China Expands Extraterritorial Reach with New Regulation
A little ironic, since China has itself is applying its own laws and regulations extraterritorially. But this seems significant to me as another tool in Beijing's arsenal: 中华人民共和国国务院令 第835号: 中华人民共和国反外国不当域外管辖条例.https://t.co/T6FFDqCYKN
Aluminum Peaks at Four-Year High Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Aluminum hit a new four-year high as Middle East tensions, higher oil prices, and supply fears lifted metals. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/04/aluminum-four-year-high-signals-rising.html
Choose Early Curiosity Over Waiting for Proof
A bias I've never been able to break is finding the energy/enthusiasm to do work on companies multiple people are already talking about publicly. It's probably hurt me over the years. But I do think a big part of this...
Exploring Emerging Electrification Opportunities From Personal Experience
This was a fun discussion on what I've been owning for the past few years but the important new electrification story opportunities https://t.co/r9i05c4jwy
Inventory Shift: Sun Belt Stabilizes, Northeast Declines, Rates Under 6.25%
2026.... Think 2023 data Except that spreads are much lower, we have a lot of rate cuts in the system. Inventory is higher, but hard comps for inventory growth until mid-June. Housing shifted in Mid June of 2025. Look at...
ET: High‑Yield Stock with 14% YTD Gain
I listed $ET as one of my top high yield picks heading into 2026. YTD Gain: 14.41% Analyst Upside: 17.6% Dividend Yield: 7% 5 YR Dividend CAGR: 7.69% This one still has upside.
Hormuz Closure Could Add 0.8% Core Inflation
Economists at the Dallas Fed try to model the effects on PCE inflation of a one-, two-, or three-quarter disruption of oil shipping through the Strait of Hormuz The DSGE model projects WTI prices peaking at $110, $132, or $167 per...
Powerful Malaysian Tycoon Controls Key Assets, Still Unknown
One man controls Malaysia’s rice supply, national car, biggest port operator, and a major gas utility. His company is quietly preparing for a $7 billion listing. Yet, he remains a mystery to the average Malaysian.
S&P 500 Recovers Fully, Likely Bottomed for 2026
S&P 500 has erased all its losses since the US-Iran conflict and may have bottomed for 2026.
Homebuilders Bet on Growth Markets Amid Housing Volatility
Despite housing market choppiness why giant homebuilders are sticking long-term with growth markets There's a strong relationship between population growth & single-family permitting. High building activity is largely concentrated in growth markets https://t.co/zwEuUTYf0H
China May Pressure Iran to Reopen Strait Amid Oil Shortage
Assuming Iran has no intention of conceding, and Israel has no contention of conceding, and Trump will claim victory no matter what… what are Vegas odds China will need to pressure Iran to open the strait and if so by...
SPX Bounce Turns Key Level Into Support, Continuation Likely
SPX: Even bulls didn't expect this. Once the price bounced from the daily support zone of 6,786, it began gaining traction, then the key daily level of 6,823 flipped to support. With the 100DMA now recovered, the move suggests...
Stocks Rally on Ceasefire Hopes; Commodities Stay Cautious
Stock markets and the US dollar are painting a rosy picture, with traders seemingly seeing a ceasefire heralding the end of the US-Iran war. Bonds, gold, and oil prices are telling a different story. #IranWar #StockMarket #gold #oil #macro #trading https://t.co/wLRi4EJNxA
Monday QQQ Volatility Beats SPY: Track Daily Percentages
Day trading today inside TBL The QQQ live trade as well as teaching members a few key lessons regarding how to day trade this specific instrument Things to remember ✅ Monday most volatile day of the week ✅ Qs much...
Executives View $100 Oil as Temporary Peak, Not Baseline
Most of the America oil & gas executives at conference last week I spoke with shrugged the current price as a short term development, as the market always finds a way. They spoke like it was almost a distraction to...
