Fewer Investment Decisions, Better Business Quality Focus
Chuck Akre on decision-making "The fewer investment decisions we make, the less exposure we have to making mistakes. Obviously, these decisions that are made must be correct, which is why we spend so much time trying to understand the quality of businesses.”
Asset-Light Myth: Investments Now Hit Income, Not Balance Sheet
"I always thought this idea of asset light was a bit of a myth because if you're just laser focused on investment, you're just realizing the investment was not in the balance sheet as it was historically, it's now...
Gold's January Candle Mirrors Past Peaks, Signaling Strength
$Gold - If you want more evidence that it made a major top in January take a look at the quarterly candle. Same candle as Q1 2008, Q3 2011 and Q3 2020. As you can see it doesn't mean gold...
Probability‑Adjusted DCF: Essential Tool for Valuing Pre‑Profit Biotechs
When thinking about valuing #biotechs, especially those which are not yet profitable, a probability adjusted discounted cash flow model is perhaps the most important methodology Though it too has drawbacks #DCF #PoS #learnbiotechinvesting #investing #BiotechPrometheus https://t.co/1sfTMkZ6kO
Sixth Week of Hormuz War Sparks Oil Demand Destruction
The Third Gulf War (aka, the ‘Hormuz War’) is entering into its 6th week, at the very end of the initial White House guidance of a 4-6 week campaign. For the oil market, we are into demand destruction territory, although...
ISS Warns Against BP Dropping Climate Reporting, Cites Proxy Risk
Macro: ISS opposes BP’s move to retire climate reporting, highlighting governance vs ESG scrutiny. Key: precedent risk. Risk: reputational & proxy fights. Trade: avoid new BP longs before AGM. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Discipline Drives Profits, Not Guesswork
No discipline = No profits. Smart money doesn’t guess… it executes. This setup shows: ✔️ Liquidity grab ✔️ CHoCH ✔️ Inducement ✔️ Entry from OB If you’re still losing, it’s not the market… it’s your discipline. Follow for real ICT setups. #icttrading #smc #forextrader #smartmoneyconcepts #tradingdiscipline forexsetup priceaction tradingpsychology...
Investors Should Prioritize Slow, Steady Wealth Growth
“Ninety-nine percent of investors shouldn’t try to get rich too quickly—it’s too risky. Try to get rich slowly.” — John Templeton https://t.co/WNkQILQKip
10 Wealth Lessons That Distinguish the Rich
I Read 100 Wealth Books: These 10 Lessons Separate The Rich People From Everyone Else https://t.co/krRorUYDnW
Use Portfolio‑Level Beta, Not Single‑Stock, for Reliable Risk
Beta shows market sensitivity but loses value in crises. R² reveals reliability—low R² implies idiosyncratic risk. Beta shifts with lookback. Trade insight: apply beta at portfolio level, not to single stocks. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Liontown Lithium Sales Surge 38% on Kathleen Ramp
Liontown lithium sales rose 38pc in 4Q 2025 as Kathleen Valley ramped up and auction pricing added upside. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/04/liontown-lithium-sales-jump-as-kathleen.html
Strait of Hormuz Now Central as Vulnerabilities Rise
“They've demonstrated to the Gulf states how vulnerable they are and how vulnerable the global economy is,” said a European official briefed on diplomatic efforts to end the war. “So the price has gone up. The Strait of Hormuz never...
Neo‑con Trump Policies Spark Inflation, Hurt Bonds
While the combination of tariffs and spending cuts in 2025 proved net disinflationary (benefiting USD bond markets), the current dramatic neo-con shift under the Trump administration is the exact opposite - inflationary and negative for bonds
Government School Savings Fund Future Millionaire Daughter
My mamu married in 2021 & having a girl child. His income is about ₹15 LPA. Everyone said: “Put your kid in ₹5L private school.” But he did what I said & instead Choose: • Govt school. ₹500/year. • Saved ₹5 Lakh every year. • Investing silently. After...
Aligned Signals Reveal a Larger Market Shift Coming
It wasn’t a surprise. You could see it in the buildup. In the positioning. In the signals across systems. Not just geopolitics — but markets too. Because markets don’t just react. They position. And when multiple signals align, it usually means something bigger is already underway. More on the website. #Geopolitics...
US RSUs Taxed on Death, $60k Exemption Only
$800K in RSUs. Vested into a Morgan Stanley account over 6 years. You die. The IRS doesn't care that you're Singaporean. Those are US-listed shares. They're included in your estate. And the exemption for non-US persons? $60,000. Not $60,000 per stock. $60,000 total.
