QQQ Gaps Above 50‑Day MA, Watch Wednesday Hold
$QQQ gapping above its 50-day after hours. Let's see if it holds tomorrow and does so on strong volume. Definitely something I'll be watching for on Wednesday.
Open Hormuz Strait Triggers Massive Eastward Market Rush
If the Strait of Hormuz is open, get ready to watch for a stampede to the East. https://t.co/3rohg52Jti
SPX Gains 2% Post‑Ceasefire, Reclaims 200‑Day SMA
Big 2% rally from the $SPX after-hours following the announcement of a two-week ceasefire between the US/Israel and Iran. Back above the 200-day SMA. Now the burden is on markets to capitalize on the 'good news' https://t.co/djEZLD8zgj
Coastal Housing Markets Shed Residents Annually, Absorbing Loss
High-cost coastal housing markets like NYC and Seattle lose Americans each year. Here’s how their housing markets absorb it My latest for ResiClub: https://t.co/5YEJtZKG4d
Iran Agrees to Ceasefire, Reopening Strait of Hormuz Soon
*IRAN ACCEPTS PAKISTAN'S TWO-WEEK CEASEFIRE PROPOSAL: NYT -- "ceasefire will come into force when Iran opens the Strait of Hormuz" -- So, this chart will be at zero tomorrow, and ships can start moving immediately? https://t.co/3VFPp2rq6x
Refurbished iPhone 13 Minis: The Inflation‑Proof Investment
If you want an inflation-proof investment, fill a room with refurbished iPhone 13 minis. Apple will never make a reasonably-sized phone again, but the demand will always be there.
Inverted Head & Shoulders Targets 671‑674, SPY Above.
The measured move of this Inverted Head & Shoulders I started drawing yesterday is like $671-$674. $spy $677 is above https://t.co/5848v7UUAz
SPY Climbs Above 200‑DMA as Oil Plunges
$SPY back above its 200dma.. by a nice margin right now. Like I always say, nothing good happens below the 200dma... except market bottoms. WTI -16%, Brent -18% https://t.co/iY6pN0daWo
Ceasefire Sparks Potential Monster Rally in Oversold Tech
The news of the ceasefire is very positive for stocks. Technology stocks are severely oversold, positioning is at an extreme and if we do get a 2-week ceasefire, we'll get a monster rally in growth stocks.
Trump Delays Iran Attack as Ceasefire Nears
President Donald Trump postponed by two weeks his threat to attack civilian infrastructure across #Iran, as negotiators inched closer to a ceasefire deal that will see Tehran reopen the Strait of Hormuz. https://t.co/jaoOe5416G
Oil Slumps 12% After Trump‑Iran Ceasefire Opens Hormuz
Oil prices plummet 12% (and counting) after Trump agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran 🇺🇸 🤝 🇮🇷 The deal is subject to an immediate opening of Hormuz https://t.co/idSwDqTWxx
Ceasefire Triggers Oil and Bond Yield Declines
Two-week ceasefire leads to drops in oil and bond yields. #oil #bonds #economics #mortgagerates #chartdaddy
Simple Joint Ventures Let Doctors Own Their Office Spaces
A lot of people watch Billions or Suits and get conned into thinking they need to come up with some incredibly clever business strategy to succeed Couldn't be farther from the truth My mentor started off investing in office buildings Purely by...
Macro Traders Face Biggest March Losses Amid War Hedge Squeeze
𝐌𝐚𝐜𝐫𝐨 𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐒𝐥𝐮𝐦𝐩 𝐌𝐨𝐬𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐜𝐡 𝐚𝐬 𝐖𝐚𝐫 𝐒𝐪𝐮𝐞𝐞𝐳𝐞𝐬 𝐇𝐞𝐝𝐠𝐞 𝐅𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐬 *Haidar Jupiter: -12% *Brevan Howard Master: -6.6% for the worst monthly loss in its two-decade-plus history *Diego Megia’s Taula -8.6% https://t.co/Ye6CajOsZO https://t.co/fMkAfo9I9F
Fed Dovish Shift Boosts Bullish Momentum, Watch ES
The Fed's dovish shift is music to bulls' ears as inflation continues cooling. Markets are already pricing in easier monetary policy ahead. Tomorrow we'll be watching how ES reacts to this momentum using our DOTS indicator for precise entries. https://t.co/66dSROf2rQ...
Mism
The mismatch also made for great fun for rel val trading the vols and cleaning for when an event fell between expiries. Also fun when your Brent greeks went away since they expired earlier, an issue you didn't sweat when...
