Small‑cap Stocks Outpace Mega‑cap Tech Amid Oil Shock
$IWM is up 0.12% YTD while $QQQ is down 3.16%. Small caps quietly outperforming mega-cap tech during an oil shock. Nobody's talking about it. That's exactly why it matters. https://t.co/uJRKl9XT9N
SMH Nears Critical $374 Threshold Amid Tech Weakness
$SMH (VanEck Semi ETF) in focus as many parts of Tech have begun to wobble a bit while QQQ just undercut last Nov lows. @IBDinvestors @marketsurge While still in consolidation here, any weekly close under $374 would be problematic...
S&P up 35% From April Low; ETFs Post Strong Gains
The S&P 500 remains +35% from its April low... the Gain from 52wk low heat map... In the last year: $SPY +16.4% $QQQ +22.1% $RSP +11.0% $IWM +19.4% $VEU +20.6% https://t.co/tSe8pBORDA
Treasury ETF Faces Near-Worst 3‑Week Drop Since 2022
$GOVT Treasury ETF down 2.2% last 3 weeks... that's almost its worst plunge since March 2022... which was a historic drop... @stockcharts https://t.co/AR2FifcXyx
XLK Tech ETF Hits Six‑month Low, 12% Drawdown
$XLK tech ETF aims for its lowest close in more than 6 months... look at that gap @stockcharts A 12% drawdown.. https://t.co/WnAoCjYRPP
QQQ Fades at 21‑EMA, Targeting November 21 Level
For now for the $QQQ, the pattern is that we fade at the 21ema and undercut key upside reversals The Nov 21 level is approaching https://t.co/mxcUisB0Cx
Follow the Flows, Not the Active/Passive Hype
1/2 If you're going to follow the active/passive debate, you gotta follow the flows. Fortunately, I have a reliable source. My oldest son, @senseiverde18, is putting out some great material at Nasdaq. His latest for February was excellent https://t.co/1FmfNEqUE1 and...
Vertiv's Buying Surge Hits
Last week i wrote about S&P 500 index rebalance which happens today. Vertiv $VRT, Lumentum $LITE, Coherent $COHR and EchoStar $SATS are all going into the index today. Vast majority of the trading will happen around market close. Vertiv buying...
Dimensional Debuts First Actively Managed ETF Share Class
Dimensional launches industry’s first actively managed ETF share class… Dimensional US Micro Cap ETF. Launched as mutual fund in 1981. Is first of what will be *many* ETF share class launches across industry. https://t.co/NnR6tcgN5k
Record $64B Outflow From SPY, QQQ in 3 Months
The boat is getting tippy. About $64 billion has come out of SPY + QQQ over the past 3 months. That's nearly double the previous decade's extreme. Still not all that extreme as a % of assets tho. https://t.co/Ep1DBUQEqI
Emerging Markets Hold Up, S&P Bounces After Pullback
emerging markets $EEM vs. S&P 500 $SPX still looks legit and bounced after the first "pullback against"... let's keep an eye... https://t.co/2tOH6LJWWS
Capital‑Efficient International Overlay Adds Global Exposure Without Selling US
Our latest 90/60 ETF idea out today This idea came from a client in our capital efficient overlays w/ gold. Problem: current portfolio was 100% US stocks --likes idea of adding international, but doesn't want to sell US core. Solution:...
Gold Miners Near Support; Trendline Break Signals End
Miners $GDXJ vs Gold $GLD. Very close to support. Interestingly, only 1 of the last 5 corrections even reached the trendline. The end may be nigh. https://t.co/oK6drb2TpF
Explore Historical Return Stacking with Our New Tool
We get lots of questions around what return stacking looks like. So, we built a simple tool to explore how different stack sizes and blends, when layered on different stock/bond bases, behaved historically. (Link below.) https://t.co/ogWicOHDD6
Breadth Clears 5‑day, Inverse ETFs Dominate Market Signal
Breadth just cleared the 5-day, and the best-looking charts are still the inverse ETFs. That tells you everything about this tape. 3/18: Transition phase. Initiating small pilots in theme-in-play names. Not forcing it. https://t.co/tWty14oJip
Bitcoin ETFs Arrived; Bitcoin Now Finance's Collateral Backbone
Years ago I pushed for Bitcoin ETFs. Many said it would never happen. Now Bitcoin ETFs are a reality and top buyers of Bitcoin. Next Bitcoin is becoming the collateral layer of finance. Infrastructure is being built now. Similarly hard and...
