Compounding Rewards Persistence, Not Brilliance, over Time
Buffett admits it plainly: if he'd died at 60 like his father, you'd never have heard of him. He wasn't smarter at 60 than at 30. He just kept showing up. Compounding doesn't reward genius. It rewards whoever stays in the game longest.
New Power Infrastructure ETF KWH Targets AI Energy Demand
NEW: Relatively rare ETF filing for GMO. Filing for the Power Infrastructure ETF $KWH. good ticker. Will lean into AI energy infrastructure demand. https://t.co/UaH7RMLXmO
NASDAQ Poised for 12-Day Green Streak, First Since 2009
If the NASDAQ closes green, it will be its longest streak of up days (12) since 2009.
Dollar Halts Five-Day Slide, Eyes Recovery Test
US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Snaps 5-Day Losing Streak—Recovery Test Ahead https://t.co/xOgkd7QwfX $DXY Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/lVeKouhIRr
Missing Protection at Market Peaks Leads to Regret
Remember 3 weeks ago when you were mad at yourself for not buying protection/insurance when markets were at their all time highs and the vix was in the teens...? https://t.co/xBbSHvbDuL
60‑min 9‑EMA Holds 7‑Session Trend
Short term traders keep an eye on 60min/9EMA which has been trend for 7 sessions https://t.co/GW9LRIVdYH
Bulls Spot Enduring Rally as S&P 500 Returns to Highs
Stock market bulls see signs rally could endure after S&P 500 back at highs https://t.co/u7BLVBqtwK https://t.co/R1yXwnzIwF
Anticipate Credit Widening Early, Before Market Realizes
The best time to prepare for credit widening is when no one thinks it's coming. That's the pattern. 2007. 2019. It repeats. $JOJO rotates before the crowd. https://t.co/w9KYmmLAug
War and Energy Crisis Fuel Yield Surge, Bonds Bearish
Yes, higher yields for all kinds of reasons, namely: WAR IS INFLATIONARY in general, but when combined with global energy crisis? 🚀 Also, TARIFF REFUNDS are bearish bonds. And so are rising effective tariff rates... (yes, I do Technical analysis on everything.) #Paulson https://t.co/Z68kjUi0vF
ECB to Keep Options Open Before April Meeting, Nagel Says
ECB should keep options open ahead of April meeting, Nagel says https://t.co/Dd1fRDIi4l via @KowalczeKamil @jrandow https://t.co/5FIQHxfeCK
U.S. Home Prices Continue Steady Gains, Up 0.6% MoM
U.S. home prices, as measured by the Zillow Home Value Index, rose +0.6% month-over-month between the February 2026 and March 2026 Year-over-year: +0.8% Since 2022's peak: +2.2% Since March 2020: +44.1% Table via @ResidentialClub https://t.co/HanulIqzx2
Adjust Withholding to Keep Money Year‑Round, Not Refunds
I’ve been pretty critical of the Treasury Secretary but what he is saying here makes sense. There have been tax cuts that are generating bigger refunds, rather than waiting to file taxes to get a refund check, reduce your withholding...
Beware AI‑driven Squeezes: Don't Get Stuck Holding
Yesterday, AI news sent $BIRD FLYING (no pun intended). Then, $MYSE dropped similar news and made a solid move... but now, the trap is being sprung. Here's what you need to know to avoid holding the bag on these MASSIVE squeezes 👇 https://youtu.be/7bCDglQiR0g
S&P's Low Yield, High PE Pushes Investors Toward LatAm
The S&P 500 is offering one of the lowest dividend yields in nearly 150 years. At the same time, it’s trading at one of the richest cyclically adjusted P/E ratios in history. Ask yourself: What’s the actual upside you’re being compensated for at...
Activist Catalyst Could Unlock $20‑25 Valuation for ALOT
$ALOT is a solid goodco/badco setup with a clear catalyst - Activist (9.2%) ousted the CEO, took a board seat, and forced a strategic review (now underway) - Earnings power is masked by a bad acquisition a few years back - On norm....
Patience Pays: Ride TMDX Volatility, Trim Rips, Buy Dips
Not a good day for $TMDX... down -6% on no news... averaging 34 flights per day through 15 days which is a new record pace... on track for 3,000+ flights in Q2 I've owned $TMDX for 5+ years and it's one...
