US Investors Turn Bearish on France as Macron Exits
US investors are gloomy on France as Macron era approaches its end https://t.co/a4q0NEuH3I via @WHorobin https://t.co/vhSuc9Ovr6
Topicus Mirrors 2015 Constellation Software Valuation
At the current market cap, Topicus is effectively a “2015-vintage” version of Constellation Software $CSU $TOI $TOI.V
Use Return Dispersion to Forecast Rotations and Outperform
Periods of high return dispersion are an opportunity for investors. As return performance gaps widen and valuation spreads develop, the ability to quantify the current rotation regime and anticipate the next one can deliver outperformance relative to...
Mega‑Cap Weakness Could Drag Entire S&P Down
The reason this is important (even though it’s only a few stocks) is that the Mag 7 is so big that if they should fall they could well take the S&P 500 (cap-weighted) index with it. History shows (below) that...
IEA Shifts Priorities to Security, Clean Energy, Affordability
IEA executive director Fatih Birol proposes focusing the agency's work in three areas during the next few years: 1) energy security -- "first and foremost" mission 2) new energy uptake (wind, solar, geothermal, nuclear) 3) afordability of energy "IEA 3.0" may well be...
Pentwater Leads Merger Arbitrage with $10.6 B Book
Largest merger arbitrage books (by 13-F*) Pentwater: $10.6 billion HBK: $8.1 billion Millennium: $7.8 billion Balyasny: $5.3 billion Fidelity: $4.4 billion Citadel: $2.9 billion Qube: $2.7 billion AQR: $2.4 billion Glazer: $2.3 billion Magnetar: $2.1 billion h/t Cantor
Cloudflare Beats Revenue Forecast, Stock Soars on Enterprise Momentum
.@Cloudflare crushes analysts’ expectations on revenue and its stock soars in late trading https://t.co/RRvAoDmATi @SiliconANGLE @Mike_Wheatley “If those three metrics are moving together, it often points to enterprise commitment velocity improving…” - @Chirag_Mehta @constellationr
Multiple Crises, Stalled Talks, White House Impatience Signal Change
two conflicts. two stalled negotiations. one impatient white house. the next few weeks could look very different from today. @gzeromedia
China’s Outward FDI Surpasses Inward, Gap Widens
Since the 2010s and BRI, Chinese FDI has matched or exceeded inward FDI, but now a really big gap is opening up. More at today's Chartbook Top Links: https://t.co/DcgBB3hzww
S&P Adds $500B, Gold Climbs; PCE Inflation Watch
WHAT A DAY, the S&P 500 has gained around $500 BILLION in market cap, up 0.8%. The index is now up 0.3% YTD 📈 Gold is also trading higher, back above $5,000/oz, as global tensions start to escalate 😳 Mark your calendars...
History’s Empire Cycle Reveals Today’s Global Power Shift
Empires rise. Empires peak. Empires fall. Medieval thinkers understood the structural forces behind power, decline, and transition. Those same cycles are shaping the world today. Understand the pattern. Know what comes next. Read more at davidmurrin.co.uk #Geopolitics #EmpireCycles #History #Strategy #GlobalPower
Half‑Dollar Target Holds If Trendline Remains Intact
We will touch half dollar as long as we don’t break down below this trendline. This trendline will act like a staircase as long as the price doesn’t fall below it, it will keep moving upward.
Geopolitical Tension Drives Gold Surge—Position Now
Gold is on the move🔥 As tensions in the Middle East rise and Iran escalates, markets are reacting and gold is back in focus When uncertainty rises, gold shines ✨ Big moves could be ahead. The question is… are you positioned? Trade Gold with...
Gold Rallies 13% as Tech Stocks Stumble
While the Magnificent Seven tech stocks have SUFFERED in 2026, GOLD IS UP over 13%. It's time to turn away from SILLY VALLEY. BUY GOLD, WEAR DIAMONDS. https://t.co/PZTIJFhPOp
Italy Cuts Carbon Charge on Electricity, Rattles Markets
Italy’s plan to strip carbon cost from power bills jolts markets https://t.co/RZ9Dw7uUKq via @E_Krukowska @Al_Brambilla https://t.co/aVgbxP1Rxm
Sector Rotation Timing Yields Asset‑rich Returns
The Great Rotation: From Growth to Asset Rich Value My job is timing sector rotation & picking the best stocks long/short within it. That & sizing up macro event risk & market structure support. That's how I could time the...
