MM Fund) or any Treasury equivalent. State/local tax exempt, 3.63% yield > HYSA (FDIC insured, ~3%) Don’t invest it, unless 12 months turns into 12...
They are stopping where they are supposed to stop. Resistance is working. Now we just need to flush them where we are supposed to.
we're long 9 call options in #AllINsync: $PFE $JOBY $OXY $AA $COIN $TSLA $PLTR $HOOD

investors who've missed the emerging markets $EEM absolute + relative strength are offered a (relative) pullback against... https://t.co/SjnvdgBiKB
$CRWD "Trade Idea 2: Buy the March 6 Expiry 380/390 Call Spread ($4.80) and sell the March 6 Expiry 350 Put for free." sell to close call spread , puts expire

my $SPX $VIX oscillator model didn't manage to even get into the zone... nothing since the last buy signal... https://t.co/I6WWFOsvwS
Alibaba’s tech lead for its Qwen open-source model is standing down, a surprise move that is rattling the global developer community and casting a shadow over the tech giant’s pivot into AI Complex factors here... https://t.co/9lYt5WXB4b

I just posted a detailed macro breakdown of today's rally on @SliceApp This is where I share the deeper analysis, market correlations, macro trade ideas, and lessons I don't post anywhere else Join the community 👉 https://t.co/2RO8ANwj2x https://t.co/TKe1RoxUOt

🔴THIS IS INSANE: South Korean equity funds saw $3.7 BILLION in inflows last week, bringing the year-to-date total to a record $21 BILLION. The vast majority of these flows were driven by retail investors. Meanwhile, the Korean KOSPI index has CRATERED -24% from...
South Korea’s KOSPI index dropped the most since the 2008 financial crisis. It’s all starting to fit together My latest at Culpium https://t.co/75TudacVv5

Chart from Sunday's Thrasher Analytics note.... While the S&P 500 has stagnated due to the poor performance of mega caps and specifically the Mag 7, the average performance of large cap stocks has been strong and is up double that of...

"If it is obvious, it is obviously wrong." George Granville Alphabet is creating a picture perfect head and shoulder top. Many expect this to resolve lower. What if it doesn't? If this one breaks higher, it would be a clue the...

Animal Spirits: A Wave of Redemptions Geopolitics vs the stock market vs AI Is inflation risk back? Is it time for a correction? The optimistic view on AI The most broken housing market in America The private credit crisis of confidence & more https://t.co/3VV58HRcdq https://t.co/V5eIvRDjMe
Macro: capacity leverage and RWA demand lifted CPKR Q4 EBITDA +19.5% (FY+46.7%). Key: whole‑hog optimization, low leverage. Risk: execution/export cycles. Trade: buy on pullback <$16.50. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov

$50 or $100 Year-End for Brent Crude? It took an unprecedented closure of the Strait of Hormuz to push the front-month Brent crude oil future to extend 2025's high -- now what? December Brent is near $69 and will become front...

Time Warner FY17 10-K: "At December 31, 2017, Home Box Office had approximately 54 million domestic subscribers, including subscribers to HBO NOW and through Home Box Office’s digital distribution partners." https://t.co/4lw2HM9qU0
MARKET PANIC WITHOUT FOLLOW-THROUGH Just 24 hours ago, fear was dominating sentiment. Many commentators were predicting a market crash after $SPY opened below the key $675 level, briefly falling to around $669. However, the market quickly proved those fears wrong. Instead of...

starting to feel a little better about being short the 3/20 $MSTR puts (sub 100). https://t.co/e2kBNgXmzp
ADP with a slight beat along with small negative revision to previous month. Nothingburger. USTs yawn

"There is little US LNG producers can do to immediately replace lost Qatari cargoes" https://t.co/ZAZe4MzpoI "American export plants are running nearly full tilt with most cargoes locked into long‑term contracts." https://t.co/3nYYZwRyaA
Weekly #Mortgage demand surged 11% higher last week, as rates sat near 4-year low https://t.co/2HClawHnMz @MBAMortgage
Between falling stock prices and rising gas prices, events in Iran are negatively impacting both ends of the K-Shaped Economy.

