US Inflation Peaks as Hormuz Shock
JUST IN: US PPI inflation rises to 4%, its highest since February 2023. Meanwhile, the Strait of Hormuz supply shock is estimated to cause oil demand to contract by 80,000 barrels per day — the largest drop since COVID. Are you ready for what's next?
Nasdaq 100 Posts 11.75% 10‑Day Surge
10 day rolling returns for the Nasdaq 100 (+11.75%). That's one of the best streaks over the past 5 years. V-shaped happiness rally right into earnings season. $QQQ $NDX https://t.co/njBENziqXC
European Gas Hits Lowest Since War Began
European natural gas prices are heading toward their lowest settlement since the war started (Feb 28), currently trading at €43 per MWh (that's ~$15 per mBtu). The European gas benchmark TTF is now **lower** than it was in late January...
Buy Early, Not When the Coast Is Clear
I've been fiddling with a lot of back testing recently. It's a fools errand to wait until the "coast is clear" to get long the market overtime. You need to define a system that allow you to "hold your nose...
Three Consecutive Green Bars Indicate Uptrend
and y'all know this pattern by now: 3 consecutive green bars UP off OP... shake and bakee https://t.co/385FXOtwW0
Asset Types
It's an honor to contribute to our team's annual survey of diversification and correlations. Here, @AmyCArnott1 calls out which asset types bring something to the diversification party and which don't deliver. Her piece includes a link to the full paper....
TQQQ Breaks VWAP on Risk‑On NASDAQ Move
hit the #NASDAQ here with $TQQQ as we take it off the #VWAP here after deciding it was a RISK on day. thanks for the help with the #VWAP talk Brian @alphatrends #trading #stocks #futures #sp500 https://t.co/WOHJlqwlKz
China's Export Growth Falters as Global Demand Slumps
China’s Export Momentum Slows Amid Iran War—Weaker global demand threatens a growth driver for Beijing @hannahmiao_ @TByGraceZhu https://t.co/vpepE1zohz https://t.co/vpepE1zohz
Investing in a 50%+ CAGR Hyper‑Growth Stock
🚨A new Trading Alert is now live📈 We've just invested in a hyper-growth business (its stock was down ~70% from its all-time high). Revenue is projected to grow at 50%+ CAGR over the next few years. Subscribers: Login 👇https://t.co/YKr5pL7G2c
Lagarde Reverses Stance: Europe Not Epicenter of Iran War Fallout
Lagarde: Europe NOT at epicenter of Iran war fallout. That's quite a turnaround from the Mar. 26 interview with The Economist, when she said: “We are facing a real shock…probably beyond what we can imagine at the moment.”
Iran Conflict Eases Yuan Pressure as Banks Shed $30B
The Iran war took the heat off China's currency. After facing strong appreciation pressure from November through February, the direction of pressure changed in March -- The state banks look to have reduced their foreign assets by ~...
Canada Pauses Fuel Tax, Cutting Gas Price 10¢ per Litre
After Germany, here it comes Canada: Prime Minister Mark Carney said he will suspend a fuel excise tax until Labor Day weekend. The measure will lower gasoline prices by 10 Canadian cents per liter, and diesel by 4 Canadian cents.
Options Expiry Fuels S&P 500 Swing, Not Fundamentals
In just 2 weeks, the S&P 500 has gone from widely oversold to overbought. However, this is not being driven by fundamentals. Options expiration is creating complacency.
Risk Appetite Returns: High‑Beta $SPHB Outpaces Low‑Beta $SPLV
Spring is here and risk appetite is back in the air. High beta basket $SPHB relative to low beta stocks $SPLV pushing higher https://t.co/vr7eIgfZgR
NYMO Flips From Oversold to Overbought During Earnings Season
Def. doing some trimming into hefty earnings season, NYMO from extreme oversold buy signal to extreme overbought sell signal quickly now
Iran's Inflation ~64%, Rial up 8% Despite Claims
Startup Fortune (not Fortune magazine) claims Iran's inflation is 180% and the rial is in freefall. WRONG. I measure Iran's yearly inflation at 64%/yr. Since the war began, the rial has gained 8% vs the USD. I AM THE ONLY ACCURATE...
