Amazon Nears Microsoft for Fourth Largest Market Cap
$AMZN getting very close to $MSFT in market cap (for the No. 4 slot) @yardeni https://t.co/FCnFNGKRig
Equity Derivatives Offer Abundant Opportunities Regardless of Market Direction
Whether you believe asset prices will go higher or go lower from here there is a LOT of opportunity right now in the equity derivatives market. Weekend filled with digging through different vol surfaces, data, and shocks and slides. Stay...
SMH ETF Delivers 209% Return Over Five Years
If you want exposure to semis but don’t want to pick individual stocks, SMH is worth a look. It’s one of the best-performing ETFs, up 209% over the past 5 years.
European Energy Traders Brace for 21‑Hour Volatility Surge
Europe energy traders brace for 21-hour day as volatility surges https://t.co/lLXIQjQymB via @priazrocha @MaznevaElena https://t.co/BPlqCQG5sx
Florida Canyon Mine's Life Extends Far Beyond Expectations
@IntegraResource's Florida Canyon Mine will have a far longer mine life than people would expect. CEO @GeorgeSalamis spoke to Mining Stock Daily this week. https://t.co/S9UIFtIp9f $ITR https://t.co/uEaPdW8dj2
Rail Grain Shipments Hit 1993 Peak, Driven by Exports
Rail grain shipments have surged this year, hitting the highest levels since 1993, all thanks to exports.
RSI Over 70 Doesn't Mean Short in Trending Markets
Old RSI is dead ☠️📉 Most traders still see RSI above 70 and instantly short. In a trending market, that’s a great way to get steamrolled. RSI can stay over 70 for hours while price keeps ripping. The market does not...
Ajinomoto: Undervalued Monopoly Powering AI Chip Infrastructure
In February, activist fund Palliser Capital took a stake in Japanese toilet maker Toto and pushed it to expand a ceramics line used in semiconductors. Palliser is back. Says Japanese MSG maker Ajinomoto is “most undermonetized AI infrastructure monopoly” because: ▫️in...
Section 179 Enables Massive XRP Tax Write‑Off Opportunities
Section 179 tax code allows infrastructure/software write-offs. Gas fees qualify as business expense. 1,700+ NDAs contain pre-negotiated XRP purchase options. Banks already allocated billions at low prices executables post-appreciation.
US‑Iran Talks Set for Pakistan Tonight or Tomorrow
Another round of negotiations between the US and Iran will be held tonight or tomorrow in Pakistan, per Iranian state affiliated media.
Asheville Housing Enters Rare Market Correction
The metro area Asheville, N.C. housing market remains in correction-mode Historically speaking, corrections are rare in the Asheville, N.C. market This is only Asheville's second correction since 1975. The other being 2008-2011 via ResiClub Terminal
Jet Fuel Premium Hits Record, 68% Above Brent
New record for the Singapore jet fuel premium versus spot Brent. Jet fuel in Asia now trades 68% above Brent. Physical crude matters more than paper crude & Refined products matter even more, because the global economy runs on refined...
META's 20% Two‑Week Surge Hits Intermediate Low
$META was up 19.81% over the last 2 weeks. This 2 week rally is on par with the 2 week 19.05% rally after the April 2025 low, which means that it probably made an intermediate term low 2 weeks ago....
India Boosts Russian Oil Imports as Sanctions Loosen
With sanctions on Russia being temporarily lifted, India is importing Russian oil at the highest level since June 2023. One of the few benefits from the US-Israeli war on Iran is that the ill-founded international sanctions regime is coming unglued. GREAT. https://t.co/AvoKEQsvds
Markets Price 65% Chance of June Rate Cut
S&P 500 just had its best week of 2026 +3.6% for the week. Nasdaq +4.7%. What triggered it: - Trump's 90-day tariff pause - Oil down on Iran de-escalation - Markets now pricing 65% June rate cut Here's the thing nobody's saying 👇
Better Mortgage Spreads Keep Rates About 1% Lower
If we had the worst mortgage spread levels in 2023, mortgage rates would be 7.45% today, not 6.39%. If we had the worst levels of 2024, mortgage rates would be 7.08% today. If we had the worst levels of 2025, mortgage rates...
