Overnight Trade
Crude oil rallied to $65.89 per barrel this morning as concerns over a potential Iranian conflict resurfaced, while the Canadian dollar held near 65.89 U.S. cents. In the grain sector, canola futures slipped to C$690.20 a tonne, pressured by a 0.3% decline in soybean‑oil prices, which have been closely correlated for two months. Soybean futures offered modest gains, but wheat and corn contracts showed mixed to lower activity, with spring wheat lagging winter wheat in Chicago and Kansas City. The market snapshot reflects heightened geopolitical risk influencing energy costs and commodity inter‑relationships.
Practice Profile: Giving Everyone a Piece of the PE Pie
Citrin Cooperman, after private‑equity backing from New Mountain in 2021 and a Blackstone stake in 2025, rolled out a firm‑wide "P unit" program that gives every employee a share of the firm’s equity growth. The participation units vest based on...
Capacity Additions to Lift Indonesia’s Nickel Supply in 2026
Indonesia, which supplies roughly 65% of global nickel, is set to increase output to 2.9 million tonnes in 2026, an 11.9% rise from 2025. The boost stems from expanded mining permits at Weda Bay and the commissioning of several high‑pressure acid...
European Power Prices Plummet as Wind Surges and Demand Falls
European day‑ahead power contracts plunged on Wednesday as wind generation surged and demand fell across the region. Germany's baseload price dropped 20.6% to €75/MWh, while France’s fell 30% to €21/MWh. Wind output is set to reach 23.8 GW in Germany and...
UWMC Lifts 2025 Revenue but Trails Prior-Year Profit Peak
United Wholesale Mortgage’s parent, UWM Holdings, posted 2025 revenue of $3.16 billion, up from the prior year, driven by a record $163.4 billion in loan originations and higher gain‑on‑sale margins. Net income fell to $244 million, reflecting a $435 million mortgage‑servicing‑rights markdown and a...
Zambia to Build ‘Rainy Day’ Fund While Metals Surge
Zambia will establish a “rainy day” stabilisation fund to lock away surplus copper revenues as production hits record levels and prices hover near historic highs. The Treasury plans to finalise the fund’s framework this year before beginning deposits, using the...
The Argentina Deal Is the Template of How Deals in the New World Order Will Work
On February 5, the United States and Argentina signed a bilateral agreement that goes beyond tariff cuts to align trade, investment, and national‑security priorities in critical minerals and energy. The pact obliges Argentina to facilitate U.S. investment across the entire...
Project Ramp-Ups and Capacity Expansions to Increase Australian Coal Output in 2026
Australia’s coal output remained flat in 2025 at roughly 65 mt, buoyed by the Olive Downs Complex and efficiency gains at Hunter Valley and Dawson. A 3.9% rise to 483.2 mt is forecast for 2026, driven by the Maxwell underground ramp‑up, capacity...
Why Did Rents Soar in Miami and Stall in Austin?
Rents in Miami have surged 53% since 2019, while San Francisco’s increase is only 13%. The analysis shows that the share of workers operating from home is the strongest predictor of these divergent trends. Metros with high work‑from‑home (WFH) adoption (above...
Defence Stocks Move in Different Terrain, PSUs Struggle at Peak
Defence stocks in India are showing a split trajectory as public‑sector undertakings (PSUs) like HAL and Bharat Dynamics slide, while private firms such as Data Patterns and Solar Industries post double‑digit gains. The Nifty Defence Index remains positive, up roughly...
Mombasa Port Congestion Disrupts Coffee Exports
Severe congestion at Kenya's Port of Mombasa is disrupting East Africa's coffee trade, with major exporter Sucafina warning of missed shipments and rising costs. Truck queues, customs bottlenecks, and limited empty‑container depots have left vessels idle and cargo handovers delayed....
Ahead of Earnings, Is London Stock Exchange Group a Buy, Sell or Hold?
London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) will publish its Q4 2025 earnings on February 26, with analysts zeroing in on annual subscription‑value growth, 2026 guidance, and the impact of Elliott Investment’s stake. Morningstar’s fair‑value model places the stock at GBX 11,200, assuming a 5%...
Banker on Wheels Broker Fee Comparison Tool
A new broker fee comparison tool shows that over a ten‑year horizon SAXO Bank incurs the lowest total trading costs at €318, followed by Interactive Brokers at €407, while Swissquote tops out at €1,879. The fee differential of €1,561 translates...
Funds Slowly Lifting Wheat Postion
Managed‑money funds have begun easing their long‑standing short stance in wheat, reducing a net short of 97,370 contracts (13.2 million tonnes) after buying back 26,772 contracts in the week to February 17. The spring wheat market remains the most heavily shorted, with...
South Africa to Earmark R1.58 Trillion Towards Social Services
South Africa’s 2024 budget earmarks R2.67 trillion in total spending, with R1.58 trillion directed to social services. The largest allocations go to education (R527.2 billion), social development (R446.6 billion), health (R310.4 billion) and economic development (R283.9 billion). Peace and security receives R274.6 billion, funding police, defence and...
