
L: Productivity miracle 1.0 - autos (white) replace horses (orange) in 10 yrs; horses never recover R: Productivity miracle 2.0 - China replaces US manufacturing workers; US mfg workers down ~35% in 10 yrs Productivity miracle 3.0 - AI v. white-collar jobs; different this time? https://t.co/NtZWhlmb4l

"Mean reversion applies to margins, multiples, and market sentiment." 🚀 Markets always swing, but smart investors know: extremes don’t last. Mean reversion isn’t just a theory—it drives margins, valuation multiples, and market sentiment.
Almost always: Double-down on your strengths rather than blunt weakness. Exception: When a weakness is directly blocking your goals or an obstacle to the most important next steps for the company. Even then, just mute it, don’t try to “turn it into...
4 ways to inject new entrepreneurial energy into your organization, using AI as a catalyst. via @forbes https://t.co/3mNojgxEHQ
Interesting. Will getting tariff refunds be like getting blood from a stone? What will importers do?
If you want to learn focus & deep work... Don’t analyze monks or CEOs with assistants. Instead, learn how someone a few steps ahead of you protects 90 quiet minutes every day. Start there. Then expand.
And this is peak "innovators" phase of adoption. Consider that during the earliest product adoption phase, non-technical folks are already doing the thing many believe "no one will ever do." We, the founders, need to adjust our system of beliefs NOW.

Lagarde says US tariff moves risk upsetting equilibrium with the EU https://t.co/ode7ZBLduy via @weberalexander https://t.co/HemjTQHk5r
If you want to read a piece that lays out the best bull/base case scenario, you should go read “Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital” by Perez. The book argues that every technological advancement follows the same framework as it relates to...
India postpones trip to finalize trade pact. Global uncertainty on what Trump will do after his 15% for 150 days action is done because his tariffs were deemed not legal. What is ahead for supply chains?
Organisations should evaluate vulnerabilities across multiple tiers, ranging from high-level strategic planning, operational & process risks to frontline execution. By integrating theoretical lessons with practical, data-driven frameworks, the resources outlined in this newsletter aim to enhance operational resilience, ensure regulatory compliance,...

Asia as global manufacturing hub, shown by the ILO. More sources featured on today's Chartbook Top Links in the comment below. https://t.co/bpfQbXlbHK
JUNE 2028. The S&P is down 38% from its highs. Unemployment just printed 10.2%. Private credit is unraveling. Prime mortgages are cracking. AI didn’t disappoint. It exceeded every expectation. What happened? https://t.co/JzzwCrbJgS
RT Data Privacy Week is over. Lawsuits, breaches, and AI experiments don't pause the other 51 weeks of the year. Privacy is now a leadership accountability issue, not a back office task. #CIO #CMO #CISO #DataPrivacy @Star_CIO https://t.co/Naq82FuMWZ

Nvidia CEO Huang Says Trillions More Needed for AI Buildout https://t.co/gk4YrrCQym @nvidia @nvidianewsroom #WEF26 #DAVOS #AI #IoT #MWC26 https://t.co/M2lTdcJyST

So does the US have a balance of payments deficit for purposes of section 122 of the trade law (and thus the basis for imposing a 15% tariff). It is an interesting question 1/ many https://t.co/JidbJk37vw
Were the trade deals with Trump approved by the Senate? Did the Supreme Court void them? What is Trump’s end game? Supply chain uncertainty reigns.
Macro: DHS funding lapse prompted policy reversals. Key: TSA PreCheck remains; Global Entry paused. Risk: service uncertainty may boost travel volatility. Trade: buy select airline stocks. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
I had a good discussion with @MargBrennan of @FaceTheNation about the economy, trade, central bank independence and other topics. https://t.co/7S39jwcldt
What is the standing of Trump’s China deal? Congressional approval? What is his end game after Liberation Day tariffs struck down? What circle of hell will supply chains and logistics be in?
Is the UK the biggest loser after Trump’s tariffs are struck down? He will not stop at 15% he announced. That is only good for 150 days. Smoot-Hawley and up to 50% tariff seems more to his liking. Can Trump...

⚠️WHAT IS HAPPENING IN JAPAN? The 4 largest Japanese life insurers, Nippon Life, Dai-ichi Life, Sumitomo Life, and Meiji Yasuda, had a combined ¥13.2 trillion ($86 billion) in unrealized losses on government bonds at the end of 2025. Losses have risen over...

Early invite to my network, as I am going live in an hour to debunk what Elon Musk says: The U.S. is 1000% heading for bankruptcy without AI. I ran the model. Then I ran it again with correct accounting. The doom loop...
I had the privilege of moderating a panel with a Midas List VC a few months back. One insight she shared has changed my view on investing. She said the number one thing she looks for is clarity of vision. That sounds...
Starting a company is extremely challenging. That’s why I like having cofounders. Someone is always there to pick you up when you’re down.

