IWM Pump Puts: Clear Bet on Russell Volatility
Buying Russell $IWM Pump Puts was an obvious play with Russell Volatility (RVX) in the F-Bucket https://t.co/IQnqgOdKmH
New Geopolitics & Markets Insight for Subscribers
April 2, 2026, 4:50 AM, website comment for subs on geopolitics and markets. Link in reply below 👇 https://t.co/tWw5e5VWPG
Make This Your Last Year Trading Broke
If you really want to be a serious trader. Make sure this is your last year being broke. Save your money up for trading capital, stop blowing it on dumb stuff.
China Clamps Down on Consumer Lending, Forces Lower Rates
Interesting Caixin article on China’s intensifying crackdown on the consumer lending and loan-facilitation business, with regulators summoning major platforms for talks and pressing the industry to sharply curb borrowing costs. https://t.co/BIv3i5trGx
China to Top CNY400 Bn R&D Spend by 2026
Yicai: "Beijing's expenditure on science and technology is expected to break through CNY400 billion (USD58 billion) for the first time in 2026, with a greater emphasis on basic research, as the country ramps up funding to drive innovation and strengthen...
Chinese Solar Makers Raise Prices, Market Remains Stagnant
Yicai: "Leading Chinese manufacturers of solar modules have raised the prices of their products, as China is lifting the 9 percent rebates on the export value-added tax for photovoltaic products. However even as large manufacturers have raised prices, the market...
Mag7 Stocks Dip to 20x Valuation
Now there’s something you’d thought maybe you’d see never, some mag7 names trading at just 20x https://t.co/cWAtryHKuD
China's EV Surge Cushions Potential Hormuz Oil Shutdown
China imports the most oil via the Strait of Hormuz but is also one of the best placed to weather its closure. EVs are part of that story. Five years ago China targeted 20% of new vehicles in 2025. They...
Invest Now: Tailor Strategy to Your Age, Not Too Late
The biggest lie that keeps older people from investing is the belief that the ship has sailed. It has not. The second biggest mistake is investing the same way a 25-year-old would. Your strategy must match your season. Less time means smarter, not...
Oil Prices Surge to Suppress Demand, Fertilizer Costs Safe
PODCAST: Great to be back at "Odd Lots" with @tracyalloway and @TheStalwart. Lots to discuss linked to the US-Iran war: why oil prices will go much higher to destroy demand, but why expensive fertilizer doesn't mean a food crisis is coming. https://t.co/UoHIl2cOqk
MAG Locks Jet Fuel Costs Amid 140% Price Surge
Now we know MAG has hedged their jet fuel between US$60-US$80 per barrel for 2026. With the price of jet fuel going up 140% one can only wonder what is happening to airlines that didn’t hedge their jet fuel. Do...
LLMs Still Unreliable for Complex Tax Filings, Penalty Method Matters
Interesting anecdotal report here. FWIW I'd not trust the LLMs with a high complexity tax _filing_ yet but, zooming in on one bit there, there is a tax position one needs to take about which of two calculation methods for an...
Traders Prematurely Betting on BOE Rate Hike
Bailey says traders are getting ahead of themselves on BOE rate hike bets https://t.co/eeKELZndt9 via @tomelleryrees https://t.co/kDqxSw5RoE
Global Strategy Drives Disruptive, Long-Term Geopolitical Conflict
This was never a local conflict. What looks regional is built on years of preparation, alignment, and strategy. Different actors. Shared objectives. Long-term planning. And the focus isn’t just confrontation — it’s disruption at scale: energy flows, shipping routes, and global systems. That’s what makes this different. Not short. Not...
China's Oil Shock Prep Fuels Investor Gains
China was ready for an oil shock and now investors are reaping the rewards https://t.co/5KptlsOcOf
Oil Jumps $5 on Trump's Open-Ended Iran Attack Threat
SINGAPORE, April 2 (Reuters) - Oil prices climbed more than $5 on Thursday, as President Donald Trump said the United States would keep up attacks on Iran without committing to a specific timeline to end the war, fanning investor...
China's Solar Surge Powers the Next AI Race
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗻𝗲𝘅𝘁 𝗔𝗜 𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗲 𝘄𝗼𝗻’𝘁 𝗯𝗲 𝘄𝗼𝗻 𝗶𝗻 𝗺𝗼𝗱𝗲𝗹𝘀. 𝗜𝘁 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗯𝗲 𝘄𝗼𝗻 𝗶𝗻 𝗺𝗲𝗴𝗮𝘄𝗮𝘁𝘁𝘀. And right now, one country is moving faster than everyone else. China is not just “going green.” It’s building scale most economies can’t match. What stands out to me is...
