StoneCo Ltd (STNE) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
StoneX Group reported record fourth‑quarter net income of $85.7 million, a 12% year‑over‑year increase, and operating revenues exceeding $1.2 billion, up 31% YoY. The R.J. O'Brien acquisition contributed $22.1 million of pretax income and drove a 76% surge in listed‑contracts revenue, while institutional segment revenues jumped 67% YoY. Cost‑synergy initiatives are on track, with $20 million of the $50 million annualized target already realized, and the company expects additional capital efficiencies in 2026. However, FX/CFD revenues fell 34% YoY as low market volatility pressured the retail segment.
Dave Inc (DAVE) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Dave & Buster's reported Q4 2025 revenue of $448 million, while comparable store sales fell 4% year‑over‑year but showed sequential improvement toward the quarter’s end. Adjusted EBITDA held at $59 million, delivering a 13% margin despite the sales dip, and operating cash...
Life360 Inc (LIF) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Lithia Motors reported record full‑year revenue of $37.6 billion, a 4% increase, and adjusted diluted EPS of $33.46, up 16% year‑over‑year. While new‑vehicle revenue fell 6.6% amid industry‑wide margin compression, used‑vehicle revenue grew 6.1% supported by a 4.7% rise in unit...
Dyne Therapeutics Inc (DYN) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Dynex Capital reported a standout 2025, delivering a 29.4% total shareholder return and a decade‑long 67% gain, driven by aggressive capital deployment and portfolio expansion. The firm’s market capitalization tripled to $3 billion in thirteen months, while its mortgage‑backed securities portfolio...
OFS Capital Corp (OFS) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
OFG Bancorp reported a 17% year‑over‑year increase in diluted EPS, supported by a modest 2% rise in core revenues and a favorable tax benefit. Commercial loans expanded to $3.5 billion, now representing 43% of the loan book, while retail deposits grew...

China’s Oil Buying Spree May Be Running Out of Steam
China’s oil imports reached a record 11.55 million barrels per day in 2025, a 4.4% increase over the prior year, driven by aggressive stockpiling and expanded storage capacity. While the country continues to buy discounted Russian crude and benefits from Saudi...
Vitesse Energy Inc (VTS) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Vitesse Energy Inc. reported Q4 2025 revenue of $4.4 billion, a $2.9 billion year‑over‑year increase, driven by a surge to 478 TBtu of LNG sales. Adjusted EBITDA rose 191% to $2.0 billion, while net income reached $1.1 billion despite higher interest costs and swap losses....
Venture Global Inc (VG) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Venture Global reported a $150 billion backlog, up more than 25% YoY, and $59 billion in orders, a 34% increase driven by Power and Electrification. Q4 revenue rose 9% to $38 billion, while adjusted EBITDA reached $1.2 billion with an 11.4% margin, marking 46%...
Mobile Infrastructure Corp (BEEP) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Uniti Group reported a 24% year‑over‑year increase in Kinetic consumer‑fiber revenue and added 28,000 net subscribers in Q4 2025, bringing total fiber customers to 535,000. Fiber passings rose to 1.9 million, with a goal of 2.3‑2.35 million homes passed by year‑end, surpassing...
Uniti Group Inc (Delaware) (UNIT) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Uniti Group reported a strong Q1 2022, delivering $278 million in revenue, $225 million adjusted EBITDA and $112 million AFFO, prompting an upward revision of its full‑year outlook. New sales bookings jumped 58% YoY, driven by robust demand for its shared‑infrastructure fiber assets...

2026-03-02: IRGC Launches Largest Offensive, Attacking 20+ US Bases and Israel
On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel conducted coordinated airstrikes against Iranian targets, prompting a massive retaliatory offensive by Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). The IRGC launched the largest attack in its history, striking more than 20...

Marriott Bonvoy Credit Cards Compared: Benefits, Annual Fees, and How to Choose the Right One
Marriott Bonvoy now offers seven co‑branded credit cards—four through Chase and three via American Express—each with distinct annual fees, welcome bonuses, and automatic elite status. The Chase lineup ranges from a fee‑free Bold card to the premium Ritz‑Carlton card, while...

Big-Box Boom: The Clues That Signal Your Community Is About To Grow
Big‑box retailers such as Home Depot, Target, and BJ’s are increasingly opening stores in fast‑growing suburbs, a pattern that signals rising population and new residential construction. Recent data shows Home Depot will add 15 locations in 2026 after 12 in...

Iran Conflict Creates Opportunity and Risk for Australian Grain
Escalating conflict between Iran, Israel and the United States has forced the Strait of Hormuz shut, pushing crude oil prices up 8‑10% and reverberating through agricultural markets. Higher energy costs raise nitrogen fertilizer prices and boost biofuel demand, tightening grain...
Middle East Conflict Spikes Oil, Lifts Dollar, Drags Dow
Further to the prior post: A classic initial market reaction to this weekend’s eruption of military conflict in the Middle East: Oil has surged over 10%, the Dollar has strengthened, and Dow futures have opened down some 500 points. #economy #markets #oil...

