Accelerate or Die: Only One Viable Path
The illusion of two viable paths will destroy lots of valuations. There is only one path…accelerate or die. The profitability path will seem like a good alternative, but here is what will happen New post 👇 https://t.co/cg40nUY4gq
Rate Hike Outlook Reverses, 10‑Year Yields Surge
We started 2026 with multiple rate cuts priced in. Now the market is leaning towards a hike. The 10-year is at 4.43% and still accelerating. We cover what that feedback loop means for stocks in the latest episode. $SPY $QQQ $IEF...
Embargo Iranian Oil; Cut Funding to War‑fueling Regimes
I support an embargo of Iranian oil. The reason is Russia. We never embargoed Russia. If we had, there's a good chance it wouldn't still be wreaking havoc in Ukraine. You just can't allow the life blood of these regimes...
Oil Surge and Strong USD Favor Energy Exporters
Macro: Tadawul -0.13%; financials, real estate & retail lag. Oil jump (Brent $105) and firmer USD drive divergence. Risk: oil volatility, FX swings. Trade: buy energy exporters. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Hormuz Crisis Exposes Superpower Indifference to Global Lives
The international fallout from the Hormuz crisis and its unintended consequences have me wondering: Is this another global experiment? And if it is, do we have to wait until all the results are collected? I am just asking a question. ...
Dollar Weakness Paused; Brazil Set to Surge Post‑war
The Dollar downtrend has now been meaningfully disrupted. But that doesn't mean it's over. As soon as this war ends - and it must because of the midterms - Dollar weakness will reassert itself. EM commodity exporters like Brazil will...
CPI Set to Jump Above 3%, Prompting Fed Hike
I expect the April 10th CPI print to spike 70-100 basis points, coming in north of 3%. And then the Fed is going to hike rates 🥸
Personal Services Spending Fuels 3.3% Inflation, Outpacing Fed Target
Robust consumer spending on manicures, haircuts, and dog daycare is FORCING services inflation to 3.3%/yr. That's stubbornly above the Fed's 2%/yr target. THE US WILL NEVER GET THE INFLATION GENIE BACK IN THE BOTTLE. https://t.co/YhMhZTG7Gl
Yield Spread Peaks, Prompting Duration Risk Exit
3m10y yield spread 71bps... highest since July 2022... time to step out on the duration-risk curve? $AGG https://t.co/ozSwbxzLA4
Saudi Oil Revenues Rise, No Gold‑selling Crisis
There's lots of misinformation at the moment, including the idea that big Gulf countries like Saudi Arabia are having to sell gold. Saudi Arabia's revenues from oil exports are actually up, because the rise in oil prices more than offsets...
From Layoff to $200K: Leverage Product Launch Kit
Jack got laid off hours after putting an offer on a house. But today: • He's on track to hit $200K • Works 20-30 hours per week • Takes 1-2 months off each year • Consistently lands $10K-15K deals And he even has this killer Product...
5 Essential Writing Tools That Built My $20M Business
Writing online is how I built a LinkedIn audience to 154,000 and a $20,000,000 digital business. But my writing tech stack is simple. I never start writing without these 5 tools:
Redemption Caps
Ares capped redemptions at 5% after requests hit 11.6%. Apollo also restricted. Private credit default rate: 5.8% (Fitch). Morgan Stanley warns 8%. The next subprime is always the one nobody's watching. $HYG $BXSL https://t.co/B1Kim7zMg9
Today's Chartbook Highlights Crucial Map for Immediate Insight
Hard to think of a more important map than this right now, featured on today's Chartbook Top Links: https://t.co/qA2ezld5Aa
AI Startup Naive Deploys Fully Autonomous Business Teams
🚨 This AI startup is doing something nobody else is doing. Most AI tools build apps. This one runs entire businesses. Sales, marketing, outreach, support, engineering, finance all handled by AI employees working 24/7 without a single human in the loop. It's...
Stagflation and War Trigger Biggest 60/40 Loss Since 2022
Stagflationary winds and the biggest monthly loss for the classic 60/40 investment portfolio since 2022, the global economic and financial fallout of the Middle East War are tangible. This week’s data deluge will help us assess how much resilience remains in...
Turkey Alone Sells Gold Amid Fragile Currency Peg
A recurrent theme since war began is that central banks are selling gold. That's mostly not true, but there is one central bank that did. Turkey's gold holdings have fallen 50 tons in recent weeks. But Turkey is an outlier...
Scale Fast, Clarify Faster: Avoid Confusion Over Revenue
a mentor once told me: growth in business often increases ambiguity. New hires. New channels. New offers. New expectations. If you don’t reduce ambiguity as fast as you grow confusion compounds faster than revenue.
