LNG Rerouted to Brazil as Highest Bidder Wins
LNG is going to the highest bidder. This carrier is diverted form Europe to Brazil Map form @Kpler
Consistent Small Wins Beat Chasing the Next Amazon
The biggest misconception I see re investing is this idea that you need to find “the next Amazon” or “the next Nvidia” or whatever. Frankly this is one progenitor of exceptional returns but just one. It seems far easier to...
Saudi Arabia Holds 31 Million Barrels on Western Coast
As of today, Saudi Arabia has 31 mb of crude in storage on its Western cost. (Kpler data)
Klip's Pre-Deal Share Sale Raises Placement Closure Doubts
“Months of negotiations…” Mr Klip sold shares on market less than a week before signing the deal for TNR Gold $TNR.V and Altius $ALS.TO Look, we can laugh about the buyback talk, anticipating first royalty revenue in weeks, etc when you are...
Weak Chinese Economy Fuels Outward Credit Hunt
There are a lot of stories about Chinese assets acting like havens, especially China IG credit outperforming. How do you square that with a very weak economy? Well, the reason China IG credit is outperforming is because of the weak economy....
KB Home Flips Focus: Arizona Now Outpaces LA
KB Home—a giant homebuilder ranked No. 526 on the Fortune 1000—to move its headquarters from L.A. to Arizona Back in 2012, @kbhome did almost 4 times as much homebuilding in Los Angeles County as in Maricopa County Now, it does nearly 8...
Fed Faces Record $245 Billion Cumulative Loss
⚠️The Fed's losses are MASSIVE: The Fed's cumulative losses sit at near a RECORD $245 billion. This represents the gap between what the Fed pays commercial banks in interest on their reserves and what it earns on its bond holdings. 👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/the-federal-reserve-s-cumulative-losses-are-massive
Analyzing Rally Limits Ahead of Weekend Risk
I wanted to do a deep-dive before "weekend risk" and to highlight where I see this rally pushing back. 😉
Connecticut’s Listings Plummet, Prices Surge
The Biggest Housing Shortage in the U.S. is in... Connecticut. Listings are down 73% from pre-pandemic levels, and by 50% from the 10-year average. As a result, prices are up nearly 25% in the last 3 years and there are still bidding...
Shopify Earns Most Money Beyond Subscriptions
Day 1 of 30: How $SHOP Shopify actually makes money Most think it's a SaaS subscription business... subscriptions are only 24% of revenue Here's the real breakdown 🧵
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ISpecimen Cuts Transit Times 70‑85%, After‑Hours Volume Surges
$ISPC - "iSpecimen Reduces Domestic Shipment Transit Times By 70%-85%" Over 7x relative volume in after-hours here on ISPC, and I'll be watching it for continuation tomorrow IF it can break + base over its after-hours supply range for the simple...
Amazon's Letter Reveals 1M Robots, Chip Strategy
The $AMZN shareholder letter is a must read. Market grumbles about capex until it figures out what they are building. Incidentally 1 million robots already at work. But their new chip stuff is key. https://t.co/DeULJAN7Dg
Catch the Next Explosive Stock in 3 Steps
How to catch the next EXPLOSIVE stock to trade using 3 simple steps 🎯 #howtotrade #daytrading #stockstowatch #momentum #tradingeducation
Paramount‑Skydance Restructures Debt, Adding $31B to WBD
Pretty sure we need to add $31 billion or so of WBD debt to this number. Paramount Skydance Restructures Debt Financing for Warner Bros. Discovery Deal https://t.co/KdxmGFAyON via @variety
Low‑rate 2020‑21 Loans Force SME Refinancing Crunch
A lot of lending to small/midsize companies is for a term of 5 to 7 years. A great deal of debt issued 3/2020 to 9/2021 is therefore coming due these days. UST interest rates were near zero in that issuance...
Mild Pullback Triggers Bear‑Market Fear, Cash Surge
On a relatively normal 9% mild pullback we saw fear levels consistent with bear markets and 100-year pandemics. Amazing chart from @MacroCharts that shows the spike in money markets and cash like ETFs hit some truly extreme levels recently. https://t.co/dS2yJz8rLA
Peak Oil Makes Conflict Over Cheap Fuel Inevitable
It is not good to have your cities built around a substance that is dependent on the Middle East not having wars Global oil has peaked. Now all we can do is fight over less and less available cheap oil, and...
