Vol Street Journal™ :: Episode 14
Episode 14 of the Vol Street Journal highlighted a resilient 6800 floor, with bulls repelling bearish pressure for the third time this year. The host noted a "non‑confirmation" as the VIX failed to post a higher high while equities made lower lows, signaling a fragile volatility structure. A flat VX term structure and rising geopolitical "war premium" suggest we remain in a higher‑volatility regime, while bond market divergence—rising MOVE index versus stable 10‑year yields—adds further risk. The episode warns that weekend geopolitical headlines could outweigh typical theta decay.
More Instacart Credits: $10 or $20/Monthly Credits with Mastercard
Instacart is rolling out a new promotion for Mastercard users that grants a $10 monthly credit for personal cards or $20 for small‑business cards, applied to the second order each month. The offer also includes three months of free Instacart+...
Argentina's Dollar Peg Has Never Delivered Stability
For as long as I can remember, Argentina has tried to become credible and stable by pegging the Peso to the Dollar. The success rate of this strategy - in all the years it's been tried - is exactly ZERO....
India Pauses Its Trade Team Visit to Evaluate US Supreme Court Tariff Ruling
India has postponed its scheduled trade delegation visit to Washington after the U.S. Supreme Court invalidated the reciprocal tariffs imposed by President Trump. The court ruled that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act did not authorize the tariffs, prompting Trump...
SPNEC ‘Re-IPO’ Eyed by 2027
SP New Energy Corp (SPNEC) plans a re‑IPO by 2027 after merging its assets with Meralco’s renewable arm MGreen. The move follows the successful energisation of the MTerra Solar project, a 3,500‑MW solar farm paired with a 4,500‑MWh battery system....
🍗 Is Wingstop About to Turn the Corner Again?
In this episode Edward Corona examines Wingstop’s latest earnings report, noting an 8.6% revenue increase to $175 million but a miss on expectations and a 5.8% decline in domestic comparable sales—the weakest stretch of FY25. Despite the “meh” headline numbers, the...
The Long-Term Reality of Hyperscalers: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly Scenarios
OpenAI disclosed that its adjusted gross margin on inference dropped to 33% in 2025, down from 40% the previous year, as inference costs quadrupled. The company also projected training expenditures to rise sharply, reaching $32 billion this year and $65 billion next...
DRC, Belgium, and KoBold Metals in Dispute Over Colonial Mineral Archives
A dispute has emerged between the Democratic Republic of Congo, Belgium, and U.S. firm KoBold Metals over access to colonial-era geological archives housed at Belgium’s AfricaMuseum. The DRC wants to partner with KoBold to digitize data on cobalt, lithium and...
The Bear Cave #314
In this episode, The Bear Cave highlights a wave of new activist reports targeting Sterling Infrastructure, Nova Minerals, and Carvana, exposing alleged accounting inflation, data integrity issues, and opaque loan sales. The show also notes recent high‑profile CFO resignations at...
Kolwezi to Host DRC Critical Minerals & Industrialization Forum in October 2026
The Democratic Republic of Congo will host the inaugural DRC Critical Minerals & Industrialization Forum in Kolwezi from 7 to 9 October 2026, co‑hosting with the DRC‑Africa Battery Metals Forum. The event targets cobalt and lithium, aiming to shift the...
Enter Trends at the Bottom, Reduce Risk Dramatically
→ Trends exist only 15-20% of the time → You never know how far a breakout will go → Your risk is almost never clearly defined Turn trading flips the script: → Enter at the pivot → Risk is small and measurable...
Economists Hide Real Risks of U.S. Bond Dumping
Everyone's worried about foreign countries dumping U.S. bonds, but here's what mainstream economists won't tell you about government finances. The link to the complete presentation is in the comments.
SEBI Board Meet on March 23 Likely to Revisit Conflict-of-Interest Rules
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) will convene a board meeting on March 23 to revisit the conflict‑of‑interest and disclosure framework for its senior officials. The agenda, expected to cover around 20 items, also includes proposals to allow...