Discussing Iran War and Rubio’s G7 Visit on Bloomberg
About to be on @BloombergTV's "Bloomberg This Weekend" with @davidgura @EenaRuffini @LisaMateoTV to talk about the #IranWar and Secretary of State Marco Rubio's visit to France for the #G7
Immigrants Expand Demand, Creating New Jobs
Immigrants weren’t just filling existing jobs; they were helping create them. That’s Econ 101: jobs are not a fixed pie. More people means more customers, more demand, more businesses expanding, and yes, more hiring. https://t.co/TuC32PJmUk
Recession Odds Near 50% as Soft Landing Remains Priced
Goldman 30%. JPM 35%. Zandi 49%. Recession odds are climbing fast. When does consensus cross 50%? The market is still priced for a soft landing. Economists are no longer calling it one. $SPY $QQQ https://t.co/XqeBtrupla
War‑Driven Energy Shock Pushes Importers Toward Alternatives
As the outbreak of a regional war disrupts global energy markets for the second time in four years, oil & gas importing countries will be motivated to find alternatives; coal, nuclear, renewables and EVs alike, as @bradplumer & Rebecca Elliott...
Heavy Data Week Ahead, Iran Conflict Still Dominates
This week is packed with market moving data but Iran War will remain a key focus 👇 🇺🇸 US -Retail Sales -Non-Farm Payrolls -ADP -Chicago PMI -ISM Mfg -Confidence -Trade 🇪🇺 EZ -EZ CPI & GE CPI -Confidence -GE Retail Sales -GE Unemployment 🇬🇧 UK -GDP 🇨🇦 CA -GDP -Trade 🇦🇺 AU -RBA Minutes -Trade 🇯🇵 JP -CPI -Retail Sales -Tankan
US Empire Decline Confirmed, Eastern Powers Ascend
Back in 2010 on @cnbc , I warned that the American empire was entering a phase of rapid decline, and that Eastern powers would rise to fill the vacuum. 📉That forecast is now unfolding in real time. This isn’t hindsight....
Pakistan Hosts Saudi, Turkish, Egyptian Ministers to Mediate US‑Iran Tensions
The foreign affairs ministers of Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Egypt are gathering in Islamabad today for urgent talks as they try to mediate between the US and Iran.
All Markets Move as One Unified Implicate Order
The Implicate Order is the portfolio Bohm's undivided whole isn't philosophy — it's how Oil, Dollar, Bond Yields, and Equity Sectors move together inside a single Quad The Macro Tourist sees separate assets. The Fractal Mathematician sees...
Investors Pile Into Chinese Glove Maker Blue Sail
A recent cluster buy in Chinese glove maker Blue Sail, according to Smart Insider https://t.co/cINzHSKOoq
Design Your Day, Don’t Let It Design You
Most people are trying to “fit” work into their day… while leaders design their day so work fits them. Here’s the truth: even presidents running entire countries protected quiet time, set non-negotiables, and stepped away to recharge. So if your calendar feels...
Vertical AI Deals Surge Silently Across Industries
4 AI acquisitions. 4 industries. 48 hours. None made the front page. Legal tech. Construction. Finance. Edge computing. The quiet consolidation of vertical AI is moving faster than the headlines suggest. Do you know what your competitors just acquired?
Public Changelogs Lose Value as AI Automates Updates
Something I legit wrestle with… is it worth keeping a public changelog anymore for your SaaS business? Any competitor can basically now automatically ingest the updates and get Claude to make PRs. It only gets them a scrappy level of parity...
Even Geniuses Fall Prey to 25 Hidden Biases
Charlie Munger: 25 Psychological Biases That Quietly Cause Smart People To Make Bad Decisions https://t.co/hUt2UdDh3a
Eurozone Borrowing Costs Spike over Iran Shock Fears
Eurozone borrowing costs soar on fears of fiscal hit from Iran shock via @FT https://t.co/QuVa5RF5wm
Uncover Leadership Blind Spots That Derail Executive Teams
The #Leadership Blind Spots That Frustrate Executive Teams @INSEADKnowledge https://t.co/B3hotOkEUa #HCM #HRM #HumanResources #HRTech #CHRO #FutureofHR
Digital Twins and Network Virtualization: 2026 Enterprise IT Foundations
Digital Twins and Network Virtualisation set to be Strategic Cornerstones of Enterprise I.T. in 2026 "Parallel to the vision of digital twins is the equally significant rise of network virtualisation." https://t.co/oULHzW5xhy
Bear Scenario Looms: Oil Spikes, Fed Stuck, S&P Near 6k
Looks like next week is heading towards the bear case scenario I highlighted in my weekly report. Bear case (35% probability): The April 6 deadline produces strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure. Iran retaliates against Saudi or UAE oil facilities. Brent breaks...