April VIX Futures Will Mirror Spot Until Expiry
Monthly public service announcement. The April VIX futures contract will expire Wednesday morning. It will stick like glue to spot VIX between now and then. In the meantime, I guess uncertainty in the Middle East is a nonissue. https://t.co/8eThjEF0EO
BlackRock Shifts Aggressively, Targets 300‑400% Commodity Returns
Thanks for playing --- "BlackRock Pivots 'Hard' For 3rd Time In 50 Years: Chasing 300-400% Returns With 4 Commodity Plays, Says Former Banker." Bloomberg.
Majority Predicted NQ at 23K at Month Start
feels like these two tweets belong together If at start of the month you said NQ 23K or 25K almost everyone would have said 23K https://t.co/p9mVQ22gS3
Nokia Poised for Growth via Hyperscalers, 800G, Nvidia AI‑RAN
"Analyst Oliver Wong and his team are positive on Nokia $NOK due to hyperscaler-driven growth in optical systems, inflection in pluggable revenues on shift to 800G... a potential advantage in AI-RAN with an Nvidia (NVDA) partnership." https://t.co/rQSQErgiEK
QCOM Margins Squeezed; Hold Off New Longs Till June
QCOM: handset volumes fall; memory-price shock squeezes margins. Auto/IoT gain offsets but Apple modem exit and licensing risk persist. Trade: avoid new longs until June analyst day. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Identify Top SMID-Cap Needing Better Governance
Semi-regular post: what is the highest quality SMID-cap you have come across which would benefit from improved governance/strategy?
Earn Income While Waiting, Then Multiply Microsoft Returns
My Exact Microsoft Trade: Getting Paid to Wait + Multiplying Returns #msft #optionstrader #stocks #tradingstrategy
Iran Blockade Tests Which Side Can Endure More Pain
Fascinating wargame playing out in real time. We shall see who blinks: “Iran Blockade Sets Up a Test of Which Side Can Endure More Pain” https://t.co/PfxFdyBELR via @NYTimes
U.S. Oil Blockade Likely Raises Exports and Pump Prices
U.S. oil blockade is set to boost American exports and prices at the Pump https://t.co/imnRBifyQr
New Memory ETF Fills Gap in Pure HBM
Tema filing for a Memory ETF.. No doubt everyone seeing $DRAM's shocking insta-success and looking to copy. I went looking through other AI ETFs there's really nothing close to DRAM's HBM pure play-ness outside of the South Korea ETF...
SPY Near All‑Time High, V‑Shape Recovery Questions Bearish Stance
$SPY is now 1.7% away from making all time highs. A clean V-Shape recovery & you’re still bearish?
KeyBanc Upgrades T‑Mobile to Overweight Ahead of Q1
"Ahead of T-Mobile’s (TMUS) first quarter results, KeyBanc upgrades the telecom company to Overweight from Sector Weight amid expectations for better-than-expected results and an increase in guidance." https://t.co/weFGutHQ8z
Three‑question Checklist Decides Conviction vs Caution
Three questions before I buy anything: Would I pay this price for the assets alone? Do the earnings justify it if growth flatlines? Does the dividend signal management believes the story? One "no" = caution. Three "yeses" = conviction.
S&P 500 Near Record High, Bull Market Still Alive
The S&P 500 moved to positive on the yr and is now only 1.32% away from a new all-time high. After an incredible 9 month win streak, we saw a perfectly normal 9.1% mild correction. They happen most yrs. We've said for...
Sellers Outnumber Buyers by 600K, Affordability Crisis Freezes Market
JUST IN: Home sellers now outnumber buyers by 600,000. That's the largest gap ever recorded in US history. The housing market isn't frozen because nobody wants to sell. It's frozen because nobody can AFFORD to buy. A $400K home now costs $960 more...
Algorithms Buying; CTA Positioning Rebounds From Deep Negatives
Algos hit the buy trigger last week. CTA positioning is rising off deeply negative levels. Worth keeping an eye on.
Class A Dominates 70% of Houston Q1 Office Leasing
Approximately 70% of the total office leasing volume in Houston for Q1 2026 was in Class A properties.
Credit Spreads Signal S&P Resilience Amid Geopolitical Noise
Credit spreads gave a heads-up on the S&P 500 turns. So far, they’re holding firm despite the noise out of the White House and the Middle East. Good to be back at the desk after a few days off for...