Short $CAR After Early Highs if Price Stalls
My strat on $CAR is to wait for the first 15-30 minute highs and if it fails to push higher, short it as close to the high-of-day as possible, with a stop at high-of-day to maximize risk:reward. Add on pops....
NewScorpioGold Manhattan Expansion Keeps Gold Play in Buy Range
New ground gets stitched together for @NewScorpioGold at Manhattan, this district-scale play is getting bigger. See the map, what is a brownfields project, along with JV's stock chart and why this #gold play is still in Buy range: https://t.co/0Q3d3JlLkF
HYG Options Shockingly Cheap, IV30 at 5.1%
Always seems crazy how cheap $HYG options May be first time I actually looked at the IV30, it is 5.1% lmao
SPY Mirrors CAR's Short‑Squeeze Pattern
$SPY doing what $CAR has done for the last 2 weeks. Gap let shorts fade it, firm bid -- grind let cover come in, fast pull. Repeat.
Paulson Warns of Imminent Vicious Bond Market Crash
Henry Paulson Says US Should Prepare for a ‘Vicious’ Bond Crash - BBG, 4/16/26 Conspicuous in its timing, IMO. "Why am I reading this now?" https://t.co/odjQGdaGW5
AI Firms Devour NYC Office Space, Leasing Data Shows
My friend and broker from the Breather days, Ramsey Fehrer at CBRE, shared NYC tech leasing data they pulled for a client recently. AI is eating NYC office space. https://t.co/tEdfzI97NT
San Francisco Agents Unanimously See Price Rises, National Confidence Low
Nationally, only 27% of the resale agents we just surveyed said home prices were mostly increasing month over month. TOTALLY different story in San Francisco, where 100% of agents said prices rising. Not sure I’ve seen that high a conviction in...
S&P
The S&P 500 $SPY recovered from a 9% pullback in under 3 months. It hit a new high with few of its stocks participating (net new highs or above moving averages). There has been only one precedent since 1928. People tend to...
Oil Spot Still 29% Above 200‑Day SMA
Oil has come down on with the ceasefire (persisting through reciprocal blockades), but spot is still very high - and the longer it remains elevated, the more permanent economic impact it has. Statistically, spot still 29% above the 200 SMA. Peaked...
Tech Stocks Cheap, S&P 7300 Target Signals Safe Haven
"In 5 years, you won't believe Tech stocks could be bought so cheaply ". Tom Lee Lee says the market is better positioned now than in November 2025 because it has now demonstrated it can handle surging oil prices and War. Furthermore,...
Small‑mid Caps Poised to Reclaim Premium over Large Caps
Smalls and mids still trading at a big discount to large. Recovered a some of the discount but traded at a premium to large for most of the decade. Got to this level in 2022 before falling back. Question is...
OIH Holds Steady, Forms Bullish Cup‑Handle Amid Pullback
$OIH Daily. Compared to the other two oil stock ETFs, $XLE $XOP, the oil service/equipment names in the $OIH have barely budged during this pullback. Cup and "high handle" bullish setup https://t.co/d3Xqf5ZBxn
SMH Eyes $507 as Next Yearly Resistance Target
$SMH - Last week it closed above the 1st yearly resistance, so it was natural for the rally to continue this week. The target for the next intermediate term top is the 2nd yearly resistance at $507. https://t.co/zy5dZBLxZD
Oil Shock Less Severe; Iran Likely to Restore Flow
Of course the world cannot withstand a 20% supply shock of oil for quarters There are just two weird assumptions included in that: 1) The supply shock is not 20% effectively - far from it actually. The bypassing of the strait...
Strong Fundamentals Keep Equities Resilient Amid Mid‑cycle Economy
The saving grace for equities are strong fundamentals with a US economy firmly in mid-cycle, earnings estimates growing at double digits, and valuations not out of whack against metrics such as credit spreads and operating margins. https://t.co/YcF7Fv550i
Free Cash Earns Interest, but 1.5% Fee Erodes Returns
𝗘𝗮𝘀𝘆𝗘𝗾𝘂𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗲𝘀 𝗽𝗮𝘆𝘀 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝗼𝗻 𝘆𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗖𝗔𝗦𝗛 That's any uninvested Rand sitting in your ZAR or TFSA account. It accrues daily and gets credited on the first business day of the following month. 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘆 𝗴𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝗶𝘀 (𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗺𝗲 -𝟯.𝟱%). They...