Trump’s Iran Rhetoric Signals Endless Conflict, Delays Bull Market
Thoughts? Trump's escalation rhetoric toward Iran could mean we're entering an era of perpetual global conflict rather than isolated wars, a continuous cycle that's impossible to resolve quickly. Compute, data, energy, infrastructure, and defense-adjacent industries—could quietly benefit from prolonged instability,...
China Likely Remains Cautious on Iran Mediation, Not Catalyst
Will Beijing throw its weight behind Iran negotiations? That is a key question we tried to answer in our China Macro Watch report released yesterday. While markets and diplomats anticipate a more proactive Chinese role in mediating the Iran conflict,...
Chinese Firms Profit by Reselling Record LNG Amid High Prices
"Chinese firms are reselling record volumes of LNG, cashing in on soaring spot prices as China has enough domestic and pipeline gas to meet its own weakened demand, in stark contrast to other Asian buyers scrambling to replace supplies cut...
War‑End News Sparks S&P Rally, Oil Surge
The S&P 500 just rallied on news the war will end soon. Oil jumped $4 and stock futures fell 0.8%. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/6xmtarJB5C
April Shut‑ins Match Historic 400 MMbbl IEA Release
If we assume that Hormuz remains closed for the next month, which now seems like a pretty solid bet, the barrels not produced by Gulf states thanks to production shut-ins in **April alone** will be roughly equivalent to the entire...
Watch $SPY Gap Fill Near 650 Support
First support, very short term, gap fill $SPY near 650 (which will also be S2) Even if you don't trade it, watch it as a tell https://t.co/fjOjrzHvfR
Three Decision Paths for Cave Fill Strategy
2 ways of looking at "cave fill" area. (decision points). 1) initial support, 2) partial test into, or 3) full cave fill.... stay tuned...same bat channel.... https://t.co/bafwPNKVz2
Trump's Speech Triggers 4% Brent Surge in Minutes
I watched Brent Crude move in real time during tonight's Trump address. +$4.12 in 16 minutes. I took Screenshots every 60–90 seconds and turned it into an interqactive chart. This is what policy sounds like in the oil market. Brent Crude opened...
Essential 2026 Charts to Track This Quarter
10 Charts to Watch in 2026 [Q2 Update] https://t.co/7SifuiD3Zx Key charts and issues to keep track of in the year ahead and beyond... https://t.co/Smunb8N2A2
Nike's Stock Reflects Global Influence of American Culture
Why does the share price of Nike matter? Few businesses have come to symbolize American culture to the rest of the world like Nike.
USD Nears 100 Mark After Trump Speech
#USD giving a stretch after President Trump's speech. First test here at the slope confluence just shy of 100. . Key resistance still 100.15/35 Near-term bullish inval still 99.49/53 $DXY 240min Chart
Portfolio Deal Pullback Masks Strong Asset Sales
U.S. CRE Investment Sales | February 2026 Snapshot Headline numbers tell a misleading story this month. While total U.S. investment sales of $25.4 billion appear soft, down 17% year over year, the real culprit is a dramatic pullback in portfolio and...
Activists Target Hidden ONE Cash, Driving Discounted Value
Another standard-looking activist headline, but for those in the know, this situation runs a lot deeper. I’ll explain. Elliott is asking shipping firm Mitsui OS&K for better cash returns to shareholders. Quite a standard approach for activists everywhere, and Japan is...
Trump Predicts Hormuz Opening as Brent Spikes 2%
Trump says the Strait of Hormuz will "open up naturally" Brent oil prices rise nearly 2% (a session high for the day) https://t.co/7fvQPaw1Bv
Trump Attributes Gas Price Surge to Iranian Attacks
TRUMP: "Many Americans have been concerned to see the recent rise in gasoline prices here at home. This short term increase has been entirely the result of the Iranian regime launching deranged terror attacks against commercial oil tankers and...
Kalshi Lets You Enter and Exit Bets Instantly
Kalshi: you can put bet on and take it off at any time. Close it out after a spike. (there is a very minor delay at times)...
Potential Futures Data Opportunity, Details Limited to StockTwits
This seems like a good opportunity for futures data, I have no details beyond what @stocktwits has shared so please dont ask me any questions about it https://t.co/eqqoBaCQZg
5M at 1.5% Yields $6.2K Monthly—Risk Isn’t Needed
$5M in fixed deposit at 1.5% annual return. That's $75K per year. $6,250 a month. Most people chasing market risk don't actually need the extra return. They just haven't done this calculation. Here's why it's difficult...
