Merck's $30B Offer Now Exceeds Revolution's Market Cap
Reminder that Merck tried to buy Revolution for $28-$32B (per Jan reporting from FT), vs current market cap after today's great data of $26.5B https://t.co/hoq2P0oiG9
Adobe's Stock Slump Masks Strong Fundamentals and Value
Is $ADBE a falling knife, as AI is disrupting them? Or a misunderstood opportunity? $ADBE -57% 5Y 🔴 -36% YTD 🔴 - Really Strong Margins - Incredible 9.8% BuyBack - $26B ARR - Cheap Valuation - 32% Below Consensus Price Target
Strong Fundamentals, Weak Stock: Valuation Drives Returns
$ADBE Since 2020: 🔴 Stock Price -30% 🟢 Revenues +85% 🟢 EBITDA +91% 🟢 FCF +86% This is a clear example that valuation is everything. You might be right on the business fundamentals, but be wrong on the stock performance. Was $ADBE incredibly overvalued then, or is...
NVDA Returns To
$NVDA @marketsurge #IBDPartner back to this fantastic 10 month base -- once this goes, it could run for a while so keep on radar. https://t.co/wQvDk0xXVV
True Housing Shortage only 1 Million, Not 10 Million
Our housing shortage estimate is 1 million, and it’s shrinking. This 10 million figure far exceeds all other estimates I’ve ever come across over the years.
Miner Rally Mirrors Early 1970s Bull Market
Miners haven’t truly broken out yet... In this new presentation from Thoughtful Money, I walk through why today’s setup resembles the early 1970s bull market. If you’re wondering whether this rally is getting tired—or just getting started, watch here: https://t.co/WVeReceJL2
IEA Anticipates Additional SPR Releases Amid Gulf Shutdowns
IEA ready for further SPR releases on top of the record 400 million barrels already announced. Even if this crisis ends by the end of the month the market is looking at upwards of a BILLION barrels unproduced given Gulf shut-ins. Won't...
Market Reclaims ATH AVWAPs, Ideal for Long Management
Idk the future - I do know A LOT of areas of the market are back above their former ATH AVWAPs and they serve as great levels to manage long positions against.
Oracle Oversold: Potential Breakout Amid Excessive Selling
$ORCL was oversold and underestimated. This may or may not be a real breakout, but the selling was way overdone proportionally to its upside. 👏🏻
AI Boosts Enterprise Cyber Stocks; Selloff Offers Bargain
The best of breed cybersecurity and infrastructure software stocks have been punished by the market. AI is a tailwind for the high quality enterprise-grade vendors and the current selloff is a good opportunity.
Goldman Beats Forecast Yet Shares Open Lower
Goldman was - unusually - the first bank out of the gate for this quarter's earnings season. The company beat expectations: - EPS of $17.55 vs $16.34 expected - Revenue $34.31Bln vs $16.98Bln expected However, $GS still gapped down on the open...
PLTR Doubles After Daily Reversal Signal
$PTIR daily chart $PLTR x2. Reversal today and not looking back. Showing this chart because my $PLTR has lots of notes on it. This one much cleaner. https://t.co/Ffd6ChyPio
Digital Creators Can Now Receive Tax‑free Tips
Instead of getting paid as a tax advisor, can you earn tax-free tips as a "tax-fluencer"? Final Treasury Regulations include "no tax on tips" for digital content creators, such as streamers, online video creators, social media influencers, and podcasters. https://t.co/FyI6F9noBQ
Take a Slice of Overbought AVGO, Let It Ride
$AVGO approaching a former ER gap down and hitting overbought. I took a baby slice off for Great profit and put almost all into let it ride. I will give let it ride stops room to base. ...
Netflix Poised for $7 Swing Ahead of Earnings
$NFLX heading higher ahead of earnings. Options chain expiring April 17th is projecting a (+/-) $7.00 move.
Deal Undervalues Secure, Shareholders Lose Billions
If this deal goes through as written, it's an incredibly disappointing outcome for $SES.TO shareholders. Our base case was C$34/share using conservative assumptions. Instead, shareholders are being asked to sell a scarce, high-quality waste infrastructure asset for C$24.75/share, mostly in GFL...