Secure an Emergency Fund Before You Start Investing
You don’t need a “perfect” emergency fund to start investing. But if one bad month (e.g. car, boiler breaks) forces you to sell your investments.. you’re investing too early. I’d build a breathing room first.
Skip Price Haggling, Leverage Seller Concessions for Savings
🏘️ Never Negotiate On Purchase Price 🤓 When you make an offer on a property, negotiating on the purchase price is not the best way to actually save money. Instead negotiate for seller concessions. You can use that to...
‘Green’ Growth on Inland Waterways
The Inland Waterways Development Council (IWDC) unveiled a ₹1,500 crore roadmap to expand India’s inland water transport network, laying foundations for projects exceeding ₹150 crore, including cruise jetties in six states. Cargo movement on national waterways surged to 145.84 million tonnes in 2024‑25,...
Gift Stocks, Let Kids Pay Zero Capital Gains
A dad has $1M in a brokerage account and wants to gift $19k to each of his 3 adult children. Instead of selling and giving cash, he should gift them stocks instead. Depending on their income, his children can sell the shares...
Strong US Data Now Weakens, Not Strengthens, the Dollar
The Dollar used to rally on strong data, but that's no longer true. Recent examples are strong payrolls on Feb 11 or hot core PCE inflation on Feb 20. We're in the early stages of a regime change for USD,...
Interview with Arigato Investor ありがとう投資家 04.02.2026
In this episode, The Macro Butler interviews the Arigato Investors to explore why gold remains a safe‑haven asset during market turbulence and how its appeal is evolving. They discuss the shifting financial centre of gravity toward Asia, highlighting Hong Kong and...
Market Swings Between Extremes; Stay Rational and Ready
Benjamin Graham: “The market is a pendulum that forever swings between unsustainable optimism and unjustified pessimism.” Takeaway: Expect extremes and prepare to act rationally. Markets are wild—but that’s where opportunity lives. ⚡
Who’s The Biggest In 3D Printing, February 22, 2026
The weekly Fabbaloo leaderboard shows the public 3D‑printing sector valued at $15.9 billion, with Farsoon and Bright Laser holding the top spots at $4.6 billion and $4.1 billion respectively. Chinese firms were flat due to the Lunar New Year holiday, while Xometry added...
JCE: Large-Cap Equity Fund With Call Options, 8.15% Yield, And 5.7% Discount
Nuveen Core Equity Alpha Fund (JCE) is a large‑cap equity closed‑end fund that employs a call‑overlay strategy to generate income. The fund offers an 8.14% distribution yield while trading at a 5.7% discount to NAV, supported by a sustainable, tax‑advantaged...
JCE: Large-Cap Equity Fund With Call Options, 8.15% Yield, And 5.7% Discount
Nuveen Core Equity Alpha Fund (JCE) is a large‑cap equity closed‑end fund that employs a call‑overlay strategy to boost income. It offers an 8.15% distribution yield while trading at a 5.7% discount to NAV. The call‑overlay generates premium income but...
UN Agency Urges Investment to Boost Youth Employment
The UN Economic Commission for Africa warned that Africa’s massive youth cohort can become a global growth engine if investment is better linked to bankable projects. While capital exists, investors demand scale, security and market access, which the continent must...
Some Implied Moves for Earnings Next Week (Feb 23rd – Feb 28th) – 725 Companies Reporting
OptionMillionaires released implied move percentages for 725 companies reporting earnings from Feb 23‑28. The data shows expected price swings ranging from a low of 4.5% at Home Depot to a high of 35.8% for EVgo (EVH). High‑volatility names include BKSY (27.1%),...
Top Wall Street Analysts Are Bullish on the Growth Potential of These Three Stocks
Wall Street’s top analysts are bullish on three AI‑adjacent stocks—Datadog, Vertiv Holdings, and Arista Networks—each receiving a fresh buy rating and higher price target. Datadog’s Baird analyst set a $180 target, citing a 25%+ operating margin and a large, untapped...