AXTI Poised for Multi‑day Bounce Toward $55‑$60
$AXTI Wedging nicely after ~40% pullback since printing new highs a mere 6 days ago. Short-term oversold enough here for a multi-day bounce. Printed an INSIDE DAY candle today. Look for upside traction from here as we move into the second...
Fuel Prices Likely to Rise Months Despite Hormuz Reopening
Fuel prices could keep rising for months even if Hormuz reopens, US EIA says https://t.co/4IPPfkJ9X9
South Africa’s ASP Offers US‑backed Gas Alternative to Russia, Qatar
ASP Isotopes to the rescue? $ASPI Strategically positioned in geopolitically neutral South Africa and bolstered by the backing of the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC), ASP’s Virginia Gas Project - integrated through the Renergen acquisition - stands as a...
S&P 500 Swings $500B in Minutes, Market Volatility Spikes
MARKET RECAP 📈 What a wild day, the S&P 500 had a $500 billion market cap swing, going from down 1% at 11AM to +0.02% at the close. As I always say, we’re one tweet away from crazy town… What the...
Dollar Exists to Guard Capitalism, Not Just Cover Deficits
There are so many layers to the dollar story that transcend conventional market economic dynamics. Until investors realise this I do believe they will be caught out by narratives that serve political agendas not reality. Crucially, most “end of the dollar”...
Prioritize the 4 Budget Walls in Tight Times
If you find yourself in a tight season financially, focus on covering what we call The 4 Walls of your budget first, before paying for anything else. Those 4 Walls are: 1. Food 2. Utilities 3. Shelter 4. Transportation
IMF to Slash Global Growth Forecast Amid Iran War
The IMF is poised to cut its forecasts for global growth as a result of the Iran war, and sees danger in a world economy that’s ill-equipped to respond to shocks, the Kristalina Georgieva says https://t.co/KcfFIhk4sU via @jdorosario @sdonnan https://t.co/1P3OgECM3e
Book Value Only Matters With Liquid Assets and Clear Liabilities
"Book value matters most when assets are liquid and liabilities are transparent." Most investors get book value wrong, and it can cost them. Book value really only matters when a company’s assets can be easily turned into cash and its liabilities are...
UCAR Holds Strong After Recent Liquidity Trap Setup
$UCAR solid from the liquidity trap setup last week Locked some from @IUTraders mid .5x's idea https://t.co/0ZGTG1lmf5
Immediate Crude Cargo Prices Hit 2008 Peak
The price of crude cargoes for immediate delivery has soared to its highest level since 2008
FTSE100 Near Bullish EMA Cross Amid Sideways Trend
#FTSE100 small Down Candle and Sideways. Resistance 10636, ATH 10935. Support 10287, 10118, 9883, 9670. RSI 55 bit off Neutral. 13/21 day EMAs Bearish but Lines converging. On verge 8/21 Bull Cross. Top Bollinger Band 10501. Midpoint Line 10136. Bottom...
Mark Prior Day and Premarket Levels Before Trading
Most traders enter without marking key levels first. That’s why they get chopped. Previous day high and previous day low show where liquidity sits. Premarket high and low give you early session direction. These levels act as support, resistance, and reversal zones. If you’re not...
Strait Closure Fuels Market Drag; Iran Refuses Leverage Trade‑off
Two points that remain top of mind for me. How do you solve these? 1. Delays that don't open the Strait keeps negative carry on the stock market https://t.co/xqJjSx51rF 2. Iran is not going to open the Strait for a ceasefire and forego...
DAX Stalls Near Resistance, Bears Eye Support
#DAX small Down Candle and really Sideways. Resistance 23398, 23957, 24366. Support 22677, 22209, 21863. RSI 44 bit off Neutral. 13/21 day EMAs Bearish. Top Bollinger Band 23333. Midpoint Line 22778. Bottom Band 22210.
SPX Futures Eye 6680: Break Upside, Drop to 6316
$SPX futures are testing the downtrend line from below after bouncing off $6498 support. $6680 is the level. Break and hold above it changes the picture. Fail here, and 6,316 is still on the table.
IMF Flags Rising Imbalances, Revives Currency Manipulation Label
Happy to see the IMF has noticed the expansion of global current account imbalances -- And guess what, the IMF seems to have rediscovered the idea that currency manipulation can drive imbalances (though manipulation has been renamed "macro-industrial policy" ......
