Six Weeks Redefined the Global Energy Landscape
The Six Weeks That Changed the Global Energy Economy #energysky -- via Heatmap News https://t.co/X0yljDlDR2 https://t.co/jb6qgak7hJ
S&P 500's Fastest Recovery: Oversold to Overbought in 12 Days
historic move for the S&P 500. #SPX went from oversold to overbought in just 12 trading days, making this the third fastest recovery ever.
Western Alliance Bank Still Undervalued After Bounce‑Back
Western Alliance Bank stock has already bounced back from the '23 crisis lows (the easy money's made). But new analysis says it's *still* undervalued. Strong deposits & earnings justify more upside. BankStocks
VIX Meaning Shifts With Market Regime, Not Numbers
$VIX levels aren't fixed. In the 1990s, a VIX of 20 was considered low; in the 2010s, it was considered high. The "regime" matters more than the absolute number.
Buffett Indicator >200% Predicts Decade-Long Winning Trade
The Buffett Indicator just hit 223% highest ever & every time this indicator topped 200% the same trade worked for a decade 🚨 Here's what happened the last two times it went above 200% 👇
Deliberate Investing Builds Generational Wealth, Not Liabilities
The investment is yours. But if you have kids or want to leave something behind, the way you think about those assets has to shift at some point. Most people who come into money buy liabilities. The money does not...
Cities Are Pushing Families Out; Housing Must Change
“Families with children often cannot find a suitably sized home ... and are either forced to move to a different part of the city or out of the capital altogether." I've been saying this for a long time And working stem or...
IWM Small Caps Overbought, Pullback Likely Ahead
IWM: After a strong +16% multi-week rally, small caps reached an RSI above 73, an overbought condition that suggest a healthy pullback. Today's gap and indecisive candle build on the thesis.
Tennessee Home Prices Surge, Yet Dip Expected by 2027
Something big is happening in Tennessee's housing market right now. Listings have shot up 50% above the long-term norm. And inventory breached 30,000. (the highest in a decade) Values in markets like Nashville and Memphis have started to drift down YoY for the...
Trader Overloads Portfolio with Excessive Position Weighting
My Trader when I tell him to keep adding to a position that’s already a 15% position portfolio weighting. https://t.co/PA3yZsoPvz
Mexican Tomato Prices Jump 23% After Trade Ban
"Trump ended free trade for Mexican tomatoes. Prices are up 23 percent in the last year." https://t.co/rXKH70uU4w https://t.co/5h1CotBsLs
Long-Term Risk-Adjusted Gains Outshine Short-Term Market Moves
Some of our strategies have been sitting in cash this month as a defensive mechanism. I'm also seeing a few comments about the strength of the market this month and how such a defensive mechanism we use is ineffective. Well, that's...
Nasdaq Beats 1992 Music Era, Sets New Record
Nasdaq in midst of longest winning streak since 1992 & now at record high… After everyone said world was ending. Btw, top new albums in 1992 incl Rage Against the Machine, Alice In Chains, STP, Sonic Youth, The Cure, REM, & Sublime. Music...
AI‑Driven Water Crisis Sparks Billionaire Investment Surge
Thoughts? We discuss the critical water shortage crisis called Day Zero and how AI and data centers are accelerating water consumption. We explore five investment opportunities in the water sector, including water ETFs, utilities, infrastructure, and water tech companies, explaining...
Urea Prices Jump 87% as Middle East Supplies Halt
Fertilizer flows from the Middle East remain blocked. Urea fertilizer prices have SURGED 87% YTD to $720 per ton, the highest level in nearly 3 years. FARMERS SHOULD SEND A BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP AND NETANYAHU. https://t.co/8GGpcsbTMb
Pending Home Sales Return to Year‑Over‑Year Growth
Weekly Pending Home Sales are back to positive year-over-year. "Mind," This week's data is the snap back from the holiday week. Next week will be back to normal, more on this with the weekend tracker
IMF Forecasts Resilient Global Growth Through 2025
Explaining the Resilience of Global Growth in 2025 from the IMF. Lower tariffs or other variables? More featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below. https://t.co/54emD8YVH4
Crude Prices Shift; Everything Else Stays Unchanged
Nothing fundamentally changed today… … except the price of crude, which is a pretty important thing.