Master Rules‑Based Swing Trades with In‑Depth Stock Scans
Just posted for X subscribers Manual Scanning for Opportunity Process The goal of this 42 minute video is to show you the process and how to think about anticipating a move so you are able to apply a rules based...
Ignore Debt Seniority, Destroy Acquisition Value
Buffett's hierarchy before making any acquisition: 1️⃣ Can the business pay its own way? 2️⃣ If we borrow, who now sits above the shareholder? 3️⃣ Is the upside worth that demotion? Most acquirers never ask #2. That's why most acquisitions destroy value.
AVGO Surges 18% to Break 20‑week MA
$AVGO was up 18.12% this week. It was the biggest up week since late November. It closed the week above the 20 week MA, confirming that it made an intermediate term low last week. We'll find out if it leads...
From Occupation to $1 Trillion: Norway’s Wealth Revolution
In 1945, Norway emerged from 5 years of brutal Nazi occupation. War-torn. Bankrupt. Dependent on foreign aid. Today: A $1+ trillion sovereign fund making every citizen wealthy. How they built the world's ultimate money machine:
Inventory Growth Stalls; New Listings Dip Sharply Year‑over‑year
Inventory growth really slowed this week, both active and new lisitngs, new listings is noticebly lower this year vs last year, but I do have a theory on that this week with the weekend tracker
Extend Your 2025 Tax Deadline, Pay Owed Now
Not ready to file your 2025 tax return? Here’s how to buy yourself six more months, and why you still need to pay what you owe now. https://t.co/SdcqhDVk3f
Scorecard Analysis of NBIS and CRWV
Scorecards for $NBIS and $CRWV Subscribe my substack for more deep dive insights and analysis
Real Estate Investment Today Secures Five Generations
Aggressively invest in real estate for the next 5 years and you can set your family up for 5 generations…
Shift From Overvalued US Stocks to Gold, Silver, EM
Why I'm Selling U.S. Stocks and Buying Gold Instead The Dow's up almost 1,000 points but it was overvalued before and there's still way too much complacency. Here's the catch though – don't sit in cash. The dollar is just as overvalued. I'm...
TSMC's Customer Base to Quadruple High‑Revenue Clients by 2027
Doing some customer modeling on TSMC and this stat stands out: In 2023, TSMC had one customer (Apple) above $10 billion in annual revenue. By 2027E, it is projected to have four, including Apple, all above $20 billion.
Amazon Spikes 13.6%, Tops 20‑week Moving Average
$AMZN was up 13.64% this week. It was the biggest up week since the bear market low in January 2023. It closed the week above the 20 week MA, confirming that it made an intermediate term low in February. We'll...
IGV Breaks Support as PE Software Costs Rise, AI Falls
Ballsy call. IGV just broke support. Private equity has software problems. Cost of capital is rising in the sector while AI cost of capital is dropping. Maybe a short squeeze but doesn’t feel like real capitulation after a twenty year bull market.
Buy Critical Minerals Now Before Treaty-Driven Surge
Critical minerals including #silver will be the next major investment narrative. Now is the time to load up on metals and producers - before the announcement of the impending bilateral treaties, not after.
Bearish Engulfing Signals Potential Oil Top, Await Confirmation
$USOIL - The weekly bearish engulfing candle is further evidence to what I claimed since the March 9 top, that a major top was in. Technically, it hasn't been confirmed yet. That will happen only when the price of oil...
Active $JOJO Strategy Beats Passive Bond Risk
Passive bond investing means riding credit risk all the way down. No exit strategy. No rotation. Just duration and hope. $JOJO is the opposite of that. https://t.co/rbZotpZIp8
Silver Poised for Bounce to 88.84 Amid Bear Market
$Silver - The bounce out of the March low should continue into late April. The target could be as high as the 78.6% retracement of the March down leg at 88.84. Overall, it's just another bounce in a developing bear...