AI Spending and Consumer Surge Mask Weak Underlying Growth
Recent top and bottom line (as well as profit margins) have been disproportionately impacted by massive AI cap spending and high end consumer spending. The former has a half life to it. The later may not be sustained if home and stock...
Retail Traders Set Record Demand on Citadel Platform
Citadel on flows, via Bbrg: Retail traders spent a record amount snapping up software shares on Citadel Securities’ platform, according to Scott Rubner, head of equity and equity derivatives strategy at the firm, which began tracking the data in 2017: “Net notional...
Oil's High Risk Premium Clashes With Market Near-Highs
Oil has a big risk premium in it in terms of vol and skew. Meanwhile SPUs, IWM, VXUS all near ATHs Feels like a tense contradiction. https://t.co/6lmCdFZUnm
Markets Mirror Trump’s Shifting Policy Narratives
You just have to respect markets and the games they play Trump first term: Public is all about long Energy, short Solar.... Solar stocks go on an epic run Trump 2nd term: Tariffs going to crush International economies.... International stocks just thrashing...
De-Dollarization Undermines US Military Financing Power
De-Dollarization Threatens US Military Power The dollar’s role in global trade is shrinking. As it loses value, I see us losing influence and even military strength, because our military depends on financing powered by the dollar. The markets are already showing...
Build an Algo Trading Hedge Fund in Six Minutes
This guy literally explains how to build an algorithmic trading hedge fund from scratch in under 6 minutes. This is crazy:
Cooling Volatility Triggers Vol‑Control Funds to Add Equity
Vol Control funds are starting to re-engage. When realized vol cools, vol-control strategies mechanically add equity exposure. Vol ↓ → Positioning ↑ → Fuel for price. Still too early, but if realized volatility continues to cool off, this turns into incremental buy pressure...
UK Inflation Hits 2025 Low, Strengthening BoE Rate‑Cut Case
UK inflation slowed to its weakest level since March 2025, bolstering the case for an interest rate cut when the Bank of England meets next month https://t.co/yJqzpiJ61p via @irinaanghel12 @PhilAldrick https://t.co/a5Mov7Jkhv
Chevron Boosts Permian Output 67% with Fewer Rigs
"Chevron in 2019 ran 21 rigs and five frack crews in the Permian. This year it anticipates it will need only six rigs and two frack crews to produce about 67% more oil-and-gas in the region than seven years ago."...
ECB Study Finds Tariffs Sparked Minor China Trade Diversion
Tariffs caused just a small China trade diversion, ECB study shows https://t.co/2xTwmZXdG6 via @weberalexander https://t.co/NfggkusEyQ
Walmart Health and Wellness Sales
In 3Q, @Walmart health & wellness”/pharmacy sales grew by 12.3% vs grocery & general merchandise sales, each up ~3%. In 2022, “health & wellness” accounted for 12% of Walmart U.S.’s sales; in 3 years that number up to ~15% @Adam__Josephson Is...
Oversold Infrastructure, Cybersecurity, AI Stocks Poised for Rally
Quality infrastructure software, cybersecurity stocks and some AI names are now *very* oversold and due for a multi-month rally. The recent indiscriminate selling in SaaS has crushed these stocks but the sale won't last forever.
Equal‑Weighted S&P Nears Cap‑Weighted Levels Amid Broadening Market
The market has been broadening out nicely as of late, and since the April 2025 Tariff tantrum low, the equal-weighted S&P 500 index has almost caught up to the cap-weighted index (34% vs 38%). It has been good to see....
416 Condo Recovery Likely Years Away, Not Months
The Solution To The 416 Condo Crash May Be Years Away: Because The Math Doesn't Math & Won't For Awhile The last 2 years have been disastrous for Pre-construction Condos or anyone who wants to sell a 416 Dog Crate Condo We...