Iranian Rial Gains 11% Amid US‑Israeli Conflict, Media Silent
Since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran, the Iranian rial has appreciated by 11% against the USD. THE WESTERN MEDIA CONTINUES TO REMAIN SILENT ON THIS INCONVENIENT FACT. https://t.co/WOududM6s7
Focus on Proven Leaders, Watch for Pullbacks
Lock in this weekend if you feel like you missed most of the rally. Build a focus list of leaders that have already shown power and be ready for pullbacks and low risk spots. They may be subtle.
Invest Now: Capture Compute, Data, Energy Bottlenecks with DCA
Thoughts? I break down why now is the time to start investing and what most people are missing. We discuss how liquidity shifts, potential Fed rate changes, and trillions of dollars moving into the system could impact your portfolio. I...
Traders Wager $760M on Oil Dip Before Hormuz Reopening
"...around 20 minutes before Iran's foreign minister announced on Friday that the Strait of Hormuz was open" Traders place $760 million bet on falling oil ahead of Hormuz announcement https://t.co/CGzgaSsWa9
Fast Rally Unfolds—How to Join Without Chasing
One of the fastest market rallies in years just unfolded. Now the challenge shifts: how to participate without chasing. We break down the price action, key levels, and where opportunities are forming. $SPY $QQQ $IWM $VIX $IBIT https://t.co/s4f2qRcsAE
S&P Sets New Records as Oil, Yields Stay Elevated
With an impressive week nowunder its belt, the S&P has done more than just reclaim its pre-war levels. It has registered multiple record highs. Interestingly, both oil prices and government bond yields remain elevated above their own pre-war levels. #economy #markets
Moody's Downgrades Belgium Over Unreduced Debt
Belgium gets downgraded by Moody’s in reproof at failure to cut debt https://t.co/8nsX75i8rj via @maxramsay https://t.co/pgwDrPsc9D
Iran Conflict Destabilizes Eastern Mediterranean Gas Sector
The Iran war has disrupted Eastern Mediterranean gas production, exports, and development, threatened regional energy infrastructure, and increased political and investment uncertainty. /1
Transportation Index Surges 10% Amid Stagnant Freight
The Dow Jones Transportation Average rallied 10% this week to hit new all-time highs again, probably because no one is moving anything around and recession.
Markets Rally on Ceasefire: Conviction or Buy‑the‑Dip?
My video for the week ahead: Markets Rally as US-Iran Ceasefire Extends - Conviction or 'Buy the Dip'? https://t.co/w1MCHHfY2k https://t.co/9RJlM8Up9V
Graham Prioritized Tangible Book Value Over Accounting Goodwill
Most investors think a high book value means a cheap stock. Graham didn't. He wanted tangible book value, assets you can actually touch, sell, or liquidate. Goodwill-heavy book value is an accountant's opinion. Tangible equity is a margin of safety.
Private Credit Talk: Focus on Their Fundraising Motives
Every major player in the industry has something to say about private credit. Before you read any of it, ask one question: what are they raising, and how does this help them raise it? https://www.junkbondinvestor.com/p/private-credit-unfiltered-everyone
S&P 500 Posts Historic Three‑Week Streak, Gains Accelerate
Records are made to be broken. First time in history the S&P 500 was up 3% for three consecutive weeks and each week gained more than the previous week. 🥇 https://t.co/fB3IpQSNbG
War on Iran Pushes US Gas Prices Above $4 per Gallon
Thanks to the US-Israeli war on Iran, prices at the pump have JUMPED by $1.15. The national US average just hit $4.13/gallon. US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN = CREATING AMERICAN PAIN AT THE PUMP. https://t.co/2D7sRK3hnJ
Oil Dips, but Hormuz Ceasefire Keeps Markets Wary
Oil prices are falling, but don't celebrate at the pump just yet. The Strait of Hormuz is "open" — for now. We're 5 days into a 10-day ceasefire. A lot can still change. https://t.co/RUshSF8tJh
Vol Sellers Fade as Inverse Volatility Spikes, Then Stalls
From the $SPX low on 3/30 through 4/14, $SPX was up 9.8% while $SVIX (inverse vol) rocketed 31% higher. Since 4/14, $SPX is up another 2.3% while $SVIX has run out of gas, up a measly 0.7%. Vol sellers have...
