PE Firms Chase Japan’s Retail Wealth Amid Institutional Decline
Our story on PE giants like Blackstone, KKR, EQT's attempt to tap Japan's wealthy retail investors for funds as institutional money wanes. Most see Japan as the largest private wealth opportunity outside of the US, but the market comes with its challenges: https://t.co/7ZpfR0iWyB
China's Three-Year Deflation Signals Weak Money Supply
China is in the grip of a DEFLATION. In January, its Producer Price Index (PPI) was NEGATIVE at -1.42%/yr. If that's not bad enough, China's PPI has been negative for 3 STRAIGHT YEARS. DEFLATION = AN ANEMIC MONEY SUPPLY GROWTH STORY. https://t.co/HJkJ55fGfN
France Scales Back Renewables, Keeps Nuclear Amid AI Power Surge
Link: https://t.co/VlV8K8X7eR 🇫🇷France set out a new energy law after years of wrangling on Thursday which slashes its wind and solar power targets and drops a mandate for state-run firm EDF to shutter nuclear plants. Summary France has cut its 2035 wind and...
Higher CPI May Keep Fed From Cutting Rates, Threatening Stocks
Are stock markets in trouble if US CPI data points the Fed away from bolder interest rate cuts? #stockmarkets #CPI #Fed #DOLLAR #macro #trading https://t.co/2Ij9Tr0kWM
TCS Shares Plunge 40%, Worst Drop Since GFC
Shares of Tata Consultancy Services are seeing their worst drop since the GFC nearly 20 years ago. Share prices -40% from the peak https://t.co/L98zqUFch3
Mazda Malaysia Sales Dip, yet Bermaz Auto Shares Rise
The Mazda Malaysia January numbers were lower MoM but Bermaz Auto was still up on the news https://t.co/gI8pN0xr11
Dow Slips Under 50,000, Erasing $1 Trillion
The DOW has fallen below 50,000 today. $1 trillion was wiped out from the US stock market. No one tell Pam Bondi.
Trump’s Iran Remarks, Not IEA, Drive Oil Slump
A bit of a stretch, attributing crude’s slump on Thursday to the #IEA report. If the market thought a 4 million b/d glut would cushion any supply disruption/shock, including the one posed by current US-Iran tensions, Brent would not have been...
Today's Sell‑off Feels Like a WallStreetBets Mockumentary
As causal narratives go, the one behind today's sell-off reads like it came out of the script for a Christopher Guest mockumentory. Think "Best in Show" meets r/Wallstreetbets. https://t.co/2HYvEmMpnC https://t.co/8KYvf56ooM
Value, Cyclicals, Small Caps Overtake Mega‑Cap Growth
Indexes look stable, but leadership is shifting. Value, cyclicals, and small caps are quietly taking the baton from mega-cap growth. This isn’t speculation; it’s a broadening market demanding cash flow and balance-sheet strength.
US AI Sell‑off Drags Japan, Korea From Record Highs
Tech, AI-related selling in US having early impact on Japan -1.6% and S Korea -0.7% stock markets. Both coming off record highs. Spore was also at record high yesterday. Some negative headlines.
Inflation‑adjusted Dollar
A pet peeve. Talk about current dollar weakness. Numbers here are through December -- but in December the broad inflation adjusted dollar was stronger than in 01 or 02, the peak before 22-24 1/ https://t.co/c7KU9z1C6t
Venezuelan Production Growth Inflated by Low Baseline
30-40% growth *from what baseline*?! Venezuelan production has been all over the map over the past few months—some very flattering base effects from which to cherry pick.
Alphabet Q4: Search Rebounds 17%, Cloud Drives 48% Revenue
Alphabet Q4 2025: Search reaccelerated to 17%. Cloud hit 48% at 30% margins. Full breakdown live for SCIS members: https://steadycompounding.com/investing/alphabet-q4-2025/
AI Hype Lags Behind Market Expectations
Our evening garage band - "AI Scare Trade" comes from the market. While swift, Taylor it's not.
CPI Near 5‑Year Low: Trade Nasdaq Move Live
🔴 TOMORROW: US CPI drops at 8:30 AM Core forecast at a near 5-year low. Hot print → Nasdaq dumps Cool print → Rate cuts back on the table Either way, there's a trade to be made. Join me LIVE at 8AM ET to...