Austin's Housing Boom Cuts Rents Amid Population Growth
"Austin’s Surge of New Housing Construction Drove Down Rents" (even as its population grew) https://t.co/Mi7GYtLlbz https://t.co/HAdE5iQaBO
China Ramps up Export Controls Ahead of US‑China Talks
China has increased its use of export controls, underlining Beijing’s willingness to leverage its power over supply chains as Xi Jinping prepares for talks next month with US President Donald Trump. by @leahyjoseph, @cheng_leng_ & Wenjie Ding https://t.co/oGe6739GIG
Sell Covered Call on HOOD After 8.5% Jump
STO - Covered call - $HOOD Up 8.5% today so the perfect time to sell a covered call on Robinhood. 5/15 for $90 at the $100 strike. Are you trading today?
Rising Power Bills From AI Data Centers Fuel Election Backlash
Bloomberg: "Across the country, soaring electricity costs are burdening consumers and stirring voter anger. The rapid build-out of artificial intelligence data centers, along with tariffs and upgrades to an aging grid, has raised power prices at rates unseen in decades....
April 14 Tactical Update: New Portfolio Tweaks Unveiled
(PREMIUM) "Tactical Update: April 14, 2026 - All The Trimmings..." Tuesday A.M. portfolio tweaks... via The Lyons Share https://t.co/imbOEcrTTV https://t.co/cMdMjNVjrm
Airbnb Must Surpass $139 to Break Its Base.
Airbnb continues to set up well. Above $139 would break the stock out of this year-long base https://t.co/NigdCHxmEo
V‑bottoms Went From Odd to Almost Mainstream Since 2018
i'm old enough to remember when we used to call "V bottoms" unusual... since 2018, they've become "almost" typical...
Higher Bracket only Taxes Income Within that Range
I know someone who declined a promo because he thought the increase would push him into a higher tax bracket and make all his income taxed at that rate. In reality, only the income within the new tax bracket is taxed...
Dollar Slides Below 99, Signaling Eroding Confidence
DXY just broke below 99 — a 1.25-month low. Dollar weakness at this scale matters globally: commodities reprice, EM debt gets relief, US exporters benefit. But a structurally weaker $DXY also signals eroding confidence. That's the part worth watching. https://t.co/G2iZaPA5wz
Start Early, Invest Patiently, Let Time Build Wealth
Building wealth starts with thinking ahead. What you invest in today will shape your future. Instead of focusing on quick wins, remember that success often comes from steady, patient moves that add up & the earlier you start, the more...
VIX Drops 38% in Two Weeks, 7th Largest Crash
The 38% decline in the $VIX over the last 2 weeks is the 7th biggest volatility crash in history. https://t.co/WG93PaZexq
Amazon Calls Near 100% Gains as Stock Cheapens
Have to bank some $AMZN calls nearing that +100% mark Yet another name that got stupid cheap https://t.co/Hui9LDG1bd
Buy April 84/82.5‑82 Put Spread, Credit 5¢
$WFC "Trade Idea 1: Buy the April 84/82.50-82 1×2 Put Spread for a 5 cent credit." sell to close a 84/82.50 put spread on any strength in the stock. Let IV fall then can buy to close remaining put...
Bullish on Oil as Hormuz Closure Sparks Market Tension
I'm used to oil hate because, well, I'm not a permabull and normally the dooming is deeply overwrought This episode has been weird bc I'm bullish oil given THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ HAS BEEN CLOSED FOR SIX WEEKS and now I've...
GDX Overbought Yet Stuck in Neutral Trend
gold stocks $GDX are RSI(5) overbought on the daily and are NOT in an uptrend (lower lows) but that doesn't mean they're in a downtrend (they're NOT because there isn't a lower high)... https://t.co/FGu5lmhg15
Stocks Climb Despite Bad News, Says Analyst
Why are stocks higher with all the bad news? Nice one from @_JoshSchafer on earnings.