Ganfeng Profits Surge on Booming EV and AI Storage Demand
China’s lithium giant Ganfeng sees profit jump as EV, ESS battery demand soars The world’s top lithium producer forecasts a strong turnaround as global decarbonisation and AI-driven energy storage fuel demand https://t.co/ugavTV7WR5 via @scmpnews
Tariffs Drive Steel Producers' Q1 Earnings Surge
Yay, tariffs: "Steel producers tease Q1 earnings surge, citing higher prices" https://t.co/gTHXOvmfrG “The domestic producers don’t [have to pay a tariff], meaning if all steel prices rise, that a lot of that flows to the bottom line for them"
10‑Day 10%
SPX: Rapid 10% rallies in 10 days historically show strong follow-through. Data indicates a +0.6% average move 1 week later, +2.5% at 1 month, and +17% after a year. Even in exceptions like 2000, the trend holds for the first...
Judges Question Kalshi's Roulette Betting; CFTC Likely Blocks It
Federal judges push Kalshi lawyers on what would stop them from offering event contracts on the outcome of a roulette wheel; Kalshi says the CFTC likely wouldn't allow it, without giving an explanation why
Chinese Stocks Offer Undervalued Upside, Says Strategist
🇨🇳📈 Are investors underestimating the potential upside in Chinese equities? @LizThomasStrat dives into the risk/reward setup on MRKT Call https://t.co/hKMhhCNpDm
Even a Rigged Market, I’ll Still Chase Wealth
We all know the stock market’s rigged. I’m still gonna get my piece of it though cause our options for building wealth in this capitalistic hellscape are limited.
Judge Questions Financial Impact of Yankees‑Red Sox Game
"Would the Yankees beating the Red Sox have a potential financial consequence?" asks a judge in today's Kalshi hearing; Kalshi lawyers argue that the outcome of every game impacts team valuations, and that Kalshi users are hedging sports-related outcome financial...
Avoid Holding Positions Through Earnings Reports
Check the earnings dates of your holdings. Many report next week and beyond. I don't hold trades into earnings reports as it is 50-50 at best. I will hold let it rides as they have lots of...
Taking 25% Partial Profit on MSFU, Holding MSFT Long-Term
$MSFU took partial off for just shy of 25% on the common shares. I own both $MSFT and $MSFU. $MSFT safely put into let it ride. $MSFU is not intended to be held long term so will be...
Self‑run Trading Delivers 300% Gains, 100k Weeks
The numbers hit very differently when you have a 7 figure portfolio and actually know how to trade The Black List trades and strike prices and expiration dates has always been curated by me and me alone I didn’t have an assistants/admins...
Coastal Bend Bancshares to Acquire First National Bank
Deal Profile: Coastal Bend Bancshares to acquire First National Bank in Port Lavaca | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/prXztdmOoY
Time Decay Can Yield 18% Return in Two Months
This Trade Made 18% in 2 Months (How Time Decay Affects Your Options Trades) #optionstrader #tradingstrategy #tradingeducation #stockmarket
Who Maxed Their 2025 Roth IRA After Deadline?
So.... Now that April 15th has passed. Who maxed our their Roth IRA for 2025?
Identify Market Mode with VWAP Before Trading
Range day 📉 — inside VWAP bands, rotation, fade the extremes. VWAP is the magnet. Trend day 🚀 — outside the bands, price discovery. Don’t fade. Wait for the pullback, enter with strength. Same chart. Different playbook. Most traders lose because they mix...
Intel Nears ATH; Terafab Deal May Redefine Foundry Landscape
Intel ~9 % away from ATH. I also think the terafab deal may be more consequential in many respects than is realized today. Wait until you see my foundry model :)
Saturday 11am: Anchor Portfolio Deep Dive & Diversification
11 am on Saturday, folks. Our pms has the anchor portfolio presentation and a deeper look at getting a more diversified approach.
Master Initial Balance Trading with 77% Edge
Breakdown of How to Trade Initial Balance Like a Pro with 77% Edge 👇 https://t.co/ETP9UYc2Vw https://t.co/DcJiRfSMAs
Investor Sentiment Still Below Crossover Amid Shifting Headlines
A longer term measure of sentiment (the Investors Intelligence survey below) shows that sentiment has not “crossed over” as it did a year ago. Maybe that will still happen now that the headlines have pivoted again. https://t.co/UFEsFhZhJf