Top Developers' Sales Drop 23%, Existing Market Revives
Caixin: "Sales by China’s top 100 real estate developers plunged roughly 23% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026. The prolonged slump in new home sales contrasts with a nascent rebound in the existing home market of major cities like...
India’s First Census in 15 Years Adds Caste Data
#IndiaWatch🇮🇳: India launches its first census in 15+ years. It will include caste data for the first time in nearly a century. THE GRANULAR DETAIL OF THE DEMOGRAPHICS OF THE WORLD’S MOST POPULOUS NATION WILL BE EDIFYING. Stay tuned. https://t.co/DL2ZRYi9sW
Pakistan's Fuel Prices Surge Amid US‑Israeli Iran Conflict
#PakWatch🇵🇰: Thanks to the US-Israeli war on Iran, Pakistan is entering TROUBLED ECONOMIC WATERS. The price per litre of petrol is up 42.7% and diesel 54.9%. PAK = SHOULD SEND THE BILL FOR DAMAGES TO TRUMP AND NETANYAHU. https://t.co/iSttCgOOSF
Pakistan Diesel Spikes 55% Overnight Amid Energy Crisis
This is insane: diesel in Pakistan had a price increase of 54.9%, not in a month or a week… OVERNIGHT. The global energy crisis is really hitting, starting to really see some crazy stuff unfold.
Hormuz Shutdown Tests Global Supply Resilience, Not Just Prices
A prolonged Hormuz closure is not mainly about whether wealthy countries can tolerate higher prices. It is about how long the global system can keep functioning before shortages begin to appear. https://t.co/ZnTkdfQu09
Fearful Dips Lead to Record-Breaking Market Gains
Opportunities : Lessons from Market Crashes 📉📈 1️⃣ Harshad Mehta Scam (1992) 🔻 Crash: 54% | ⏳ Recovery: 2Y 4M 2️⃣ Dotcom Bubble (2000) 🔻 Crash: 56% | ⏳ Recovery: 2Y 3M 3️⃣ Global Crisis (2008) 🔻 Crash: 61% | ⏳ Recovery: 1Y 8M 4️⃣ COVID Crash...
Brand Power No Longer Guarantees Retail Stock Success
Why I’m Staying Completely Away from Consumer Retail Stocks Nike, Lululemon, and LVMH Are Crumbling: Here’s Why Brand Power Alone No Longer Wins I currently have zero exposure to consumer retail stocks, and I plan to keep it that way. In my day...
US Jobs Data Fuels Dollar Rise, Stocks and Bonds Dip
Stocks and bonds may fall again while the dollar gains after deceptively upbeat US jobs data. #NFP #Stocks #Dollar #Macro #Trading #IranWar https://t.co/bSlTNo7Fkg
Energy Basics: US Isn’t Independent, Markets Global, Controls Fail
Chamath has repeatedly been wrong about energy issues — sometimes to a comical degree. He could have used a refresher on ECON 101. 🥁Here are three basic realities he seems to miss: 1- The United States has never been truly energy independent...
BEHL Q4 2025
Beijing Enterprises Holdings (BEHL) just dropped its Q4 2025 results. Key figures on revenue, profit, and dividends are in. A look at performance across gas, water, and brewery segments. Earnings
Teach Kids Financial Independence Over Outdated College Expectations
I've been saying this for years. My goal is to teach my kids how to be financially self-sufficient by the time they're 18. If they want to use their money to go to college "for the experience," that's their decision. 0%...
Peace of Mind Comes From Knowing Your Numbers
Closing out a week where you actually know your numbers? That feeling is everything. You know your buffer is there. You know what's coming out next week — the subscriptions, the payroll, all of it. Already accounted for. Nothing sneaking up...
Gold and Stocks Correcting From Overvalued Peaks
Gold & Stocks are in correction mode from Expensive valuations What could go wrong? https://t.co/BpD29sNDFY
NBTXR3 Surpasses 70% Enrollment, on Track For
$NBTX update: Their lead cancer drug NBTXR3 is now over 70% enrolled in its crucial Phase 3 trial. Target: complete enrollment by end of 2025. With cash into late 2027, they're funded to reach this major milestone. Biotech
Tech Giants Face 20%‑Plus Slumps From 52‑Week Peaks
Current Mag 7+ drawdowns from 52wk highs... $NVDA -16% $GOOGL -16% $MSFT -33% $AAPL -11% $AMZN -19% $META -28% $TSLA -28% $AVGO -24% $ORCL -58% $CRM -37% $NFLX -26% $AMD -19% $PLTR -28% $MU -22% $IBM -24% $V $MA $AXP -20% $LLY -17% @finviz_com https://t.co/ll0K5GSWGx
GraniteShares ETF Unlocks 20%+ Autocallable Yields
Banks kept autocallable income locked behind high minimums for years. @graniteshares just put it in an ETF — 20%+ yields. NASDAQ seminar April 10 explains it all. @willrhind https://t.co/Xx3nS8vCjF
Yield to Maturity Drives 5‑Year Returns, 89% R²
Fixed income: The YTM matters greatly.. 89% r-squared in terms of determining your 5-year return JPMAM https://t.co/b6f4gSRgeA
Time Rewards Good Ideas, Punishes Bad Theses
"Patient" and "long-term" are not strategies. They're just words. If your thesis is wrong, being long-term only multiplies your problems. Time is your friend with good businesses and your enemy with bad ones.