April 124/121 Put Spread Busted, Credit Lost
$C "Trade Idea 1: Buy the April 124/121 1×2 Put Spread for a 5 cent credit." a bust, will expire
BlackRock Posts 27% Revenue Jump, AUM Dips to $13.9T
Blackrock crushed earnings once again. Q1 revenue was up 27% but total assets under management fell slightly, $13.9 trillion now. 🇺🇸🇺🇸 $BLK
S&P Rebounds in April Five Times, Hinting Momentum-Seasonality
This is the 5th time the S&P recovered from a YTD pullback in April. Yeah yeah, tiny sample size. The only purpose is to show the few similar cases of momentum + seasonality. https://t.co/KayfEI5bgb
TBAC Survey Launches; Coupon Rise May Pressure Long End
I think TBAC questionnaires go out this week. Any question suggesting an increase in coupon issuance could pressure the long end.
WTI's $7 Drop Signals Ongoing Geopolitical Volatility
WTI crude dropped from $104 to $97.24 in 24 hours — a $7 swing in a single session. That's not a market. That's a volatility event. US-Iran breakdown + supply uncertainty = oil as a geopolitical instrument. Watch $WTI. The whiplash isn't over....
Gold Surges Toward $4,800 as Safe‑haven Demand Spikes
$GLD is pushing toward $4,800/oz. Gold rebounded from $4,704 support and has a target of $4,858. Safe haven demand is not slowing. When gold climbs like this amid geopolitical chaos, the market is telling you something. Listen. https://t.co/VaXIlIQhKQ
IRDM Soars Over 100% on GSAT Deal
$IRDM sympathy boost from GSAT deal These May 30's up over 100% now and April 25's way more https://t.co/YjtlZfaXyk
SMH Semiconductor Stocks: Detailed Trend Analysis Across Timeframes
here are all the semiconductor $SMH stocks and their short, intermediate and long-term trends, % 200-day and force conditions (daily/weekly)... slow down. take it all in. there is lots to see... https://t.co/oYG4SmavIh
April Sees 10 MMbpd Crude Draw in First Nine Days
Good morning, oil watchers. Vortexa tracking crude/condy stock draws of 10 MMbpd through the first 9 days of April. That's a lot.
High‑Leverage Options Needed to Escape Salary Slavery
Leverage 20x-50x in options is only way to make it in Indian market. If you are trading option selling like old uncle, you will never come out from salary slavery.
Oscillator Signals Favorable Trims over New Additions
Oscillator from -51 to +65 makes today a better trim on most names verse add IMHOP
Semiconductor ETF SMH Outperforms SPX and XLK
the semiconductors $SMH remain a VERY strong group relatively over many years... here's my current @Optuma bubble chart of the constituents... x-axis: 12-month % change y-axis: 3-month % change [spot the $SPX, then spot the $XLK, then spot $SMH and visual the eye...
United Outperforms American Since Kirby’s 2016 Departure
.@Lebeaucarnews airs chart of United vs American share price since Kirby left American in 2016 https://t.co/o5YykPHbch
Trim Gains, Rotate to Cleaner Setups Amid Pullback
📺 $SNDK VS. $MU & $TSLA BOUNCE TRADE $SNDK is now extended, and the proper entries were earlier near support when risk was defined. Chasing here offers poor reward. $MU presents a cleaner setup with continued upside, which is why capital is...
Oil Futures Lag Spot Prices Amid White House Influence
Excellent @wsj dive into what's driving the growing divergence between relatively tame oil futures prices and much higher prices on the spot market https://t.co/MLJoHMhDx5 One thing: oil traders convinced prices will go higher don't want to bet against White House...
Analysts Align on $7,700 S&P Year‑End Target
As markets approach their highs, as if on cue, Tom Lee at Fundstrat calls a market bottom MONDAY as Yardeni comes out to remind of their $7,700 S&P year-end target😉 TUESDAY, Citi updates their target of $7,700 at year’s end as...
S&P 500 Near New Record, Up 1% YTD
The S&P 500 is now up 1% YTD and above the level it was at when the Iran war began. Only needs another 1% gain to hit a new all-time high. $SPX Video: https://t.co/GTwCFLgKqY
NDX Gap-Up Expected; Avoid Longs Near Resistance
NDX: A gap-up at the open is coming. Given the overbought oscillator, it's prudent to avoid chasing longs. Price action remains bullish above $25,256.6, while $25,514.1 is a key daily resistance level worth watching. The complete set of daily levels...