For swing traders, there's a time and place; this ain't it. If you are concerned about a rip-your-face rally on a resolution, then buy $SPY. Intraday volatility is high. Yesterday, the $IWM was up $7 from the lows but still $3...
Just the usual reminder that while circuit breakers are seen as an output of falling investor confidence, they are also an input. And there, repetition matters.
March 4, 2026 📊 Insight: Jobs + services data = volatility window 8:15–10:00. Watching tech strength early with $NVDA/$MSTR bid. Services miss could pressure risk. $AVGO earnings tonight key for semis. Patience at the open — let data hit first. 0815 – ADP...
GM all, looks like we are getting a green start to the day? Will we hold? any ideas or setups you are looking at?
Asian tech stocks reel as US-Iran war threatens infrastructure and supply chains https://t.co/oxpKfheSqI via @scmpnews

For a few hours yesterday morning, markets looked very scary. Brent was going vertical, USD was rising like crazy and S&P 500 was plummeting. The US calmed things down by promising to insure and escort oil tankers, but one Iranian...

INVESTMENT MANAGERS purchased the equivalent of 12 terawatt-hours (TWh) of futures and options in the European benchmark Dutch TTF contract over the seven days ending on February 27. Nearly all the buying came from repurchases of previous bearish short positions....
Nifty Prediction For Tomorrow 5 March 2026 By Rohit Srivastava | Indiacharts Nifty has gapped down to test a crucial long-term support trendline around the 24,450 level. A short-term relief rally is possible, which could push the index to retest the...
This is likely the first time QatarEnergy has ever declared force majeure on LNG shipments 🇶🇦 ⚠️ Qatar made its name as a powerhouse producer that never fails its customers Then an Iranian drone hit
"Any repeatable process that generates significant alpha in fundamental investing is going to get competed away." - @GavinSBaker (EP.489) With thanks to @AlphaSenseInc, @MorningstarInc, and Ridgeline.

Nervous Consolidation Featured after the Asia Pacific Equity Rout was Extended: The dollar is trading a little softer today, but the tone is one of nervous consolidation. The market is digesting reports that Iran has reached out to negotiate the...
Fertilizer manufacturers in South Asia are beginning to cut output due to an outage at Qatar’s LNG export plant ⚠️ 🇮🇳 Some Indian manufacturers started reducing production at urea plans 🇵🇰 Pakistan’s gas distributor declared FM on to fertiliser plants https://t.co/LUjKJcUg25

Many consider a widespread war in the Middle East the worst-case scenario for the global oil and gas markets. That war is here, and it could have long-lasting impacts on energy and climate policy. This week on Zero, I speak...

The timing of our China Macro Watch report on February 25 has proven fortuitous. In that note, we laid out why Beijing is unlikely to lift its 45mn-ton aluminum output cap — a policy that has effectively anchored global supply...

A Safer World Could Pressure Stretched Gold - Russia's invasion of Ukraine was a signal to buy gold, and subduing Iran could mark the opposite. Since the "unlimited friendship" between presidents Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin in 2022, leadership in...
We shorted the Indices on this BS report. The S and P futures ripped (+28 handles) and we put them out: * $SPY $682.35 * $QQQ $604.37 @dougkass @thestreetpro @tomkeene @business

some surprise was noted at Netflix $NFLX being in our Top 10 #AllINsync holdings at month end... it was acquired Feb 25th/26th - here are the daily/weekly charts and some eye candy demonstrating what i noticed and why we bought...

Nervous consolidation is the main feature in the capital markets after Asia Pacific equities extended their slide. $USD is mostly softer but in yesterday's ranges. Japan's MOF threatened intervention. See https://t.co/24YmyiETAN https://t.co/XmEx257iS8
many will suggest that timing of entries doesn't matter much, but i don't tend to agree... an ill-timed entry sets you up for being unable to deal with bouts of volatility (i.e., yesterday) adding losses and costing precious mental capital......
coal stocks have all pulled back in recent weeks... i miss the 'ole days and the $KOL but its small exposures via $XME, or the names: $HCC $BTU $AMR
New Article There is a massive difference between taking a large initial position and allowing a position to become large. Few investors understand this distinction. https://t.co/hxHNHYqor8
Yes, the January Effect is my leading theory for this year -- strong USD throughout the rest of the year
Trump’s Hormuz strategy may raise energy costs as India faces fertilizer and LNG supply risks | Mathrubhumi English https://t.co/BTL63LOcou
Your PnL shows the results. The @tradesviz Drawdown View shows the truth. A green exit can hide a reckless process. See what really happened inside the trade: • 📈 Running PnL Curve — Real-time journey, not just the end result • 📉...

$spx futures -3 as today settles out a bit after $spy hit $669 and reclaimed $675 to get home back on the range https://t.co/NY794d92MH
If that was my market BOS would be at Tier#2 this morning. With two left in case

LIVE Shot of our Inflation Nowcast Accelerating into #Quad3 in Bond Market Volatility terms https://t.co/cTSAqYA6P7