Asia-Pacific Fintech Funding Hits Decade-Low in 2025 as Investors Stay Cautious: KPMG
Fintech investment in Asia‑Pacific fell to a decade low in 2025, totaling $9.3 billion across 763 transactions, down from $11.7 billion in 2024. Venture capital supplied $7.5 billion of that amount, while mergers and acquisitions contributed $1.7 billion and private equity under $0.1 billion. Funding...

Plumbing Notes: Nothing Ever Happens
Money‑market volatility has markedly subsided, pushing overnight repo rates to near‑record lows and stabilising the SOFR‑FF basis. Higher inter‑bank volumes are keeping the basis narrow while swap spreads have widened, signalling easier funding conditions. The Federal Reserve’s aggressive volatility suppression...

Mortgage REIT And BDC Ratings - Edition 128
The REIT Forum released Mortgage REIT and BDC Ratings Edition 128, continuing its weekly analytical series on mortgage real‑estate investment trusts and business development companies. The edition follows a consistent format seen in prior issues (editions 123‑126) and provides updated...
Success Hinges on Cash, Growth, and Capital Returns
What do the most successful companies have in common? They all excel in these three critical areas 1️⃣ Strong, predictable cash generation 2️⃣ Attractive growth opportunities 3️⃣ High returns on capital

The Risk of Unknown Unknowns for Global Markets Amid War in Iran
The recent escalation between the United States, Israel and Iran highlights the market challenge of "unknown unknowns"—risks that defy traditional modeling. While investors have tools to hedge known shocks, the lack of definable parameters forces regulators to prioritize liquidity and...
Invest $145 Weekly, Retire with $1.4 M
The Roth IRA limit is $7,500 for 2026. That's $145/week. If you invest $145/week in an S&P 500 index fund for 30 years, you'll spend $225,000 of your own money. But at retirement you should have $1.4 million. That’s the power of compound interest.

Free Cash Flow Conversion Reveals True Economic Profit
"Free cash flow conversion separates accounting profits from economic profits." Most profits are fiction. Cash is truth. 💸 Free cash flow conversion separates accounting profits from real economic value — and serious investors know the difference.

Bettors Profit Hugely From Suspiciously Timed Wagers on Iran War
Bettors on the prediction platform Polymarket earned roughly $1 million by wagering that the United States would strike Iran on February 28, 2026, the same day President Donald Trump announced the attack. Bloomberg identified six newly created accounts that bought shares at...
The AI Trade Is Global: Derek Yan on Dollar Weakness, EM Tech, and Hidden Concentration Risk
In this episode, host Melanie Schaefer and CraneShares senior investment strategist Derek Yan discuss how the concentration of U.S. mega‑cap stocks is driving investors to seek diversification in emerging markets (EM), especially as the dollar shows signs of weakening. Yan...
Crisis Mode Returns: US‑Israel Strikes Ignite Market Volatility
Markets are back in crisis mode with the US–Israel strikes on Iran dominating headlines: global risk assets are reacting, oil prices are spiking, and S&P volatility is alive. Join us LIVE at 6pm EST as we break down how ES futures...

EPS Boosts VLCC Series with Two More Hengli Newbuilds
Eastern Pacific Shipping (EPS) has placed two additional 306,000 dwt VLCC orders with China’s Hengli Shipbuilding, expanding its fleet to ten VLCCs at the yard. The vessels are part of a five‑ship order slated for delivery in 2029‑2030, completing a broader...

Iran's Inaccurate Missiles Threaten Jerusalem's Sacred Sites
The Islamic Regime in Iran is recklessly firing missiles/drones at Jerusalem, despite well documented accuracy limitations in parts of its ballistic missile arsenal. Jerusalem is home to more than 1 million people and contains sacred sites of three religions: the...
AI Finds Coupons, Saves $100 in Minutes
Was buying a small grill for outside. Used AI and said “find me coupons for this brand” It found a “BLACKDOGBBQ20” coupon code for 20% off Easy $100 in savings for 5 minutes of effort Use AI to search coupons whenever you are buying...
Join Tomorrow's 8:30 Am ET Technical Outlook Webinar
**Reminder: Weekly Technical Outlook Webinar Tomorrow Morning at 8:30am ET! Interactive Session: https://t.co/EpyXNC6zVR Live Stream on YouTube: https://t.co/VjGiWa89qi
Korea Leads 2025 Surge in US Equity Inflows
If there is a real risk off move (& it is still an if) the structure of the inflows that have covered the US current account deficit will matter. Foreign buying of US equity surged in 2025, and no where more...