Gold Surge Signals Capital Shift, Not Risk‑On Rally
Record gold prices + a weakening dollar don’t scream “risk-on.” They signal global capital reallocation and rising demand for insurance amid lingering policy uncertainty. Hedging behavior is increasing even as equities grind higher.
Cuba's Socialist Crisis Drives 46% Inflation, Fourth Globally
#CubaWatch🇨🇺: Cuba’s socialist disaster produces an inflation rate of 46%/yr. That makes Cuba the WORLD’S FOURTH-HIGHEST INFLATOR. I remain the only reliable source of inflationary measures in Cuba. https://t.co/tNgaFALVro
KC Futures Hold Bull Run Midpoint Near
Don't do this to me...I need my coffee. KC futs have tentatively held up the midpoint of the 2023-2025 bull run (around 290) https://t.co/9M9FIFrM6A
S&P Slides, Apple & Cisco Plunge, VIX Tops 20
Tough session today. $SPX opened higher but rolled over hard. $AAPL -5% $CSCO -12% and the VIX closed back above 20. Meanwhile utilities and staples pushed higher. I walk through the key support levels and what breaks the trend next:...
January CPI Likely Spikes Amid Data Gaps
Tomorrow is CPI for January. It's a month that has burned us repeatedly -- core CPI inflation (month-over-month) tends to pick up in January. Consensus forecast has a pickup *but* we do not have a clear sense of the...
Physical Possibility ≠ Economic Viability in Oil Markets
Again I’ll say: Virtually anything is physically *possible* in the oil market. Far fewer things are economically viable, let alone profitable. This is a nonsense take.
US Midwest Aluminum Premium Hits Record $1.03 per Pound
"Aluminum prices in the US have been rising faster than global prices for much of this past year because of tariffs. The so-called US Midwest premium...climbed to an all-time high of $1.03 a pound on Wednesday" https://t.co/lVUj91ooyh https://t.co/lIKmsxcJem
Billions in FX Options Expire at Key Rates Tomorrow
Notable FX option expirations tomorrow: 5.25 bln euros at $1.1850 $1.8 bln at JPY152.00 GBP530 mln at $1.36 https://t.co/JP6hOX0qdC
Tight Credit Spreads, Fast‑Food Struggles, Tariff Burden Revealed
🆓 Thursday links: tight credit spreads, fast food woes, and who is paying the cost of tariffs. https://t.co/NOuKmm78S8 image: https://t.co/Lhs7cz5vWL https://t.co/nj3y6g7t8i
Defensive REITs and Utilities Lead Market Breakouts
Ventas $VTR the Fin Prop REIT, eclipsing highs going back to 2013 as REITS start to kick into gear again with Utilities to join the recent strength seen in Staples, Telco @IBDinvestors @marketsurge Strength in these defensives is more than...
Software Short‑squeeze Looms as Consumer Staples Pull Back
Whose ready for the short-squeeze in software over the next week because the 26 year-old analysts at the multi-platform funds convinced their PM's to go max short? Then we'll get the Consumer Staples pullback at the same time, when all the...
Tie US Aid to Venezuela Publishing Detailed
Secretary Wright, the only way to save Venezuela's oil industry—and I say this as an entirely disinterested party—is to tie any US support to reqs that the VZ oil ministry publicly publish regular, detailed oil industry statistics Simple bulk CSV file...
Tech Stocks Peaked; Valuations Stretched, Technical Outlook Shaky
The big issue is Tech Stocks have peaked, are on technically shaky ground ---AND this is coming from a starting point of stretched Valuations. https://t.co/3QKdtdJm7n
February's Second Half: Beware the Banana Peel Danger
We've been saying all month that February is the banana peel month. Be aware the second half of the month is when trouble usually happens. https://t.co/Nv67B6dKQS
Venezuela Leads This Week's Hyperinflation, Followed by Iran, North Korea
#HankeInflationDashboard: By my measurements, this week's top 5 inflators are: 🇻🇪Venezuela — 701.6%/yr 🇮🇷Iran — 82.9%/yr 🇰🇵North Korea — 74.6%/yr 🇨🇺Cuba — 46.0%/yr 🇱🇾Libya — 45.6%/yr https://t.co/ghPM730D4X
NN Group Boosts 2025 Dividend by 13%
Ka-Boom💥💥 Dutch insurer NN group hikes the total 2025 dividend by 13% 🎉 Discl: long $NN.AS ChartPorn
Gas Storage Boosts Reliability when Pipelines Fall Short
Natural gas storage is part of the reliability and resilience story too. When there’s insufficient long-distance pipeline capacity, access to storage is your next best bet. This is part of the solution too.🧵 https://t.co/o35G4ig5HU
U.S. Interest Costs Set to Double by 2036
By 2036, the U.S. will spend $2.14 TRILLION a year on interest payments, versus just $1 trillion today. U.S. taxpayers are being taken to the cleaners. They’re paying for yesterday’s government largesse and receiving nothing for it. https://t.co/xMUu3S9H8I
S&P500 Sees Unprecedented Daily 7% Drops, Echoing Dotcom Crash
Wild market. We haven't seen anything like this since the dotcom bubble burst. Over the last 8 sessions, 115 stocks in the S&P 500 have decline 7% or more in a single day. The average drawdown when that happens is...