Successor Must Be Independent, Pro‑Europe After Surprise Resignation
Bank of France Governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau says his successor must be independent and committed to Europe after his early resignation gave President Emmanuel Macron a surprise opportunity to pick the next central bank chief https://t.co/VVGP1D9Dj6 via @WHorobin https://t.co/rmqeTU4qJ7
Industrial Earnings Surge 26% Against Negative Forecast
Earnings growth for industrials is up more than 26%. It was expected to be negative this time two months ago. That is simply incredible. https://t.co/MTxPkrvtdA
S&P 500 Hits Best Revenue Growth Since 2022, Yet Peaks
Good news and bad news? Best quarter for S&P 500 revenue growth since Q3 '22. But this quarter is likely the peak for revenue growth. https://t.co/Dp33tx0bca
USD Coils Near Key Levels, Breakout Imminent
US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Coils Between Key Levels – Breakout Looms https://t.co/CxUMkIN5mg $DXY Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/ILpuVkkqnw
S&P Advance/Decline New Highs Signal Continued Rally
More new highs in the S&P 500 advance/decline line suggests price will follow. They keep talking about Hindenburg, but this says continue to ignore them. https://t.co/o48OrEZF4o
Amazon's Historic Loss Streak Meets Surprising Stock Highs
If you'd have told me Amazon just had one of it's longest losing streaks in history, I probably wouldn't have expected stocks to be flirting with new highs. https://t.co/kXBq6SpLEA
Dow Poised for Rare 10-Month Winning Streak
The Dow would be up 10 months in a row if it is higher in February. Since 1900, that has only happened four other times. https://t.co/0AB887hP7Q
Demand Surge Compresses Bond Spreads Despite Record Issuance
Record bond issuance. Record trading volumes. Tighter spreads. More supply should widen spreads. Instead buyers are so hungry that more issuance actually improves liquidity and compresses risk premiums. This works until it doesn’t.
Equities Up, Trend Flattens Amid 4% Yield, Rotation
As for the markets, last week the Dow briefly reached the 50k milestone while the S&P 500 continued to hang out just below 7,000. The 10-year yield has been flirting with 4% again and the terminal rate for the Fed’s...
Amazon Slides Below Key Support Amid CapEx Concerns
$AMZN - 210.00 was a key support...now sitting in dangerous territory. Market is still unhappy about the company's $200 billion CapEx.
EU Parliament Approves Digital Euro for All Transactions
EU Parliament Backs Digital Euro for Both Online and Offline Use - Fintech Schweiz Digital Finance News - FintechNewsCH https://t.co/mgf2DlIs9B
Our Portfolios Stay Calm as Rivals Tumble
CHART OF THE DAY: Our Portfolios Are Experiencing Lower Volatility While The Competitors Are Crashing https://t.co/8ToxLIPXph via @hedgeye
Dow Shuffle: Exxon's Rise, Salesforce's Decline
One August 31, 2020, Exxon Mobil was kicked out of the Dow. It was replaced by Salesforce. Exxon is up 271% and Salesforce is down 32%. https://t.co/euMlopjZdV
Glick Forecasts QQQ All‑time Highs, Remains Short
Glick's Picks Prediction: New All-time highs coming for the QQQs this year. But Kenny Glick @HitTheBidRadio is Short right now. See what will change his mind LIVE on The Morning Show @StockMktTV Here's the link: https://t.co/C495u7NDBU https://t.co/Wr4Es0KkTd
EW Tech Beats S&P 500 Amid Ongoing Rotation
Despite the YTD losses in the Tech sector, the EW Tech sector (the avg Tech stock) is outperforming the S&P 500 this year. Plenty of Tech names to own that remain in an uptrend as a market rotation continues to...
Quant Quakes: Critical Levels Highlight Vulnerable CTAs
Critical Levels For Quant Quakes 💫Historic Dispersion 💫CTAs are Vulnerable 💫Negative Gamma 💫The Week Ahead 💫Gamma Mechanics https://t.co/vAJSwKFzi4
NBIS Shines as Top Super‑growth Chart Again
$NBIS is one of the better looking super growth charts as it’s a focus again https://t.co/hjNDR9y01l
Failed Breakdowns Trigger Sell‑the‑Bounce in Range Markets
📺 FAILED BREAKDOWN, BUT STILL A SELL-THE-BOUNCE MARKET I expected a possible downside range resolution yesterday, but that did not happen – $SPY held $675–$676, reclaimed Friday’s low, and triggered a tactical reversal. – $QQQ broke down, reclaimed a key level, and gave...
CLOs Bet on Yield While AI Threatens Software Holdings
This is the CLO market right now: Sellers: AI will destroy these businesses Buyers: Thanks for the yield Software is the largest sector in CLO portfolios globally. 10-15% concentration. Nearly half mature in the next 3 years. Someone here is wrong.
ZM Poised for Upside with Buyback, Growth, Cheap Valuation
- Anthropic catalyst - Pouring cash into buyback w/ conservative balance sheet - 5% annual gross profit growth since EOY 2022 - stock trading below 17x EV/EBIT per @fiscal_ai Very interesting set-up for $ZM over next couple of years https://t.co/75MsUcEE1b