Current Oil Sensitivity Metrics Based on Price Range and Velocity
In case useful, considering both oil’s recent price range and price velocity, here are the current sensitivity measures to the oil price https://t.co/nbPN3tJ8na
Supply Rises, Sellers Active, Market Still Sluggish
A little more supply this year. Glad we're no longer seeing sellers sit back like 2023, but it's still been a very slow burn to see much change in the marketplace. https://t.co/1ItZel19q7
Weighing Spouse’s Early Exit: Income Loss vs Savings
You’re 40, Finance Director, Boston. $350k household income. Married, 2 kids. $500k retirement $200k brokerage. Your spouse wants to stop working ($150k of the income) Do you support it or ask them to keep working 5 more years
Southeast Asia Faces Energy Crisis With AC Season
Southeast Asia Is Bracing for an Energy Crisis as Air Conditioner Season Begins #energysky -- via Heatmap News https://t.co/CuhzSgjJTV https://t.co/k3QU0ztuit
Gulf War Triggers Asian Price, Debt, Scarcity Crisis
In this article, “how the Gulf’s war is becoming Asia’s crisis too,” The Economist magazine analyzes the three main transmission channels: “prices, debt and scarcity.” #economy #asia #middleeastwar #growth #inflation #debt @theeconomist
Markets Surge on Trump Iran Claim, yet It's Just Headlines
Markets rallied again Wednesday — S&P +0.75%, Nasdaq +1.24% — on hopes Trump's Iran ceasefire claim is real. But Iran's Foreign Ministry called it "false." Oil fell below $100. Energy stocks got crushed (-3.74%). Tech led. Two straight up days...
SPX Targets 6,650 Upside, 6,400 Downside Tomorrow
Based on closing SPX positions, it looks like 6,650 is best case upside for tomorrow. Downside open to 6,400. GL https://t.co/o3MdAytDAn
Dollar Index Stalls Near 100.5, Reverses Lows
The US Dollar Index $USD $DXY failed at 100.50.. but finished off the lows today.. part of my Q2 intermarket outlook on @stockcharts https://t.co/qdLp18p3Jz https://t.co/XJ3rTFsHGI
Low P/E Misleads When Earnings Are Leveraged or Cyclical
"A low P/E is irrelevant if earnings are inflated by leverage or cyclicality." A “cheap” stock isn’t always a bargain. A low P/E ratio can be misleading. Sometimes earnings look strong only because the company is heavily in debt. Other times, especially...
Dollar Gains Boost Discretionary, Energy, Industrials, Materials
Sector work, 12/31/1989 - 3/31/2026. We find a strong relationship between US dollar direction and four specific sectors: 1) Discretionary 2) Energy 3) Industrials 4) Materials Not necessarily in that order. How to read the table: "Tallying all the months when the dollar index went up over...
High Earners Need Coordinated Advanced Financial Planning
April is Financial Literacy Month Most high-income earners feel financial literacy isn't for them because it's too basic. You are right. You are past the fundamentals. Your financial confidence in topic areas, decisions, coordination, and executions are just different now. Retirement. Taxes....
Weekly RSI(5) Oversold Signals Warn Against Premature Selling
maybe neither of them will be what they look like... to me they look like the typically annual RSI(5) weekly oversold points... remember, you don't have to be willing to buy low, but admittedly, selling during these conditions in broad...
Hormuz Closure Amplifies Global Trade, Inflation, Financial Strain
Hormuz disruption deepens global economic strain across trade, prices and finance Latest @UNCTAD report on Hormuz 1⃣Energy corridor halted: The Strait of Hormuz remains “practically closed,” disrupting a critical share of global oil and gas flows. 2⃣Trade losing momentum: Global merchandise trade is...
Credit-Derivative Trading Hits Record Volumes, Says OG Markets
Credit-derivative trading volumes have surged to record highs. The OG prediction markets @markets via @augurinfinity https://t.co/hAxDHk0zOC https://t.co/9es8129em1
Short-Cover Rally Retakes Lows; Watch 200‑day Test
Solid short-covering rally and a nice reclaim of the Oct and Nov 2025 lows. But don’t get too comfortable. The real test for follow-through sits at the 200-day, in confluence with near-term call resistance. $SPY $SPX https://t.co/hRq8nuoOr2