Millionaires' Private Conversations Defy Common Stereotypes
Nearly a decade of sitting across from millionaires. Hearing what they actually say when the door closes. Most of it doesn't match what people assume.
TMDX Massively Undervalued; EPS Set to Compound 35%
$TMDX valuation is laughable at 4x NTM revs with OCS 2.0 trials, KidneyOCS (coming next year), and international expansion. If I’m right at $TMDX compounds EPS at 35% per year for the next 5 years… then this stock is going...
SPX Futures Reclaim Resistance, Breaks Downtrend Line
$SPX Futures tagged 6,854 today. That's a full reclaim of $6,680 and $6,808 resistance, a break above the Q1 downtrend line, and the 21 EMA back underneath price. Now let's see if this holds through CPI tomorrow and whatever drama happens on...
China Poised to End PPI Deflation in March
Probably the most globally consequential data point you didn’t know was coming out this week. China is expected to have exited PPI deflation in March. Data due in ~90 min. https://t.co/i6OFkfd0Ki
Record Prompt Backwardation Drives Extreme Spot Premiums
The vast majority of the “dislocation between physical and paper barrels” is very simply extreme backwardation, meaning the steep premiums for spot deliverable barrels (as BBG referred to them today, ASAP barrels) relative to later-dated cargoes. Crude futures curves have...
Extreme Frugality and Tracking Turned Debt Into Wealth
CRAZY SHIT I DID: to go from $80k in debt to millionaire - Lived in cheapest rental home my wife could stand - Spent 1000s of hours studying money & investing - Sold my Range Rover & got a 2012 Toyota Prius -...
My Proven Nightly Scan Cuts 1,054 to 544
New video: how I build my daily watchlist. → 3 scans I run every night → How I cut 1,054 names down to 544 → Why % gainers miss the big-cap moves (Russell 1000 fix) → The filters that...
Ground Beef Prices Surge Over 20% YoY, Hitting Affordability
Ground beef prices CONTINUE TO SOAR. Prices are higher than during the pandemic and up over 20% from a year ago. AFFORDABILITY = TRUMP'S ACHILLES HEEL. https://t.co/20cGSN0AIn
Unlock Early 401k Access for Tax‑Free Retirement
Many finance influencers say "get your 401k match, then invest in a brokerage" Main argument is that you can retire early with brokerage I disagree because you can access your 401k early with 72t SoSEPP, or Rule of 55. If you're a high...
VIX Returns to Pre‑War Levels, Signaling Calm
VIX signals worst of the war is over. All three (VIX, futures and VIX of the VIX) back down to pre-war levels Could shift back higher (of course) but currently, back to normal https://t.co/q54gbzBIYf
AI Scares Investors, but SaaS Moats Still Offer Buying Chance
SaaS companies are being crushed due to the perceived loss of moat from AI threat. Personally I am staying away from them. However, if you have deeper understanding of some of them and know that their moat is not lost,...
Non‑residential Investment Barely up 2.4%
Non-residential investment increased at just a 2.4% rate in the 4th quarter. Good thing Trump keeps talking about that $18 trillion in foreign investment coming in, otherwise no one would know anything about it.
Hidden $28 Brent Spread Signals Market Danger
The S&P 500 just posted its 7th straight gain. The Dow turned positive for 2026. Everyone is celebrating the ceasefire. But there's a number hiding in plain sight that should terrify you: physical Brent crude is trading at $124.50 while...
Markets Poised at Critical Levels Ahead of NY Open
Markets are sitting right at those make-or-break levels before the NY open. Everyone's watching to see which way we break. Tomorrow we'll be tracking these key zones live with the DOTS indicator to catch the moves as they develop. https://t.co/66dSROf2rQ...
Gurgaon Real Estate Now Driven by Holding Power, Not Demand
Pricing in Gurgaon is not driven by demand anymore. It’s driven by who is willing to wait. Most people track buyers. Smart money tracks holding power. Because markets don’t move on transactions. They move on who refuses to sell. Here’s the shift no one is talking...