White House Dismisses Prices, Gas Futures Keep Climbing
$UGA Daily. "You're gonna need a bigger jawbone." White House trying to talk down oil & gasoline prices. But gasoline futures ETF still stretching out higher. https://t.co/vicHCJhxQx
QQQ’s 40‑Week MA Predicts New Highs or 18% Drops
$QQQ - You can see the importance of the 40 week moving average. Going back to 2014 every time a multi week decline bottomed at the 40 week MA QQQ went on to make a new all time high. On...
SPY Turns Constructive, Hits Target Above 200‑MA
$SPY getting a bit more constructive this week Sentiment washed out a bit Hit my 660 target nicely and basing type price-action above a rising 200-MA as NYMO hit extreme oversold Warned of the bearish RSI divergence into highs earlier this year, that...
Short ETF Volume Hits Record, Sentiment Unilaterally Bearish
Volume in short ETFs is the highest ever. Awesome chart from @MacroCharts. Many clues out there that show sentiment is about as one-sided as we've ever seen.
New Signals Boost Momentum‑Mean Reversion Switching Strategy
Bonus momentum and mean-reversion switching strategy update with new signals. $TLT $GLD $TLT Link in reply below. 👇
ETF Combo Beats Benchmark: Higher Returns, Lower Risk
ETF Combo 30% $SPHB 30% $GLD 40% $DBMF (managed futures) Quarterly rebalance only. CAGR 16.5% vs 14.0% maxDD -19.8% vs -33.8% Vola 13.3% vs 20.1% Sharpe: 0.97 vs...
HALO Stocks Just Rebranded Value‑Growth Rotation, Not AI‑Proof
HALO stocks — Heavy Assets, Low Obsolescence — are being sold as a new AI-proof strategy. But Goldman's own data shows the trade tracks value vs. growth almost perfectly. A familiar rotation with a fresh acronym. I've taken a closer...
Small Caps Crack First; Large Caps Soon Follow
$IWM down 9% from highs. $SPY down 5%. 400 basis points of divergence. Small caps always crack first. The question is whether large caps follow. History says yes. https://t.co/sp96ah5BoF
SPY Gaps Up After Support, May Reclaim Red Zone
$SPY Tapped my support and gapped up. If it reclaims Friday's breakdown then likely back to red zone above https://t.co/aYherTDOmp
Gold ETFs Record $5.5B Outflows Signal Potential Correction
🔴What is happening with Gold ETF flows? The largest gold-backed ETFs, including $GLD, $IAU, and $GLDM, saw a record -$5.52 billion in combined outflows last week. A breather before the next leg higher, or the start of a bigger correction?👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-stocks-posted-the-worst-week-since-october-amid-surging-oil-prices-weekly-market-recap-trading-we
Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Stall After March Surge
Inflows into spot #BTC ETFs have paused after rising since the beginning of March, according to Farside. https://t.co/LH3OxayBoc
Record Hedge Fund Shorts Signal Imminent Squeeze
Bearish hedge fund positioning is extreme: Shorts in US-listed ETFs +10% Thursday—2nd-biggest daily jump since 2016 (only topped by +16% on April 2, 2025 “Liberation Day”). ETF shorts +12% this week (after +8% last), +23% in last month. US macro shorts (incl. index...
BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF Ranks 4th in 2025 Inflows
BlackRocks Bitcoin ETF $IBIT ranked 4th globally in ETF inflows for 2025 despite negative returns. https://t.co/Jp89IbGprm
Tradifi Outpaces BlackRock ETH ETF with $15.5M Volume
Tradifi totally mogged the BlackRock $ETH staked ETF at $15.5M trading volume and you are bearish. https://t.co/FUjIWc6DZS
QQQ Faces Crucial 200‑SMA Support Next Week
Daily $QQQ next week horizontal support meets 200sma, this would be lovely area for a bounce. And of course for bears, lovely area for a breakdown. Place your bets. https://t.co/CA9XF93VAc
Key ETF Innovations Ignored by Family Office Media
I follow a fair amount of family office and endowment content (email newsletters, conferences, sell side research) and the two biggest stories of the past year have had zero coverage: 1. 351 ETF exchanges 2. Low cost endowment and family office style...
Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge, yet Price Stagnates
Spot Bitcoin ETFs are seeing net inflows this week. BlackRock's IBIT alone took in $46 million today. And bitcoin isn't really moving. When consistent institutional buying can't push the price higher, that tells you how much sell pressure there is right now.