Gold Poised to Rise to 5028‑5280 by Late April
$Gold - The bounce out of the March low should continue into late April. The target is the 61.8%-78.6% retracement of the late January to late March downtrend at 5028-5280. https://t.co/YIo7oWw7FV
S&P 500’s Top Ten Still Dominate, Gap Shrinking
Concentration of S&P 500 market cap and earnings in the 10 largest index constituents... gap closing... https://t.co/smrJLaSTcS
Columbus Core Home Prices Surge Year‑over‑year
LEFT: Year-over-year home price change in the core of Columbus, OH in spring 2025 RIGHT: Year-over-year home price change in the core of Columbus, OH in spring 2026 via ResiClub Terminal https://t.co/Poj3BM9z1y
Financials Lag Despite Record Earnings and Top Margins
Financials are the worst-performing sector this year despite forward earnings at record highs and profit margins second-highest in the S&P 500. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/VkoCJ4Zo5n
Markets Favor Accelerating Growth Over Raw Rate
AppLovin grew 70% and the stock crashed. Shopify grew 30% and got no love. The market isn't rewarding growth anymore — it's rewarding acceleration. Growing 70% when you were growing 80% is a deceleration story. The bar has moved from...
China’s Bureaucracy Embraces Export Controls, Unseen Impacts Loom
China’s bureaucracy has discovered export controls and likes them, we haven’t seen all the effects yet
Startups Inflate ARR: Not Annual, Not Recurring, Not Revenue
Startups misreporting ARR is frustrating as an infrequent angel investor who relies on trust (no time to inspect) ~Every startup claiming 0→$[X]M ARR in [Y] months always forget to clarify that it's either a) not really Annual b) not really...
A Few Stocks Drive All Market Wealth—Diversify
Absolutely insane stat: Just 3.7% of stocks created 100% of U.S. stock market wealth over the last century. Miss a handful of winners … and you miss the market. That’s why you need to diversify. https://t.co/33wit1ajzk
China’s Power Surge Outpaces US, Boosting Geopolitical Clout
China added 1,514 GW of power capacity in 4 years. The US added just 161 GW. ENERGY CAPACITY = GEOPOLITICAL POWER. https://t.co/mIUmWJOAqL
XLK RSI Signals Bearish Range Capped Near 60
$XLK - RSI regime analysis points out a bearish range topping out around 60......we shall see.... https://t.co/gwSV7XMr1T
Stop Quoting Buffett; Carve Your Own Investment Swing
Too many defend their investing strategies with Buffett quotes. If you aim to outperform the markets you must find your own swing. https://t.co/3XHsZkAldW
February Home Price Cuts Hit Record High Since 2012
I ask you this Saturday. WHO has been ahead of this surge? If you don’t follow @m3_melody you’re behind trends “34.2% of Feb home sellers lowered their list price. That’s up from 31.5% a year earlier & represents the highest Feb...
Market Shifts Require Four Steps, Retests Can Reset
The market goes through a 4 step process to transition from a downtrend to an uptrend. The process isn't always linear. Retests (step 3) can fail, resetting the process to step 1. In rare cases the market skips step 3,...
2026 Tax Bill Lets Charitable Donations Yield Deductions
Most people donate to charity and get $0 of tax benefit. In 2026, that finally changes because of the new tax bill. Here’s how to take advantage:
US Destroyer Turns Back After Iran Threat via Pakistan
https://t.co/BrBdceeoER Interesting take by Bloomberg: A US destroyer was seen moving from Fujairah toward the waterway, Iran’s semi-official Fars news agency said separately. Iran’s armed forces monitored it and conveyed this to the US via Pakistani mediators, the news agency said. The US vessel...
Tail Risk Peaked Early, Vanished Before SPX Bottom
Weekend blog post features a chart built on the unique data found only @Nations_Indexes. Did you notice that tail risk (red line) peaked early in the correction and had faded by the time SPX hit its low? That was interesting...
Butler National’s Insider‑Backed Surge: >40% EBITDA, Single‑Digit Valuation
What a stock. Butler National $BUKS continues its strong run, and insiders continue to buy. Love to see that combo. The last quarter (ending Jan. 2026) showed very strong, accelerating revenue growth and an EBITDA margin of >40%. Earnings up almost...
TLT Set to Outperform USO as Oil Rises
TLT Flushed vs. USO -- Dip to Buy, or Different? The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) has dropped to a 10-year low vs. the United States Oil Fund LP (USO). Will the TLT/USO total return spread be higher or...