EoS Fitness Valued at $1.5B Amid Rapid Growth
May 2025 - "TSG Consumer Partners has struck a deal for EoS Fitness. The deal values EoS at ~$1.5 billion, including debt... EoS recently surpassed 1.5 million members, 500,000 of which joined in just the last two years." https://t.co/IytMCiRpjr
Silver Nears End of Correction, Buy Above 68
Silver nears end of corrective phase; hold 66–68 support. If price stabilizes above 68–70, buy with targets 82/100; risk below 66. Volume and volatility compression support accumulation. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
General Caine Warns Iran Could Block Vital Hormuz Strait
MUST READ: “General Caine […] also flagged the enormous difficulty of securing the Strait of Hormuz and the risks of Iran blocking it. Mr. Trump had dismissed that possibility on the assumption that the regime would capitulate before it came...
Sincerity Beats Noise: Contrarian Edge in Markets
🆓 Tuesday links: buggy human software, leveraged ETFs, and sincerity as a contrarian strategy. https://t.co/FrB1aP838u image: https://t.co/9tcsLYH7ri https://t.co/BX6ZRRDUiS
Landlords Accept Massive Office Tower Losses After COVID
Th Four Stages of Offices Grief, finally reaching Acceptance. WSJ: “Landlords and their lenders held on to their office towers for years, hoping for a turnaround after Covid. Now, they are accepting enormous losses.“ https://t.co/5MKOtfeAFm
Avoid Earnings Risk: Stick to Cushion‑Based Let‑It‑Ride Rule
As a trader I don't hold trades into earnings reports as it is 50-50 at best. I will hold let it rides as they have lots of cushion and can handle pullbacks. I have a solid rule and...
Year's Lowest-Volume Day Leaves Market Liquidity Thin
Yesterday was the lowest-volume session of the year. Today’s picking up slightly, but liquidity is still thin for this time of year. $QQQ $SPY https://t.co/9gr6CfZanL
WTI‑Brent Spread Hits Near‑record $5.83, Volatility Spikes
The US benchmark crude (WTI) premium to the UK grade (Brent) has extended as high as $5.83 today. Only two other times in history has the spread shot this high. Implied volatility (OVX) has only been higher when crude oil (futures) prices...
Bulls Remain Resilient on AI, Earnings, Cheap Valuations
Earnings Expectations Rising With Tail Risk $SPX $QQQ #Valuations Why market bulls can stay resilient despite risks: committed AI narrative, rising earnings expectations, valuations "on sale", and 'stable' yields & USD. Until they aren't. https://t.co/5NVOuV0Jdz
Ghodsi Warns 2024 Is Terrible Year for IPOs
Ali Ghodsi says this is a terrible year to go public … bad news for SpaceX and maybe OpenAI/Anthropic
Lumentum Leads Momentum, Defying Macro and Climbing Higher
Biggest momentum winner for us right now is Lumentum Holdings, which continues to ignore the macro and trend higher. Snapshot of our current trade management: exit zone and next target levels shown below. $LITE https://t.co/feveLMp1Wr
Disability Trust Deduction Stumbles Over Obsolete Cross‑References
Qualified Disability Trusts get a $5,300 deduction in 2026 under §642(b)(2)(C)(i), tied to §151(d). But both provisions rely on outdated cross-references to former §68(b)—repealed and replaced by OB3/OBBBA—raising questions about how these rules apply today.
WTI Crude May Form Inverse Head‑Shoulders, Target $215
monthly chart of WTI Crude shows a possible Inverse Head and Shoulders set up. Would give a price objective to at least $215 $USO https://t.co/raglfVTyiX
Tax‑aware Timing Crucial when Bonus and Equity Vest Together
Stack a big bonus + equity vest in the same year and watch how fast taxes eat into decisions you didn’t plan. Most people aren't just asking about returns, they are asking about better tax-aware timing.
Chinese Sulphur Prices Surge Daily, Threatening Food Costs
I repeat, Chinese sulphur prices are up literally every day (save two) since war began. 24/26 Odds of this happening (if this was a coin flip) are 1 in ~200,000 This will have consequences for fertilizer and therefore food prices. 1/3
Magnificent 7 Slump; Broader S&P Shows Resilience
The Magnificent 7 are pulling back… hard. Meanwhile, the rest of the S&P 500 is holding up better. For years, a few tech stocks carried the market.