AI Diversification Fuels FTSE100 and Nikkei Gains
Another great chat with @MrMBrown as we chat about all things markets. Is AI diversification, helping to boost the FTSE100 and Nikkei 225 to ne... https://t.co/kxoCaB6IFb via @GoodMoneyGuide @pepperstone
Expensive Stocks Trigger Sell‑off, Narrative Needed
What if a bunch of stocks just got kind of expensive, are selling off, and we need a narrative? Just sayin…
Supply Dynamics, Not Demand Forecast, Drive Oil Market
Sure, the IEA demand forecast update was negative... but pretty inconsequential in the scheme of the supply developments that are actually currently driving the oil market. https://t.co/P0KD7cPlR4
Software Stocks Tumble; Crypto Mirrors the Decline
Software stocks are struggling again today. $IGV (iShares Software ETF) is essentially back to last week's panic lows. Don't forget there's another type of software, "programmable money," crypto. Bitcoin (blue) with the software index (orange). They are the same thing. https://t.co/tLEELqcWcJ
EXPD Faces Biggest Sell‑Off Since 1998 Crisis
Worst sell-off in this logistics/tech company since 1998 (LTCM & Russian Debt Crisis) $EXPD Bigger than Tariffs, March 2020, 2008. AI Fears https://t.co/pSckCN9oYm
Biden's Trade Deficit Slightly Lower than Trump's, Not 78% Drop
So, for the record: The trade deficit in the first 11 months of the Trump administration was $839.5B. In the same period in 2024, the final Biden year, it was $806.6B. And if you think this year's performance is a...
GBP/USD Poised for Breakout After Coiling Below Resistance
British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Coils Below Resistance- Breakout to Set the Trend https://t.co/YCL1AwKRyY $GBPUSD Weekly Chart https://t.co/VuEneX3o2g
Trump Tariffs Backfire as China Shifts to New Markets
US tariffs were supposed to punish China. Instead, China pivoted away from the US and made friends and commerce with non-U.S. buyers. TRUMP’S TARIFFS = BACKFIRED. https://t.co/oibXA4xbmF
New Investors Shift From Tech to Industrials, Energy, Metals
How is the "newborn" buy industrials, energy and metals instead of tech crowd feeling today?
Silver Stalls Below 75; Inflation Data Could Spark Metal Rally
$SLV having big trouble getting above 75.00 again...which still won't be enough to restore confidence. Big inflation report ahead...precious metals may see a big reaction.
Venezuela's Oil Output Projected Near 1M B/D by 2026
How much oil would Venezuela produce by Dec 2026? (Current output has rebounded to just under 1m b/d)
U.S. Corn Exports Surge 52% Beyond 2020 Levels
🌽U.S. corn export sales for 2025/26 are nearing 61 million metric tons (2.4 billion bushels). Early Feb sales in 2020/21 were similarly massive but heavily skewed by China. Non-China 2025/26 corn sales are 52% larger than at this point in 2020/21!
Gold Dip After NFP Profit‑take, Still Bullish Long‑term
GOLD ( XAUUSD ) just dumped over a 1000 pips after yesterday's NFP , but what just happened ? 👇 Netanyanho signalled towards de-escalation in the middle east with a potential deal b/w Iran & US This optimistic headlines lead to a...
China Eases Capital Controls as Asset Buildup Accelerates
China usually liberalizes its financial account when the PBOC (now the state banks) are accumulating assets at too rapid a pace, and it wans the dollar risk to be taken by others ... 1/2
Market Shifts to AI Fear, Not Bubble, Concerns
The market is more in “AI fear” mode than “AI bubble” mode currently Everyone fears the left tail in their business