Wall Street Rebounds; Jobs Surge, but Geopolitics Loom
Wall Street snapped its 5-week losing streak this week. S&P 500 +3.4%, Nasdaq +4.4%, Dow +3%. First positive week since the Iran war began. Then on Good Friday, a bombshell: 178,000 jobs added in March — triple the 59,000 expected....
AI Chip Rally Returns: How to Capitalize Now
Is the AI trade back in play? Advanced chip and semiconductor stocks are showing signs of life again, here’s how to play it.
OpenAI Nears $1 Trillion Mark Among Elite Titans
Felt like a good day to remind ourselves that there 12 public companies with a market cap >$1T and are here are some high-level financials on them. With today's announcement, OpenAI is worth ~$0.9T. (Data from Gemini.) https://t.co/44feWVSf4X
Avoid AIOS Longs Amid Nasdaq Delisting Warning
Nasdaq warns AIOS: $0.55 bid (<$1), $2.66M market cap, weak finances, high volatility. Risk: delisting/reverse-split. Trading insight: avoid new longs until Nasdaq confirms compliance. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Simple 1st-Gen Money System: Earn, Save, Invest
My 1-st gen earner Money System: - earn and keep upskilling - live and spend intentionally - build a buffer in ‘cash’ - invest the excess regularly That’s it.
Silver Prices Drop 2.8% on SHFE, Hits $80.67/oz
silver traded on the #SHFE closed 2.8% lower at cny17,843/kg or $80.67/ oz #comex eq.
Backdoor Roth Bypasses Income Limits
One of the dumbest loopholes in the US tax code The IRS says if I make more than $168K filing single or $252K married filing jointly in 2026 I cannot contribute directly to a Roth IRA But I can still get funds inside...
Mean‑Reversion Strategy Up 5.2% YTD, Beats SPY
Main daily mean reversion strategy. Although the equity peak was in October of last year, the strategy has held well during the recent market volatility. +5.2% YTD vs. -3.6% for the $SPY ETF. Link in reply below. 👇 https://t.co/KixGnShlRn
Affordable Housing Requires Massive Metro-Driven Greenfield Development
There is no City that has achieved "affordable" housing (by any definition) without the metro building an enormous amount of greenfield development
Electrification Alone Won’t Shield From Gas Price Shocks
Electrification may not be enough to protect against gas-driven price shocks #energysky -- via pv magazine usa: https://t.co/x9CZpvmkMz
Half Global Sulfur Flows Through Hormuz, Fueling Industry
John Dizard nailed this one in The Institutional Risk Analyst w/ @rcwhalen: "Most, around half, of sulfur in the world goes through the Strait of Hormuz. You need sulfuric acid in order to produce copper, steel, nickel...you really need it to...
China's Money Printing Matches
Everyone focuses on U.S. money printing. But China has quietly been just as aggressive—if not more.
FIRE Firms Dominate Preleases as Office Construction Cools
A Cooling Cycle: Office Construction Declines in Major U.S. Cities As of the start of 2026, 14 of the country's leading office markets had more than 17.5M SF actively under construction or renovation, with 42.5% of the space preleased. Overall, 30%...
Treat Your Best Art as a Future Retirement Asset
Your art can be your retirement account. The idea is to set aside a few pieces of your best work per year and hold them back until you decide to slow down or stop. The longer you're around and the...
Iran Refuses Pakistan Talks; Trump Demands More Time for Hormuz
Iran Unwilling To Meet US Negotiators In Pakistan, Talks At 'Dead End', As Trump Says 'A Little More Time' Needed To Open Hormuz: (ZeroHedge)
Oak Park, Sacramento Home Values Soar Over Time
The story of value over time in the Oak Park neighborhood in Sacramento. Something on my desk today. Thought I'd share. https://t.co/u432dCM38O