Large‑Cap Stocks Near 200‑DMA Offer 26‑40% Upside
Macro: large caps sit just above 200‑day MA; breadth improves. Key: 26–40% fair‑value upside; fundamentals firm (JLL, AIZ, BDX). Risks: growth slip, rates. Trade: buy select undervalued names near 200‑dma with tight stop. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Markets Stay Calm Amid Trump's Apocalyptic Warning
President Trump posted "A whole civilization will die tonight..." and the markets seem to be almost totally disregarding the threat... SPX has carved out a restricted range, 5-day ATR is pulling back and the implied overnight volatility in $VIX1D little worried......
Silver Borrow Fees Plunge, 10M Shares Ready for Shorts
SLV SHARE BORROW FEE DROPS TO 0.41%. 10 Million Shares Available for #Silver Shorts to Borrow as SLV Drops Below $65
SF Detached Homes Selling 20% Above Asking Prices
Stats in San Francisco are wild. Properties on average last month sold almost 20% over the asking price. These are detached homes (not condos). Are there any other markets in the country where the norm is to price lower on...
SPY, QQQ Stuck Between 5‑
🟠5SMA 🔵20SMA 🟢50SMA pink YTD ⚓️VWAP $SPY $QQQ holding onto adv 5sma but having trouble with the decl 20sma and prior support just above has the potential to offer enough supply to become resistance both are also below the 50sma and YTD AVWAPs Mixed messages continue...
Yale's Investment Model Stumbles Amid College Financial Crisis
Yale’s Famed Investing Model Falters at a Fraught Time for Colleges. More at today's Chartbook Top Links: https://t.co/0UdW6XeX1G
Chinese Sulphur Prices Surge, 24 of 26 Days Up
Sulphur in China is up every day since this tweet. Chinese Sulphur has had two down days since the beginning of the war on February 28th (24/26 days positive). https://t.co/yyTujRfjYK
Early Ceasefire Needed
“5/15..the [oil] storage..deficit becomes mathematically irreversible for winter 26/27... rationing...” “On 4/28,..spring nitrogen application window closes. No ceasefire..after..can restore '26 crop yields.” “ceasefire by 4/14..constitutes cascade deceleration [not recovery].“
Investing Creates Passive, Tax‑deferred Wealth—Buy Discounts
Investing makes you unemployable. This small investment alone made me a passive $175,000 tax-deferred over the last year. Liberation Day April 2025 was one of the best months for the stock market in recent memory. You can’t buy the bottom, you can...
Build Global Energy Corridors to Bypass Hormuz, Says Hochstein
".... The only long-term solution is new infrastructure—making a massive, internationally coordinated investment in energy corridors that bypass the Strait of Hormuz entirely... " -- @amoshochstein https://t.co/hvu4ACTwok
Rapid US Rally Could Trigger Dollar Spike and Inflation
The risk nobody speaks about. Everyone wants a V-shape recovery. I don’t. If US stocks snap back too fast, hedge funds in Europe, Japan, Brazil sell everything locally and rush into the US. Dollar spikes to 110. Inflation restarts. What I want: slow...
NVDA Call Implied Volatility Still Low vs Rich Index Options
Index options are relatively rich single stocks seem cheap this is the ~90DTE NVDA ~5 delta call IV since 2024 https://t.co/LKZoIvKcjG
Understanding Market Cycles, Research, and Valuation Signals
Weekly ChartStorm educational special: https://t.co/ICe21lzGEM A look at market cycles, the research process, and valuation signals... https://t.co/yHYEEwE6WB
Invert Your Strategy: Avoid Mistakes, Grow Wealth
Want to improve your investing results? Learn Charlie Munger’s inversion thinking, focus on what to avoid, not just what to chase. This simple mental model can sharpen decision-making, reduce risk, and boost long-term wealth in the stock market.
Customers Adjust Prices Amid Rising Fuel Costs
Truckers: how are customers dealing with fuel spikes? Are you getting price adjustments? (Pic from Gary Johnson out of Needles, CA) https://t.co/Hi9h5ywOyg
Trim ASML Position Amid Stretched Valuation Despite Strong Demand
Macro: robust EUV demand supports ASML. Key: €100m buyback, Q4 rev beat, large SK hynix order. Risk: stretched valuation despite 113% YTD gain. Insight: trim position to lock gains. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
NVDA's Edge over SMH Peaked, Now Declining
NVIDIA relative to Semiconductor ETF $SMH peaked last summer and still trending lower $NVDA https://t.co/h6mRumShhQ
Accepting Small Losses After Selling VIX Near Peak
Sold a little may vix futures near the high. Happy to lose 20 points on this.
