🇮🇳Indian refiners' reluctance to take Russian Urals crude shipments is pushing these discounted cargoes toward buyers like China & others, making them even cheaper in those markets—while the Indian refiners turn to replacement crudes at international prices. An Urals cargo originally bound for India was diverted to Syria before the tanker reached the Suez Canal. It was sold at a steep discount.

MARKET RECAP 📈 The S&P 500 gained over $250 billion in market cap today and is now less than 1% away from a new record high 😳📈 What the heck is going on?!? Let’s talk about it 🗣️

Public Bank at record high close RM5.08. The bank is celebrating 60 yrs in 2026. Founded in 1966 by TS Teh Hong Piow. Largest Shareholders: 1. Consolidated Teh Holdings: 21.6% 2. EPF: 18.25% 3. KWAP: 5.02% Public is most efficient from cost & ROE...
Interesting thing is to see 2nd Exhibit- earnings were OK (flattish) for 4 yrs but in the same period stocks were down about 60%. This is what can happen when there is view on longer term disruption which does not...
#Alphabet to issue 100-year GBPSterling bond after having issued 50-year $17.5 bn USD bond in November. Also plns to issue CHF bond. They're betting further currency debasement #forex
Markets pushed higher to start the week, but the rotation underneath the surface is telling a more interesting story. Tech bounced, commodities ripped, and growth showed signs of life again. In today’s CHART THIS, I walk through $SPX just below 7000,...
Neil does a great job with the week ahead ... bears watching as we head into NFP Wed & CPI Fri.
Our nowcasts suggest that cyclical growth is going up and inflation is going down. No one forecasts this cocktail

Mutual funds are all in on the stock market At the start of 2026, US equity mutual funds held just 1.1% of asset in cash, the lowest level in 20 years of data history --Goldman https://t.co/BWZ5dGYfjM

🇲🇽🏭 Mexican refineries are processing more crude right now than any time since 2014. Thanks most obviously to the start-up of the Dos Bocas refinery, but helped along by high utilization across other large facilities. https://t.co/wEpnmiM8He

The $DXY has dropped sharply today. A big picture look at the trade-weighted Dollar index vs an equally-weighted variant: https://t.co/sqTvcv4ihu

Gold is back above $5,000. The rally in precious metals is reckless and crazy, but so is global fiscal policy. At some point over the past 20 years, policy makers who believe in keeping public debt stable stopped existing. Makes...
Employment in S&P 500 companies is 18% of total US employment, but 35 cents of every dollar that goes into the SPX goes to 7 companies. This is a market structure problem and a major issue with our 401k system.

1. Price drops 5% → Hold 2. Price drops 15% → Add 10% 3. Price drops 25% → Add 25% 4. Price rises 5% → Hold 5. Price rises 15% → Hold 6. Price rises 25% → Sell 10% 7. Price rises 35% → Sell 20% 8....

After its last earnings report, $IESC dropped 20%. It's made it all back and then some. https://t.co/hebBMdjVup

🇧🇷Analysts are expecting upside to Brazil's corn and soybean harvests in USDA's report on Tuesday. 🇦🇷Argentina's crops, on average, are not predicted to move much from the January forecast. https://t.co/D3Jg3BAIYv

Trading in the tech sector makes up 30% of retail trading volumes--one of the highest shares since 2018 --Citi https://t.co/6pvw7muvfj

"Thus, the way to choose a good Federal Reserve chair is to read what candidates have said about how the economy operates and ask them about their economic beliefs. If what a candidate says is unrealistic or poorly reasoned, move...
ICYMI: Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm blog post https://t.co/eQY6d47hAk Thanks + follow reco to chart sources @topdowncharts @MarketCharts @MikeZaccardi @BlakeMillardCFA @WillieDelwiche @alphacharts @AugurInfinity @SnippetFinance @EricBalchunas @TuttleCapital @Todd_Sohn

The last time a tech company announced a 100-year bond, it was Motorola in 1997 https://t.co/HKkDro85Ac https://t.co/w2S75DaL2J
JPM: "Similar to the risk-on trend seen among institutional investors, retail investor flows have been the strongest in the last six years, likely due to furlough payments and anticipated larger tax refunds of ~$600/household this year"
📊 Fresh N. American Oil Data 📊 Continental petroleum output hits fresh high-water mark with Canadian supply reaching all-time highs amidst a bounceback in oilsands activity, offsetting flat-ish production in the US and Mexico Check out the Full report: https://t.co/7Xk7El7r1l

The percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 making new 52-week highs has been expanding and just hit its highest level in the last year to end last week--@bespokeinvest https://t.co/BcNw0xKEmG
Marketing year to date #wheat export inspections exceed the seasonal pace needed to hit USDA's target by 61 million bushels, up from 56 million bushels the previous week. #oatt
Global LNG market is at risk of being tighter for longer 🚢 ⚠️ 🇶🇦 Qatar is pushing back start of its massive expansion to end 2026 🇺🇸 Golden Pass plant in the US delayed to at least March Supply chain bottlenecks threaten...