AI Tool Pinpoints Ideal Startup Customer
‘This #AI tool helped me define a target customer for my startup’ by Kara Baskin @MITSloan Learn more: https://t.co/66vsUiVaIn #ArtificialIntelligence #MachineLearning #ML #DL https://t.co/BFJVZcSL0T
Euro Adoption Spikes Bulgaria's Inflation Beyond ECB Target
Bulgaria’s FORCED ADOPTION of the Euro was supposed to benefit Bulgaria. Instead, inflation sits at 3.32%/yr, WELL ABOVE the ECB's 2%/yr inflation target. As the Father of Bulgaria’s currency board, I predicted this. https://t.co/c3KVbZZNxx
Launch Your Coaching Business in Just 30 Days
Discover the transformative journey of entrepreneurship with the newly released audiobook 'Start A Coaching Business In 30 Days (3rd Ed.)'. This practical guide lays the foundation for aspiring coaches. https://t.co/oLVuRg4oA4
Borrowing on Track,
Half the annual borrowing in half the year is completely in line with estimates. A crisis may also need additional borrowing, let's see. Rbi will also announce a pay out soon and the balance sheet is way too large, hope...
Hiring Shifts Back to Real Skills Over AI Interviews
Hiring is starting to move away from AI-assisted interviews. As more candidates rely on AI tools, recruiters are shifting back to in-person and practical assessments to better understand real skills and thinking. When everyone has access to AI, the signal moves back...
Vietnam's Economy Thrives; To Lam Emerges as Reformer
Vietnam's macro situation is so impressive. And To Lam seems to be more of a reformer than I initially thought. https://t.co/pKtcfrLTG6
Global Debt Hits $111 Trillion; US, China Over Half
See how global government debt reached $111 trillion in 2025, with the U.S. and China together accounting for over half the total. https://t.co/rKkfcrsNdf via @visualcap
Underpaid Workers Cause Overproduction and Economic Crises
"Because workers are paid less than the total value they produce, they eventually cannot afford to buy back the goods they have created. This leads to a glut in the market, falling prices, factory closures, and mass unemployment." Karl Marx was...
Hiring Benchmark Shows AI Disrupting Industrial Policy
Recruiting Brainfood - Issue 494 https://t.co/pDdGbUnutM Starred Hiring Benchmark Report 2026, World Bank about turn on Industrial policy, AI slop all over LinkedIn, The Erie Plan as first Org Chart and a story of descent on the socio-economic ladder... https://t.co/WiUiwr9KdI
India Gains Global Market Share Across Industries
India taking market share in almost every global industry, e.g. electronics, machinery and offshore services https://t.co/oP7wSlNcF0
Scale Your Core First, Adjacent Growth Drives Returns
Most companies chase growth in new markets and ignore the core. Top performers do the opposite. They drive 80% of growth from the core, then push 20% into adjacencies one step away, which adds 3–4% excess shareholder return. They shift capital and talent...
Japan’s Low Inflation Mirrors Sluggish Money Supply Growth
Japan’s inflation eases to 1.26%/yr in February, BELOW its inflation target of 2%/yr. Japan’s money supply (M2) is growing at 1.73%/yr, WELL BELOW Hanke’s Golden Growth Rate of ~6.07%/yr, consistent w/ Japan’s 2%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY...
Empower Employees to Share Authentically, No Quotas Needed
It's much easier to do influencer marketing when you have influencers on your marketing team. HubSpot has done well in this regard with more than our share of people across the org that have a following. How did we do...
True Alignment Thrives on Safe, Outspoken Disagreement
A CEO told me his team was “fully aligned.” I interviewed 11 of his direct reports. Not one of them knew what the actual strategy was. Alignment isn’t silence. It’s what happens when people feel safe enough to disagree out loud. The quietest rooms...
Fuel Price Spike to Raise Living Costs Nationwide
The President of South Africa, Cyril Ramaphosa; “Higher fuel prices will affect every sector, beginning the 1st of April we are going to see a spike in fuel prices” “𝗜𝗻𝗰𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘀𝗲𝗱 𝗰𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗼𝗳 𝗹𝗶𝘃𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗶𝗻𝗰𝗿𝗲𝗮𝘀𝗲 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗽𝗲𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗲”