Harvest Losses to Acquire Google at $101
no, but may harvest the loss to pick up the google 100 at 101. #theyieldbook
EU Mulls 30% Tariff or Euro Devaluation to Counter China
1/5 Reuters: "The EU should consider either an unprecedented 30% across-the-board tariff on Chinese goods or a 30% depreciation of the euro against the renminbi to counter a flood of cheap imports, a French government strategy report said on Monday." https://t.co/1HcSSyRLJx
Jobs Data Wednesday, CPI Hits Friday
All the data coming for the rest of the week. We're going to have Jobs Wednesday and then CPI Friday https://t.co/8DDq0vkOvD
China's Growth May Slip to 2.5% without Action
1/11 SCMP: "China’s potential growth rate could fall to about 2.5 per cent in the coming years unless action is taken, prominent Chinese economist Zhou Tianyong has warned." https://t.co/9xqpRhz105
Hour Glass EPS Spikes as Rolex Index Hits Bottom
Here are the LTM EPS for The Hour Glass. The turn came in March 2025, just when the WatchCharts Rolex index bottomed. Coincidence? https://t.co/1dQwTByVBg
BP's Looney and Auchincloss Tenure a Board‑Enabled Disaster
Further thought on BP: Today proves, if ever there was a need of further proof, what a disaster the tenure of Bernard Looney and Murray Auchincloss were for the UK oil major. (...all permited / encouraged by a weak board...)
BP Halts $750M Quarterly Buyback Over Mounting Debt
In view of BP's announcement this morning it's cancelling its $750-million-a-quarter share buyback, let me re-publish yesterday's @Opinion note arguing the British oil major couldn't afford it anymore. It comes down to debt -- lots of debt. https://t.co/23vNRD4Nsw
China May Smash Coal Output Record if Imports Fall
Will China's coal production hit another record this year? 🇨🇳🪨 China’s main coal industry body warns that imports may fall if Indonesia moves to restrict shipments They see production hitting a record 4.86 billion tons in 2026, but could go higher if...
Earn 12‑18% Risk‑Free with Nigerian Treasury Bonds
TREASURY BILLS & GOVERNMENT BONDS Low-risk, government-backed securities. In Nigeria, buy FGN Savings Bonds or Treasury Bills through the CBN portal or apps like Chaka, Bamboo, or Cowrywise (minimum ₦10,000). Returns typically 12-18% annually. Other African countries offer similar products through their...
Russian Tankers Route to Singapore Despite Sanctions, China Shift
Russian oil tankers list Singapore as destination amid sanctions and shift to China, LSEG data shows https://t.co/1md44bH813
Macron Urges EU to Adopt Eurobonds Now
Emmanuel Macron: « Now is the time for the EU to launch a joint borrowing capacity, through eurobonds. » https://t.co/NqqbjjecXk
US Stocks Lead 97 Years of Superior Returns
𝐇𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐑𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐬 𝐅𝐨𝐫 𝐔𝐒 𝐒𝐭𝐨𝐜𝐤𝐬, 𝐁𝐨𝐧𝐝𝐬, 𝐂𝐚𝐬𝐡, 𝐇𝐨𝐮𝐬𝐢𝐧𝐠 & 𝐆𝐨𝐥𝐝 (𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟓) CTTO: Ben Carlson — https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2026/01/historical-returns-for-stocks-bonds-cash-housing-gold-2025/ The US, which currently is 60% of the global equity market, continues to influence investment portfolios worldwide, such as endowments and retirement funds. And for over...
Restructuring, Not Diversification, Will Power Japan’s Equity Gains
What will be the next driver of returns for Japanese equities? We already have large and increasing returns of capital via dividends and buybacks, driven by the corporate governance reform. But, the next cab off the rank, and the major outcome the...
BYD Unveils 10,000‑cycle Sodium Battery Technology
BYD says it has developed sodium batteries with cycle life up to 10,000 https://t.co/LVmbk7yACN via @CnEVPost
Markets Could Slip If Data Undermines Fed Cut Hopes
Stock markets may sour if this week’s US economic data casts doubt on Fed rate cut speculation. #stockmarkets #Fed #Economy #InterestRates #USD #Macro #trading https://t.co/ZEfchApMC0
Nifty Stalls Below 25,900, Breakout Needed for Upside
Nifty Outlook as on 10-02-2026 .......This is the rising channel for the nifty actions... What are the important levels for nifty, Now it's been struggling to get past the high that we made over here on a closing basis, which is...