SMH Rockets From Collapse to All‑Time High in Week
$SMH - From Failed Breakdown to All Time Highs in a week. Ricky Bobby Level Shake N Bake for Semis.... https://t.co/7WTLTI8n0f
Energy ETF Rebounds, Narrowing Gap with SPY
$XLE vs. $SPY - Good to see energy giving back some relative performance.... Wrote a little bit about this two weeks ago if you missed it. https://t.co/p4Mh0JYSAb
Fragile Ceasefire Sparks 6865 S&P Target
A Fragile ‘Ceasefire’ & 6865 $SPX Price Target This morning's premarket rant - before coffee. I should have said $6845. After we hit it + given $184M in Sept $6900/6910 calls were sold today, my VIX 19.29 bounce level is likely in...
Ignore Indices; Find Opportunities in MAG7 Stocks
MSFT Swing went 300% this morning from yesterday. I was happy about that. One thing I’ve been challenging myself to do lately is not focus so much on the indices when price action is nasty. There will always be opportunity...
Camp Hustle Turns Travel Into Lasting Business Connections
You know that feeling when you leave a conference and think "...why did I fly across the country for that?" Well, you won't be thinking that at Camp Hustle. Campers leave with deal leads, co-investors, and friends they're texting a week later....
NYSE A/D Line Defies Doom, Bull Market Persists
I know all the market breadth experts said the end was near this time two weeks ago, but the NYSE A/D line simply pulled back to a longer-term trend line before accelerating higher. Will it make a new high? Yes, as...
S&P 500 A/D Line Holds, Hinting at Bullish Turn
Nine days ago we pointed out how the S&P 500 A/D line didn't make a new low, even though price did. This bullish call wasn't popular at the time, but this is consistent with potentially better times ahead. https://t.co/HIoWdB8H7c
7‑Day Wins Historically Signal Strong
The past 20 years that saw a 7-day win streak also saw the S&P 500 higher for that full year 95% of the time and up 18.8% on avg. The only year this didn't work was 2000 and the tech bubble....
Wealth Comes From Normalized Earnings, Not Quarterly Spikes
Most investors obsess over next quarter's earnings. The ones who actually build wealth ignore them entirely. Intrinsic value runs on normalized earnings, what the business earns in a normal year, not its best year. Peak profits are a trap dressed up as a...
GraniteShares Launches Weekly Payouts; 22 YieldBOOST ETFs Exceed 100% Yields
GraniteShares just announced weekly distributions for 22 YieldBOOST ETFs — some with dist. rates above 100%. Read here: https://t.co/tiKKBQQ33w @WillRhind @GraniteShares
ISOs Offer Wealth Potential, But Tax Risks Loom
For clients receiving Incentive Stock Options (ISOs) as part of their compensation, the potential for wealth creation can be significant – but so too is the risk of adverse tax consequences if not handled properly. https://t.co/YA6mBVn0qA #ISOs
Live Talk: Iran War Ceasefire's Impact on Oil
Sitting down with @notthreadguy for a live conversation about the Iran War, the "ceasefire", and what it all means for oil. Starting now, tune in!
Broaden View: Compare Foreign Holdings Across All Sovereigns
If you routinely post a chart of the foreign holdings of US Treasuries but never post a chart of the foreign holdings of other global Sovereigns, you are missing the forest for the trees. https://t.co/GMjr60j0dV
Memory ETF DRAM Surpasses $1 B in First Week
The Memory ETF $DRAM keeps growing volume, now $1b in its first week, outside of IBIT & Co, it's the most successful launch in years. Came out of left field too, I def didn't see this coming. I'm still not...
Inflation Surge: CPI Expected 3.3%, Dollar Under Pressure
The Feb PCE deflator - Fed's favorite inflation measure - held at 2.8% earlier. That's well above the 2.0% target...before energy prices sored. Tomorrow's March CPI update is expected to accelerate from 2.4% in Feb to 3.3%. Here's the #Dollar...
Physical Brent Market Stays Robust; Prompt Oil Premiums Soar
The physical Brent market remains very, very strong, even if Dated Brent has come off from its all-time high reached on Tuesday (down around $15). Physical premia for prompt oil (or as my colleague @AlaricN calls it: “ASAP barrels”) are...
Adobe Shares Slump to 2018‑level Lows
New multi-year low for Adobe - back to prices last seen in late 2018 $ADBE