Physical Asian Oil Surge Forces Paper Prices Higher
My take @Fortune on oil prices: "Physical oil in Asian markets spiked past $150 a barrel; the paper market never climbed that high… The paper price will be forced to converge with the physical - and it has nowhere to go...
Morning Routine: Annotate 40 Charts with Actionable Plans
I usually mark up about 40 charts a morning with language and actionable plans https://t.co/pApv0jJdA8
S&P 500 Climbs Above Pre‑war Level
The S&P500 is now higher than it was on Feb. 27, the last trading day before the US and Israel started the war against Iran.
Advisors Diagnose Hidden Financial Roadblocks, Not Just Investments
A financial advisor's real value isn't investment advice. It's a diagnosis finding the two or three things in your specific situation that are quietly working against everything else you're doing right. Most people don't know those things exist until someone points...
Seeking Bigger Omai Deal over Braskem, Requires Corp Dev
Sold this to size up Omai $OMG.v Not a reflection on Braskem but just really like the Omai project + valuation and feeling undersized there Needs some Corp dev and IR savy but that’s fixable
Rezolve Secures $232M Deal, Targets $360M Guidance
Macro: AI-commerce consolidation. Rezolve (RZLV) investor call; $232M contracted for 2026, $360M guidance vs Commerce.com's weak base. Risk: approvals & execution. Trading insight: consider long RZLV pre-call. 📞 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Global Energy Shock Still Unreflected in Prices
I agree with my friend and renowned oil expert Javier Blas. The GLOBAL ENERGY SHOCK has yet to be priced in. https://t.co/jGrLu4xyby
Why Oil Can Be Both Surplus and Shortage
Oil Surplus Meets Oil Shortage: What the Heck is Going On? How can the world have too much oil—and not enough at the same time? Energy economist Ed Hirs explains. #oilandgas #iranwar #uspoli #cdnpoli https://youtu.be/u24Q9ESql1A
Silver Breakout Confirms Ongoing Bull Market
Silver broke out from a five-decade-old pattern in November, signaling that a powerful bull market is underway, and that is still true despite the recent correction.
All Factors Down, Hedge Fund Proxy Plummets, Shorts Rise
Value, quality, and momentum factors all down today. Long short hedge fund proxy declined -188bps. The only thing that was up was high short interest. Not healthy. https://t.co/nCK12nnBAU
Older Condos Falling Faster Than Detached Homes
Condos have declined more than the detached market. I find the older developments have struggled more. https://t.co/0cBXaIJT83
IGV Jumps 5% as Markets Rally Across Board
Not a HALO day.. $IGV soars 5% for its best day in almost a year @finviz_com Actually just about an all-skate today... stocks, bonds, commodities all up! https://t.co/zmpOV5nZ3z
FMKT Gains 1.8% as Deregulation ETF Leads
Today's close: The Free Markets ETF ( $FMKT ) at $21.27, climbing 1.79% since yesterday. Looking for opportunity in regulatory change? $FMKT is the pioneer ETF exclusively investing in companies we believe are positioned to benefit from deregulation. https://t.co/oO1zGkqC4s
SPY, VEU, ACWI Show Bullish Engulfing Marubozus
$SPY $VEU $ACWI all posted bullish engulfing marubozus today You read that right. @stockcharts https://t.co/xWrf9JDdgX
Henry Hub Natural Gas Hits Lowest Level Since Oct 2024
Henry Hub #natgas - that's the lowest weekly price back to Oct 2024 $UNG $NG_F https://t.co/KqYZQ2PcAQ
S&P 500 Rebounds 1% Monday After Sunday Gap
S&P 500: Gap-down Sunday night, then finish up 1% Monday is not something the bears wanted to see @augurinfinity https://t.co/a1fSTNInZa https://t.co/0FGmm4YiWn
US Soybeans Plant Faster
🇺🇸U.S. soybeans are 6% planted, above expectations and historically quick. Corn is 5% planted, slightly ahead of last year. Winter wheat conditions dropped another point this week. https://t.co/Yy2wWIzMud