Seventh Sanctioned Russian LNG Tanker Navigates Red Sea
⛄️⛄️⛄️Sanctions? What sanctions? Where are you going, Zarya? This is going to be the 7th LNG carrier passing the Red Sea carrying Russian LNG. This is a sanctioned tanker carrying LNG from the sanctioned Arctic LNG 2. Map from @Kpler
India Shuns Urals, China Gets Cheaper Russian Oil
🇮🇳Indian refiners' reluctance to take Russian Urals crude shipments is pushing these discounted cargoes toward buyers like China & others, making them even cheaper in those markets—while the Indian refiners turn to replacement crudes at international prices. An Urals cargo...
S&P 500 Adds $250 B, Near Record High
MARKET RECAP 📈 The S&P 500 gained over $250 billion in market cap today and is now less than 1% away from a new record high 😳📈 What the heck is going on?!? Let’s talk about it 🗣️
Public Bank Hits Record High, Boasts Top Efficiency
Public Bank at record high close RM5.08. The bank is celebrating 60 yrs in 2026. Founded in 1966 by TS Teh Hong Piow. Largest Shareholders: 1. Consolidated Teh Holdings: 21.6% 2. EPF: 18.25% 3. KWAP: 5.02% Public is most efficient from cost & ROE...
Flat Earnings, 60% Stock Drop Signals Future Disruption
Interesting thing is to see 2nd Exhibit- earnings were OK (flattish) for 4 yrs but in the same period stocks were down about 60%. This is what can happen when there is view on longer term disruption which does not...
Alphabet Launches 100‑year GBP Bond, Eyes Currency Debasement
#Alphabet to issue 100-year GBPSterling bond after having issued 50-year $17.5 bn USD bond in November. Also plns to issue CHF bond. They're betting further currency debasement #forex
Tech Rebounds, Commodities Surge as Growth Revives
Markets pushed higher to start the week, but the rotation underneath the surface is telling a more interesting story. Tech bounced, commodities ripped, and growth showed signs of life again. In today’s CHART THIS, I walk through $SPX just below 7000,...
Bears Brace for NFP Wednesday and CPI Friday
Neil does a great job with the week ahead ... bears watching as we head into NFP Wed & CPI Fri.
Cyclical Growth Rises While Inflation Falls—A Rare Forecast
Our nowcasts suggest that cyclical growth is going up and inflation is going down. No one forecasts this cocktail
US Equity Mutual Funds Hold Record Low Cash
Mutual funds are all in on the stock market At the start of 2026, US equity mutual funds held just 1.1% of asset in cash, the lowest level in 20 years of data history --Goldman https://t.co/BWZ5dGYfjM
Mexico’s Refineries Hit Highest Crude Processing Since 2014
🇲🇽🏭 Mexican refineries are processing more crude right now than any time since 2014. Thanks most obviously to the start-up of the Dos Bocas refinery, but helped along by high utilization across other large facilities. https://t.co/wEpnmiM8He
Dollar Index Plummets; Trade‑Weighted vs Equal‑Weighted Diverge
The $DXY has dropped sharply today. A big picture look at the trade-weighted Dollar index vs an equally-weighted variant: https://t.co/sqTvcv4ihu
Gold Surges Past $5,000 Amid Reckless Fiscal Policy
Gold is back above $5,000. The rally in precious metals is reckless and crazy, but so is global fiscal policy. At some point over the past 20 years, policy makers who believe in keeping public debt stable stopped existing. Makes...
Seven Firms Command 35% of SPX Investment Dollars
Employment in S&P 500 companies is 18% of total US employment, but 35 cents of every dollar that goes into the SPX goes to 7 companies. This is a market structure problem and a major issue with our 401k system.
Stick to Rules: Buy Dips, Sell Rallies for Consistent Growth
1. Price drops 5% → Hold 2. Price drops 15% → Add 10% 3. Price drops 25% → Add 25% 4. Price rises 5% → Hold 5. Price rises 15% → Hold 6. Price rises 25% → Sell 10% 7. Price rises 35% → Sell 20% 8....
IESC Rebounds, Recovers 20% Loss and More
After its last earnings report, $IESC dropped 20%. It's made it all back and then some. https://t.co/hebBMdjVup
Brazil's Corn, Soybean Harvests Expected to Rise; Argentina Steady
🇧🇷Analysts are expecting upside to Brazil's corn and soybean harvests in USDA's report on Tuesday. 🇦🇷Argentina's crops, on average, are not predicted to move much from the January forecast. https://t.co/D3Jg3BAIYv
Tech Trades Hit 30% of Retail Volume, Highest Since 2018
Trading in the tech sector makes up 30% of retail trading volumes--one of the highest shares since 2018 --Citi https://t.co/6pvw7muvfj
Pick Fed Chair by Sound Economic Reasoning, Not Politics
"Thus, the way to choose a good Federal Reserve chair is to read what candidates have said about how the economy operates and ask them about their economic beliefs. If what a candidate says is unrealistic or poorly reasoned, move...