🇺🇸U.S. corn & wheat export inspections exceeded all trade estimates last week. Two-thirds of the week's inspected bean cargoes were destined for China, predominantly out of the Gulf. https://t.co/e3b34Q6I3g
Today is the 60th anniversary of the great crash -- but little noticed. The S&P 500 peaked at 94.06 on February 9, 1966. The market did surpass that peak but not adjusted for inflation. 25 years later and the inflation...
Export inspections for the week ending Feb. 5 (mln bu) #corn 51.5, grain sorghum 4.9, #soybeans 41.7, #wheat 21.3 #oatt

New week, new MRKT Call with Dan, @GuyAdami & @CarterBWorth We're talking Japan, Jobs and $JETS LIVE at 11am ET over on YouTube ⤵️ https://t.co/7WiuWoxeXK https://t.co/5yktisUdAm
GEV - GE Vernova Current Price: $794.20 Intrinsic Value Range: $720–$950 Rating: BUY (High Conviction, but tactically vulnerable near-term) 12-Month Price Targets: Bull Case: $1,050 (+32%) — accelerated gas turbine orders, Electrification margin beats, data center capex surge Base Case: $900 (+13%) — normalized execution, mid-teens...

U.S. operators in the Permian region of Texas and New Mexico completed ~3,600 wells in 2025 using simultaneous hydraulic fracturing (simul frac), a technique that minimizes completion crew time on well pad sites by completing two wells simultaneously. https://t.co/FxdE8jlBs7 Well completion occurs...
175 basis points in cuts since September 2024 in response to labor market weakness. That's not ignoring.

Forward P/E Ratios... Walmart $WMT: 39 Apple $AAPL: 30 Google $GOOGL: 24 Amazon $AMZN: 23 Microsoft $MSFT: 21 Nvidia $NVDA: 19 Meta $META: 19 https://t.co/BSywhjbEV0
% Below All-Time High S&P 500 $SPY: -1% Microsoft $MSFT: -26% Palo Alto Networks $PANW: -28% CrowdStrike $CRWD: -29% Synopsys $SNPS: -34% Palantir $PLTR: -34% Intuit $INTU: -45% AppLovin $APP: -45% Salesforce $CRM: -48% Oracle $ORCL: -56% ServiceNow $NOW: -57% Adobe $ADBE: -61%
Cuba is running out of oil. The island warned airlines that they wouldn't be able to re-fuel at its 9 major airports from Tuesday for at least one month. The Communist government has closed international hotels to save fuel, too. In...
USDA confirms the sale of 264,000 tons of U.S. soybeans for delivery to China in 2025/26.

Bank of America's own measure of trucking activity confirms the uptick in the ISMs https://t.co/BLUrghpS3Q

The stock market is more or less at all-time highs Same with small caps & foreign stocks Yet many name-brand companies are getting nuked right now Concentrated positions are very fun on the upside They can also wreck you on the downside https://t.co/Ng2WpRK35K https://t.co/nMR87p0Tgx

S&P 500 Equal Weight, S&P MidCap 400, and S&P SmallCap 600 all hit records on Friday, and so did Dow, which also surpassed 50,000 level for first time ever Friday; although Dow is almost 130 years old, it has evolved over decades ensuring...

Flight to value was unmistakable last week in factors; S&P 500 Pure Value +4.0%, while S&P 500 Growth slumped 2.1%; yield-seeking behavior also dominant theme, with S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats and Dow Jones U.S. Select Dividend index +3.5% and +3.3% respectively; Momentum (powerful driver in past several...

Total eruption in the 10-day volatility of $MSTZ (-2x Strategy).. 477% may be an all time ETF record (I added $SPY for perspective), it's higher than $QBTX which got to 433% at one point. Crazy high vol is like degen...

$DIA leading all flows on Friday as the Dow Jones hits ATH and is running laps around SPX this year. This index is equiv of a rotary phone, price-weighted, invented when Grover Cleveland was POTUS, but it could be...

Americans expect the stock market (50%) and economy (49%) to improve over the next six months but predict higher inflation (62%) and unemployment (50%) @Gallup https://t.co/n8pQ2GIAHd
HSBC's Kettner: "Last week's rotation and unwinding of popular trades is unlikely to trigger a broad selloff – we stay constructive" DB's Reid on how this feels like 2000, when "an enormous rotation after the tech bubble burst" was enough to...

🚨Today's news vs my prediction 5 years ago: 👔My model to 2050 showed no peak in oil demand. That was in 2020. 🪶Many have retreated from their "peak demand" predictions. The latest is from Vitol: 🐼Vitol Pushes...

🔴 Here is something to think about: 🇮🇳 If President Trump had not imposed the additional 25% tariff on India for importing Russian oil—and with Venezuelan crude now becoming available—would Indian refineries resume buying Venezuelan oil, as they did in the...
We are adding Salesforce and ServiceNow to the IVES AI 30 list after taking them off in early December with this software Armageddon sell-off the last few weeks assuming software/tech behemoths like Salesforce and ServiceNow are structurally broken…and we strongly...
COLUMN: Britrish oil giant BP should suspend its $750 million quarterly share buybacks to give incoming CEO Meg O'Neill (who arrives in April) extra financial breathing room. @Opinion $BP https://t.co/23vNRD4Nsw

CHART OF THE DAY: Vitol, the world's largest independent oil trader, shifts its view on global peak oil demand: higher and later. Now, Vitol sees a peak by the "mid" 2030s (previously it anticipated "early" 2030s). Peak demand seen at ~112m...
This has nothing to do with Trump's phone call. These are very small shipments of smuggled petroleum products (not crude) that are illegal in both Iran and India. (One of the ships was empty.) These are usually managed by gangs,...