Futures
The oil futures market continues to price a big TACO. Physical oil quotes are sky high, but futures imply a significant improvement in supply in a few weeks. If the market moves to priced a much longer disruption — and see below...
7‑Year Sell Rule Threatens Build‑to‑
I suspect whoever wrote Section 901 of the ROAD to Housing Act heard that many investors have 7-year holds, and so they added a requirement that investors must sell build-to-rent homes after 7 years. But it's so much more complex than...
Pandemic‑bought Rental Now Faces $25k Loss
Seller taking a $25,000 loss on this house. They bought at pandemic peak and tried to rent it out. But the rental market turned south, rents getting cut, property taxes up. And now the owner has been trying to sell...
Markets Barely Dip Despite TACO Tuesday Hype
It's pretty remarkable the markets are only down a little bit. Big believers in TACO Tuesday?
Tesla Short Sellers Profit by Exploiting Hype, Not Fundamentals
Btw, the Tesla shorts are some of the most brilliant investors, traders, and hedge fund managers out there. People like Jim Chanos who predicted the fall of Enron. They are sharks. When they see the $TSLA cucks screaming and crying...
Long Norway Boosts Alpha Amid Europe Short Position
Net Short Europe with Long Norway (which is +9% in the last month only improving the Long/Short Alpha)
Tech's 50-Year Low Signals Imminent Mean Reversion
As per GS, this year the technology sector has seen one of the worst relative performance in 50 years. These things tend to mean revert. https://t.co/b6qFrbUJbj
Trump's Iran Threat Drives Treasury Volatility, Long Bonds Lag
Trump’s Iran ultimatum is basically the only story for bond traders today. USTs have seen a volatile morning, swinging back and forth in reaction to the news and moves in crude oil prices. They are now recovering from the early...
Chris Verrenon
ICYMI: @verrone_chris swung by MRKT call this morning with Dan & @GuyAdami 🎙️ WATCH: https://t.co/pzHBghGVk6 https://t.co/h1ZqY8gJbX
High-Probability 4H Sweep Targets Next High
4H Sweep + 5Min +Shift High Probability Setup Target 4H High. . . . Follow for Learn more trading concepts.
Soybean Complex Becomes Oil‑Driven as CBOT Oilshare Hits Record
📈CBOT oilshare on Tuesday reached a modern-day record high of 52.8%, driven by unrelenting strength in soybean oil since the beginning of the year. This means the soybean complex is more oil-led than ever before, a departure from how the complex...
ZiG Delivers Price and Exchange Rate Stability by 2030
The PEOPLE LOVE THEIR ZiG…. The Zimbabwe Gold brought Price Stability & Exchange rate Stability… By 2030, with President @edmnangagwa in charge, even the doubting Thomases will be fully embracing the ZiG… https://t.co/YS86xPMcjN
EIA Predicts Prolonged Persian Gulf Crude Production Disruption
The US Energy Information Administration (@EIAgov) is now forecasting a rather long disruption to crude oil production in the Persian Gulf. (Note this is wellhead production rather than flows via Strait of Hormuz. It doesn't appear to include natural gas liquids,...
Yahoo Launches $1.6B
Yahoo kicking off a $1.6B refi. S+550 at 98.5. Mid-to-high 9s. Apollo paid $5B for this in 2021. Existing debt matures in 2027. Let’s see how this goes
Early AI Bets Beat Building: Microsoft’s $228B Return
Microsoft invested $13 billion in OpenAI between 2019 and 2023. Their stake is now worth $228 billion. 17.6x return. The most profitable minority investment in tech history. Sometimes the best AI strategy is not building it. It is backing the right bet early.
Walmart Signals Recession, Yet Bullish Signals Remain
The Walmart indicator is flashing recession. But that’s not the full story. On the latest Jim Paulsen Show, we break down what it’s signaling, the implications of the oil shock, and the bullish indicators most investors are missing. 🎙️https://t.co/6nYM17bPMj 🍏https://t.co/JjLRDxh7gP 📺https://t.co/FzjaKKwQ5m