Record Markets Hide Significant 52‑Week Drawdowns
As the stock market reaches new records, here are the current drawdowns from 52-week highs underneath the surface... Hint: this is a normal look @finviz_com https://t.co/5HKxQKV6ht
Oil Prices Plunge as Iran Claims Hormuz Open
🛢️ OIL & IRAN WAR CONTEXT WEEKLY 🛢️ Crude prices cratered and term structure flattened on Friday following Iran’s declaration that Hormuz is “open” despite the fact that little traffic has actually managed to cross the Strait today. Summary below, link in...
Low Fixed Expenses, High Flexibility Safeguard Retirement
A financial plan runs a thousand Monte Carlo simulations across different market return scenarios. The goal is to make sure the worst case does not wipe you out before you reach 95. The plan is never finished. Run it today,...
Right‑angled Broadening Triangle Bullish Above 25,400
It is called a right angled broadening triangle It is bullish unless price retreats back below 25,400 Read about it in Edwards and Magee, but NEVER in an edition more recent than the 5th. The newer editions have been co-opted and corrupted...
April S&P New Highs Historically Signal Strong Year
3 new highs in April for the S&P 500. Interesting as strong as this month is, it doesn't see a ton of new ATHs. But the 19 other years it hit a new ATH in April saw the full year higher...
Resources Lag; only XLK, XLY Outpace S&P
Resource stocks $XLE $XLB were down this week While only $XLK and $XLY beat the S&P 500 $SPY https://t.co/NbqvDTt6rQ
Kazaks Cautions: ECB May Not Raise Rates Soon
Kazaks warns against assuming the ECB’s next move will be a hike https://t.co/D88xszH8pz via @jrandow https://t.co/wDW8qFxiYT
Late‑month Buys Pay Off as Markets Rally 5%
What a week - $SPX up 3.5%, $DJIA up 2.6% and $QQQ up 5%. Off the lows on 3/30 $SPX 11%, $DJIA up 8% and $QQQ up 15%. Good to have been buying in the past month as...
Market Optimism: 61% of S&P 500 Above 200‑day MA
61% of S&P 500 stocks are above their 200-day MA. We are in the optimism zone, but not euphoric. Blow-off tops show up at 80%+ Lots of participation and very strong momentum.
Vol Trading Thrives Whenever Fed Steers Markets
2018: Great year for vol trading 2020: Historically great year for vol trading 2024: Good year for vol trading 2025: Great year for vol trading 2026 (Q1): Good start for vol trading All under “Fed control”…….. Lol
Industrials Forward P/E Near Record Highs vs Market
The forward P/E of the industrials sector relative to that of the broader market remains near record highs. ty @augurinfinity https://t.co/XZoDHelWSz https://t.co/doqKhFeI1Y
S&P Posts Third Straight 3%+ Week, Rare Historical
Make that 3 consecutive 3%+ weeks for the S&P 500. The precedent? Week's ending: 6/5/2020 9/3/1982 That's it.
Market Appeared Set to Drop,
Looked like we might sell off into the close, but it was really just flat 130pm-4pm https://t.co/wPYLDl6exR
Nasdaq's 17% Surge Near Historic Rally Benchmark
Nasdaq Composite +17% over the last 3 weeks... that's not far from its best-ever rally (since the 1970s). Since the dot-com bubble/bust, only 2008 and 2020 saw larger surges. https://t.co/aQKLdMsoFU
Due Diligence, Not Promissory Notes, Protects Your Money
A word to the wise, a promissory note is not your savior. Your ability to do proeory due dilligence is. Give me a follow on IG to learn how I keep my money safe while investing aggressively.
Friday Rally Sets up Painful Monday for Under‑allocated Investors
Big week and it seems like they're gonna run it up into the Friday close. Will be very interesting to see what Monday brings. Another gap higher and the under allocated folks are really going to be feeling the pain.