EPS Gains Prove Bull Market Still Strong
2027 EPS up another couple bucks the past two weeks. Yes, the headlines are scary, but this is why this bull market is alive and well. https://t.co/G1hArdVPz9
LA Metro Land Value Doubles National Average at 68%
In the Los Angeles–Long Beach–Anaheim, CA metro, land accounts for 67.7% of the total property value. That's 2X the national average. If you’re not already following ResiClub on X, show your support: @ResidentialClub https://t.co/n4Tlenhfco

Bearish Signals Mount, yet Strong Months Ahead
AAII bears>bulls two weeks in a row NAAIM lowest since May '25 Historic shorts on software 10-day equity put/call ratio highest since after Liberation Day Record equity outflows from institutions One of smallest ranges to a year ever Now here's two of the better months on...
Brent Climbs 9% and Gold Jumps $120 per Ounce
Update from the set. Brent up 9%, prices up across the futures curve. Gold up by about $120/ounce, also up across the curve https://t.co/UX9X5ChFfK

S&P 500 Advance/Decline Line Reaches New High, Signals Strength
The S&P 500's advance/decline line hit a new high on Friday. I'm pretty old fashioned, but I still think that is a good sign. https://t.co/6slLIZINHZ
Crude Jumps 8% As
Not a terribly surprising open. Crude up 8%. SPooz off 1% and USTs up solidly bid but selling into best levels.

Tight Bollinger Bands Signal Potential Upside Volatility
Futures open down only 1% for the S&P 500. Bollinger Bands are about as tight as they've been in years. The spring is coiling. How many think it'll be volatility to the upside? https://t.co/QMWz06txWk

S&P 500 Near 100‑Day MA, Futures Slip 1%
S&P 500 had been holding the 100-day moving average. That level 6831 now. Futures down 1% at 6815. Let’s see if we get a close below there. https://t.co/rCkhL5PUZi

Oil Prices Surge: Brent Up 9%, WTI Up 8%
Brent crude oil +9% to $79 WTI crude oil +8% to $72 RBOB gasoline futures +5% to $2.42 https://t.co/Z7uoT3rHYZ

Nearly One‑Fifth of California Property Transfers Are Inherited
Wild stat: “~18% of all property transfers in California last year were made through inheritance.” https://t.co/LPI84VU4Uh https://t.co/oHzRbjVzOn
Aussie 10s
Aussie 10s have on average traded 67bps cheap to UST 10s over the past few weeks. Currently trading 4.58 which suggest UST 10s should open around 3.91, 3 bps richer (that's like 6-7 ticks)
Asia Signals Risk Aversion; Oil and Gold Poised Higher
Early market signals Monday in Asia: risk aversion & flight to safe havens, stocks set to open down. Oil and gold come online in 20 minutes, both will see substantial upside. Update then https://t.co/IwRjfptbHJ

Oil Prices Set to Drop, Fueling Roaring 2020s
YARDENI: “.. in our short-war scenario, oil prices should fall in the coming weeks after a ceasefire .. boosting US consumer spending and benefiting global economies .. The weekend’s Middle East developments make us even more confident in our Roaring...

Estimated $18/Bbl Risk Premium for March 1 Oil Opening
GS: Taking Into Account Estimated Weekend Market Pricing, We Estimate a Risk Premium of Around $18/bbl on the March 1st Oil Market Open https://t.co/vtpc8AfijE

Modest Payroll Gains, Slight Un
NFP, Retail Sales Fri GS thinks +45k headline payrolls, +45k private, UR ticks up to 4.4% +0.5% Jan core Retail Sales https://t.co/EbcNES5A55
Texas, Florida, California Lead; Who Ranks Fourth?
The biggest three states for existing home sales are 1. Texas 2. Florida 3. California Who is #4?
Leverage Drives Carry Trade; Watch Yen in Market Shocks
The carry trade has everything to do with leverage. And I encourage you to study Yen behavior during US stock market tail events.
Geopolitical Tensions Push USD, Gold, and Oil Higher
The old geopolitical playbook (USD up, gold up, oil up, bond yields down, stocks down) is on for now.

US Housing Market Splits Amid Ongoing Weather Impacts
Another shocking example of the divided US housing market. I believe a lot of this is still showing weather effects from early in the month. But still... https://t.co/Ze7mUcxJS4

Foreign Investors Pour $1.55 Trillion Into USD, Defying “Sell America” Myths
Foreign investors poured a net $1.55 TRILLION into USD assets last year, up 31.4% from 2024. The oft repeated “Sell America” and “End of King Dollar” narratives don’t align with the facts. Hanke's 95% Rule: 95% of what you read in the...