Social•Feb 20, 2026
Software’s Value Mispriced; Embedded Platforms Gain From AI
Software Is Not Dead. It’s Being Mispriced. AI disruption fears, multiple compression, and why embedded platforms may be the real beneficiaries of automation. Read here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/p/software-is-not-dead-its-being-mispriced
By Michael A. Gayed, CFA (Lead-Lag Report)
Social•Feb 20, 2026
SPX Straddle Costs Surge to Fed-Day Levels
$SPX 33pts for a straddle til 9:30am is a lot, I mean, this was a Fed day price 24hrs ahead not long ago https://t.co/ZvarHxYNIH
By Scott Murray
Social•Feb 20, 2026
BDC's Wind‑down Follows Its Disclosed Liquidity Plan
To be clear, the fund being referenced is *not* an interval fund, it is a BDC. This may seem like splitting hairs because they are both lumped together as evergreen/semi-liquid fund structures, but there are important distinctions - much in the...
By Phil Huber
Social•Feb 20, 2026
US Stock Market Hits Record Concentration: Top 10 Own 40%
🚨US market concentration BUBBLE in one chart: The top 10 US stocks make up a record 40% of the S&P 500 market value. At the same time, the weight of the largest stock in the S&P 500 relative to the 75th percentile...
By Global Markets Investor (newsletter author)
Social•Feb 19, 2026
SPX Flat While DE Soars, Oil Breaks Out, COIN Spikes
$SPX is still stuck between 6800 and 7000. But under the surface, $DE exploded higher on earnings, $CVX and $COP broke out with crude oil, and $COIN is showing amplified volatility vs #Bitcoin. Here’s what I’m watching next: https://t.co/bQnwyKMJeh https://t.co/v7DLLL1mYC
By David Keller, CMT
Social•Feb 19, 2026
South Korea, Turkey, Thailand Lead YTD Market Gains
Best performing stock markets in the world (local currency) year-to-date. 1. S Korea +34.7% 2. Turkey +24.1% 3. Thailand +18.6% In Asia only Indonesia, India negative. Malaysia is up only 4.3%.
By Azharuddin | Azha Investing
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Buy Newmont on Pullbacks as Gold Rises
Macro: gold up on rate‑cut hopes & geopolitics. Key: Newmont beat as realized $4,216/oz offset 24% output drop. Risk: output erosion, volatility. Trade: buy Newmont on pullbacks. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
By Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Earn Monthly Income Without Buying Stocks
The Poor Trader’s Way to Monthly Income (No Stock Purchase Required) #optionstrader #optionstrading #tradingstrategy #optionstrategy
By Akbar Ali
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Energy and Materials Surge as Tech Falters in 2026
This is a pretty cool chart to show your investment committee. A classic stock price-to-corporate profits image that reveals extended conditions reminiscent of the turn of the century. If this chart has any prescience, we should remember that the leaders...
By Jeff Weniger
Social•Feb 19, 2026
91 Days, Two Rate Calls, Then Warsh Takes Over
Only 91 days and two more rate decisions (Mar 18 and Apr 29) before Jerome Powell's term as Fed Chair ends (May 15th). Then it is the Warsh era...
By John Kicklighter
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Fed‑Treasury Coordination Must Be Transparent, Not Secret
Fed independence was a 20th century virtue. Fed inter-dependence is a 21st century necessity. The question was never whether the Fed and Treasury coordinate-it's whether that coordination happens in the dark or in the light The American people deserve monetary transparency...
By Jeff Park
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Hosting on Airbnb Means Accepting Constant Small Hassles
If you want to become an Airbnb Host you have to accept 5% of the time you will be Critiqued by guests Your phone might ring in late evening Items will be broken Finding the right help will be difficult People will often...
By SoCal Airbnb Realtor
Social•Feb 19, 2026
HG Delivers Strong Results and Special Dividend
$HG been a nice newer issue in Financials, just announced results and special divvy https://t.co/1as8xwX6bo
By Joe Kunkle
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Grey Swan Risks Amid Busy Global Macro Calendar
While I will keep an eye out for grey swans catalyzing (Iran and Supreme Court's decision on tariffs principally), the global macro docket picks up through Friday. Top event risk includes: Japan CPI; February PMIs; Mexico and Canada retail sales; US...
By John Kicklighter
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Budget Realistically, Not on Hopeful Cost Estimates
Don’t budget for what you hope it costs… budget realistically. Follow @chasecalhoun.realestate for more on build-to-rent and real estate investing. #realestate #investmentproperty #ceomindset
By Chase Calhoun
Social•Feb 19, 2026
China Overtakes Germany as Leading Car Exporter, Threatening German Industry
Good piece "For not only has China’s market begun to dry up for Germany, big chunks of German industry now regard China as a direct threat to their interests" Great chart China is a much bigger net exporter (of cars) now than Germany...