Weekly S&P 500 ChartStorm Highlights Market Trends
ICYMI: Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm blog post https://t.co/eQY6d47hAk Thanks + follow reco to chart sources @topdowncharts @MarketCharts @MikeZaccardi @BlakeMillardCFA @WillieDelwiche @alphacharts @AugurInfinity @SnippetFinance @EricBalchunas @TuttleCapital @Todd_Sohn
Tech's First 100-Year Bond Since Motorola 1997
The last time a tech company announced a 100-year bond, it was Motorola in 1997 https://t.co/HKkDro85Ac https://t.co/w2S75DaL2J
Retail Inflows Hit Six-Year High on Furlough, Tax Refunds
JPM: "Similar to the risk-on trend seen among institutional investors, retail investor flows have been the strongest in the last six years, likely due to furlough payments and anticipated larger tax refunds of ~$600/household this year"
Canadian Oil Output Hits Record, Boosting Continental Production
📊 Fresh N. American Oil Data 📊 Continental petroleum output hits fresh high-water mark with Canadian supply reaching all-time highs amidst a bounceback in oilsands activity, offsetting flat-ish production in the US and Mexico Check out the Full report: https://t.co/7Xk7El7r1l
S&P 500 New 52‑Week Highs Reach Year‑
The percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 making new 52-week highs has been expanding and just hit its highest level in the last year to end last week--@bespokeinvest https://t.co/BcNw0xKEmG
Wheat Export Inspections Outpace USDA Target by 61 M Bushels
Marketing year to date #wheat export inspections exceed the seasonal pace needed to hit USDA's target by 61 million bushels, up from 56 million bushels the previous week. #oatt
LNG Tightens Longer as Qatar, US Delays Stall Supply
Global LNG market is at risk of being tighter for longer 🚢 ⚠️ 🇶🇦 Qatar is pushing back start of its massive expansion to end 2026 🇺🇸 Golden Pass plant in the US delayed to at least March Supply chain bottlenecks threaten...
US Corn, Wheat Inspections Beat Forecasts; Beans Headed to China
🇺🇸U.S. corn & wheat export inspections exceeded all trade estimates last week. Two-thirds of the week's inspected bean cargoes were destined for China, predominantly out of the Gulf. https://t.co/e3b34Q6I3g
Inflation-Adjusted S&P Still Below 1966 Peak After 25 Years
Today is the 60th anniversary of the great crash -- but little noticed. The S&P 500 peaked at 94.06 on February 9, 1966. The market did surpass that peak but not adjusted for inflation. 25 years later and the inflation...
Corn and Soybean Export Inspections Top Weekly Totals
Export inspections for the week ending Feb. 5 (mln bu) #corn 51.5, grain sorghum 4.9, #soybeans 41.7, #wheat 21.3 #oatt
Live MRKT Call: Japan, Jobs, and $JETS Insights
New week, new MRKT Call with Dan, @GuyAdami & @CarterBWorth We're talking Japan, Jobs and $JETS LIVE at 11am ET over on YouTube ⤵️ https://t.co/7WiuWoxeXK https://t.co/5yktisUdAm
GE Vernova: High‑Conviction Buy with 32% Upside
GEV - GE Vernova Current Price: $794.20 Intrinsic Value Range: $720–$950 Rating: BUY (High Conviction, but tactically vulnerable near-term) 12-Month Price Targets: Bull Case: $1,050 (+32%) — accelerated gas turbine orders, Electrification margin beats, data center capex surge Base Case: $900 (+13%) — normalized execution, mid-teens...
Permian Operators Complete 3,600 Wells via Simul Frac
U.S. operators in the Permian region of Texas and New Mexico completed ~3,600 wells in 2025 using simultaneous hydraulic fracturing (simul frac), a technique that minimizes completion crew time on well pad sites by completing two wells simultaneously. https://t.co/FxdE8jlBs7 Well completion occurs...
Fed's 175‑bp Cuts Signal Looming Dovish Pivot
175 basis points in cuts since September 2024 in response to labor market weakness. That's not ignoring.
Walmart Tops Forward P/E; Tech Stocks Cheaper
Forward P/E Ratios... Walmart $WMT: 39 Apple $AAPL: 30 Google $GOOGL: 24 Amazon $AMZN: 23 Microsoft $MSFT: 21 Nvidia $NVDA: 19 Meta $META: 19 https://t.co/BSywhjbEV0