Cathie Wood's 40% CAGR Promise Turns Negative
In December 2021, Cathie Wood remarked that her flagship fund, with its best-in-class research, could deliver a 40% CAGR over the next five years. As we surpass the 4Y mark, they are hitting a negative 6.5% CAGR.
NSE IX Launches ‘Global Access’ Platform; Allows Easy Access to Overseas Markets for Indian Retail Investors
The NSE International Exchange (NSE IX) has soft‑launched its Global Access platform, allowing Indian retail investors to trade U.S. equities, debt and ETFs directly. The service uses a fully digital KYC process, supports fractional share purchases, and operates under the RBI’s...
VIX Below $19 Signals Bull Market, Nvidia Earnings Await
Good morning, That was prob one of the funniest SOTU's ever 🤣 but with it the vix rejected $20 and we saw the market get bullish & now the final boss...Nvidia's earnings which I'll post the call and put at 3...
Crypto & AI Drive Risk‑On; Metals Follow Dollar
Here’s my🔥 #stickynote for Feb 25, 2026: 📉 Market Headline: Crypto and AI names leading risk-on flows while metals remain tied to USD direction. Earnings and macro could spark volatility. 🧠 Trade Ideas & Levels: $COIN $170 LONG – Key level break. Crypto...
Lipton Rogers and LaSalle Trim Down Barbican Office Scheme After Backlash
Lipton Rogers, on behalf of LaSalle, has submitted a revised plan for the 1 Silk Street office project at London’s Barbican Estate, trimming the western tower from 20 to 17 storeys after more than 1,000 objections. The redesign cuts total office space...
Market Poised at Resistance Ahead of Nvidia Earnings
📺 THE MARKET IS COILED AT RESISTANCE AHEAD OF $NVDA $SPY is still trading within a clearly defined range, around $689, just below the $690 resistance. The key question today: do we clear $688.35–$690 before Nvidia earnings, or does the market...
FHFA VantageScore Savings Sized up, FICO Expands in Mortgage
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) plans to adopt VantageScore 4.0 alongside FICO’s 10T score as part of a mandated modernization effort. A Deep Future Analytics study projects that competitive use of VantageScore could cut mortgage credit‑score fees by more than...
Inside Hedge Funds' Secret Method for Detecting Market Regimes
The secret hedge funds use to detect market regimes... A 37 page PDF reveals everything:
Microcap Success Demands Independent, Self‑driven Research
Successful microcap investors are always independent minded people. They are used to no analyst coverage, no institutional following, no liquidity - no safety net. They are used to doing their own work and building their own conviction. It's why most...
AMC Is Closing More Theaters: List of Doomed Cinema Locations Will Grow in 2026 as Meme Stock Craze Sputters
AMC Entertainment announced it will continue closing more theaters than it opens, citing a weak financial outlook. Q4 2025 revenue slipped to $1.28 billion, a 1.4% decline, while global attendance fell nearly 10% to 56.3 million. U.S. attendance dropped 7.5% and international attendance...
Holding, Not Trading, Generates Real Investment Returns
Benjamin Graham: “The real money in investing will have to be made not out of buying and selling, but of owning and holding securities.” Takeaway: Compounding rewards commitment. Most investors lose money not because they pick bad stocks — but because they...
Kali Chaudhuri Bets $470M to Revitalize LA Towers
#KaliChaudhuri looked at #LA's graffiti-scarred towers+saw potential. Poised to pay $470M for #OceanwidePlaza, storied for its #Chinese failure,+its 2 brethren. 'I'll try my very best to turn it around+make it a jewel' #realestate #multifamily #KPC https://t.co/CANYdyTniX
Waaree Energies, Premier Energies Slip After US Announces 126% Duty on Solar Imports, Firms See No Material Impact
The U.S. announced a preliminary 126% counter‑vailing duty on certain solar imports from India, sending Waaree Energies and Premier Energies shares sharply lower—Waaree down 10% and Premier down 6%. Both companies said they have diversified supply chains and ongoing US...
RBOB Gas Futures Dip 1%, Pump Prices Near $3
RBOB gasoline futures down 1% YoY... very likely to turn up YoY in the weeks ahead... $3 pump prices absolutely coming $UGA $RB_F https://t.co/H5sX1paGVU
International ETFs Hit June 2023 Highs
International vs US stocks... fresh highs back to June 2023 on $VEU vs $SPY @stockcharts https://t.co/aAmaYUIj34
A Cartload of Fertiliser
European carbon prices have slumped from over €92 to about €72 per tonne, eroding the financial incentive for low‑carbon fertilizer production. The author highlights a stark price contrast by purchasing five kilograms of Russian NPK fertilizer for €6.60, underscoring how...