U.S. Stocks Rise for Fifth Consecutive Day
All that and US stocks closed the day UP.. 5th straight day of gains. https://t.co/aNxOTPxAmF
Today's Brent Mirrors 2014 Levels After Inflation Adjustments
Dated Brent was at ~$105 in April 2014, before the BIG shale-induced rout in crude prices. Adjusting for inflation, that's roughly where we are today. And the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. (Also the lapsed appropriations note at the bottom of the BLS'...
Consistent Small Wins Outperform Home‑Run Options Strategies
Options income isn’t about hitting home runs. It’s about stacking singles: • sell puts • collect premium • manage risk • repeat Boring strategies tend to pay the most.
Taco Trade: 1‑DTE SP
Put on a little debit buttefly on $SPX 1 DTE - I rather call it the #taco trade. An anticipation that DJT doens't do it and the market has a nice relieve bounce tmorrow. What do you guys think?
Oil Benchmark Hits Record, Reflecting Iran War Shortages
A key benchmark for physical oil has surged to its highest level on record, showing that global crude markets are increasingly pricing in supply shortages caused by the Iran war. https://t.co/OCII5LIP6Z https://t.co/V7iFSd47Gu
Mortgage Rates Dip, Spread to Treasuries Narrows to 212 Bps
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate today: 6.44% Same day last year: 6.82% ------------------- 10-year Treasury yield today: 4.33% Spread today: 212 bps
Brazil Soybean Exports Dip, China Share Hits 7‑year Low
🇧🇷Brazil's March soybean exports hit 14.5 million metric tons, *down* 1% from last March. But the more interesting story might be the unusually large non-China share. Only 69% of Brazil's March exports went to China, the month's lowest in 7 years...
Fed Hawkishness, Weak Wages, Energy Surge Push Yields Higher
Trifecta of a hawkish Fed, slowing wage growth and surging energy prices seems like a bad combo at a time when household debt delinquencies were already mounting. The 10-year Treasury yield hasn't been this high relative to the growth rate...
Watch for Outlier Trades Before Market Close
Half an hour to the regular close. Keep your eyes out for outlier prediction market trades and options activity on major/liquid equity index derivatives...
MELI's Strong Fundamentals May Spark Short‑Term Upside
MercadoLibre continues to deliver strong earnings and revenue growth, but the stock remains stuck in a downtrend seen below on @IBDinvestors MarketSurge. Short-term, though, price is starting to look potentially constructive. Needs that push over 1750 zone $MELI #IBDPartner https://t.co/NoaXBJvSRN
Pakistan Urges Iran to Reopen Hormuz, Pause Fighting
🚨 Pakistan requesting Iran: ➡️ Open straight of Hormuz for 2 weeks ➡️ Ceasefire for two weeks ➡️ Trump to extend deadline for 2 weeks ➡️ Meanwhile, Iranian official tells Reuters: exchanges via mediators still ongoing (😇 this morning it was cutoff?)
China’s Reported Exports to US Dwarf Imports Post‑301 Tariffs
Indeed, an important question -- Ever since the 301 tariffs were introduced, the exports that China reports to the US have far exceeded US imports -- and now the gap is exceptionally big 1/3 https://t.co/b1eDSKKtRz
Boomers Leverage Lower Rates for Tax‑free Cash
This would be a better argument if boomers did not have the ability to pre-pay the mortgage and reset their interest rate Instead, every time rates went down, boomers could lever up and take more $$ (tax free) for consumption and...
Iran's Oil Revenues Soar Amid War-Driven Price Spikes
My view on Iran's surge in revenues since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran with @CoffeeandaMike: "Since the war started, the Iranians have been shipping a lot more crude out of the Strait of Hormuz, they've been selling at...
Physical Brent Hits $150 Before Options Predict It
While the options market bets on Brent crude futures hitting a record $150 a barrel, in the physical market cargo prices have already got there https://t.co/mfaujswneF
Oil Shock Dampened: Prices Below Peaks, Economy Decouples
So far this oil shock is not quite at the level of previous shocks. 1. Inflation adjusted, prices still aren't at their highest 2. The world's economy is less coupled to oil than in years past.
JOJO Survives Bear Market, Ready for Breakout
$JOJO has been my labor of conviction. Launched at the worst possible time for bonds. Survived the worst bear market in a generation. The setup is finally here. Pay attention. https://t.co/KUPXyEQEjp
CAR Near $250 Resistance, Potential Squeeze to $300
$CAR trading into resistance in confluence with the 250 call wall. If you've got the pistons, this is a spot to play with defined risk, preferably a close below $250. Hold above, and the squeeze to $300 stays in...