By Brad Setser
Social•Feb 19, 2026
McGough’s CVNA Sell Call Beats CNBC’s Coverage
Great SELL call by McGough @HedgeyeRetail on $CVNA that CNBC failed, once again, to cover
By Keith McCullough
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Asset Ownership Race Since 2020: Own or Be Excluded
We are in an Asset Ownership Race, I believe since 2020. You own or you will get left out.
By SoCal Airbnb Realtor
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Armenia Faces Nuclear Dilemma, U.S. Aid Could Break Deadlock
Armenia's power is supplied by what is widely considered the least safe nuclear reactor on the planet, and it has no money to replace it. With Russia occupied in Ukraine, the country is desperately searching for a solution. On one end,...
By Peter Zeihan
Social•Feb 19, 2026
All Research Done, Still Stuck on Execution
It’s like you already did ALL the research but you just can’t get yourself to execute.
By Rosa Lopez
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Growth-to-Value Rotation Shifts Money to Cyclicals and Defensives
“Yes, THAT growth-to-value sector rotation I called in November to last through Feb before volatility Mar into May. THAT was my call and it’s still in play before a massive de-risking in MAG7 and SaaS unwind showed up along with...
By Samantha LaDuc
Social•Feb 19, 2026
AUD/USD Rally Pauses Near 2023 High, Streak Threatened
Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Rally Stalls Near 2023 High – Four-Week Streak at Risk https://t.co/srtBKcRq3k $AUDUSD Weekly Chart https://t.co/oGQK6Jc1uV
By Michael Boutros
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Ethiopia’s 2024 Petrol Ban Saves $5B, Fuels
Ethiopia didn’t ban petrol cars in 2024 to hug trees: Importing oil was bleeding them dry - costing over $5b/ year in precious foreign exchange From close to zero before the 2024 ban, EV sales now make up over 60% of...
By Assaad Razzouk
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Buybacks Drop as Capex Takes Priority, ESO Dilution Fades
There are two reasons why buybacks are falling and likely to fall more 1. CApex as a use of FCF is deemed more important than share count reduction or SBC dilution offset 2. To the extent stocks fade the ESO awards provided...
By Andy Constan
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Discussing 2026 Credit Outlook, Including Private Credit
I will be joining @CNBC's @michaelsantoli this afternoon at 430p ET for a discussion of the credit markets--including, yes, private credit. Snip from our Outlook 2026. https://t.co/u8NP4oAYoL https://t.co/umYLiLDzTY
By Guy LeBas
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Copper Prices Jump 44% Year‑Over‑Year
Copper prices have surged to an average of $13,012/mt in January 2026 from $8,991/mt a year ago. That's a WHOPPING 44% INCREASE. BUY COPPER, WEAR DIAMONDS. https://t.co/FIhvIikhjQ
By Steve Hanke
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Three-Step Tax Prep System for Multi-Stream Income
How I prep for tax season 💸🤓🇨🇦 (as an accountant with multiple income streams) Here’s my exact 3-step system:
By Kate (Hello Happy Budget)
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Small‑cap Outlook Dim Amid Credit Crunch, AI Slowdown
Asking for a friend how small caps are going to perform after everyone piled in long behind the economic reacceleration trade while private credit implodes, the AI capex buffer declines and the Fed remains on hold...
By Quinn Thompson
Social•Feb 19, 2026
US Strike Risk Adds Premium to Oil Market
Expectations of a possible US strike on Iran—currently oscillating between wait-and-see and watchful anticipation—have introduced a risk premium into an otherwise well-supplied oil market. My talk w/ @KellyCNBC @CNBCTheExchange https://t.co/XwyD5XmiRg
By Daniel Yergin
Social•Feb 19, 2026
IMF Must Incorporate Lagged RMB in China Surplus Forecasts
A very important point The IMF needs a new methodology for forecasting China's external surplus, one that explicitly includes the RMB (with lags)
By Brad Setser
Social•Feb 19, 2026
China's December Short‑term US Deposits Signal Backdoor Intervention
The China story in the TIC data isn't the slide in China's long-term holdings in US custodians -- it is the rise in China's bills and short-term deposits in December. That hints that some of the December surge in...
By Brad Setser
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Consumer Staples Lead 2026 with Record‑Breaking 13% Jump
The consumer staples sector is off to its best start to a calendar year BY FAR. $XLP is up 13.3% so far in 2026. Next best year is 2013 at 7.8%.
By ETF Focus
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Trump’s Iran Deal Risks Mirror Obama, Favor Equity Shorts
Trump is going to have some explaining to do if he goes through all of this commotion and expensive military build up only to walk away with a deal not too dissimilar from Obama's. Oil is up over 6% since...
