
Weekly Market Report: Weekend Wars. Strategic allocation +7.7% YTD, Tactical allocation +4.3% YTD. More details and some free access in the link in reply below. 👇 $SPY $VEU $GLD $TLT https://t.co/gZFEG6wHe1

The market is so weak and turning so defensive that the Micro-cap Index is now up for ten consecutive months, and just closed the month at the highest level in history. https://t.co/R0UyyR24z2

A sharp oil spike to those levels would likely result in a one-variable stock market like we initially saw during the 1990’s Persian Gulf War. Stocks under pressure until oil prices come back down. https://t.co/8DQZhDYXqo
In this episode, we sit down with Piper’s Head of Options Strategy, Danny Kirsch to unpack one of the most unusual market environments in decades. The index has traded in a tight range, yet beneath that stability we’re seeing historic...
If stocks were the best path to wealth, banks would loan you 80% to buy them. They don’t. But they will for real estate. That should tell you something.

Talk about a company that just keeps on winning. This monthly candlestick in New York Times was more than 20 points wide and still went out at the highs, with Friday marking a new all-time high close for NYT 👀...

On the day we launched Prophet publicly in December 2024, it was already up 1,640% from the date the strategy was first implemented in Dec '08. Now it's up 1,982% -- or ~20% since Dec '24. But the best is...

The Strait of Hormuz may be open according to the Iranian government, but the IRGC seems to have different machinations. https://t.co/cvL7jYvGoa
🚨 UPDATE: On February 2nd I told you to buy OIH and XLE. Since then: OIH: +14% XLE: +10% Crude oil: 7-month highs And in my opinion, we’re just getting started. Here’s why I’m not selling yet:

The decision tree for tonight - when markets open - follows from oil. In 2022, when Russia invaded Ukraine, oil rose 40%, which drove the Brazilian Real and other commodity exporters in Latin America a lot stronger. It weighed on...
There's nothing wrong with being defensive until we see better accumulation in the Nasdaq, but I'm not getting bearish because there are so many growth stocks (outside of the Mag 7) that are in strong uptrends. More here in this...
Carbon markets are at an inflection point. Policy momentum. Capital rotation. Tightening supply. Most investors aren’t positioned for what’s next. Read this before the crowd catches on: https://t.co/axCJ40q8bX cc: @LukeAOliver @kraneshares

Gold closed Friday at $5,278. The all-time high is $5,595. That's $317 away. The US and Israel just launched strikes on Iran. Tehran is retaliating. Iran vows to shut down the Strait of Hormuz. This is the biggest safe haven trigger since 2020. Fib extension...
Four companies in my UK dividend share portfolio issued results in February, including an 8% yielder and a high quality FTSE 100 stock. In my monthly update I share my views and explain why I've become more cautious about one...

"Amateurs talk tactics; professionals study logistics." -USMC Gen. Robert Barrow Many rightfully noting US hitting Chinese oil supplies; few noting that US cannot restock weapons without Chinese components. Left headline: Wednesday of last week Right headline: WSJ today https://t.co/N0oRvB87DA

The connection is clear: Large trucking equities trade based on forward trucking market conditions and the best signal is SONAR's Tender Rejections Chart: SONAR Truckload Rejections vs. JB Hunt Stock Price https://t.co/R8Mc1l5UyF

Goldman Sachs down 7.5% in a single day. From $985 to $860 in three months. Meanwhile, a UK mortgage lender just collapsed. Private credit contagion is spreading across the Atlantic. This isn’t a correction. It’s a credit event hiding in plain sight.

The worst levels of the spreads in 2023 resulted in 7.17% mortgage rates today instead of 5.99%. https://t.co/PkASya1lri

This SONAR chart: Outbound Tender Rejection Index (blue) vs. Knight-Swift stock price (yellow). There is a reason that hedge funds buy SONAR and it is our fastest growing cohort. https://t.co/erT8QvKIr6

Looking forward to the day this weekly range in NVIDIA resolves itself. 📺 Latest market thoughts here: https://t.co/EXexrJSfof $SPY $IWM $QQQ $NVDA https://t.co/MT0GCVoiFE
Just under 7 hours until the Asian session open and the markets can start working some of this risk into market exposure and hedging
Was great to be on a panel down @iconnections_io in Miami hosted by @GuyAdami w/ @VD718 & Meredith Whitney. We discussed the U.S. consumer & economy & the impact of A.I. on markets. We hit "Private Credit" & "Gold is...
Interest from HYSA is taxed at federal AND state/local level. But interest from T-Bills is only taxed at the federal level, saving you anywhere from 0-13% in state/local taxes. T-bills also generally have better yields. Small adjustments can make a big difference over...
IRAN WAR will test the vulnerability of oil markets - I got to write some thoughts in the Financial Times: https://t.co/L7TKTXxT7U
Former $FND CEO Tom Taylor, August 2021 - "Three years ago [in FY18], almost 50% of what we sold came out of China; today, it is less than 30%." Q4 FY25 call - "China represented ~3% of our fourth quarter receipts." https://t.co/9Bv96S1bvH

Average tenure of companies in the S&P 500 index keeps declining - Apollo's Slok https://t.co/rPrEl7agfl