OPEC+ Crude Output Hits Record Low Since 1990
OPEC+ crude production fell to an all-time low for the expanded producer group in March. And for OG OPEC, its the lowest recorded crude production since Desert Storm in 1990. https://t.co/SUrjKb3ZLD
Stick to VOO, Skip Random Stock Speculation
I don’t know who needs to hear this but STOP buying random individual stocks if you don’t know what you’re doing Just buy $VOO and chill
Wyoming LLCs Shield Equity While Corp Shares Remain Vulnerable
S-Corp or C-Corp stock vulnerable: lawsuit winners liquidate assets, return worthless shares. LLC equity units protected via charging order. 99.9% cases use Wyoming LLC. C-Corp as management entity advanced strategy. S-Corp prohibits trust ownership.
Off‑the‑Shelf CAR‑T Shows Promise Delaying Lymphoma Relapse
Allogene data suggest ‘off-the-shelf’ CAR-T could delay relapse in lymphoma https://t.co/UrSNYpQFqB by @gwendolynawu $ALLO + 25%
US Blocks Iran Oil to China, Marking Escalation
The US is now effectively blockading China’s oil supplies from Iran. This is a nontrivial escalation.
US Deficit and China’s Stalled Consumption Fuel Imbalances
If not the dollar, what are the main major drivers of current account imbalances today? - Unsustainable US federal budget outlook - China's failure to shift its economy further toward a non-deflationary, consumption-driven growth model by Maury Obstfeld https://t.co/jaLG9xmKuP
Nevada Sunrise Metals Sees Massive Volume Surge, Hints Reversal
Nevada Sunrise Metals $NEV.V $NVSGF Friday saw the 3rd Largest volume day in over 2 years as price closed off its lows. Reversal? Their Griffon Gold project produced 62K oz Gold in 1998-99 with Gold under $300/oz! ...
Cloud Deployment Margins Rebound, Set to Rise Further
"The margin trajectory of cloud-based deployment segment is far more interesting. Notice how gross margin here was precipitously falling and even turned negative in 1H’25 when the Chinese labs were essentially on a death march to grab market share. However,...
Charts Reveal Which Banks Will Lead Earnings Season
📈Banks kick-off earnings season this week, what are the charts saying about who is poised to outperform? @CarterBWorth joined Dan Nathan & @GuyAdami on MRKT Call to break it all down $BKX $C $BAC $JPM https://t.co/pR2yVXQsON
GOOGL Closes Above 20‑Week MA, Eyeing Q2 High
$GOOGL - Closed the week above the 20 week MA which confirmed that it made an intermediate term low 2 weeks ago at $272. The question is will it make a new all time high in Q2? We'll find out...
Momentum Profits Aren't Just Factor Tilt Spillovers
Stock momentum has long been a workhorse idea. Buy recent winners. Sell recent losers. Critics argue those profits mostly come from riding factor trends like value, size, or industry tilts. This paper pushes back. by @ebasilico https://t.co/I9J0gdZM0F https://t.co/RzH2IV4fuP
Hawkeye360 IPO Preps with $117M Revenue, Massive Backlog
Satellite signals-intel provider @hawkeye360, preparing IPO on @NYSE, reports $117.7M in 2025 rev, $24.8M EBITDA and sharply lower operating loss. Revenue was 61% US government, 16% Japan, 23% rest of world. Backlog, at $302.7M, up 6.8x from 2024.https://t.co/E8IPZWf3pK https://t.co/QgmLlopOAW
SPX Hits 6317, Confirming 6300 Implied Support Level
$SPX low hit was 6317 Super-interesting, my annual market outlook lays out all levels (shown) 6310 was AVWAP off 2025 low but even more interesting I lay out start of year implied move levels which tend to show a lot of...
Weekly Technical Outlook: USD, Major Pairs, and Gold
US Dollar, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, Gold Weekly Technical Outlook (Webinar Archive) https://t.co/8ZwYFGI6Sm Asset Chaptered on YouTube: https://t.co/BpRaX96dnw
Record-Breaking EPS Forecasts Extend Beyond US Tech
WEI LI BlackRock: EPS forecasts have never been better. And it's not just US tech https://t.co/3LAXLRQSID
US Deficit Not Caused by Dollar, Says Obstfeld
Don't blame America's current account deficit on the dollar Hugely important NEW essay by Maury Obstfeld @PIIE ahead of this week's G7/G20 global imbalances focus. https://t.co/sWxu77W2qk
IRS Updates Schedule D Line 21 Instructions (2018‑2024)
From IRS: Correction to the 2018 through 2024 Instructions for Schedule D (Form 1040), Line 21 (Yes, really, 2018 to 2024.) H/T: F. Bronstein https://t.co/7hLAdjavnf
FICO Shares Face Sustained Seller Pressure, Downtrend Persists
Fair Isaac $FICO was strong but sellers emerged in front of the score change stuff that was announced mid-last year... the trend of sell strength vs. buyer demand has continued, perpetuating the ongoing downtrend... https://t.co/UmkbRazFRE
S&P Valuations Near Historic Peaks; Quality Value Outshines
Where are we in the valuation cycle? * Current reading: ~+162% * That is above 3 standard deviations * Only comparable levels: late 1990s / 2021 peak * Base case (5–10 yrs): low single-digit real returns for the index * Bear case: major drawdown (-40–60%) *...