Africa: Africa's Regional Blocs Must Prevent a Silent Scramble for Critical Minerals
A new scramble for Africa's critical minerals—lithium, cobalt, graphite, platinum‑group metals and rare‑earth elements—is driven by global green‑energy supply chains. The article argues that regional blocs such as SADC, ECOWAS and EAC must coordinate policies to move from raw‑material exports...
EU-India FTA to Unlock Trade Growth, AI Collaboration and Resilient Supply Chains: Austrian Official
The European Union and India have reached a landmark free‑trade agreement that will slash tariffs on the vast majority of bilateral trade, covering 96.6% of EU exports to India and 99.5% of Indian exports to the EU. Austrian State Secretary...
MSTY: Buy For Income And Upside Exposure On Strategy
The YieldMax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY) receives a buy rating due to its consistent weekly income generation and reduced exposure to MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin‑driven volatility. The fund employs covered calls and call spreads on MSTR, capturing option premiums while...
BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) Making Progress on Goals of Executive Order to Strengthen Nuclear Energy Industry
BWX Technologies reported steady progress on the Trump‑era executive orders aimed at revitalizing the U.S. nuclear energy sector. The company has begun fabricating TRISO nuclear fuel compacts for Antares Nuclear and remains on track for on‑time delivery to Idaho National...
Insider Activity at General Dynamics Corporation (GD) Sparks Buzz Among Investors
General Dynamics executive vice president Mark Rayha sold over $1.5 million of GD common stock, prompting investor interest. Despite the insider sell, the shares rose about 3% during the week and retained a moderate‑buy rating with an average upside of roughly...
L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (LHX) Secures $400M Contract to Power THAAD Interceptors
L3Harris Technologies secured a roughly $400 million contract to supply solid‑rocket boost motors and Liquid Divert and Attitude Control Systems for THAAD interceptors, marking its 1,000th delivery to the Missile Defense Agency in 2024. The work will be produced at facilities...
Citigroup Reiterates Buy on Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) with Price Target of $781
Citigroup analyst John Godyn reaffirmed a Buy rating on Northrop Grumman, setting a price target of $781 after the company’s strong fourth‑quarter earnings. The defense contractor posted $11.71 billion in revenue, a 10% year‑over‑year rise, and adjusted earnings of $7.23 per...
US Supreme Court Ruling on Tariffs: Why Emkay Sees India as Beneficiary Amid Trump's Flip-Flops
The U.S. Supreme Court nullified President Trump’s reciprocal tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, prompting the administration to replace them with a blanket 15% tariff under Section 122. This shift lowers the average U.S. tariff rate to about...
What to Expect in Markets This Week: Earnings From Nvidia, Home Depot, Banks, and Berkshire; Trump Speech
Nvidia’s earnings dominate this week’s market focus as AI‑chip demand remains a key driver. Home Depot and Lowe’s will report amid a housing‑market slowdown, while Berkshire Hathaway files its first post‑Buffett report under Greg Abel. Media firms Paramount Skydance and Warner Bros. Discovery revive...
Analysts See 20% Upside To TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG)
Analysts project roughly a 20% upside for TransDigm Group (TDG) even after recent price‑target reductions. The aerospace parts maker posted Q1 2026 sales of $2.29 billion, up 14% year‑over‑year, and adjusted EPS of $8.23, beating estimates. Net income slipped 9.7% to...
Oil Glut Myth Debunked: Sanctions Tighten Real Supply
The oil glut narrative is dying or dead A market rallying 18% YTD isn’t drowning in supply. Yes, barrels exist on paper But sanctions, disruptions, inventories & geopolitics mean they’re not available where prices are set. These views are from the @BloombergNRG article. I agree...