Looking at the past 20 years, it is perfectly normal for S&P 500 weakness in late February and into mid-March, then a major low forms. Yes, 2009 and 2020 are a big reason why, still worth noting. https://t.co/di2DeekJx8

Going back to collapse of the Internet bubble, serious VIX spikes coincide with big drops from 52-week highs for $SPX. Second chart is a closer look at current times. Do we go down hard when futures open later today?? https://t.co/XnG2Iu29Fd

Thailand's January CPI is -0.6%/yr. That's the 10th consecutive month in DEFLATION. In the past 3 years, its Money Supply has grown BELOW Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of 5.4-7.4%/yr, a rate consistent with hitting a 1-3%/yr inflation target. INFLATION STORY = MONEY...
Brussels proposed a digital form of cash that could be used both online and offline. Navarrete, by contrast, is pushing for an offline-only model. More delays. Can Europe break free of Visa and Mastercard? MEPs stall digital euro https://t.co/SLW3jTmnrB

When markets open tonight, oil prices will spike, which will help oil exporters and hurt oil importers. In Q1 '22, oil prices spiked almost 40%. Single biggest beneficiary - by far - was Brazil's Real, which rose 20%. Turkish Lira...
I really like this chain. The stock was never cheap but probably has expansion potential.
FREE Book: Andrew Aziz @BearBullTraders’ #1 bestselling day trading book for over 10 years: How to Day Trade for a Living is FREE on Amazon Kindle today. https://t.co/CMtQsmFMhY It is the perfect book for new traders and those looking to sharpen...

If there isn't a new energy shock (a big if), the surpluses of the chip exporting powers (Korea and Taiwan) are going to be absolutely stunning this year. 1/2 https://t.co/N2A7u4k1ai

Here’s a link below to a FREE Fibonacci Trading Strategy Guide (ebook): 📈📉 Learn the 6 Fibonacci Pattern Types that Create the Most Precise Price Levels, Targets, and Reversal Zones for traders. Click here: ⬇️ https://t.co/62UAf4L9jv Discover the 5 types that aren't...
We went back to basics on the latest DividendTalk by covering how to find solid dividend growth stocks in both the US and the Europe. Worth a listen if you're building your watchlist 🙌 Tune in here: 🔗 https://open.spotify.com/episode/30VKC7ETTzOBI65Lfl5dnD?si=OtYzweq5RrKPJUEyQi876A Feel...
What is the #1 trade you want to be holding when a Middle East war breaks out over the weekend? ⬇️
Friday's closing correction was also on the basis of war. So, what do you think? How much will fall tomorrow? Or has the war's impact already been discounted in the Indian stock market?

Precision. Patience. Structure. This FVG Entry Setup is built around smart money concepts, liquidity sweeps, and session timing. The focus is simple: wait for displacement, identify the imbalance, and execute with confirmation. No chasing. No guessing. Just structure, order flow, and discipline. Master...
Problems in Dubai are not just for people staying there - it spills over to India - we get $45 bn of remittances from the Middle East each year.
⚠️China is indeed DUMPING US Treasuries: China’s holdings of US government bonds dropped -$75.5 BILLION in 2025, to $683.5 billion, the lowest since September 2008, the Financial Crisis. Since the 2013 peak, holdings have fallen -$633.2 BILLION.👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/china-sold-a-significant-amount-of-us-treasuries-in-2025
Re-upping this. Monday is the last day of the current tender offer. Maybe I'll put out an English version, but it's in my Cui Bono piece on Smartkarma last week.

Everyone watches Nifty50 futures price. Some track IV in options trading... >> Almost nobody tracks the hidden interest rate inside Nifty futures. >> It’s called Implied Financing. And once you understand how implied financing drives Nifty50 futures, options pricing, and volatility structure… You’ll never look...
“The Chinese economy in 2025…is like a giant machine where large parts are beginning to cool down, while a considerable part remains at high temperature. But the temperature of this part is difficult to conduct to the cooling parts.” @ChinaFile https://t.co/oC1Pwzm8je
China new home prices fell at fastest pace in 3+ yrs (Feb). Macro: property slump drags growth. Key factors: weak demand, limited policy relief. Risks: wealth erosion, consumption hit. Trade: short Chinese property developers/RE ETFs 🔻 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD,...
🚨 IRAN WAR UPDATE — MARCH 1, 2026 🚨 Khamenei is confirmed dead by Iranian state media. But the bigger story: the IRGC has formally closed the Strait of Hormuz. Shipping firms are instructing vessels to shelter in place. About 20%...
Thinking ahead... does this push China to further speed up the adoption of renewables + batteries and make it even more reluctant to wind down coal. The Iran war is an object lesson in a) American power (which shale has...
The portfolio's value rose by +6.8% in February 2026, driven by a skyrocketing Korean stock market. Opportunities in Japan SaaS and luxury wristwatches. https://t.co/dYm3oOEyPD
the us and israel attacked iran. why now and what comes next? i break down the decision, the risks of escalation, and what to watch. with @ted
⚠️US technology stocks have PEAKED: The ratio of US Technology, Media, and Telecommunications to the US stock market ex. tech has fallen sharply over the last few weeks. This marks the most violent move since the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble BURST.👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/the-us-stock-market-has-peaked