By Quinn Thompson
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Top Two Sectors and Their Leading Ten Stocks
Top 2 sectors and top 10 stocks in those 2 sectors #stockmarket #Nifty50 #ai #bess #energy
By Ashish Gulgulia
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Deem Global Soft‑Closes $3B, Capacity Turns Scarce
Another hedge fund shutting to new cash just as investors ready to allocate more. Asfandyar Nadeem’s Deem Global is soft-closing at $3billion after a strong 2025 and a sharp start to 2026. capacity is becoming a scarce resource. https://t.co/3TAvGB3pmk
By Nishant Kumar
Social•Feb 19, 2026
China‑Iran Alliance Turns Regional Conflict Into Global Threat
When great powers align, regional conflicts become global risks. China’s support of Iran is shifting the escalation ladder—and changing the strategic balance of the world. Understand what this means before it happens. Full analysis on website #Geopolitics #China #Iran #GlobalPower #Strategy
By David Murrin
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Dollar Stuck in Congestion, Faces Resistance Near 98.5
The Dollar is in a broader technical congestion pattern without a clear and persistent fundamental drive. As such, I tend to pay more attention to technicals. Looking at the $DXY daily, there is some notable resistance (50 SMA and '50%...
By John Kicklighter
Social•Feb 19, 2026
December Goods Deficit Rebounds to Fall‑2024 Levels
December goods deficit (ex oil) was back where it was in the fall of 2024, which seems like a fair read -- the October dip as a one off tied to reversing pharma front running a feared tariff and a...
By Brad Setser
Social•Feb 19, 2026
FTSE100 Hits Record Highs Amid Earnings and Rate‑Cut Hopes
Another great discussion with @MrMBrown where we look at more record highs for the FTSE100, against a backdrop of decent earnings, and the prospect of a March rate cut from the BOE https://t.co/1QJd0kOMS5 via @PepperstoneFX @GoodMoneyGuide
By Michael Hewson
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Minor Rate Shift Not Truly Hawkish
in what world could revising up your dot which is ~100bps below OIS to ~50bps below OIS be considered “turning hawkish”?
By Luke Kawa
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Soft CPI at 2.4% Signals Declining Inflation Trend
Last week’s CPI report came in soft at 2.4%, which was understandably well received by the bond market. The Truflation index, which has plummeted to a 0.7% year-over-year rate of change, hinted at a softer turn for the CPI. https://t.co/ZsIPypfaNW
By Jurrien Timmer
Social•Feb 19, 2026
EUR/USD Tests Yearly Open Support, Decision Ahead
Euro Short-term Outlook: EUR/USD Slides into Yearly Open Support – Decision Time https://t.co/SHnGwyQMrX $EURUSD Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/2Uu9a1yink
By Michael Boutros
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Beware: Repeated Long Vol Trades Lead to Losses
For everyone having fun looking to get long vol for a swing trade in here. To paraphrase Lionel Ritchie, it's "once, twice, three times a loser"..... https://t.co/ilJbnD8P59
By Jim Carroll
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Walmart CEO: Tariffs Gone, Wages Drive Pricing
"If you refer to those Walmart earnings. The CEO saying that tariffs are no longer an issue when it comes to pricing, but rather wages and income…" https://t.co/0OABeT0az6 #federalreserve #powell #dimartinobooth #kevinwarsh #economy #schwab https://t.co/VX4my3zpe8
By Daniëlle DiMartino Booth
Social•Feb 19, 2026
NBIS Up 45% Near Range High—Breakout Possible
$NBIS +45% since its February lows. Now nearing the highs of its range...can it break out?
By Hyperstocks
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Calm S&P Masks Turbulence, 2026 Stock Picker’s Market
“The S&P looks calm… but underneath, it’s churning like crazy.” Great convo with @GinaMartinAdams on concentration risk, price-to-sales extremes, and why 2026 may be a stock picker’s market. 🎙️ Latest episode of the Market Misbehavior podcast: https://t.co/6P2xtsblvM https://t.co/tohQDT7fRk
By David Keller, CMT
Social•Feb 19, 2026
AI Could Boost ServiceNow, Not Just Threaten It
Is $NOW really at risk of AI disruption? $NOW is down ~52% from ATH. The bear case is simple: ~97% of revenue is seat-based. If AI reduces headcount, seat growth slows. But the real question is whether AI replaces ServiceNow… or makes...
By Sergey CYW
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Jobless Claims Stay Low, Equilibrium Unchanged
Jobless claims update: Another week of low initial claims and stable continuing claims, suggesting no change in the low-hire, low-fire equilibrium. https://t.co/umbJshwxL5
By Nick Timiraos
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Maximize HSA: Early Contributions, S‑Corp Reimbursement, S&P500 Growth
How I use my HSA 1.) Have a high-deductible health plan. I pay $376.65/month (ridiculous) for a plan and my LLC taxed as an S corp reimburses me for this via an accountable plan 2.) Max contribute each year on Jan 1....
By Ryan Odom
Social•Feb 19, 2026
Delta: The Sole Greek Worth Tracking
Moontower Thursday Finally got around to writing on this topic... "delta is the only greek" https://t.co/KRPirWhJSY
By Kris Abdelmessih