China’s 5-Year Plan Boosts Energy Security, Regional Self‑Reliance
How China’s 5-year energy plan could change the way it powers its economy Beijing will prioritise energy security through large-scale projects and greater regional self-reliance, as risks mount at home and overseas https://t.co/HwoETxozqe via @scmpnews
Rich 5s Cheapen Ahead of Auction; Yields Rise
Not surprising to see some cheapening of very rich 5s before the auction later today. 2s5s10s up a few bps from Monday's Citrini low. Interesting to see if the move has legs post-auction https://t.co/ZQjjNm6NwT
Buy March Call Calendar, Sell Feb Put
$LOW "Trade Idea 3: Buy the February 27 Expiry/March 295 Call Calendar ($3.10) and sell the February 27 Expiry 270 Put for 90 cents." Feb calls expire, puts on edge, may need to roll down and out. Leaves a...
Midterm Years Naturally Bring Stock Market Volatility
Yes, stocks in the US have been choppy so far this year. But looking at a four-year Presidential cycle, this is actually quite common for mid-term years. https://t.co/gX328BtAzw
Pullback Below 5 SMA Signals Potential Continuation or Buying Climax
W - pullback below 5 SMA. However, it also had range expansion bar with close outside KC, (which I failed to note yesterday.) The low of the climax bar will determine if this forms continuation pattern or if...
LNG Export Permits Strengthen U.S. Industry and European Security
I can't remember--who was the president 10 years ago? That Administration's decision to grant permits for LNG exports was a boon for the domestic O&G industry while also helping U.S. and European security by reducing dependence on Russian energy exports.
Essential Guide to Private Real Estate Incentives
If you are just learning about the private real estate business, either as a prospective GP or LP, please read this short book. It’s a pretty balanced explanation of the game, including the incentives driving the different players. https://t.co/3pvXJikrV5
Spotting Bounce Trade Opportunities Across Diverse Stocks
$ADBE $BA $BROS $C $CRWD $HOOD $JPM $KRC $MSFT $OKLO $ORLC $OWL $PLTR $QCOM $RBRK $REAL $RKT $TOST $TSLA $TTWO $WOLF some names that caught my eye while scrolling charts. I know, my eyes see chart much different...
NVDA Earnings Loom; BO Triangle Guides Early Trade Decisions
Naz - same, along with a three bar BO triangle on the dailies. Will market wait for NVDA's earnings after the close? BO mode can move in either direction, first hour range provides best structure for hold/fold...test/reject or...
Tactical 200‑Day RDR Trades: Trim or Take Short Position
$jpm did a tactical RDR around the 200day for active cash flow. There were many yesterday. Trim if u held some - or just take the day and a half trade. Same tactic happened in $MSFT and $hood....
S&P Stagnates as Global, Small‑Cap, Value Stocks Surge
WSJ: While the S&P 500 has wrenched up and down but gone pretty much nowhere this year, international, emerging-market, small stocks and value stocks have taken off. https://t.co/eRPZ3CVqAy
Delayed Left Tail, Emerging Right Tail Signals Green Growth
Left Tail Delayed; Right Tail Green Shoots I wrote about this for clients Tues: https://t.co/9mH4bWEu3y
Airport Terminal Signals Strong Growth for Fairfax India
Check out the airport terminal in the beginning of this video and you’ll understand why I’m bullish Fairfax India https://t.co/KDIukR4iLv
Boeing Shares Slide, Forming a Weekly Flag Pattern
BA: A B C down on dailies into weekly flag forming. (Courtesy of Kyle} https://t.co/y5EJounZmE
MACD Lags yet Highlights Gold‑silver C
Sprott Physical Gold & Silver $CEF as you know from my past posts, these standard 12/26/9 #MACD signals are a little slow for my own taste, but nonetheless... i do like to acknowledge turns from high and/or low points for context......
Congo’s Sovereignty, Not Ownership, Controls Cobalt Supply
China’s cobalt strategy assumed that owning mines guaranteed supply. Congo’s export controls show that sovereignty trumps ownership. China controls processing; Congo controls the tap. https://t.co/sBpdLF03jS #Cobalt #CriticalMinerals #China #SupplyChains #Geopolitics @ctindale
One River's LGT Quant Purchase Increases Assets by One‑Third
One River is buying the quant arm of LGT Capital Partners, a deal that will boost the hedge fund’s assets by roughly a third https://t.co/KuxkGui39M
AI Growth Hits Power Grid, Not Capital, Bottleneck
The AI buildout is running into hard physical limits. Capital isn’t the constraint; power is Grids are full, turbines are sold out, and timelines don’t bend for hyperscalers. https://t.co/GNXtK2Hb8p #AI #Energy #PowerGrid #DataCenters #Infrastructure #Geopolitics
North Korean Won Plummets, Becomes World’s Second Worst Currency
On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the North Korean won ranks as the WORLD'S 2ND WORST CURRENCY. The won has depreciated by over 50% against the USD in the past year. KIM JONG UN'S ANTICS = CURRENCY CATASTROPHE. https://t.co/mODtL8ocdu