Smart Strategies to Diversify Concentrated Stock Positions
My conversation with Wes Gray (@alphaarchitect) & Brent Sullivan (@TaxAlphaInsider) on how to handle concentrated stock positions. We cover: • 351 to ETF conversions • Tax managed long/short • Direct indexing • Exchange funds 🍎 Apple: https://t.co/8EyAQJRS2b 🍏 Spotify: https://t.co/2KzvgNXoiD 📺 YouTube: https://t.co/8ibUEisaZM
Ex‑ETF Sales, Not Bitcoin ETFs, Drive Price Bounce
As many others have pointed out, Bitcoin ETF flows have stabilized, but the relatively muted Bitcoin ETF flows since the October peak offer much less explanatory power for Bitcoin returns than the entire period. Suggests ex-ETF sales were a driver. Positive...
Retail Investors Hit Pause, Showing Persistent Fatigue
JPM on Flows: Retail investors showing signs of ‘persistent’ fatigue - Investors have “pressed pause” on buying, with weekly purchases dropping 30%, and ETF inflows dropping 22%. - “For the first time this year, retail investors are showing persistent signs of weakness”
Iran Conflict Triggers Gold ETF Outflows, BTC ETF Inflows
Since the beginning of the Iran conflict, there have been outflows from gold ETFs and inflows into BTC ETFs, according to JPMorgan. https://t.co/bD6p8MbEs3
Staked Crypto ETFs Take Off on Nasdaq
BlackRock launches staked Ethereum ETF on Nasdaq Grayscale debuts Avalanche staking ETF on Nasdaq The future is staked Crypto ETFs https://t.co/GaZErV6evV
BlackRock's Staked Ether ETF Posts Strong $11M Opening
BlackRock's Staked Ether ETF -- $ETHB -- launched with just over $100 mln in assets. Through ~2pm eastern it has traded about $11.1 mln. Pretty good start for any ETF. https://t.co/vd1gDLDvKR
XLF Suffers 13% Drop, Second Biggest in Three Years
Just over a 13% drawdown for Financials $XLF Second largest in the past 3 years. https://t.co/E1aBc2ZqVe
IShares Puts Ether Front‑And‑Center, Signaling Crypto Mainstream
First thing you see when hitting homepage of *world’s largest* ETF issuer… Ether. iShares offers nearly 500 US-listed ETFs covering virtually every asset class. And they’re leading w/ eth right now. Makes you think. https://t.co/fEsWqQ412t
Solana ETFs Led by Institutions; XRP ETFs Retail‑Driven
BIG: Institutions dominate SOL ETF holdings, while XRP ETFs are driven mostly by retail despite ~$1.4B cumulative inflows. Source: James Seyffart https://t.co/scgs8iAq1z
ETFs Now Hold 1.28 M BTC, Biggest Global Holder
ETFs still own 1.28mil bitcoin, biggest holder in world as a group. And that’s DESPITE a 50% drawdown thrown at them. YTD flows just about to turn positive too. I think we’re around +$56b net net lifetime. #BoomerStrong
Micro‑caps Hit Relative Highs, Signaling Risk‑on Market
U.S. micro-cap $IWC stocks closed at new relative highs vs. U.S. small-caps $IWM... sounds like risk-on type behaviour...
Mean Reversion Strategies Post Strong YTD Gains
Mean reversion (MR) subscribers: We have published today's updates. There are new signals for a bonus strategy. -#ES_F bonus MR +21.1% YTD -Bonus MR+momentum: +4.8% YTD $GLD $TLT -Main MR strategy: +5.7% YTD $SPY $QQQ Links in profile (#5/Delivery)👇
ETF Manager Vows Not to Sell 35% SpaceX SPV
“We have a plan… And we don’t plan to sell the SpaceX SPV (which is curr 35% of the ETF)” - Joel Schuman of $XOVR on ETF IQ yesterday talking about the situation in the fund rn @kgreifeld @scarletfu https://t.co/cIkYtbXxBF
Oracle Earnings Spark 15% IGV Rebound, Momentum Persists
Perhaps some Oracle earnings day jitters for the software etf $IGV. Nice 15% bounce off the recent lows and still might not be done, but we're seeing our first rest day. https://t.co/5RTK5xXcNv
XRP ETFs Remain Resilient, Net $1.4 B Since Launch
The XRP ETFs have actually held up pretty well despite the massive pullback in price. They've taken in a cumulative $1.4 billion since launch. https://t.co/Bjtmb0y40D
Risk-On Surge Floods SPY, QQQ, HYG; VOO Steady
Flows did a 180 yesterday and went FULL risk-on with $12b flooding into trading crowd favorites $SPY $QQQ $HYG et al.. while $VOO (the tortoise in the wealth creation race) doing its half a bil a day regardless of the...
Energy ETFs Edge Out Tech Over Five Years
fun fact: energy stocks $XLE beat technology $XLK stocks in % returns in the past five years... $XLE +116.1% $XLK +114.8%