WTI Opens Higher, Volatility Index Nudges up Modestly
Thought WTI US crude oil has gapped up on the open and the OVX volatility index has jogged higher; both are still fairly restrained... https://t.co/v7dH8pjKVt
MTUM Racks Nine-Day Rally, Hits Record High
$MTUM up 9 days in a row, record high. I suss out what it means... tk on @stockcharts https://t.co/0JwFEjfC8a
Fed Still Plans Rate Cuts Despite Geopolitical Uncertainty
I predicted in a couple interviews the Fed will LOWER interest rates this year, not raise them. Now March minutes show... "Federal Reserve officials still expect to lower interest rates this year, even with high uncertainty from the Iran war and...
GUNR Stalls at $56 Resistance, Indicators Weakening
GUNR is looking tired here. Finding resistance at $56, moving averages starting to flatten and RSI trending in the opposite direction https://t.co/2tyAABjBC1
Equities Lead, Credit Trails—JOJO Rotates Early
Markets don't correct all at once. Equities go first. Then credit follows. That's always the sequence. $JOJO is designed to rotate before the crowd figures it out. https://t.co/RpOiVk0eNN
Momentum Turnarounds Hit Targets, Stops Trail Higher
Hitting some targets today in a few of those hold-your-nose, turnaround momentum names from late last week. Stops are now trailing higher, CoreWeave in this example $CRWV https://t.co/tgj1PbmcSG
First Thursday‑Friday Rally Since January’s Third Week
Stocks green on a Monday is nothing new for 2026. What would be much different is an up Thursday and Friday. In fact, the third week of January is the last time Thursday and Friday were higher during the same week....
Global Small‑Cap Value Set to Outpace the S&P
Global small cap investor Mark Cooper on: * Why Global Small Cap Value Could Outperform the S&P by 25% Per Year * The Most Overvalued Stocks Since the Dot-Com Bubble? A Data-Driven Warning * Why Value Investing Still Works: The Case for Quality...
US Blockade Heightens Energy and Fertilizer Market Risks
U.S. Blockade Escalates Risks for Energy & Fertilizer, with implications for the commodity markets. #oatt #oott https://t.co/aGAVP1GhAe
Space ETF Forms Tight Bull Flag Amid Market Volatility
$UFO Daily. High, tight bull flag for Space ETF. One of the cleaner ETF charts in the entire market right now amid wild headline volatility. https://t.co/i7ypmTDTuC
Turkey's Currency Intervention Masks Pre‑Existing Current‑Account Deficit
Turkey obviously intervened heavily to limit depreciation pressure (and an inflationary shock) in March (and I guess bought a bit of fx back last week). But Turkey's real problem is that its current account deficit was widening even before the oil...
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$DIS with the $100 roll has me inch up the stops. None in let it ride yet.
Key Adviser Updates: Inherited Wealth, AI Tax Prep, Client Exit
🆕 Adviser links: how inherited wealth is different, AI-powered tax prep, and how to let a client go. https://t.co/PTHt9rTNSA chart: https://t.co/kORz3dWOoQ https://t.co/sd5SnHVmZL
BofA's 16th‑Floor Note: Top Earnings Season Preview
BofA's "Heard on the 16th floor" note is really good. The ultimate earnings season preview
ETF IQ Explores QQQ, SpaceX, Bitcoin ETF, 1300%
Absolutely packed ETF IQ today, talking $QQQ and SpaceX w/ @DaveNadig, dvd growth w/ Nancy Tengler, $BWET's 1,300% return w/ its PM and Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF plans w Ally Wallace, head of ETFs w/ @kgreifeld & @scarletfu at Noon...