RIP keyboard. Typeless just killed the keyboard. It turns your words into polished messages, emails, and documents that read like you carefully typed them in real time. 4x faster than typing. Here's how with real examples: https://t.co/g5jm1WJQTV

When it comes to Trump's tariff threats on China, it's clear that chairman Xi holds all the cards. TRUMP’S TARIFFS = BACKFIRE. https://t.co/ACGdxKxjr0
22February: What does @ForesiteCapital look for in the therapeutics and instrument startups in which it invests? Read founder & CEO @JTananbaum MD's response + more insights from him and the firm's Michael Rome PhD in my latest Q&A interview for...

In 2024 and 2025, Mexico grew at an annualized pace of 0.8%, even as the US grew at an annualized pace of 2.3% in those two years. Mexico's growth stagnation, which - outside of COVID - has now lasted since...
To Lead a Successful #HRTransformation, A Good Process is Not Enough #OnlineEvent #Webinar @Gartner_inc https://t.co/BgCskZSeif #HCM #HRM #HumanResources #HRTech #CHRO #CPO #Hiring #Recruitment #PeopleManagement #Culture #Change #FutureofHR #HRCurator
This question by @MarkRuffalo is critical. Right now there's an attempt to force people to pick either Paramount or Netflix as the right acquirer, but both are wrong answers. An acquisition by either firm would consolidate the market and is...

The last truly independent central bank Governor in Turkey was fired in March 2021. That sent the Lira into a devaluation spiral from which it's never recovered. It doesn't matter who the economic team is now. If Erdogan did this...
After spending about 10 hours and $200 debugging how to connect my openclaw to Google Chat, so it could communicate with my team, we finally found the fix Sharing the solution below in a format you can give to your openclaw...

For as long as I can remember, Argentina has tried to become credible and stable by pegging the Peso to the Dollar. The success rate of this strategy - in all the years it's been tried - is exactly ZERO....
They were right about software engineering being dead. Just not in the way people think. Software isn’t code. It’s architecture, tradeoffs, and understanding the customer well enough to know what not to build, and connecting technical decisions to real business outcomes. That isn't dead...

[Sunday Muses] Agentic Banking is upon us. But where is Finance going? As AI agents begin to act autonomously inside financial systems, Dave & Dharm are poking us to Demystify Finance by asking the question: What is Finance's true North...

Your goals don’t need more motivation. They need protected time. When your week is designed around what matters, progress stops feeling accidental and starts feeling inevitable. If you’re ready to build that structure, this is your moment. Enrol now and design your time with...

The Creature from Jekyll Island is a must read book. It helps you understand the creation of the federal reserve banking system in the states. The truth is that, The U.S. central banking system was conceived in private by a...
Question for the @laravelphp Spark users out there, ideally the Paddle version: how have you extended billing for things like credits/optional subscriptions/one-time-payments? Anything more comprehensive out there? Is there a migration path?

Everyone's worried about foreign countries dumping U.S. bonds, but here's what mainstream economists won't tell you about government finances. The link to the complete presentation is in the comments.

Does a hype cycle have a retention curve that looks like this? Literally never seen a retention cohort graph like this https://t.co/BwMCDv7eIY

Live from 10:30 ET: I’ll be speaking with Margaret Brennan on @FaceTheNation @CBSNews. We’ll discuss the economic outlook and other topics. If you are in the US, follow the interview https://t.co/6JMj9WbdTi https://t.co/1uPSzrclkX
Entrepreneurs: NEVER beg a VC for a check, it tickles their ego and rewards disrespect. Grow to $50K MRR, watch them come begging.
I failed for 6 years straight before anything worked. I was living with my parents, had $0 in my bank account multiple times, and just wondered if I was smart enough to become rich. For me winning stopped being about money,...
Is the AI Job Apocalypse Real — Or Overhyped? Will AI really lead to massive job losses — or is the idea of an “AI job apocalypse” exaggerated? This article explores the evidence and what it means for workers. Read...
Right now, founders have two choices. One, they can pretend like they're living under a rock with their product, even if they have strong product-market fit right now. Or two, they can realize that product-market fit evolves faster than ever...
What comes after the Supreme Court’s striking down Trump’s tariffs and his using Section 122 surcharges expire after 150 days? And the trade deals with tariffs that exceed 15%? It is all curiouser and curiouser for supply chains. And logistics?

#TimTalk - How do leaders balance acceptance with accountability and performance? with Mau Espinosa https://t.co/l8JyxhLE7I via @DLAIgnite #SocialSelling #DigitalSelling #Sales #Leadership #Culture #Motivation #Marketing #Success #Entrepreneur #Management https://t.co/j41Z3fekyv
I shared some thoughts yesterday about what we are seeing. Would be great if Google would provide some info... I feel like they are moving to continuous updating of systems (which would align with what they said about 'more core...
Global trade trap. US tantrums. China bravado. How should your supply chain and its logistics change to adapt to a new trade?