Avoid Massive Drawdowns: 99.99% Loss Needs 9,900% Gain
For the avoidance of doubt the marketer cited a 99.99% loss, which requires a 99,900% gain to get back to breakeven. Start w 100 drop 99.99% = a penny To return to 100 from 0.01, you capital must increase 9,900-fold. Avoid big drawdowns....
Hollywood Merger Threatens Movie Theatres Just as They Recover
Netflix is pursuing a takeover of Warner Bros Discovery, a move that could reshape theatrical release windows just as cinemas rebound from pandemic‑induced losses. Analysts warn that a shorter exclusive‑theatre period would erode box‑office revenues for operators like AMC, Cinemark...
IEA Begins Brazil’s Path to Full Membership
Thank you to President @LulaOficial, Minister @asilveiramg & Minister Vieira for their request for 🇧🇷 to become an @IEA Member Very happy IEA Members unanimously decided at our Ministerial to start the process for 🇧🇷’s full membership in a major step for...
Broader Market Defies Mega‑Cap AI Volatility Narrative
In this episode, Michael and Stephen break down one of the most confusing market environments in years. While volatility in mega-cap software and AI names has grabbed headlines, the broader market is quietly telling a very different story. https://t.co/uhRhg9iiil
Channing Capital Management LLC Sells 6,771 Shares of The Boeing Company $BA
Channing Capital Management LLC reduced its Boeing position by 13.7%, selling 6,771 shares and ending the quarter with 42,600 shares valued at $9.19 million. Insider executives also trimmed holdings, collectively selling over 19,500 shares worth $4.6 million in February. Meanwhile, Boeing reported...
Trend Trading Fails: Trends Exist Only 15‑20% of Time
🔥 New Video: Turn Trading Beats Trend Trading Every Time 🚨 85% of traders are doing THIS wrong They say they love trend trading Here’s the truth👇 📉 Trends only exist 15–20% of the time The rest? Chop. Noise. Fakeouts. Flying blind on risk @Fxflow...
Dow Jones Composite Hits Record High Across 65 Stocks
The Dow Jones Composite Average just closed at another new all-time high this week. This index includes all 30 stocks in the DJ Industrial Avg, all 20 in the Dow Transports and all 15 stocks in the DJ Utility Average....
Week Ahead: Chip Check
In this brief episode, Reuters' Mike Dolan highlights the upcoming earnings report from Nvidia, the world’s most valuable company, and the market anxiety surrounding it. He points out that Nvidia’s soaring AI spending is heavily reliant on just four major...
Discover 10x Small‑Cap Gems Only Retail Can Own
There are a bunch of small stocks that will 10x over the next five years that are waiting to be found. Institutions can’t buy them. Only you can. https://t.co/yI75FFwGuc
Coal Demand Set for Uptick on Rising Power Needs
India’s power demand rebounded sharply in December, posting a 6.3% rise, and continued climbing in January as a harsh winter and improving economic activity spurred electricity consumption. The surge is expected to lift coal demand, reversing a period of weakness...
Indonesia Faces Record Share Sales to Meet Free-Float Goal
Indonesia must orchestrate a record‑size share sale to lift the free‑float of 267 listed firms to at least 15%, up from the current 7.5% floor. The Indonesia Stock Exchange estimates the required issuance will total about 187 trillion rupiah (approximately S$14 billion),...
In the $3 Trillion Private Credit Market, the ‘Shadow Default’ Rate Is Increasing as More Money Chases Lower-Quality Deals
Lincoln International’s Private Market Index shows the $3 trillion private‑credit sector is growing in size but slipping in quality. Enterprise value rose 1.9% while EBITDA growth slowed and the “shadow default” rate more than doubled to 6.4% over the past year....
Budget Your Paycheck With Dave Ramsey Budgeting Percentages
Dave Ramsey’s percentage‑based budgeting method assigns every paycheck dollar a specific role, using a zero‑based approach to ensure income minus expenses equals zero. The framework allocates 10% to giving, 25% to housing, 10‑15% each to savings, food, and transportation, and...